KickoffDNA
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La Liga · Matchweek 6

Momentum

FC BarcelonaRAC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Camp Nou, Barcelona
Capacity
6,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,568

Teams

Coaches
Hans-Dieter Flick · José López Menéndez
Position
1 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

José Luis Munuera Montero

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
20.8° (feels 20.9°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
75%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

FC Barcelona

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 21 GA 5 · xG 13.83–4.61 · xPts 11.77

  • W A Levante 4–2 xG 2.25–1.99 ESP PL
  • W H Feyenoord 5–1 xG 2.1–0.61 UEFA CL
  • W A Valencia 5–0 xG 3.7–0.51 ESP PL
  • W H Rayo Vallecano 5–2 xG 2.71–1.15 ESP PL
  • W H Athletic Club 2–0 xG 3.07–0.35 ESP PL

Racing Santander

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 6.73–6.43 · xPts 6.99

  • W H Deportivo Alavés 2–1 xG 1.33–1.91 ESP PL
  • L A Rayo Vallecano 2–3 xG 0.56–1.35 ESP PL
  • W H Elche 3–2 xG 1.67–1.24 ESP PL
  • L A Getafe 0–1 xG 1.14–1.02 ESP PL
  • D H Villarreal 2–2 xG 2.03–0.9 ESP PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

88.7%FC Barcelona P 89%7.4%Draw P 7%3.9%Racing Santander P 4%

Over / under 2.5

84.7%Over 2.515.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.6%Yes44.4%No

Expected

FC Barcelona goals
3.86 (1–6)
Racing Santander goals
0.84 (0–2)
Corners
15.77 (10–22)
Cards
4.03 (1–7)

Earlier: day before — 88.8% / 7.3% / 3.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

80.2%FC Barcelona13.5%Draw6.4%Racing Santander

Over / under 2.5

65.4%Over 2.534.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

44.7%Yes55.3%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.120.02
ou_2_5over0.1660.047
bttsyes0.5870.395

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 15 matches since 2005

FC Barcelona 123 draws0 Racing Santander

Goals 41–8 · 3.27 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Barcelona 91 draws0 Racing Santander

Goals 30–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Barcelona 50 draws0 Racing Santander

Goals 18–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Barcelona 7–2 Racing Santander ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Racing Santander 0–2 FC Barcelona neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 3–0 Racing Santander neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 3–0 Racing Santander neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Racing Santander 0–3 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 4–0 Racing Santander neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Racing Santander 1–4 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Racing Santander 1–2 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D FC Barcelona 1–1 Racing Santander neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 1–0 Racing Santander neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricFC Barcelona all · 6FC Barcelona at home · 3Racing Santander all · 6Racing Santander away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game3.001.17
W / D / L6 / 0 / 02 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match4.671.83
Goals against / match1.002.67
Clean sheets50%0%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored50%83%
Over 2.583%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match3.551.41
xG against / match1.072.17
xG difference2.47-0.76
Finishing vs xG1.120.42
xPts / match2.481.18
Points vs xPts0.52-0.02
Game state
Scored first83%50%
PPG when scoring first3.001.33
PPG when conceding first3.001.00
Came back from behind100%25%
Leads held100%50%
Minutes leading83%30%
Minutes level16%41%
Minutes trailing1%28%
First goal (min)1522
First goal conceded (min)4041
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%18%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%44%
Late goals for (76'+)1.330.00
Late goals against0.330.83
Style
Possession68%46%
Shots21.010.2
On target8.53.8
Shot conversion22%18%
Shots inside box77%66%
Big chances created6.72.5
Corners8.24.5
xG from set plays34%29%
Goals from headers0%0%
Pressure index25.08.6
Dominant minutes74.840.7
Pass accuracy90%80%
Fouls9.514.3
Cards1.332.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Barcelona

0–15'41
16–30'51
31–45'40
46–60'31
61–75'41
76–90'82

Racing Santander

0–15'21
16–30'43
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'05

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Barcelona · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.70) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.707
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437

Game state

When ahead+0.737
When level+0.517
10 min after conceding+0.563
10 min after scoring+1.167

Situations

At home+0.874
Away+0.443
3 days rest or fewer+0.882
4+ days rest+0.655

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.663
v bottom-tier opponents+0.943
As favourite+0.707

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.327
Conceded late (76+)-0.513

Congested vs rested +0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.22 · Behind vs level +1.08

Racing Santander · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.136
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.382

Game state

When ahead-0.074
When level-0.036
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.526
10 min after scoring+0.185

Situations

At home-0.023
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.136

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.042
As underdog-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.045

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.38

FC Barcelona

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 7 · scoring 9 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%3.04.51.03.91.15
4-2-3-12 33%3.05.01.02.830.92

Racing Santander

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%1.41.81.81.351.29
4-1-3-21 17%0.02.07.01.756.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 3.1d

1.08Home 89% · +0.8 ptsopened 1.0713.73Draw 7% · -0.2 ptsopened 13.1724.81Away 4% · -0.6 ptsopened 20.93
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.08 · +0.813.73 · -0.224.81 · -0.610m
bet3651.05 ▲ +2.515.0 ▼ -2.223.0 · -0.310m
Betfair1.06 ▲ +2.915.0 ▼ -2.426.0 · -0.510m
BetVictor1.06 ▲ +3.915.0 ▼ -2.826.0 ▼ -1.110m
Coral1.09 ▲ +1.513.0 ▼ -1.417.0 · -0.110m
Ladbrokes1.09 ▲ +1.413.0 ▼ -1.317.0 · -0.010m
Unibet1.08 · +0.012.0 · +0.023.0 · +0.010m
WilliamHill1.08 · +0.812.0 · -0.823.0 · -0.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.05Home 90% P 89%15.0Draw 6% P 7%23.0Away 4% P 4%

Double Chance

1.01Barcelona or Draw 48%1.03Barcelona or Racing Santander 47%10.0Draw or Racing Santander 5%

Draw No Bet

1.021 95%19.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.1Over 86%7.0Under 14%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%5.06 - 8 17%2.879 - 11 30%3.212 - 14 27%4.33Over 14 20%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58% P 64%2.2Under 42% P 36%
3.52.1Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 87.5–90% · away 2.5–5% · 198 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home89%89%90%+1.8
Draw7%8%8%-0.3
Away4%4%2%-1.5

In those fixtures: 4.2 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 78%

José Luis Munuera Montero

Career
199 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.4 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
52%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 97 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.865.08-0.3036
Fouls / match25.525.7-0.26
Fouls per card5.25.1-0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.34-0.5718
Time added7.87.7+0.1450
First card
31' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 10 140 39'8
2026-08-20 30 270 45'11
2026-07-23 20 160 7'5
2026-05-23 40 280 9'8
2026-05-17 40 310 48'5
2026-05-08 21 240 41'10
2026-05-02 40 210 29'8
2026-04-22 · FC Barcelona 20 231 59'11
2026-04-03 41 260 22'6
2026-03-22 51 171 27'11