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La Liga · Matchweek 7

Momentum

VillarrealLevante
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Capacity
23,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Iñigo Pérez · Luís Ferreira de Castro
Position
14 · 15
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
26.2° (feels 26.2°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
47%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Villarreal

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 9.94–8.0 · xPts 8.15

  • W A Málaga 3–1 xG 3.48–0.66 ESP PL
  • L H Real Betis 1–2 xG 1.69–2.98 ESP PL
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 1.42–2.75 UEFA CL
  • L H Deportivo A Coruña 2–3 xG 1.63–0.87 ESP PL
  • L A Deportivo Alavés 0–1 xG 1.73–0.74 ESP PL

Levante

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.68–8.22 · xPts 5.8

  • L H FC Barcelona 2–4 xG 1.99–2.25 ESP PL
  • D A Málaga 0–0 xG 0.87–1.57 ESP PL
  • W H Real Betis 5–2 xG 2.63–1.82 ESP PL
  • D A Osasuna 0–0 xG 0.85–0.68 ESP PL
  • L A Espanyol 0–3 xG 0.34–1.9 ESP PL

small sample 4 meetings 2022–2026 · 1 on neutral ground

Recurring referee: Alejandro José Hernández Hernández · 2 of these meetings

Last 4

Villarreal 30 draws1 Levante

Goals 11–3 · Villarreal hosting: 2W 0D 0L · Levante hosting: 0W 0D 1L

At Estadio de la Cerámica: 2 meetings · Villarreal 2 · draws 0 · Levante 0 · 5.5 goals per match

All-time since 2006: 26 meetings · Villarreal 17 · draws 2 · Levante 7

  • Levante haven't beaten Villarreal since Apr 2022

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match3.502.76+0.744
Both teams score25%57%-32%4
Over 2.5 goals50%52%-2%4
Corners8.89.7-0.94
Cards5.54.9+0.64

2 with 4+ goals · 1.00 first-half goals per match

How these games go · 4 with event data

VillarrealLevante
Scored first3 of 41 of 4
Scored first and won31
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 43 · goal after the 75th minute in 3

When the goals come · all goals, 4 meetings

0-15'2
16-30'0
31-45'2
46-60'2
61-75'4
76-90'4

1 equaliser · 2 headers

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Villarreal 2.00 xGper match0.96 xG Levante

Deserved on xG: Villarreal 2 · level 0 · Levante 0 — actual wins in those games 2 / 0

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Favourite won 3 (75%), drew 0, upset 1 · market favoured Villarreal 4×, Levante 0× · avg favourite 58%, avg price of the actual result 48%

Fixture specialists

  • 3 Georges Mikautadze Villarreal · in 2 games · last May 2026
  • 2 José Luis Morales Levante · last Apr 2022
  • 2 Gerard Moreno Villarreal · last Jan 2022
  • 1 Nicolas Pépé Villarreal · last May 2026
  • 1 Tajon Buchanan Villarreal · last May 2026

Last meeting · 2026-05-02 · ESP PL

Villarreal 5-1 Levante · ref Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

  • 38' Georges Mikautadze 1–0
  • 51' Carlos Espí assist Pablo Martínez 1–1
  • 62' Alberto Moleiro assist Santi Comesaña 2–1
  • 68' Georges Mikautadze assist Nicolas Pépé 3–1
  • 87' Tajon Buchanan assist Nicolas Pépé 4–1
  • 90' Nicolas Pépé assist Sergi Cardona 5–1

xG 2.07 – 0.84 · corners 10 · cards 4

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

60.5%Villarreal P 64%20.0%Draw P 20%19.5%Levante P 16%

Over / under 2.5

67.1%Over 2.5 P 65%32.9%Under 2.5 P 35%

Both teams to score

63.0%Yes37.0%No

Expected

Villarreal goals
2.24 (0–4)
Levante goals
1.21 (0–3)
Corners
10.29 (6–15)
Cards
4.28 (2–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

51.7%Villarreal25.0%Draw23.3%Levante

Over / under 2.5

54.4%Over 2.545.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

56.0%Yes44.0%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 26 matches since 2006

Villarreal 172 draws7 Levante

Goals 46–20 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Villarreal 71 draws2 Levante

Goals 24–9 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Villarreal 40 draws1 Levante

Goals 16–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Villarreal 5–1 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Levante 0–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 2–0 Villarreal neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Villarreal 5–0 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Levante 1–5 Villarreal neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Villarreal 2–1 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Villarreal 2–1 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 2–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Levante 0–2 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Villarreal 1–1 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricVillarreal all · 6Villarreal at home · 2Levante all · 5Levante away · 3
Results
Matches65
Points per game0.831.00
W / D / L1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match1.671.40
Goals against / match1.831.80
Clean sheets0%40%
Failed to score17%60%
Both teams scored83%40%
Over 2.583%60%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.101.34
xG against / match1.401.64
xG difference0.69-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.430.06
xPts / match1.761.16
Points vs xPts-0.93-0.16
Game state
Scored first33%20%
PPG when scoring first0.003.00
PPG when conceding first1.250.00
Came back from behind50%0%
Leads held25%100%
Minutes leading16%10%
Minutes level53%52%
Minutes trailing31%38%
First goal (min)4052
First goal conceded (min)3415
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half36%33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.60
Late goals against0.500.40
Style
Possession62%40%
Shots15.211.6
On target6.54.2
Shot conversion11%12%
Shots inside box70%62%
Big chances created3.32.8
Corners7.33.4
xG from set plays34%25%
Goals from headers11%43%
Pressure index18.38.3
Dominant minutes60.237.2
Pass accuracy89%80%
Fouls10.010.0
Cards2.001.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Villarreal

0–15'01
16–30'21
31–45'45
46–60'01
61–75'10
76–90'33

Levante

0–15'02
16–30'11
31–45'13
46–60'11
61–75'10
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Villarreal · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264

Game state

When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776

Situations

At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.70 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11

Levante · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.275
Late push (76+, level)-0.082
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When level-0.055
When behind-0.152
10 min after conceding-0.573
10 min after scoring-0.332

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.115

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
Evenly matched-0.122
As underdog-0.103

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level -0.10

Villarreal

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-26 100%0.831.671.832.11.4

Levante

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-13 60%1.671.670.671.451.36
4-2-3-11 20%0.00.03.00.341.9
4-4-21 20%0.02.04.01.992.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 87 snapshots · last 33.5h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.6 pts at 3.3d

1.51Home 64% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.544.86Draw 20% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 4.515.91Away 16% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 5.38
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.51 ▲ +2.44.86 ▼ -1.15.91 ▼ -1.333.5h
bet3651.5 ▲ +2.94.75 ▼ -2.35.5 · -0.633.5h
Betfair1.5 ▲ +3.64.75 ▼ -1.16.0 ▼ -2.533.5h
BetVictor1.5 ▲ +3.04.75 ▼ -1.66.0 ▼ -1.433.5h
Coral1.53 ▲ +2.44.6 ▼ -1.45.25 · -1.033.5h
Ladbrokes1.53 ▲ +2.14.5 ▼ -1.05.25 ▼ -1.133.5h
WilliamHill1.5 ▲ +3.44.4 ▼ -1.95.5 ▼ -1.533.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 33.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%4.75Draw 20% P 20%5.5Away 17% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Villarreal or Draw 41%1.18Villarreal or Levante 40%2.5Draw or Levante 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 339 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%63%64%+0.8
Draw20%21%19%-2.1
Away16%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2