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Championship · Matchweek 1

Momentum

BOLPNE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton
Capacity
28,723
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,262

Teams

Coaches
Steven Schumacher · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
7 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.4° (feels 17.9°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bolton Wanderers

No recent played matches.

Preston North End

LLWL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.89–9.74 · xPts 4.76

  • L H Southampton 1–3 xG 1.42–2.72 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 3–2 xG 2.01–2.98 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 2.74–3.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–2 xG 1.71–1.0 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 7 matches since 2015

Bolton Wanderers 13 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 7–10 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Bolton Wanderers 13 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 7–10 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 71%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bolton Wanderers 12 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bolton Wanderers 1–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBolton Wanderers all · 7Bolton Wanderers at home · 4Preston North End all · 7Preston North End away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.000.43
W / D / L2 / 1 / 41 / 0 / 6
Goals for / match1.000.86
Goals against / match1.711.86
Clean sheets29%0%
Failed to score43%29%
Both teams scored43%71%
Over 2.557%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.26
xG against / match1.931.17
xG difference-0.760.08
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.40
xPts / match0.941.42
Points vs xPts0.06-0.99
Game state
Scored first43%29%
PPG when scoring first2.001.50
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind0%0%
Leads held50%50%
Minutes leading13%23%
Minutes level72%34%
Minutes trailing15%43%
First goal (min)3148
First goal conceded (min)4140
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half29%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.29
Late goals against0.860.71
Style
Possession53%44%
Shots12.712.9
On target4.73.1
Shot conversion8%7%
Shots inside box68%58%
Big chances created1.42.1
Corners5.95.6
xG from set plays28%37%
Goals from headers33%33%
Pressure index10.98.3
Dominant minutes49.940.3
Pass accuracy79%73%
Fouls9.310.3
Cards1.862.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bolton Wanderers

0–15'22
16–30'30
31–45'02
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'16

Preston North End

0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bolton Wanderers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.23

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.007
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When ahead+0.084
When level+0.017
When behind-0.134
10 min after conceding-0.205
10 min after scoring+0.164

Situations

At home-0.084
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.164
Conceded late (76+)-0.077

Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Bolton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.01.01.711.161.93

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-22 29%0.00.51.51.451.52
4-2-3-12 29%0.01.02.50.931.18
4-4-22 29%1.51.01.01.10.82
3-4-2-11 14%0.01.03.01.851.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 40%3.3Draw 28% P 29%3.25Away 29% P 32%

Double Chance

1.33Bolton or Draw 36%1.33Bolton or Preston 36%1.66Draw or Preston 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 57%2.0Under 46% P 43%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw29%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2643
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4222
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-25 30 181 74'7
2026-04-18 10 160 47'7
2026-04-06 20 300 38'10
2026-03-17 20 200 81'10
2026-03-11 20 200 39'7
2026-02-28 40 160 57'8
2026-02-24 40 280 2'7
2026-02-10 60 260 16'7
2026-02-07 · Preston North End 40 260 71'8
2026-01-24 20 150 45'7