Rating 7.35 (80th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (80% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– OsasunaRAY –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Osasuna | at home | Stat | league | away | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 #13 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 46.3 #15 |
| 9.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.0 | – | 12.5 #9 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.7 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 2.8 #19 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.5 #6 |
| 12.8 #9 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 13.5 #7 |
| 2.2 #7 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| 16.8 #9 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 16.8 #9 |
| 98.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 97.2 | – | 80.2 #19 |
| 43.3 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.5 | – | 38.5 #15 |
| 407.8 #13 | – | Passes | 455.2 | – | 365.8 #16 |
| 2.3 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.5 #6 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 0.3 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.2 #6 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 56.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 25.4 | – | – #16 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.5 | – | – #9 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #12 |
| -0.4 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.4 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #16 |
| 0.8 #16 | 0.3 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 #6 |
| 2.0 #4 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 3.7 | 2.5 #2 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #10 |
| 7.2 #19 | – | Interceptions | 9.1 | – | 11.2 #2 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 38.0 | – | – #4 |
| 0.5 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.6 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #16 |
| 2.0 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 2.5 #14 |
| 5.5 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 7.2 #10 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 5.0 #10 |
| 3.8 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Osasuna · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 6.94 (57th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Rating 6.9 · G+A 0 + 1 (20% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Rayo Vallecano · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.06 (75th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (30% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.46 (89th pct) · G+A 6 + 1 (70% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Rating 6.73 (32th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (40% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
- Capacity
- 23,576
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Luis Ramis Monfort · Beñat San José Gil
- Position
- 13 · 11
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 24.1° (feels 23.3°)
- Wind
- 3.8
- Humidity
- 30%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  Espanyol |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Elche |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 18 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 19 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 20 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 12 | Espanyol |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDWLL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Elche |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 7 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 9 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LDWLL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 12 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 14 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Osasuna
WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 7.11–7.74 · xPts 7.16
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
0–4
xG 0.42–3.83
ESP PL
- L
H
Espanyol
0–2
xG 0.82–1.37
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–5
xG 1.76–1.17
ESP PL
- W
H
Getafe
1–0
xG 1.52–1.25
ESP PL
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 2.58–0.12
ESP PL
LDWWLLL 2W 1D 4L · 7 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 8.25–8.94 · xPts 9.69
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
0–4
xG 0.42–3.83
ESP PL
- L
H
Espanyol
0–2
xG 0.82–1.37
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–5
xG 1.76–1.17
ESP PL
- W
H
Getafe
1–0
xG 1.52–1.25
ESP PL
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 2.58–0.12
ESP PL
- D
H
Levante
0–0
xG 0.68–0.85
ESP PL
- L
A
Getafe
0–1
xG 0.46–0.35
ESP PL
Rayo Vallecano
DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 13 · xG 5.88–9.9 · xPts 4.79
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 1.53–2.09
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 1.27–2.9
ESP PL
- W
H
Racing Santander
3–2
xG 1.35–0.56
ESP PL
- L
A
FC Barcelona
2–5
xG 1.15–2.71
ESP PL
- D
H
Deportivo Alavés
1–1
xG 0.57–1.63
ESP PL
WLLDLWLW 3W 1D 4L · 10 pts (1.25 ppg) · GF 12 GA 17 · xG 9.64–16.36 · xPts 7.33
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 1.53–2.09
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 1.27–2.9
ESP PL
- W
H
Racing Santander
3–2
xG 1.35–0.56
ESP PL
- L
A
FC Barcelona
2–5
xG 1.15–2.71
ESP PL
- D
H
Deportivo Alavés
1–1
xG 0.57–1.63
ESP PL
- L
A
Sevilla
1–2
xG 1.65–2.56
ESP PL
- L
A
Crystal Palace
0–1
xG 0.75–1.87
UEFA ECL - W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–1
xG 1.35–2.03
ESP PL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026 · 2 on neutral ground
Recurring referee: Alejandro Muñíz Ruiz · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 16–10 · Osasuna hosting: 2W 1D 0L · Rayo Vallecano hosting: 3W 0D 2L
At Estadio El Sadar: 2 meetings · Osasuna 1 · draws 1 · Rayo Vallecano 0 · 2.0 goals per match
All-time since 2011: 16 meetings · Osasuna 8 · draws 3 · Rayo Vallecano 5
- Osasuna unbeaten in the last 3 meetings
- Rayo Vallecano haven't beaten Osasuna since Sep 2024
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.60 | 2.76 | -0.16 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 57% | +3% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 52% | +8% | 10 |
| Corners | 7.9 | 9.7 | -1.8 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.3 | 10 |
2 with 4+ goals · 0.90 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 8 of 10 | 2 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 6 | 1 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 2 |
first goal on average in minute 40 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 8
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'2
16-30'4
31-45'3
46-60'4
61-75'3
76-90'10
5 equalisers · 2 own goals · 3 headers
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: Osasuna 1 · level 3 · Rayo Vallecano 1 — actual wins in those games 2 / 2
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 7 (70%), drew 1, upset 2 · market favoured Osasuna 5×, Rayo Vallecano 5× · avg favourite 43%, avg price of the actual result 38%
Fixture specialists
- 4 Raúl García Osasuna · in 4 games · last Sep 2025
- 2 Moi Gómez Osasuna · in 2 games · last Apr 2024
- 2 Isi Palazón Rayo Vallecano · in 2 games · last Apr 2024
- 2 Rubén García Osasuna · in 2 games · last Sep 2022
- 1 Asier Osambela Osasuna · last Jan 2026
Last meeting · 2026-01-24 · ESP PL
Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Osasuna · ref Miguel Sesma Espinosa
- 29' Ante Budimir assist Jorge Herrando 0–1
- 59' Pathé Ciss assist Isi Palazón 1–1
- 90+1' Jozhua Vertrouwd (og) 1–2
- 90+4' Asier Osambela assist Jon Moncayola 1–3
xG 0.65 – 1.31 · corners 7 · cards 4
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
42.0%Osasuna P 36%26.4%Draw P 29%31.5%Rayo Vallecano P 34%
Over / under 2.5
49.2%Over 2.5 P 48%50.8%Under 2.5 P 52%
Both teams to score
53.7%Yes46.3%No
Expected
- Osasuna goals
- 1.44 (0–3)
- Rayo Vallecano goals
- 1.21 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.37 (5–14)
- Cards
- 5.01 (2–8)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
49.9%Osasuna24.2%Draw26.0%Rayo Vallecano
Over / under 2.5
55.4%Over 2.544.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
56.8%Yes43.2%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 16 matches since 2011
Goals 22–20 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Rayo Vallecano 3–1 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 1–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 2–1 Rayo Vallecano neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 1–0 Rayo Vallecano neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Osasuna all · 6 | Osasuna at home · 3 | Rayo Vallecano all · 6 | Rayo Vallecano away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 3 | – | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.83 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | – | 2.50 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 33% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | – | 1.26 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.43 | – | 2.08 | – |
| xG difference | -0.13 | – | -0.82 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.47 | – | 0.41 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | – | 0.95 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | – | 0.22 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes leading | 13% | – | 41% | – |
| Minutes level | 39% | – | 27% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 47% | – | 32% | – |
| First goal (min) | 48 | – | 22 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 17 | – | 38 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 80% | – | 40% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 53% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 9.3 | – | 12.5 | – |
| On target | 4.0 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 59% | – | 57% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 2.8 | – | 5.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 48% | – | 20% | – |
| Goals from headers | 20% | – | 10% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | – | 10.2 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 40.5 | – | 44.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 12.8 | – | 12.8 | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | – | 2.83 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Osasuna
0–15'02
16–30'03
31–45'11
46–60'22
61–75'22
76–90'02
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'32
16–30'24
31–45'11
46–60'43
61–75'01
76–90'04
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Osasuna · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.372
Game state
When ahead-0.312
When level+0.036
When behind-0.164
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.683
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.115
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.044
As favourite-0.083
As underdog-0.282
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.226
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)+0.155
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.19
Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.563
Game state
When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676
Situations
Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10
Osasuna
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.76 | 1.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 0.85 |
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.75 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2.57 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 0.56 |
| Metric | Osasuna all · 10 | Osasuna at home · 10 | Rayo Vallecano all · 10 | Rayo Vallecano away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | 1.68 | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.44 | 0.99 | 1.83 | 2.07 |
| xG difference | -0.12 | 0.69 | -0.57 | -0.73 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.42 | -0.68 | 0.24 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.70 | -0.60 | 0.32 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 20% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.71 | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 12% | 43% | 33% | 14% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 6% | 34% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 57% | 36% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 47% | 37% | 30% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 70 | 28 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 34 | 37 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 80% | 47% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 50% | 45% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.70 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 52% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 15.7 | 12.1 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 6% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 55% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 33% | 21% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 30% | 13% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 13.0 | 17.3 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.9 | 61.4 | 44.9 | 39.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 82% | 80% | 77% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 12.4 | 13.8 | 16.0 |
| Cards | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Osasuna
0–15'23
16–30'04
31–45'13
46–60'34
61–75'23
76–90'13
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'33
16–30'44
31–45'12
46–60'54
61–75'11
76–90'14
Osasuna
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 0.85 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.76 | 1.17 |
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 1.25 | 1.38 | 1.88 | 1.33 | 2.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 0.56 |
| Metric | Osasuna all · 40 | Osasuna at home · 20 | Rayo Vallecano all · 53 | Rayo Vallecano away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 20 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.08 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 19 | 8 / 6 / 6 | 21 / 15 / 17 | 7 / 5 / 14 |
| Goals for / match | 1.15 | 1.45 | 1.30 | 1.08 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.77 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 25% | 32% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 10% | 23% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 70% | 51% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 60% | 49% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.61 | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.06 | 1.37 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | -0.05 | 0.54 | 0.06 | -0.53 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | -0.16 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.71 | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.31 | -0.21 | 0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 32% | 40% | 53% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.85 | 2.13 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.09 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 50% | 35% | 22% |
| Leads held | 58% | 62% | 66% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 20% | 25% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 57% | 57% | 51% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 24% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 51 | 41 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 42 | 38 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 52% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 62% | 54% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.48 | 0.60 | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | 52% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.4 | 14.5 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.0 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 71% | 56% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 40% | 24% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 32% | 12% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | 15.5 | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.8 | 54.3 | 51.5 | 40.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.8 | 15.4 |
| Cards | 2.65 | 2.55 | 3.08 | 3.73 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Osasuna
0–15'54
16–30'211
31–45'138
46–60'310
61–75'416
76–90'1911
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'99
16–30'811
31–45'1611
46–60'1213
61–75'98
76–90'1515
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Osasuna · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0240
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1040
Late push (76+, level)-0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1421
Game state
When ahead-0.0619
When level-0.0440
When behind+0.0327
10 min after conceding-0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.3727
Situations
With ten men-0.335
Against ten men-0.085
At home+0.0920
Away-0.1420
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest-0.0138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.346
v mid-tier opponents+0.1118
v bottom-tier opponents-0.196
As favourite+0.1512
Evenly matched-0.0016
As underdog-0.2412
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1640
Conceded when ahead+0.2319
Conceded late (76+)+0.0238
Congested vs rested -0.21 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.06
Rayo Vallecano · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.51
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1553
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1953
Late push (76+, level)-0.0624
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0417
Game state
When ahead+0.1731
When level+0.1853
When behind+0.0526
10 min after conceding-0.0836
10 min after scoring+0.5141
Situations
With ten men+0.136
Against ten men+0.315
At home+0.2427
Away+0.0426
3 days rest or fewer+0.0514
4+ days rest+0.1839
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.227
v mid-tier opponents+0.0620
v bottom-tier opponents+0.138
As favourite+0.3324
Evenly matched+0.0612
As underdog-0.0617
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0353
Conceded when ahead-0.0631
Conceded late (76+)-0.0747
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.13
Osasuna
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 60% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 12% | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.54 | 1.86 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 0.67 | 2.33 | 1.13 | 2.17 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.88 | 0.84 |
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 68% | 1.44 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.49 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 19% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.56 | 0.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.27 | 1.65 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 4.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.2 pts at 2.1d
2.66Home 36% ▼ -5.6 ptsopened 2.273.32Draw 29% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.332.81Away 34% ▲ +5.0 ptsopened 3.24
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.66 ▼ -5.6 | 3.32 · +0.5 | 2.81 ▲ +5.0 | 4.0h |
| bet365 | 2.55 ▼ -4.3 | 3.3 ▼ -1.4 | 2.75 ▲ +5.7 | 4.0h |
| Betfair | 2.55 ▼ -4.9 | 3.3 · +1.0 | 2.88 ▲ +3.9 | 4.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.55 ▼ -4.7 | 3.3 · -0.1 | 2.75 ▲ +4.7 | 4.0h |
| Coral | 2.5 ▼ -4.2 | 3.3 · -0.0 | 2.8 ▲ +4.2 | 4.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.5 ▼ -4.2 | 3.3 · -0.0 | 2.8 ▲ +4.2 | 4.0h |
| Unibet | 2.5 ▼ -2.4 | 3.2 · +0.5 | 2.88 ▲ +1.9 | 4.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.45 ▼ -3.7 | 3.1 · -0.2 | 2.8 ▲ +3.9 | 4.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 4.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.3 pts at 5.0h
1.75Yes 53% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.82.0No 47% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 ▲ +1.3 | 2.0 ▼ -1.3 | 4.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +6.3 | 2.15 ▼ -6.3 | 4.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.73 ▲ +2.3 | 2.0 ▼ -2.3 | 4.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▲ +1.2 | 1.95 ▼ -1.2 | 4.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 4.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.9 pts at 5.0h
2.01Over 48% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 2.091.88Under 52% ▼ -2.6 ptsopened 1.76
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01 ▲ +2.6 | 1.88 ▼ -2.6 | 4.0h |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▲ +2.3 | 1.8 ▼ -2.3 | 4.0h |
| Betfair | 1.9 ▲ +5.6 | 1.87 ▼ -5.6 | 4.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.93 ▲ +1.8 | 1.75 ▼ -1.8 | 4.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 4.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.55Home 37% P 36%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.75Away 34% P 34%
Double Chance
1.4Osasuna or Draw 33%1.33Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano 35%1.5Draw or Rayo Vallecano 31%
Draw No Bet
1.81 51%1.92 49%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
5.51.72Over 54% P 54%2.0Under 46% P 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 36% | 36% | 35% | -1.6 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 32% | +2.1 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 33% | -0.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Manuel Jesús Orellana Cid
No career statistics.
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 3 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.67 cards, 28.3 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 56' | 8 |
| 2026-08-29 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 17' | 6 |
| 2026-08-15 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 10' | 11 |