Rating 7.2 (88th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (27% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– ALAValencia –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Deportivo Alavés | at home | Stat | league | away | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0 #17 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 46.7 #13 |
| 14.2 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 8.7 #19 |
| 5.2 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 2.3 #18 |
| 4.8 #8 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 13.7 #6 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 10.8 #14 |
| 3.3 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.3 #5 |
| 19.0 #3 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 16.2 #14 |
| 91.3 #12 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 88.3 #14 |
| 47.2 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 36.0 #17 |
| 326.7 #19 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 432.7 #12 |
| 2.3 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #11 |
| 1.3 #4 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.2 #20 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #20 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #6 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.7 #20 |
| 0.5 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.4 #17 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #1 |
| 1.8 #4 | 2.2 | Goals | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 #20 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 #9 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 10.0 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 7.5 #17 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #1 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #19 |
| 2.7 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 3.3 #7 |
| 8.7 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 5.0 #18 |
| 6.3 #5 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.0 #20 |
| 5.5 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Deportivo Alavés · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.41 (79th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (36% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Rating 7.07 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Valencia · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 6.72 (31th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 6.72 (29th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 6.64 (12th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Absences
Deportivo Alavés
- injury Mikel Rodriguez #13 key player midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 2 missed · until 2027-04-04
- suspension Facundo Garcés defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 22 missed · until 2026-11-02
Valencia
- injury Diego López attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 12 missed · until 2027-03-01
- injury Mouctar Diakhaby #13 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 1 missed · until 2026-10-09
- injury Sergi Canós attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 20 missed · until 2026-11-01
- injury Umar Sadiq #8 key player attacker · Hamstring Injury · 2 missed · until 2026-11-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz
- Capacity
- 19,840
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,161
Teams
- Coaches
- Enrique Sánchez Flores · Óscar Sánchez
- Position
- 4 · 20
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 18.4° (feels 18.2°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 74%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Deportivo Alavés
WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 7.18–5.73 · xPts 7.97
- L
A
Racing Santander
1–2
xG 1.91–1.33
ESP PL
- W
H
Osasuna
5–2
xG 1.17–1.76
ESP PL
- W
H
Villarreal
1–0
xG 0.74–1.73
ESP PL
- D
A
Rayo Vallecano
1–1
xG 1.63–0.57
ESP PL
- W
H
Getafe
3–0
xG 1.73–0.34
ESP PL
LWDWWL 3W 1D 2L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 9.22–7.08 · xPts 9.78
- L
A
Racing Santander
1–2
xG 1.91–1.33
ESP PL
- W
H
Osasuna
5–2
xG 1.17–1.76
ESP PL
- W
H
Villarreal
1–0
xG 0.74–1.73
ESP PL
- D
A
Rayo Vallecano
1–1
xG 1.63–0.57
ESP PL
- W
H
Getafe
3–0
xG 1.73–0.34
ESP PL
- L
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–2
xG 2.03–1.35
ESP PL
Valencia
DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 10 · xG 3.67–7.43 · xPts 4.92
- L
A
Sevilla
0–1
xG 0.09–0.98
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.51–3.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–3
xG 1.24–1.46
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 1.09–0.82
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.73–0.47
ESP PL
WDLLLL 1W 1D 4L · 4 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 5.34–8.45 · xPts 6.74
- L
A
Sevilla
0–1
xG 0.09–0.98
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.51–3.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–3
xG 1.24–1.46
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 1.09–0.82
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.73–0.47
ESP PL
- W
H
FC Barcelona
3–1
xG 1.67–1.02
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
55.8%Deportivo Alavés P 58%24.8%Draw P 26%19.3%Valencia P 16%
Over / under 2.5
46.2%Over 2.5 P 47%53.8%Under 2.5 P 53%
Both teams to score
47.1%Yes52.9%No
Expected
- Deportivo Alavés goals
- 1.66 (0–3)
- Valencia goals
- 0.87 (0–2)
- Corners
- 9.43 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.39 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 55.8% / 24.8% / 19.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
41.4%Deportivo Alavés27.6%Draw31.0%Valencia
Over / under 2.5
49.0%Over 2.551.0%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
54.4%Yes45.6%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.644 | 1.024 |
| btts | no | 0.638 | 0.444 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.62 | 0.427 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 21 matches since 2005
Goals 22–32 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–11 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Valencia 3–2 Deportivo Alavés ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Deportivo Alavés 0–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 2–2 Deportivo Alavés ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Valencia 0–1 Deportivo Alavés ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Deportivo Alavés 2–1 Valencia neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Valencia 3–0 Deportivo Alavés ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 1–1 Deportivo Alavés ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés all · 6 | Deportivo Alavés at home · 4 | Valencia all · 6 | Valencia away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | 0.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | 1 / 1 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.83 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 67% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 17% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.36 | – | 0.73 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.07 | – | 1.40 | – |
| xG difference | 0.29 | – | -0.68 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.47 | – | -0.39 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | – | -0.33 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 29% | – | 2% | – |
| Minutes level | 55% | – | 65% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | – | 33% | – |
| First goal (min) | 47 | – | 52 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 52 | – | 46 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | – | 50% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 83% | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 14.2 | – | 8.7 | – |
| On target | 5.2 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 4% | – |
| Shots inside box | 62% | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | – | 0.7 | – |
| Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 14% | – |
| Goals from headers | 27% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | – | 7.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.8 | – | 31.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 13.7 | – | 10.5 | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Deportivo Alavés
0–15'00
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'41
Valencia
0–15'02
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'02
61–75'00
76–90'14
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Deportivo Alavés · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.086
Early press (0-15, level)-0.216
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.033
Game state
When ahead-0.194
When level-0.066
When behind+0.053
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.025
Situations
Against ten men-0.632
At home-0.184
Away+0.112
4+ days rest-0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.042
v bottom-tier opponents-0.043
Evenly matched-0.135
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded when ahead+0.274
Conceded late (76+)-0.156
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level +0.11
Valencia · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.236
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.544
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.103
Game state
When level-0.236
When behind-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.604
10 min after scoring+0.462
Situations
At home-0.323
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.265
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.224
Evenly matched-0.223
As underdog-0.253
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.386
Conceded late (76+)+0.055
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.03
Deportivo Alavés
Current: winless 2 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 4 67% | 1.5 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.45 | 1.03 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.19 | 1.15 |
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés all · 10 | Deportivo Alavés at home · 10 | Valencia all · 10 | Valencia away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.43 | 1.22 | 0.92 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.22 | -0.33 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | 0.58 | 0.18 | -0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.20 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 70% | 20% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.86 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 40% | 43% | 29% |
| Leads held | 62% | 62% | 100% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 40% | 10% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 48% | 64% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | 12% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 37 | 48 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 59 | 51 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 56% | 64% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 89% | 85% | 60% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 44% | 45% | 50% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 13.0 | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 59% | 60% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 33% | 26% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 28% | 18% | 36% |
| Pressure index | 11.0 | 11.1 | 8.1 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | 48.2 | 37.8 | 40.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 78% | 80% | 82% |
| Fouls | 14.0 | 12.8 | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Deportivo Alavés
0–15'10
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'23
61–75'23
76–90'42
Valencia
0–15'13
16–30'23
31–45'10
46–60'03
61–75'32
76–90'44
Deportivo Alavés
Current: winless 2 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 1.83 | 1.17 | 1.53 | 1.02 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.29 | 1.18 |
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés all · 40 | Deportivo Alavés at home · 21 | Valencia all · 40 | Valencia away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 21 | 40 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.52 | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 18 | 9 / 5 / 7 | 13 / 10 / 17 | 6 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.28 | 1.48 | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.47 | 1.24 | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 24% | 25% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 19% | 28% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 62% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 57% | 40% | 45% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.31 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.11 | 1.26 | 1.40 |
| xG difference | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.21 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.51 | 1.43 | 1.19 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.32 | 0.01 | -0.21 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 45% | 57% | 38% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.72 | 2.17 | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.45 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 36% | 37% | 23% |
| Leads held | 57% | 69% | 72% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 33% | 15% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 52% | 60% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 16% | 26% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 52 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 51 | 44 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 55% | 73% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 70% | 81% | 65% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.3 | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 61% | 64% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 34% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 23% | 20% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | 12.9 | 10.8 | 8.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.9 | 51.5 | 43.8 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 14.6 | 14.6 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.77 | 2.52 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Deportivo Alavés
0–15'85
16–30'68
31–45'85
46–60'614
61–75'1010
76–90'1317
Valencia
0–15'54
16–30'49
31–45'37
46–60'611
61–75'1111
76–90'1515
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Deportivo Alavés · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: with ten men -0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0440
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0740
Late push (76+, level)-0.0419
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2522
Game state
When ahead+0.0121
When level-0.0340
When behind-0.1028
10 min after conceding-0.3233
10 min after scoring+0.3330
Situations
With ten men-0.423
Against ten men-0.107
At home-0.0721
Away-0.0019
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.0538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.245
v mid-tier opponents-0.0116
v bottom-tier opponents+0.019
As favourite+0.038
Evenly matched-0.0117
As underdog-0.1115
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1040
Conceded when ahead-0.0021
Conceded late (76+)-0.0840
Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.07
Valencia · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0440
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0340
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1320
Game state
When ahead-0.0918
When level+0.0140
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3730
10 min after scoring+0.4829
Situations
Against ten men-0.456
At home-0.0720
Away-0.0220
3 days rest or fewer-0.103
4+ days rest-0.0437
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.306
v mid-tier opponents-0.0520
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.188
Evenly matched-0.0615
As underdog-0.1417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1540
Conceded when ahead+0.0718
Conceded late (76+)-0.1038
Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.13
Deportivo Alavés
Current: winless 2 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 14 35% | 1.14 | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 8 20% | 1.38 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.91 |
| 5-3-2 | 8 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 7 18% | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1.57 | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.11 | 0.86 |
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 22 55% | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 22% | 1.78 | 1.11 | 0.78 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 10% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 2.51 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.1 pts at 4.0d
1.67Home 58% ▲ +14.1 ptsopened 2.173.76Draw 26% ▼ -7.0 ptsopened 2.915.93Away 16% ▼ -7.1 ptsopened 4.06
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.67 ▲ +14.1 | 3.76 ▼ -7.0 | 5.93 ▼ -7.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.7 ▲ +11.0 | 3.5 ▼ -3.2 | 5.5 ▼ -7.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +14.8 | 3.6 ▼ -3.8 | 5.5 ▼ -11.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +12.8 | 3.6 ▼ -3.2 | 5.75 ▼ -9.6 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.73 ▲ +10.8 | 3.6 ▼ -4.2 | 5.0 ▼ -6.6 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.7 ▲ +11.5 | 3.6 ▼ -4.2 | 5.0 ▼ -7.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.08 · +0.0 | 3.15 · +0.0 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.65 ▲ +12.2 | 3.5 ▼ -3.9 | 5.0 ▼ -8.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.3 pts at 10m · late move: no +1.3 pts inside the final hour
2.0Yes 47% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.951.75No 53% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.0 ▼ -1.3 | 1.75 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▲ +2.5 | 1.83 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.9 ▲ +1.4 | 1.8 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.92 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.9 pts at 13.0h
2.06Over 47% ▲ +6.8 ptsopened 2.361.85Under 53% ▼ -6.8 ptsopened 1.61
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.06 ▲ +6.8 | 1.85 ▼ -6.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▲ +6.2 | 1.8 ▼ -6.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▲ +6.2 | 1.75 ▼ -6.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.94 ▲ +5.0 | 1.74 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.25 · +0.0 | 1.6 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.7Home 56% P 58%3.5Draw 27% P 26%5.5Away 17% P 16%
Double Chance
1.14CD Alaves or Draw 41%1.28CD Alaves or Valencia 37%2.1Draw or Valencia 22%
Draw No Bet
1.21 78%4.332 22%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 60%2.2Under 42% P 40%
4.52.0Over 46% P 41%1.72Under 54% P 59%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 59% | 57% | -1.5 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 28% | +3.8 |
| Away | 16% | 16% | 14% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Miguel Sesma Espinosa
- Career
- 24 matches · 2 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.0 (3.92 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.8 · 6.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.33
- Cards to home side
- 40%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 24 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.83 | 5.08 | -1.95 | 0 |
| Fouls / match | 26.8 | 25.7 | +0.64 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 5.1 | +2.35 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.33 | 0.34 | -0.01 | 36 |
| Time added | 8.5 | 7.7 | +0.86 | 93 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.2
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 2' | 10 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 27' | 10 |
| 2026-08-16 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 45' | 8 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 27' | 6 |
| 2026-05-14 | 9 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 12' | 9 |
| 2026-05-03 | 8 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 29' | 9 |
| 2026-04-12 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 24' | 8 |
| 2026-03-22 · Deportivo Alavés | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 22' | 11 |
| 2026-03-14 · Valencia | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 16' | 9 |
| 2026-02-28 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 67' | 4 |