Rating 7.45 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– ATMOsasuna –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Atlético de Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.5 #3 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 47.0 #12 |
| 16.8 #4 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 9.3 #18 |
| 6.0 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 5.3 #7 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 2.8 #19 |
| 11.2 #12 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 12.8 #9 |
| 1.7 #10 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #6 |
| 17.3 #8 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 16.8 #9 |
| 111.8 #3 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 98.0 #7 |
| 53.7 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.3 #11 |
| 553.7 #4 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 407.8 #13 |
| 1.7 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.3 #7 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1.7 #3 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.3 #17 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #16 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #6 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #9 |
| 1.7 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.7 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.4 #19 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #3 |
| 2.3 #3 | 2.7 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 #16 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 3.3 | 2.0 #4 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 10.0 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 7.2 #18 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #3 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 7.0 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #18 |
| 4.8 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 2.0 #17 |
| 10.2 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 5.5 #15 |
| 6.0 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.3 #17 |
| 6.7 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.8 #17 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Atlético de Madrid · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.35 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Osasuna · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.35 (76th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (80% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Rating 6.94 (58th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Rating 6.9 · G+A 0 + 1 (20% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Absences
Osasuna
- injury Moi Gómez #3 key player midfielder · Muscle Injury · 1 missed · until 2026-09-30
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
- Capacity
- 70,460
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 60,869
Teams
- Coaches
- D. Simeone · Luis Ramis Monfort
- Position
- 5 · 11
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 5-4-1
Referee
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 22.1° (feels 21.5°)
- Wind
- 9.8
- Humidity
- 42%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Atlético de Madrid
DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 5.81–7.68 · xPts 5.94
- W
A
Real Sociedad
3–0
xG 1.9–0.39
ESP PL
- L
A
Liverpool
1–2
xG 0.6–1.46
UEFA CL - L
A
Athletic Club
0–3
xG 0.97–1.21
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
3–1
xG 1.2–1.46
ESP PL
- D
H
Villarreal
2–2
xG 1.14–3.16
ESP PL
LWDWLLW 3W 1D 3L · 10 pts (1.43 ppg) · GF 12 GA 13 · xG 7.79–10.5 · xPts 8.4
- W
A
Real Sociedad
3–0
xG 1.9–0.39
ESP PL
- L
A
Liverpool
1–2
xG 0.6–1.46
UEFA CL
- L
A
Athletic Club
0–3
xG 0.97–1.21
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
3–1
xG 1.2–1.46
ESP PL
- D
H
Villarreal
2–2
xG 1.14–3.16
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL
- L
A
Villarreal
1–5
xG 1.01–2.47
ESP PL
Osasuna
DWWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.37–4.76 · xPts 8.24
- L
H
Espanyol
0–2
xG 0.82–1.37
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–5
xG 1.76–1.17
ESP PL
- W
H
Getafe
1–0
xG 1.52–1.25
ESP PL
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 2.58–0.12
ESP PL
- D
H
Levante
0–0
xG 0.68–0.85
ESP PL
LDWWLL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.82–5.11 · xPts 9.6
- L
H
Espanyol
0–2
xG 0.82–1.37
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–5
xG 1.76–1.17
ESP PL
- W
H
Getafe
1–0
xG 1.52–1.25
ESP PL
- W
A
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 2.58–0.12
ESP PL
- D
H
Levante
0–0
xG 0.68–0.85
ESP PL
- L
A
Getafe
0–1
xG 0.46–0.35
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
61.1%Atlético de Madrid P 73%22.0%Draw P 18%16.9%Osasuna P 9%
Over / under 2.5
53.9%Over 2.5 P 59%46.1%Under 2.5 P 41%
Both teams to score
51.2%Yes48.8%No
Expected
- Atlético de Madrid goals
- 1.93 (0–4)
- Osasuna goals
- 0.91 (0–2)
- Corners
- 9.35 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.48 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 61.3% / 21.9% / 16.8%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
62.8%Atlético de Madrid23.0%Draw14.1%Osasuna
Over / under 2.5
48.3%Over 2.551.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
43.9%Yes56.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.493 | 0.229 |
| btts | no | 0.717 | 0.524 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.618 | 0.425 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 35 matches since 2005
Goals 61–30 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 31% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–3 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Atlético de Madrid 4–0 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 1–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Osasuna 2–0 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 1–4 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 0–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 0–1 Atlético de Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Osasuna 0–3 Atlético de Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 6 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 3 | Osasuna all · 6 | Osasuna away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 1 | – | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.33 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 50% | – |
| Both teams scored | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | – | 1.30 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.17 | – | 1.43 | – |
| xG difference | 0.50 | – | -0.13 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.66 | – | -0.47 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.66 | – | 1.39 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.51 | – | -0.22 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 34% | – | 13% | – |
| Minutes level | 56% | – | 39% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | – | 47% | – |
| First goal (min) | 48 | – | 48 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 59 | – | 17 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 71% | – | 80% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 100% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | – | 47% | – |
| Shots | 16.8 | – | 9.3 | – |
| On target | 6.0 | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | – | 9% | – |
| Shots inside box | 60% | – | 59% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | – | 1.8 | – |
| Corners | 5.3 | – | 2.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 23% | – | 48% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 20% | – |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | – | 9.8 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 64.2 | – | 40.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | – | 81% | – |
| Fouls | 11.3 | – | 12.8 | – |
| Cards | 1.83 | – | 2.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'10
16–30'20
31–45'10
46–60'22
61–75'22
76–90'62
Osasuna
0–15'02
16–30'03
31–45'11
46–60'22
61–75'22
76–90'02
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486
Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Osasuna · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.362
Game state
When ahead-0.312
When level+0.036
When behind-0.164
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.683
Situations
At home-0.093
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.115
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.044
As favourite-0.093
As underdog-0.282
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.226
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)+0.155
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.19
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 67% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
Osasuna
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.76 | 1.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 0.85 |
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 10 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 10 | Osasuna all · 10 | Osasuna away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 2 / 1 / 7 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 1.83 | 1.32 | 1.02 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.37 | 1.44 | 1.74 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.46 | -0.12 | -0.73 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.34 | -0.23 | -0.42 | -0.12 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.67 | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.53 | 0.03 | -0.70 | -0.55 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.38 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 50% | 12% | 12% |
| Leads held | 75% | 71% | 67% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 31% | 12% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 51% | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 18% | 47% | 40% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 48 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 56 | 40 | 26 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 69% | 67% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| Shots | 14.1 | 15.9 | 11.9 | 8.2 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 66% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 16% | 42% | 43% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 16.7 | 13.0 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 57.5 | 46.9 | 36.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 84% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 11.0 | 13.5 | 14.4 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.10 | 2.40 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'24
61–75'32
76–90'63
Osasuna
0–15'23
16–30'04
31–45'13
46–60'34
61–75'23
76–90'13
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
Osasuna
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 0.85 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.76 | 1.17 |
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 56 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 28 | Osasuna all · 40 | Osasuna away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 56 | 28 | 40 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.32 | 1.08 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 31 / 8 / 17 | 21 / 2 / 5 | 11 / 10 / 19 | 3 / 4 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.88 | 2.36 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.04 | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 32% | 18% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 7% | 32% | 55% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 61% | 58% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 68% | 55% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 2.12 | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.18 | 1.38 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.93 | -0.05 | -0.63 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.25 | 0.24 | -0.18 | -0.21 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.90 | 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.31 | 0.42 | -0.31 | -0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 79% | 32% | 25% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 2.64 | 1.85 | 1.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.17 | 0.67 | 0.31 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 54% | 30% | 13% |
| Leads held | 72% | 88% | 58% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 43% | 15% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 46% | 57% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 11% | 28% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 29 | 48 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 44 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 61% | 56% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 62% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 54% | 47% | 44% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 16.6 | 11.7 | 9.0 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 70% | 69% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 24% | 42% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 17% | 24% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 21.5 | 11.5 | 7.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.5 | 62.3 | 44.8 | 35.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 10.2 | 13.3 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 2.07 | 1.71 | 2.65 | 2.75 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'195
16–30'1211
31–45'1615
46–60'1514
61–75'1712
76–90'2616
Osasuna
0–15'54
16–30'211
31–45'138
46–60'310
61–75'416
76–90'1911
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atlético de Madrid · 56 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.31) · stands out: against ten men -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2856
Late push (76+, level)+0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1717
Game state
When ahead+0.3343
When level+0.3556
When behind+0.1424
10 min after conceding-0.0838
10 min after scoring+0.6048
Situations
With ten men-0.116
Against ten men-0.624
At home+0.4628
Away+0.1728
3 days rest or fewer+0.3423
4+ days rest+0.2933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.4224
v bottom-tier opponents+0.296
As favourite+0.4735
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.108
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0756
Conceded when ahead-0.0743
Conceded late (76+)-0.2350
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.21
Osasuna · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0240
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1040
Late push (76+, level)-0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1421
Game state
When ahead-0.0619
When level-0.0440
When behind+0.0327
10 min after conceding-0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.3727
Situations
With ten men-0.325
Against ten men-0.085
At home+0.0920
Away-0.1420
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest-0.0138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.346
v mid-tier opponents+0.1118
v bottom-tier opponents-0.196
As favourite+0.1512
Evenly matched-0.0016
As underdog-0.2412
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1640
Conceded when ahead+0.2319
Conceded late (76+)+0.0238
Congested vs rested -0.21 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.07
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 38 68% | 1.76 | 2.05 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 1.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 2.16 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.87 | 2.31 |
Osasuna
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 60% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 12% | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.54 | 1.86 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 0.67 | 2.33 | 1.13 | 2.17 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.88 | 0.84 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.9 pts at 4.0d · late move: home +2.5 pts inside the final hour
1.33Home 73% ▲ +8.0 ptsopened 1.465.35Draw 18% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 4.5210.75Away 9% ▼ -5.1 ptsopened 6.7
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33 ▲ +8.0 | 5.35 ▼ -2.8 | 10.75 ▼ -5.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.3 ▲ +9.6 | 5.5 ▼ -6.2 | 9.5 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.3 ▲ +5.9 | 5.0 ▼ -2.6 | 9.5 ▼ -3.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.33 ▲ +6.1 | 5.0 ▼ -2.1 | 9.5 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.33 ▲ +9.8 | 5.5 ▼ -5.2 | 8.5 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.33 ▲ +9.2 | 5.25 ▼ -4.5 | 8.5 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.5 · +0.0 | 4.4 · +0.0 | 6.75 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.33 ▲ +7.0 | 4.8 ▼ -3.3 | 9.0 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 2.3d
2.0Yes 47% ▼ -5.3 ptsopened 1.81.75No 53% ▲ +5.3 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.0 ▼ -5.3 | 1.75 ▲ +5.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.0 ▼ -3.3 | 1.75 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.95 ▼ -3.2 | 1.75 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.89 · +0.0 | 1.82 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 ▼ -4.1 | 1.75 ▲ +4.1 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +3.0 pts at 10m · late move: over +4.0 pts inside the final hour
1.64Over 59% ▲ +3.4 ptsopened 1.712.37Under 41% ▼ -3.4 ptsopened 2.15
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64 ▲ +3.4 | 2.37 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -2.3 | 2.0 ▲ +2.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +1.2 | 2.1 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.61 ▲ +2.1 | 2.14 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.3Home 73% P 73%5.5Draw 17% P 18%9.5Away 10% P 9%
Double Chance
1.07Atletico Madrid or Draw 44%1.18Atletico Madrid or Osasuna 40%3.0Draw or Osasuna 16%
Draw No Bet
1.111 85%6.52 15%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 59%2.0Under 47% P 41%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 66%2.25Under 41% P 34%
3.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 73% | 74% | 74% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 18% | 17% | 18% | +0.9 |
| Away | 9% | 9% | 8% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
- Career
- 61 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.34 (4.23 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.28
- Cards to home side
- 51%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 58 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.28 | 5.08 | -1.23 | 14 |
| Fouls / match | 24.8 | 25.7 | -0.73 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 5.1 | +1.14 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.34 | -0.52 | 25 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 7.7 | +0.45 | 64 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 84' | 7 |
| 2026-08-31 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 90' | 8 |
| 2026-08-17 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 26' | 7 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2026-05-13 | – | – | 23 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-05-01 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 45' | 6 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 20' | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 59' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 34' | 11 |
| 2026-02-27 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 20' | 9 |