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La Liga · Matchweek 6

Momentum

CORSevilla
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
Capacity
32,490
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,506

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Hidalgo · Luis García Plaza
Position
7 · 6
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
18.5° (feels 18.4°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
74%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Deportivo A Coruña

DDWWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 5.62–6.53 · xPts 6.04

  • D A Getafe 1–1 xG 0.78–1.11 ESP PL
  • W A Villarreal 3–2 xG 0.87–1.63 ESP PL
  • W H Valencia 3–1 xG 1.46–1.24 ESP PL
  • D A Málaga 1–1 xG 1.96–1.31 ESP PL
  • D H Elche 1–1 xG 0.55–1.25 ESP PL

Sevilla

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 5.99–6.04 · xPts 6.8

  • W H Valencia 1–0 xG 0.98–0.09 ESP PL
  • D A Espanyol 1–1 xG 0.44–1.51 ESP PL
  • L H Atlético de Madrid 1–3 xG 1.46–1.2 ESP PL
  • W A Athletic Club 3–1 xG 0.54–1.58 ESP PL
  • W H Rayo Vallecano 2–1 xG 2.56–1.65 ESP PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

42.9%Deportivo A Coruña P 35%25.9%Draw P 32%31.2%Sevilla P 34%

Over / under 2.5

51.3%Over 2.5 P 42%48.7%Under 2.5 P 58%

Both teams to score

55.2%Yes44.8%No

Expected

Deportivo A Coruña goals
1.49 (0–3)
Sevilla goals
1.23 (0–3)
Corners
9.32 (5–14)
Cards
5.15 (2–9)

Earlier: day before — 43.1% / 25.9% / 31.0%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

44.3%Deportivo A Coruña26.9%Draw28.8%Sevilla

Over / under 2.5

50.6%Over 2.549.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.1%Yes44.9%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2away1.1650.724
bttsno0.8020.609
ou_2_5under0.7190.525

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Deportivo A Coruña 47 draws12 Sevilla

Goals 23–40 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Deportivo A Coruña 03 draws7 Sevilla

Goals 11–23 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Deportivo A Coruña 01 draws4 Sevilla

Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Deportivo A Coruña 0–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Deportivo A Coruña 0–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 2–0 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 4–2 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Deportivo A Coruña 2–3 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 1–1 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 Sevilla neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Deportivo A Coruña 3–4 Sevilla neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 4–1 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 3–1 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricDeportivo A Coruña all · 6Deportivo A Coruña at home · 3Sevilla all · 6Sevilla away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.502.17
W / D / L2 / 3 / 14 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.501.50
Goals against / match1.171.00
Clean sheets0%33%
Failed to score17%0%
Both teams scored83%67%
Over 2.533%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.991.15
xG against / match1.241.06
xG difference-0.250.09
Finishing vs xG0.510.35
xPts / match1.131.44
Points vs xPts0.370.72
Game state
Scored first50%67%
PPG when scoring first1.672.50
PPG when conceding first1.331.50
Came back from behind67%50%
Leads held50%80%
Minutes leading27%24%
Minutes level58%52%
Minutes trailing14%25%
First goal (min)3558
First goal conceded (min)4642
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half44%89%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.50
Late goals against0.330.17
Style
Possession47%44%
Shots7.811.7
On target3.34.3
Shot conversion19%13%
Shots inside box64%57%
Big chances created1.31.5
Corners3.83.7
xG from set plays23%46%
Goals from headers12%11%
Pressure index9.513.0
Dominant minutes40.853.0
Pass accuracy85%77%
Fouls12.715.2
Cards2.503.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Deportivo A Coruña

0–15'10
16–30'32
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'32

Sevilla

0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Deportivo A Coruña · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.236
Late push (76+, level)+0.004
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.084
When level-0.126
When behind-0.083
10 min after conceding-0.226
10 min after scoring+0.435

Situations

With ten men-0.132
At home-0.103
Away-0.013
4+ days rest-0.005

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.064
Evenly matched+0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.176
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)-0.166

Congested vs rested -0.32 · Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.04

Sevilla · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213

Game state

When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106

Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48

Deportivo A Coruña

Current: winless 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-23 50%2.02.01.330.881.25
4-2-3-12 33%1.01.01.01.261.28
4-1-3-21 17%1.01.01.00.781.11

Sevilla

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.41.61.01.290.97
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.00.441.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.4 pts at 40m · late move: away +1.6 pts inside the final hour

2.79Home 35% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 2.493.09Draw 32% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.032.9Away 34% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 3.14
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.79 ▼ -3.33.09 · +0.12.9 ▲ +3.310m
bet3652.55 ▼ -2.03.1 ▲ +1.73.0 · +0.310m
Betfair2.7 ▼ -3.53.0 ▲ +1.72.8 ▲ +1.910m
BetVictor2.63 ▼ -2.63.2 · -0.12.75 ▲ +2.710m
Coral2.5 · -0.93.1 · -0.12.9 · +1.010m
Ladbrokes2.5 ▼ -1.03.1 · -0.22.87 ▲ +1.210m
Unibet2.5 · +0.03.05 · +0.03.05 · +0.010m
WilliamHill2.62 ▼ -2.42.9 ▲ +1.12.8 ▲ +1.210m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 35%3.1Draw 31% P 32%3.0Away 32% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Deportivo A Coruna or Draw 34%1.36Deportivo A Coruna or Sevilla 35%1.5Draw or Sevilla 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56% P 63%2.1Under 44% P 37%
5.52.1Over 44% P 47%1.66Under 56% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Career
279 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
5.74 (5.44 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.245.08+1.91100
Fouls / match26.025.7+0.08
Fouls per card4.25.1-1.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.34+0.6386
Time added8.27.7+0.5579
First card
29' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-04 70 231 45'12
2026-08-26 61 271 16'3
2026-08-23 51 252 50'14
2026-08-11 50 251 40'4
2026-05-23 80 400 7'10
2026-05-10 60 270 40'4
2026-05-07 10 180 15'4
2026-05-02 40 210 45'11
2026-04-11 90 280 32'8
2026-04-05 · Sevilla 81 230 13'9