Rating 6.72 (31th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– ValenciaRSO –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Valencia | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 #13 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 49.5 #9 |
| 8.7 #19 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 12.3 #9 |
| 2.3 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 7.7 #3 |
| 10.8 #14 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 12.5 #10 |
| 2.3 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| 16.2 #14 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 18.2 #7 |
| 88.3 #14 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 96.5 #11 |
| 36.0 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 42.5 #12 |
| 432.7 #12 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 483.8 #9 |
| 2.0 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.2 #10 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 0.2 #20 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.8 #11 |
| – #20 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #9 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #12 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #9 |
| 0.7 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #16 |
| -0.4 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #3 |
| 0.3 #20 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 #15 |
| 1.7 #9 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 #5 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #10 |
| 7.5 #17 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 6.8 #19 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #3 |
| 6.6 #19 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #10 |
| 3.3 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 4.0 #5 |
| 5.0 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 7.0 #11 |
| 3.0 #20 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.3 #17 |
| 3.7 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.3 #5 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Valencia · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 6.72 (29th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 6.64 (12th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Real Sociedad · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.06 (77th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (33% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 7.03 (88th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.76 (36th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
- Capacity
- 49,430
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Óscar Sánchez · Pellegrino Matarazzo
- Position
- 18 · 12
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Weather
- Conditions
- sky is clear
- Temperature
- 26.2° (feels 26.2°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 50%
Where to watch · 93
Afghanistan
FanCode
Algeria
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Andorra
DAZN
Anguilla
Bluu
Antigua and Barbuda
Bluu
Argentina
Disney+ Premium
Armenia
FAST TV
Aruba
Bluu
Australia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Austria
DAZN · DAZN Austria
Bahamas
Bluu
Bahrain
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Bangladesh
FanCode
Barbados
Bluu
Belgium
DAZN
Bhutan
FanCode
Brazil
CazeTV
British Virgin Islands
Bluu
Brunei
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Cambodia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Canada
TSN+
China
Migu
Costa Rica
Sky Sports Norte
Denmark
Disney+ Nord
Dominican Republic
Bluu · Sky Sports Norte
Egypt
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
El Salvador
Sky Sports Norte
England
Premier Sports Player
Finland
Disney+ Nord
France
DAZN
Germany
DAZN · DAZN Germany
Guatemala
Sky Sports Norte
Honduras
Sky Sports Norte
Hong Kong
Now Player
India
FanCode
Indonesia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Iran
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Iraq
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Italy
DAZN
Jamaica
Bluu
Japan
DAZN · U-NEXT
Jordan
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Kuwait
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Laos
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Lebanon
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Liechtenstein
Blue Sport
Malaysia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Maldives
FanCode · Medianet
Mexico
Sky Sports Mexico · Sky+
Monaco
DAZN
Morocco
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Nepal
FanCode
Nicaragua
Sky Sports Norte
Northern Ireland
Premier Sports Player
Norway
TV2 Play
Oman
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Pakistan
FanCode
Palestine
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Panama
Bluu
Philippines
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Poland
Canal+
Portugal
DAZN
Qatar
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Republic of Ireland
Premier Sports Player
Saudi Arabia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Scotland
Premier Sports Player
Singapore
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports Connect Singapore
South Korea
Coupang Play
Spain
DAZN · DAZN LaLiga · LaLiga TV Bar · Movistar+
Sri Lanka
FanCode
Sudan
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Sweden
Disney+ Nord
Switzerland
Blue Sport
Thailand
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Trinidad and Tobago
Bluu
Tunisia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
United Arab Emirates
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
United States
ESPN Select · ESPN+ · Fubo.tv
Vietnam
SCTV15
Wales
Premier Sports Player
Yemen
beIN SPORTS CONNECT
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Valencia
LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 10 · xG 3.62–7.95 · xPts 4.46
- W
A
Deportivo Alavés
1–0
xG 0.69–0.99
ESP PL
- L
A
Sevilla
0–1
xG 0.09–0.98
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.51–3.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–3
xG 1.24–1.46
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 1.09–0.82
ESP PL
WDLLLLW 2W 1D 4L · 7 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 6.03–9.44 · xPts 7.82
- W
A
Deportivo Alavés
1–0
xG 0.69–0.99
ESP PL
- L
A
Sevilla
0–1
xG 0.09–0.98
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.51–3.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–3
xG 1.24–1.46
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 1.09–0.82
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.73–0.47
ESP PL
- W
H
FC Barcelona
3–1
xG 1.67–1.02
ESP PL
Real Sociedad
WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.19–6.78 · xPts 6.05
- L
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
xG 1.07–0.88
UEFA EL - L
H
Atlético de Madrid
0–3
xG 0.39–1.9
ESP PL
- W
A
Elche
3–2
xG 0.69–2.54
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.94–0.61
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.11–0.86
ESP PL
DLLWDWLL 2W 2D 4L · 8 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 14 · xG 7.93–12.84 · xPts 8.25
- L
H
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
xG 1.07–0.88
UEFA EL
- L
H
Atlético de Madrid
0–3
xG 0.39–1.9
ESP PL
- W
A
Elche
3–2
xG 0.69–2.54
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.94–0.61
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.11–0.86
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 0.63–2.55
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.99–1.71
ESP PL
- D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 1.14–1.79
ESP PL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: José María Sánchez Martínez · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 8–10 · Valencia hosting: 2W 2D 1L · Real Sociedad hosting: 2W 2D 1L
At Estadio de Mestalla: 5 meetings · Valencia 2 · draws 2 · Real Sociedad 1 · 1.0 goals per match · last away win Sep 2023
All-time since 2005: 36 meetings · Valencia 13 · draws 9 · Real Sociedad 14
- Valencia unbeaten in the last 3 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 2.75 | -0.95 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 30% | 57% | -27% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 52% | -32% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.0 | 9.7 | +0.3 | 10 |
| Cards | 6.4 | 4.9 | +1.5 | 9 |
2 goalless · 1 with 4+ goals · 1.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 4
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 3 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 22 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
0-15'5
16-30'3
31-45'2
46-60'3
61-75'1
76-90'4
5 equalisers · 3 own goals · 1 header
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: Valencia 2 · level 2 · Real Sociedad 1 — actual wins in those games 2 / 2
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 2 (20%), drew 4, upset 4 · market favoured Valencia 2×, Real Sociedad 8× · avg favourite 46%, avg price of the actual result 35%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Orri Óskarsson Real Sociedad · in 2 games · last May 2026
- 2 Javi Guerra Valencia · last May 2026
- 2 Hugo Duro Valencia · in 2 games · last May 2026
- 2 Takefusa Kubo Real Sociedad · in 2 games · last Aug 2025
- 1 Aihen Muñoz Real Sociedad · last May 2026
Last meeting · 2026-05-17 · ESP PL
Real Sociedad 3-4 Valencia · ref Iosu Galech Apezteguía
- 3' Aihen Muñoz assist Aritz Elustondo 1–0
- 8' Javi Guerra assist Diego López 1–1
- 22' Hugo Duro assist Eray Cömert 1–2
- 60' César Tárrega (og) 2–2
- 63' Orri Óskarsson assist Mikel Oyarzabal 3–2
- 89' Guido Rodríguez assist André Almeida 3–3
- 90+3' Javi Guerra assist Thierry Correia 3–4
xG 0.67 – 1.14 · corners 5 · cards 5 · reds 1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
40.1%Valencia P 35%27.6%Draw P 28%32.3%Real Sociedad P 36%
Over / under 2.5
44.9%Over 2.5 P 48%55.1%Under 2.5 P 52%
Both teams to score
50.4%Yes49.6%No
Expected
- Valencia goals
- 1.32 (0–3)
- Real Sociedad goals
- 1.15 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.15 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.19 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
34.2%Valencia27.1%Draw38.7%Real Sociedad
Over / under 2.5
49.2%Over 2.550.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
54.1%Yes45.9%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 36 matches since 2005
Goals 43–49 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Sociedad 3–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Sociedad 1–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Valencia 0–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Sociedad 1–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 0–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Sociedad 0–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Valencia all · 6 | Valencia at home · 3 | Real Sociedad all · 6 | Real Sociedad away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.67 | – | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 4 | – | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.33 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.67 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 67% | – | 50% | – |
| Both teams scored | 17% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | – | 67% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.73 | – | 0.95 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | – | 1.69 | – |
| xG difference | -0.68 | – | -0.74 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.39 | – | 0.05 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | – | 0.97 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.33 | – | 0.20 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 2% | – | 25% | – |
| Minutes level | 65% | – | 63% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | – | 12% | – |
| First goal (min) | 52 | – | 20 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | – | 60 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | – | 82% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | 8.7 | – | 12.2 | – |
| On target | 2.3 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 4% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 56% | – |
| Big chances created | 0.7 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 4.0 | – | 7.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 14% | – | 18% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 7.0 | – | 10.2 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 31.5 | – | 47.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 10.5 | – | 12.3 | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | 2.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Valencia
0–15'02
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'02
61–75'00
76–90'14
Real Sociedad
0–15'20
16–30'00
31–45'22
46–60'01
61–75'14
76–90'14
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Valencia · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.236
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.544
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.103
Game state
When level-0.236
When behind-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.604
10 min after scoring+0.462
Situations
At home-0.323
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.265
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.224
Evenly matched-0.223
As underdog-0.253
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.386
Conceded late (76+)+0.055
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.03
Real Sociedad · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.077
Early press (0-15, level)-0.207
Late push (76+, level)-0.523
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.244
Game state
When ahead+0.242
When level-0.107
When behind-0.324
10 min after conceding-0.316
10 min after scoring+0.104
Situations
With ten men+0.012
At home-0.064
Away-0.093
4+ days rest-0.116
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As favourite+0.123
As underdog-0.234
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.322
Conceded late (76+)+0.147
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level +0.34 · Behind vs level -0.22
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 0.99 |
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 1.69 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Metric | Valencia all · 10 | Valencia at home · 10 | Real Sociedad all · 10 | Real Sociedad away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.40 | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.41 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| xG difference | -0.33 | 0.00 | -0.76 | -1.34 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | -0.20 | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.45 | 0.95 | 0.66 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | -0.05 | -0.05 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 43% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 80% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 10% | 14% | 27% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 64% | 61% | 53% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 47 | 25 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 46 | 50 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 83% | 42% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 75% | 68% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 43% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 64% | 58% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 31% | 21% | 21% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 8.1 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.8 | 47.1 | 44.8 | 38.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 12.0 | 13.7 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.50 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Valencia
0–15'13
16–30'23
31–45'10
46–60'03
61–75'32
76–90'44
Real Sociedad
0–15'32
16–30'22
31–45'22
46–60'21
61–75'26
76–90'16
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.33 | 0.83 | 2.17 | 0.69 | 1.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.73 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Valencia all · 40 | Valencia at home · 20 | Real Sociedad all · 41 | Real Sociedad away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 20 | 41 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.22 | 1.35 | 1.24 | 0.95 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 17 | 7 / 6 / 7 | 13 / 12 / 16 | 4 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.51 | 1.25 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.66 | 1.75 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 20% | 10% | 5% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 30% | 17% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 55% | 76% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 35% | 61% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.51 | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.12 | 1.46 | 1.87 |
| xG difference | 0.05 | 0.39 | -0.15 | -0.80 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.36 | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.68 | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.33 | -0.09 | -0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 35% | 49% | 45% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.14 | 2.05 | 1.56 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.70 | 0.92 | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| Came back from behind | 37% | 50% | 30% | 25% |
| Leads held | 72% | 78% | 56% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 16% | 28% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 63% | 48% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 21% | 24% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 55 | 37 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 53 | 46 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 73% | 83% | 53% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 79% | 60% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 47% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.2 | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 60% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 17% | 14% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 10.8 | 12.8 | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.8 | 49.0 | 45.7 | 40.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 81% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 12.4 | 13.8 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.49 | 2.65 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Valencia
0–15'54
16–30'49
31–45'37
46–60'611
61–75'1111
76–90'1515
Real Sociedad
0–15'68
16–30'119
31–45'1210
46–60'1111
61–75'710
76–90'1520
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Valencia · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0440
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0340
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1320
Game state
When ahead-0.0918
When level+0.0140
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3730
10 min after scoring+0.4829
Situations
Against ten men-0.456
At home-0.0720
Away-0.0220
3 days rest or fewer-0.103
4+ days rest-0.0437
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.306
v mid-tier opponents-0.0520
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.188
Evenly matched-0.0615
As underdog-0.1417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1540
Conceded when ahead+0.0718
Conceded late (76+)-0.1038
Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.13
Real Sociedad · 41 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0141
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1941
Late push (76+, level)-0.3321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2619
Game state
When ahead+0.0423
When level+0.0041
When behind-0.1123
10 min after conceding-0.2637
10 min after scoring+0.1734
Situations
With ten men-0.206
Against ten men-0.264
At home+0.0121
Away-0.0420
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.0239
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.268
v mid-tier opponents+0.0317
v bottom-tier opponents+0.086
As favourite+0.0514
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.2514
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1541
Conceded when ahead+0.0623
Conceded late (76+)+0.0540
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 22 55% | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 22% | 1.78 | 1.11 | 0.78 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 10% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 2.51 |
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 37% | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.93 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-4-2 | 14 34% | 1.86 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 9 22% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.29 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.48 | 0.55 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 0.4 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 47.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.2 pts at 3.0d
2.74Home 35% · +0.9 ptsopened 2.773.41Draw 28% · +0.0 ptsopened 3.362.67Away 36% · -1.0 ptsopened 2.56
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.74 · +0.9 | 3.41 · +0.0 | 2.67 · -1.0 | 47.0h |
| bet365 | 2.7 · +0.5 | 3.4 · +0.4 | 2.6 · -0.9 | 47.0h |
| Betfair | 2.8 · -0.0 | 3.5 · +0.2 | 2.5 · -0.2 | 47.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.6 · +0.5 | 3.25 · +0.1 | 2.5 · -0.6 | 47.0h |
| Coral | 2.75 · -0.4 | 3.4 · +0.2 | 2.5 · +0.2 | 47.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.75 · -0.4 | 3.4 · +0.2 | 2.5 · +0.2 | 47.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.62 · -0.2 | 3.25 · +0.3 | 2.5 · -0.2 | 47.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 47.0h before kick-off
1.7Yes 55% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.72.05No 45% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.05
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 47.0h |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▼ -1.8 | 2.05 ▲ +1.8 | 47.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 47.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 47.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 47.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.0 pts at 3.4d
2.0Over 48% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.931.88Under 52% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.9
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.0 ▼ -1.2 | 1.88 ▲ +1.2 | 47.0h |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 47.0h |
| Betfair | 1.9 · -0.4 | 1.87 · +0.4 | 47.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.85 · +0.0 | 1.82 · +0.0 | 47.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 47.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.6Away 37% P 36%
Double Chance
1.5Valencia or Draw 31%1.3Valencia or Real Sociedad 36%1.44Draw or Real Sociedad 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 36% | 35% | -0.6 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 36% | 36% | 36% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |