Rating 6.96 (61th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (38% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– ElcheReal Madrid –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Elche | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 #7 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 54.7 #4 |
| 11.7 #11 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 20.7 #2 |
| 4.8 #9 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 8.3 #2 |
| 4.7 #10 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 7.8 #2 |
| 14.3 #5 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 8.8 #20 |
| 1.3 #15 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #7 |
| 15.3 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 14.0 #18 |
| 97.7 #9 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 107.0 #5 |
| 47.3 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 63.7 #2 |
| 498.2 #7 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 548.5 #5 |
| 2.5 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.7 #15 |
| 1.2 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #6 |
| – #16 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #12 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #18 |
| 1.5 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.7 #2 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #13 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.8 #2 |
| 2.7 #1 | 3.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 #14 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 10.2 #4 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 7.7 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #15 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.6 #19 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #2 |
| 2.2 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 5.3 #1 |
| 7.3 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 14.8 #2 |
| 4.7 #12 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 4.3 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.8 #3 |
| – #18 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Elche · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 6.91 (54th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (12% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 6.69 (23th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Real Madrid · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 8.12 (94th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (59% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.8 (97th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.16 (85th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (24% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Absences
Real Madrid
- injury Ferland Mendy defender · Tendon Rupture · 16 missed · until 2027-04-30
- injury Rodrygo attacker · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 27 missed · until 2026-09-30
- injury Éder Militão defender · Thigh Muscle Strain · 15 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
- Capacity
- 31,388
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,383
Teams
- Coaches
- Martin Anselmi · José Mourinho
- Position
- 19 · 2
- Formation
- 4-5-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jesús Gil Manzano
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.5° (feels 23.9°)
- Wind
- 0.7
- Humidity
- 75%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Elche
DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 7.51–8.04 · xPts 6.94
- D
A
Athletic Club
1–1
xG 1.79–2.17
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Sociedad
2–3
xG 2.54–0.69
ESP PL
- L
A
Racing Santander
2–3
xG 1.24–1.67
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.69–2.96
ESP PL
- D
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–1
xG 1.25–0.55
ESP PL
DDLLLD 0W 3D 3L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 14 · xG 7.75–8.72 · xPts 7.76
- D
A
Athletic Club
1–1
xG 1.79–2.17
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Sociedad
2–3
xG 2.54–0.69
ESP PL
- L
A
Racing Santander
2–3
xG 1.24–1.67
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.69–2.96
ESP PL
- D
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–1
xG 1.25–0.55
ESP PL
- D
A
Girona
1–1
xG 0.24–0.68
ESP PL
Real Madrid
WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 4 · xG 14.92–5.56 · xPts 12.01
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
4–1
xG 2.9–1.27
ESP PL
- W
H
Inter
2–1
xG 3.77–2.03
UEFA CL - L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 2.91–0.77
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
4–0
xG 2.79–0.86
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Sociedad
4–1
xG 2.55–0.63
ESP PL
WWWWLWW 6W 0D 1L · 18 pts (2.57 ppg) · GF 20 GA 7 · xG 18.79–7.48 · xPts 16.0
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
4–1
xG 2.9–1.27
ESP PL
- W
H
Inter
2–1
xG 3.77–2.03
UEFA CL
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 2.91–0.77
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
4–0
xG 2.79–0.86
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Sociedad
4–1
xG 2.55–0.63
ESP PL
- W
A
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.37–0.93
ESP PL
- W
H
Athletic Club
4–2
xG 1.5–1.0
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
16.5%Elche P 7%19.0%Draw P 13%64.4%Real Madrid P 79%
Over / under 2.5
66.5%Over 2.5 P 72%33.5%Under 2.5 P 28%
Both teams to score
60.5%Yes39.5%No
Expected
- Elche goals
- 1.1 (0–3)
- Real Madrid goals
- 2.32 (1–4)
- Corners
- 10.38 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.28 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 16.5% / 19.0% / 64.4%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
18.2%Elche22.4%Draw59.4%Real Madrid
Over / under 2.5
54.7%Over 2.545.3%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
51.5%Yes48.5%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.44 | 0.19 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.407 | 0.224 |
| btts | yes | 0.503 | 0.313 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 13 matches since 2013
Goals 12–35 · 3.62 per match · BTTS 69% · over 2.5 85%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–25 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–16 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Elche 2–3 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 4–1 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Elche 2–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 4–0 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Elche 0–3 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Madrid 2–2 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Elche 1–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 2–1 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Elche 1–1 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Elche 0–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Elche all · 6 | Elche at home · 3 | Real Madrid all · 6 | Real Madrid away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.33 | – | 2.50 | – |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 4 | – | 5 / 0 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.33 | – | 2.83 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.67 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | – | 2.72 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.81 | – | 0.99 | – |
| xG difference | -0.31 | – | 1.73 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.17 | – | 0.11 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.28 | – | 2.36 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.94 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 83% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 20% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 5% | – | 48% | – |
| Minutes level | 34% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 61% | – | 2% | – |
| First goal (min) | 68 | – | 21 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | – | 55 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 100% | – | 41% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | – | 67% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | – | 55% | – |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 20.7 | – |
| On target | 4.8 | – | 8.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | 63% | – | 73% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | – | 4.7 | – |
| Corners | 4.7 | – | 7.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 26% | – | 26% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 7% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.7 | – | 21.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 42.0 | – | 67.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | – | 91% | – |
| Fouls | 14.2 | – | 8.8 | – |
| Cards | 2.50 | – | 1.67 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Elche
0–15'03
16–30'03
31–45'04
46–60'10
61–75'32
76–90'44
Real Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'51
31–45'31
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'52
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Elche · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.30
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.146
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When level+0.016
When behind+0.015
10 min after conceding-0.306
10 min after scoring+0.055
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.153
4+ days rest+0.065
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents+0.093
As underdog-0.006
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.346
Conceded late (76+)-0.065
Congested vs rested -0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.00
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Elche
Current: winless 7 · scoring 4 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 3 50% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.06 | 1.73 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.54 | 0.69 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 | 2.17 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.81 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Elche all · 10 | Elche at home · 10 | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.50 | 2.70 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 5 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 9 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.40 | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.55 | 2.47 | 1.95 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.42 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | -0.31 | 0.13 | 1.37 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.52 | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.51 | -0.02 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 20% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 57% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 33% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 14% | 59% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 53% | 40% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 33% | 1% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 53 | 21 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 25 | 57 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 75% | 71% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 47% | 67% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 60% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 13.2 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.9 | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 14% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 74% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 23% | 19% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 40% | 23% | 4% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | 14.4 | 18.4 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.0 | 57.0 | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 90% | 88% |
| Fouls | 15.1 | 14.0 | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.90 | 2.30 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Elche
0–15'04
16–30'13
31–45'24
46–60'12
61–75'43
76–90'44
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Elche
Current: winless 7 · scoring 4 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.32 | 1.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.06 | 1.73 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.24 | 0.68 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.81 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 | 2.17 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| Metric | Elche all · 40 | Elche at home · 20 | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 20 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 0.98 | 1.55 | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 19 | 8 / 7 / 5 | 37 / 5 / 12 | 15 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.28 | 1.55 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Goals against / match | 1.73 | 1.45 | 1.09 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 15% | 11% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 60% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 65% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.63 | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | 1.67 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | -0.45 | -0.03 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.08 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | 0.05 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 35% | 45% | 72% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.93 | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.42 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Leads held | 56% | 73% | 86% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 28% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 47% | 46% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 25% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 40 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 35 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 63% | 64% | 53% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 52% | 58% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.53 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 59% | 57% | 58% |
| Shots | 11.2 | 13.5 | 17.5 | 15.7 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 73% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 17% | 29% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 10% | 10% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 13.7 | 17.0 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.0 | 60.5 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 13.0 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.45 | 2.40 | 2.24 | 2.48 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Elche
0–15'514
16–30'76
31–45'711
46–60'67
61–75'1310
76–90'1321
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Elche · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.26
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1040
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2040
Late push (76+, level)+0.0718
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0121
Game state
When ahead+0.0116
When level+0.1540
When behind+0.0825
10 min after conceding-0.2633
10 min after scoring+0.1534
Situations
With ten men-0.016
Against ten men-0.204
At home+0.1320
Away+0.0720
3 days rest or fewer+0.183
4+ days rest+0.0937
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.147
v mid-tier opponents+0.1719
v bottom-tier opponents-0.035
As favourite+0.143
Evenly matched+0.1614
As underdog+0.0623
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0140
Conceded when ahead+0.0616
Conceded late (76+)-0.0737
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.07
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Elche
Current: winless 7 · scoring 4 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 13 32% | 1.38 | 1.69 | 1.46 | 1.61 | 1.25 |
| 5-3-2 | 6 15% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 6 15% | 0.5 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 0.64 | 1.81 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 10% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 2.75 | 1.08 | 2.05 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.15 | 2.92 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: draw -2.8 pts at 2.2d
13.37Home 7% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 9.887.19Draw 13% ▼ -4.7 ptsopened 5.21.22Away 79% ▲ +7.1 ptsopened 1.31
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 13.37 ▼ -2.3 | 7.19 ▼ -4.7 | 1.22 ▲ +7.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 11.0 · +0.1 | 7.0 ▼ -2.8 | 1.22 ▲ +2.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 12.0 ▼ -2.5 | 7.0 ▼ -2.2 | 1.18 ▲ +4.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 13.0 ▼ -2.9 | 7.5 ▼ -4.0 | 1.18 ▲ +6.9 | 10m |
| Coral | 10.0 ▼ -1.6 | 7.5 ▼ -3.7 | 1.22 ▲ +5.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 9.5 ▼ -1.8 | 7.5 ▼ -3.7 | 1.22 ▲ +5.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 9.5 · +0.0 | 6.0 · +0.0 | 1.3 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 11.0 ▼ -1.9 | 6.5 ▼ -2.7 | 1.22 ▲ +4.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.1 pts at 3.0d · late move: yes -1.2 pts inside the final hour
1.7Yes 55% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.752.05No 45% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.7 ▲ +1.3 | 2.05 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▼ -1.8 | 2.05 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▼ -1.9 | 2.0 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.08 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +1.0 | 2.15 ▼ -1.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.9 pts at 2.2d
1.32Over 72% ▲ +4.6 ptsopened 1.393.46Under 28% ▼ -4.6 ptsopened 2.93
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.32 ▲ +4.6 | 3.46 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.28 ▲ +6.4 | 3.75 ▼ -6.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.25 ▲ +4.9 | 3.6 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.31 ▲ +3.3 | 3.05 ▼ -3.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.37 · +0.0 | 3.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
11.0Home 9% P 7%7.0Draw 14% P 13%1.22Away 78% P 79%
Double Chance
4.0Elche or Draw 12%1.1Elche or Real Madrid 43%1.05Draw or Real Madrid 45%
Draw No Bet
10.01 10%1.062 90%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.28Over 75% P 72%3.75Under 25% P 28%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 56%1.9Under 49% P 44%
4.52.2Over 42% P 36%1.61Under 58% P 64%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7% | 8% | 7% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 13% | 15% | 12% | -3.0 |
| Away | 79% | 77% | 81% | +4.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Jesús Gil Manzano
- Career
- 182 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 97 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.46 | 5.08 | +0.66 | 79 |
| Fouls / match | 25.1 | 25.7 | -0.49 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.7 | 5.1 | -0.75 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.34 | +0.35 | 71 |
| Time added | 7.4 | 7.7 | -0.26 | 29 |
- First card
- 29' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.45
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 6 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-09-05 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 81' | 8 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 28' | 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 38' | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 54' | 8 |
| 2026-05-03 · Real Madrid | 7 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2026-04-25 | – | – | 20 | – | – | 7 |
| 2026-04-16 | 8 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 40' | 9 |
| 2026-04-12 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 38' | 11 |