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La Liga · Matchweek 7

Momentum

SevillaFC Barcelona
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Capacity
42,714
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Luis García Plaza · Hans-Dieter Flick
Position
5 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
32.0° (feels 31.3°)
Wind
4.5
Humidity
34%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sevilla

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 4.32–4.69 · xPts 6.75

  • W A Deportivo A Coruña 1–0 xG 0.9–0.3 ESP PL
  • W H Valencia 1–0 xG 0.98–0.09 ESP PL
  • D A Espanyol 1–1 xG 0.44–1.51 ESP PL
  • L H Atlético de Madrid 1–3 xG 1.46–1.2 ESP PL
  • W A Athletic Club 3–1 xG 0.54–1.58 ESP PL

FC Barcelona

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 26 GA 7 · xG 17.36–6.01 · xPts 11.85

  • W H Racing Santander 7–2 xG 6.6–1.75 ESP PL
  • W A Levante 4–2 xG 2.25–1.99 ESP PL
  • W H Feyenoord 5–1 xG 2.1–0.61 UEFA CL
  • W A Valencia 5–0 xG 3.7–0.51 ESP PL
  • W H Rayo Vallecano 5–2 xG 2.71–1.15 ESP PL

full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026

Recurring referee: José María Sánchez Martínez · 2 of these meetings

Last 10

Sevilla 11 draws8 FC Barcelona

Goals 10–26 · Sevilla hosting: 1W 1D 3L · FC Barcelona hosting: 5W 0D 0L

At Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán: 5 meetings · Sevilla 1 · draws 1 · FC Barcelona 3 · 3.6 goals per match · last away win Feb 2025

All-time since 2005: 44 meetings · Sevilla 5 · draws 8 · FC Barcelona 31

  • Both teams have scored in the last 5 meetings
  • Over 2.5 goals in the last 5 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match3.602.75+0.8510
Both teams score60%57%+3%10
Over 2.5 goals70%52%+18%10
Corners11.19.7+1.410
Cards5.24.9+0.310

4 with 4+ goals · 1.80 first-half goals per match · red card in 2

How these games go · 10 with event data

SevillaFC Barcelona
Scored first2 of 108 of 10
Scored first and won18
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 33 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 6 · penalty scored in 2

When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings

0-15'5
16-30'4
31-45'9
46-60'7
61-75'2
76-90'9

3 equalisers · 3 penalties · 1 own goal · 5 headers

Expected goals · last 5 with xG

Sevilla 1.22 xGper match2.35 xG FC Barcelona

Deserved on xG: Sevilla 0 · level 2 · FC Barcelona 3 — actual wins in those games 1 / 4

Against the market · 10 with closing odds

Favourite won 8 (80%), drew 1, upset 1 · market favoured Sevilla 1×, FC Barcelona 9× · avg favourite 64%, avg price of the actual result 58%

Fixture specialists

  • 6 Raphinha FC Barcelona · in 4 games · last Mar 2026
  • 3 Robert Lewandowski FC Barcelona · in 2 games · last Feb 2025
  • 2 Eric García FC Barcelona · in 2 games · last Feb 2025
  • 2 Pedri FC Barcelona · in 2 games · last Oct 2024
  • 2 Pablo Torre FC Barcelona · last Oct 2024

Last meeting · 2026-03-15 · ESP PL

FC Barcelona 5-2 Sevilla · ref Juan Martínez Munuera

  • 9' Raphinha (pen) 1–0
  • 21' Raphinha (pen) 2–0
  • 38' Dani Olmo 3–0
  • 45+3' Oso assist Juanlu Sánchez 3–1
  • 51' Raphinha assist Fermín López 4–1
  • 60' João Cancelo 5–1
  • 90+2' Djibril Sow assist Oso 5–2

xG 3.02 – 0.79 · corners 7 · cards 1

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

14.7%Sevilla P 8%17.8%Draw P 14%67.5%FC Barcelona P 79%

Over / under 2.5

68.7%Over 2.5 P 72%31.3%Under 2.5 P 28%

Both teams to score

60.5%Yes39.5%No

Expected

Sevilla goals
1.08 (0–2)
FC Barcelona goals
2.46 (1–5)
Corners
8.72 (5–13)
Cards
4.42 (2–8)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

14.5%Sevilla19.9%Draw65.6%FC Barcelona

Over / under 2.5

57.5%Over 2.542.5%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.5%Yes50.5%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 44 matches since 2005

Sevilla 58 draws31 FC Barcelona

Goals 50–110 · 3.64 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 77%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sevilla 11 draws8 FC Barcelona

Goals 10–26 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sevilla 10 draws4 FC Barcelona

Goals 9–17 · 5.2 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Barcelona 5–2 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Sevilla 4–1 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 1–4 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L FC Barcelona 5–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 1–2 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L FC Barcelona 1–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L FC Barcelona 3–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 0–3 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L FC Barcelona 1–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 1–1 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricSevilla all · 6Sevilla at home · 3FC Barcelona all · 6FC Barcelona away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.173.00
W / D / L4 / 1 / 16 / 0 / 0
Goals for / match1.504.67
Goals against / match1.001.00
Clean sheets33%50%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored67%50%
Over 2.550%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.153.55
xG against / match1.061.07
xG difference0.092.47
Finishing vs xG0.351.12
xPts / match1.442.48
Points vs xPts0.720.52
Game state
Scored first67%83%
PPG when scoring first2.503.00
PPG when conceding first1.503.00
Came back from behind50%100%
Leads held80%100%
Minutes leading24%83%
Minutes level52%16%
Minutes trailing25%1%
First goal (min)5815
First goal conceded (min)4240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half89%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.501.33
Late goals against0.170.33
Style
Possession44%68%
Shots11.721.0
On target4.38.5
Shot conversion13%22%
Shots inside box57%77%
Big chances created1.56.7
Corners3.78.2
xG from set plays46%34%
Goals from headers11%0%
Pressure index13.025.0
Dominant minutes53.074.8
Pass accuracy77%90%
Fouls15.29.5
Cards3.171.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sevilla

0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31

FC Barcelona

0–15'41
16–30'51
31–45'40
46–60'31
61–75'41
76–90'82

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sevilla · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213

Game state

When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106

Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48

FC Barcelona · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.70) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.707
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437

Game state

When ahead+0.737
When level+0.517
10 min after conceding+0.563
10 min after scoring+1.167

Situations

At home+0.874
Away+0.443
3 days rest or fewer+0.882
4+ days rest+0.655

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.663
v bottom-tier opponents+0.943
As favourite+0.707

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.327
Conceded late (76+)-0.513

Congested vs rested +0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.22 · Behind vs level +1.08

Sevilla

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.41.61.01.290.97
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.00.441.51

FC Barcelona

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 7 · scoring 9 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%3.04.51.03.91.15
4-2-3-12 33%3.05.01.02.830.92

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 100 snapshots · last 21.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.9 pts at 4.9d

12.72Home 8% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 10.486.97Draw 14% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 5.971.22Away 79% ▲ +3.4 ptsopened 1.25
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle12.72 ▼ -1.46.97 ▼ -2.01.22 ▲ +3.421.0h
bet36511.0 · +0.17.5 ▼ -3.71.2 ▲ +3.721.0h
Betfair13.0 · -1.07.5 ▼ -2.51.2 ▲ +3.521.0h
BetVictor12.0 ▼ -1.67.5 ▼ -3.11.2 ▲ +4.821.0h
Coral9.0 · +0.57.5 ▼ -2.01.25 ▲ +1.521.0h
Ladbrokes9.0 · +0.77.0 ▼ -2.01.25 ▲ +1.321.0h
Unibet12.5 · +0.07.5 · +0.01.19 · +0.021.0h
WilliamHill11.0 ▼ -1.26.5 ▼ -1.51.22 ▲ +2.821.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 21.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

11.0Home 9% P 8%7.5Draw 13% P 14%1.2Away 79% P 79%

Double Chance

4.0Sevilla or Draw 12%1.1Sevilla or Barcelona 43%1.06Draw or Barcelona 45%

Draw No Bet

9.01 11%1.072 89%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.25Over 76% P 72%4.0Under 24% P 28%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%8%7%-1.0
Draw14%15%12%-3.0
Away79%77%81%+4.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4