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La Liga · Matchweek 6

Momentum

LevanteATH
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Capacity
26,354
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Edin Terzic
Position
14 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alejandro Quintero González

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.4° (feels 18.9°)
Wind
13.9
Humidity
100%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Levante

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.68–8.22 · xPts 5.8

  • L H FC Barcelona 2–4 xG 1.99–2.25 ESP PL
  • D A Málaga 0–0 xG 0.87–1.57 ESP PL
  • W H Real Betis 5–2 xG 2.63–1.82 ESP PL
  • D A Osasuna 0–0 xG 0.85–0.68 ESP PL
  • L A Espanyol 0–3 xG 0.34–1.9 ESP PL

Athletic Club

LLWWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.55–7.25 · xPts 7.66

  • D H Elche 1–1 xG 2.17–1.79 ESP PL
  • W H Atlético de Madrid 3–0 xG 1.21–0.97 ESP PL
  • W A Celta de Vigo 2–0 xG 2.23–0.88 ESP PL
  • L A FC Barcelona 0–2 xG 0.35–3.07 ESP PL
  • L H Sevilla 1–3 xG 1.58–0.54 ESP PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

36.8%Levante P 28%26.5%Draw P 28%36.8%Athletic Club P 44%

Over / under 2.5

50.0%Over 2.5 P 55%50.0%Under 2.5 P 45%

Both teams to score

54.6%Yes45.4%No

Expected

Levante goals
1.34 (0–3)
Athletic Club goals
1.34 (0–3)
Corners
10.58 (6–15)
Cards
4.17 (1–7)

Earlier: day before — 37.0% / 26.5% / 36.6%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

31.4%Levante26.1%Draw42.4%Athletic Club

Over / under 2.5

56.8%Over 2.543.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

59.4%Yes40.6%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 28 matches since 2007

Levante 54 draws19 Athletic Club

Goals 30–49 · 2.82 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Levante 12 draws7 Athletic Club

Goals 11–19 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Levante 02 draws3 Athletic Club

Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Athletic Club 4–2 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 0–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 3–1 Levante neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Levante 0–0 Athletic Club neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Levante 1–1 Athletic Club neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 2–0 Levante neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 1–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 2–1 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 3–2 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Levante 3–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricLevante all · 5Levante at home · 2Athletic Club all · 5Athletic Club away · 2
Results
Matches55
Points per game1.001.40
W / D / L1 / 2 / 22 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.401.40
Goals against / match1.801.20
Clean sheets40%40%
Failed to score60%20%
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.560%40%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.51
xG against / match1.641.45
xG difference-0.310.06
Finishing vs xG0.06-0.11
xPts / match1.161.53
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.13
Game state
Scored first20%40%
PPG when scoring first3.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.33
Came back from behind0%33%
Leads held100%100%
Minutes leading10%25%
Minutes level52%40%
Minutes trailing38%35%
First goal (min)5254
First goal conceded (min)1534
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.600.40
Late goals against0.400.20
Style
Possession40%49%
Shots11.614.0
On target4.24.4
Shot conversion12%10%
Shots inside box62%69%
Big chances created2.82.6
Corners3.46.4
xG from set plays25%24%
Goals from headers43%14%
Pressure index8.316.7
Dominant minutes37.255.8
Pass accuracy80%82%
Fouls10.010.4
Cards1.002.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Levante

0–15'02
16–30'11
31–45'13
46–60'11
61–75'10
76–90'32

Athletic Club

0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'01
46–60'23
61–75'10
76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Levante · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.58

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.275
Late push (76+, level)-0.082
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When level-0.055
When behind-0.152
10 min after conceding-0.583
10 min after scoring-0.332

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.115

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
Evenly matched-0.122
As underdog-0.103

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.10

Athletic Club · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.27

Levante

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-13 60%1.671.670.671.451.36
4-2-3-11 20%0.00.03.00.341.9
4-4-21 20%0.02.04.01.992.25

Athletic Club

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%1.41.41.21.511.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.9 pts at 2.9d

3.44Home 28% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 3.173.51Draw 28% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.462.21Away 44% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 2.24
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.44 ▼ -1.73.51 · +0.22.21 ▲ +1.510m
bet3653.3 · -0.73.5 · -0.62.15 ▲ +1.310m
Betfair3.3 ▼ -2.63.4 · +0.82.1 ▲ +1.810m
BetVictor3.25 ▼ -1.13.7 ▼ -1.92.1 ▲ +2.910m
Coral3.2 ▼ -1.73.5 · -0.52.2 ▲ +2.210m
Ladbrokes3.2 ▼ -2.23.4 · -0.22.15 ▲ +2.510m
Unibet3.2 · +0.03.45 · +0.02.28 · +0.010m
WilliamHill3.3 ▼ -1.93.3 · -0.12.1 ▲ +1.910m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.3Home 29% P 28%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.15Away 44% P 44%

Double Chance

1.66Levante or Draw 28%1.28Levante or Athletic Club 37%1.33Draw or Athletic Club 35%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 51%1.9Under 49% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%29%23%-5.8
Draw28%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Alejandro Quintero González

Career
40 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
5.33 (4.85 yellow · 0.38 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
49%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 37 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.415.08+0.5871
Fouls / match26.625.7+0.49
Fouls per card5.35.1+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.34+2.30100
Time added8.67.7+0.9696
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 46% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 52 200 2'13
2026-08-23 10 251 33'7
2026-05-23 30 370 57'9
2026-05-14 20 291 6'9
2026-05-02 · Athletic Club 70 210 28'11
2026-04-26 90 292 14'7
2026-04-13 · Levante 81 362 11'9
2026-03-13 50 300 36'12
2026-02-21 60 231 32'11
2026-02-07 16 6