Rating 7.28 (92th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (30% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– VillarrealReal Betis –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Villarreal | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.8 #2 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 53.5 #6 |
| 15.2 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 18.5 #3 |
| 6.5 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 6.8 #3 |
| 7.3 #4 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 4.7 #10 |
| 11.0 #13 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 9.8 #18 |
| 3.0 #3 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| 15.3 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 20.0 #2 |
| 122.3 #2 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 97.8 #8 |
| 73.0 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 49.5 #7 |
| 592.3 #2 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 509.7 #6 |
| 2.0 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.5 #17 |
| 1.0 #8 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #12 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #16 |
| – #16 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #1 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #18 |
| 2.2 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.6 #5 |
| -0.5 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.3 #15 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #16 |
| 1.7 #6 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 #13 |
| 1.8 #5 | 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 #14 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 8.5 #13 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.7 #7 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #15 |
| 0.5 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.8 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 4.0 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 5.2 #2 |
| 10.7 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 10.7 #3 |
| 4.7 #12 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 6.5 #4 |
| 4.5 #12 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 7.8 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Villarreal · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.21 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (71th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Real Betis · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.22 (95th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.3 (94th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Rating 7.55 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
- Capacity
- 23,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 18,267
Teams
- Coaches
- Iñigo Pérez · Manuel Pellegrini Ripamonti
- Position
- 18 · 7
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 25.2° (feels 25.0°)
- Wind
- 1.9
- Humidity
- 48%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Villarreal
DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 8.84–7.53 · xPts 7.79
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.42–2.75
UEFA CL - L
H
Deportivo A Coruña
2–3
xG 1.63–0.87
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0–1
xG 1.73–0.74
ESP PL
- D
A
Atlético de Madrid
2–2
xG 3.16–1.14
ESP PL
- D
A
Racing Santander
2–2
xG 0.9–2.03
ESP PL
LWDDLLL 1W 2D 4L · 5 pts (0.71 ppg) · GF 13 GA 14 · xG 12.44–10.23 · xPts 11.05
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
xG 1.42–2.75
UEFA CL
- L
H
Deportivo A Coruña
2–3
xG 1.63–0.87
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0–1
xG 1.73–0.74
ESP PL
- D
A
Atlético de Madrid
2–2
xG 3.16–1.14
ESP PL
- D
A
Racing Santander
2–2
xG 0.9–2.03
ESP PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
5–1
xG 2.47–1.01
ESP PL
- L
A
Rayo Vallecano
0–2
xG 1.13–1.69
ESP PL
Real Betis
WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.88–8.58 · xPts 6.21
- W
A
LOSC Lille
3–2
xG 1.75–0.96
UEFA CL - W
H
Real Madrid
1–0
xG 0.77–2.91
ESP PL
- L
A
Levante
2–5
xG 1.82–2.63
ESP PL
- W
A
Valencia
1–0
xG 0.82–1.09
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Sociedad
1–0
xG 1.71–0.99
ESP PL
LWWWLWW 5W 0D 2L · 15 pts (2.14 ppg) · GF 11 GA 11 · xG 9.16–11.64 · xPts 8.44
- W
A
LOSC Lille
3–2
xG 1.75–0.96
UEFA CL
- W
H
Real Madrid
1–0
xG 0.77–2.91
ESP PL
- L
A
Levante
2–5
xG 1.82–2.63
ESP PL
- W
A
Valencia
1–0
xG 0.82–1.09
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Sociedad
1–0
xG 1.71–0.99
ESP PL
- W
H
Levante
2–1
xG 1.24–1.89
ESP PL
- L
A
FC Barcelona
1–3
xG 1.04–1.17
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
46.6%Villarreal P 48%23.6%Draw P 25%29.8%Real Betis P 27%
Over / under 2.5
61.0%Over 2.5 P 67%39.0%Under 2.5 P 33%
Both teams to score
62.3%Yes37.7%No
Expected
- Villarreal goals
- 1.77 (0–4)
- Real Betis goals
- 1.38 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.49 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.5 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 46.6% / 23.6% / 29.8%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
47.7%Villarreal24.3%Draw28.0%Real Betis
Over / under 2.5
58.0%Over 2.542.0%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
60.2%Yes39.8%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.211 | 0.766 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.495 | 0.305 |
| btts | yes | 0.473 | 0.284 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 35 matches since 2005
Goals 53–44 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Betis 2–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 2–2 Real Betis ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Betis 1–2 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Betis 2–3 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 1–1 Real Betis ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Betis 1–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Betis 0–2 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Villarreal all · 6 | Villarreal at home · 2 | Real Betis all · 6 | Real Betis away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.83 | – | 2.50 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 3 | – | 5 / 0 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.67 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 67% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 33% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 33% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.10 | – | 1.68 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | – | 1.63 | – |
| xG difference | 0.69 | – | 0.05 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.43 | – | -0.34 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | – | 1.46 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.93 | – | 1.04 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.25 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 25% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | 25% | – |
| Minutes level | 53% | – | 65% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | – | 10% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 58 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 26 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | – | 38% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 36% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | – | 54% | – |
| Shots | 15.2 | – | 18.5 | – |
| On target | 6.5 | – | 6.8 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 7% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | 7.3 | – | 4.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 34% | – | 16% | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | – | 12% | – |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | – | 14.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | – | 57.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | 10.0 | – | 9.7 | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | 1.50 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Villarreal
0–15'01
16–30'21
31–45'45
46–60'01
61–75'10
76–90'33
Real Betis
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'51
46–60'01
61–75'11
76–90'21
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Villarreal · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.254
Game state
When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776
Situations
At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027
Congested vs rested +0.71 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11
Real Betis · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.26) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.267
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)+0.282
Game state
When ahead+0.296
When level+0.237
When behind+0.313
10 min after conceding+0.653
10 min after scoring+1.277
Situations
Against ten men-0.162
At home+0.033
Away+0.434
4+ days rest+0.236
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.452
As favourite+0.262
Evenly matched+0.473
As underdog-0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.357
Congested vs rested +0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level +0.08
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 6 100% | 0.83 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
Real Betis
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 17 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.68 | 1.63 |
| Metric | Villarreal all · 10 | Villarreal at home · 10 | Real Betis all · 10 | Real Betis away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 7 / 0 / 3 | 8 / 0 / 2 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 100% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.88 | 2.01 | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.30 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | 0.37 | 0.72 | 0.14 | -0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | 0.79 | 0.03 | 0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.83 | 1.51 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.79 | 0.27 | 0.89 | 0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 90% | 60% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 25% | 50% | 57% |
| Leads held | 33% | 70% | 100% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 56% | 32% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 37% | 51% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 8% | 17% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 24 | 46 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 53 | 30 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 37% | 29% | 50% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 53% | 38% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 50% | 52% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 14.3 | 17.3 | 13.9 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 20% | 9% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 72% | 54% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 24% | 24% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 7% | 19% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 11.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.5 | 52.5 | 53.5 | 48.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 86% | 87% | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 10.2 | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Villarreal
0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'78
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'45
Real Betis
0–15'21
16–30'03
31–45'64
46–60'21
61–75'43
76–90'21
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 9 90% | 0.89 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
Real Betis
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 17 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.63 | 1.63 | 1.13 | 1.63 | 1.58 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.62 | 0.47 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.04 | 1.17 |
| Metric | Villarreal all · 48 | Villarreal at home · 23 | Real Betis all · 52 | Real Betis away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 23 | 52 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.48 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.46 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 8 / 19 | 13 / 2 / 8 | 26 / 15 / 11 | 10 / 8 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.62 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.54 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 13% | 33% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 21% | 13% | 14% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 74% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 78% | 52% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.56 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.72 | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.07 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 74% | 56% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.06 | 2.38 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 1.00 | 1.05 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 27% | 52% | 47% |
| Leads held | 68% | 68% | 76% | 77% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 37% | 32% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 45% | 45% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 18% | 23% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 33 | 40 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 46 | 37 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 51% | 49% | 50% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 46% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 47% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 14.3 | 14.7 | 13.5 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 15% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 69% | 56% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 19% | 20% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 12% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 14.6 | 13.9 | 12.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.9 | 48.3 | 52.4 | 48.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.7 | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.25 | 1.87 | 2.23 | 2.42 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Villarreal
0–15'85
16–30'117
31–45'2118
46–60'1518
61–75'118
76–90'1518
Real Betis
0–15'910
16–30'1211
31–45'2113
46–60'158
61–75'1510
76–90'1211
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Villarreal · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: against ten men +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0148
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1048
Late push (76+, level)-0.0117
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2319
Game state
When ahead+0.0431
When level+0.0648
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3541
10 min after scoring+0.3538
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.903
At home+0.0723
Away-0.0425
3 days rest or fewer+0.0111
4+ days rest+0.0137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2412
v mid-tier opponents+0.0119
v bottom-tier opponents+0.288
As favourite+0.2026
Evenly matched-0.1511
As underdog-0.2711
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1948
Conceded when ahead+0.1831
Conceded late (76+)+0.0943
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.18
Real Betis · 52 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1452
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0252
Late push (76+, level)-0.0120
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0215
Game state
When ahead+0.0834
When level+0.1952
When behind+0.1123
10 min after conceding-0.1235
10 min after scoring+0.5544
Situations
With ten men-0.322
Against ten men+0.095
At home+0.1126
Away+0.1626
3 days rest or fewer+0.0310
4+ days rest+0.1742
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0413
v mid-tier opponents+0.0717
v bottom-tier opponents+0.257
As favourite+0.1524
Evenly matched+0.1817
As underdog+0.0411
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0352
Conceded when ahead-0.0834
Conceded late (76+)-0.2648
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.08
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 45 94% | 1.49 | 1.67 | 1.51 | 1.66 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
Real Betis
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 4 · scoring 17 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 35 67% | 1.86 | 1.63 | 1.17 | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 14 27% | 1.79 | 1.5 | 1.21 | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.04 | 1.17 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.6 pts at 20m
2.02Home 48% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 1.913.96Draw 25% · +0.4 ptsopened 4.03.57Away 27% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 3.83
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 ▼ -2.4 | 3.96 · +0.4 | 3.57 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -1.7 | 4.0 · -0.2 | 3.5 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.91 · -0.9 | 3.9 · -0.3 | 3.5 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.93 · -0.5 | 3.9 · +0.1 | 3.6 · +0.4 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.91 · -0.3 | 4.0 ▼ -1.7 | 3.5 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 · +0.1 | 4.0 ▼ -1.9 | 3.5 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.87 · +0.0 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 3.85 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 ▼ -2.7 | 3.7 · -0.1 | 3.4 ▲ +2.8 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 1.2h
1.44Yes 65% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 1.532.62No 35% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 2.37
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 ▲ +3.8 | 2.62 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.36 ▲ +5.1 | 3.0 ▼ -5.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.33 ▲ +6.8 | 3.0 ▼ -6.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.56 · +0.0 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.4 ▲ +4.7 | 2.75 ▼ -4.7 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.3 pts at 9.0h
1.44Over 67% ▲ +5.9 ptsopened 1.592.88Under 33% ▼ -5.9 ptsopened 2.46
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44 ▲ +5.9 | 2.88 ▼ -5.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.44 ▲ +5.5 | 2.75 ▼ -5.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.36 ▲ +6.4 | 2.88 ▼ -6.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.42 ▲ +5.0 | 2.59 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.62 · +0.0 | 2.23 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.9Home 50% P 48%4.0Draw 24% P 25%3.5Away 27% P 27%
Double Chance
1.28Villarreal or Draw 37%1.25Villarreal or Real Betis 37%1.8Draw or Real Betis 26%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 66% P 67%2.75Under 34% P 33%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 56%1.9Under 49% P 44%
4.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 48% | 47% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 27% | 26% | 25% | -0.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
- Career
- 61 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.34 (4.23 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.28
- Cards to home side
- 51%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 58 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.28 | 5.08 | -1.23 | 14 |
| Fouls / match | 24.8 | 25.7 | -0.73 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 5.1 | +1.14 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.34 | -0.52 | 25 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 7.7 | +0.45 | 64 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 90' | 8 |
| 2026-08-17 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 26' | 7 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2026-05-13 | – | – | 23 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-05-01 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 45' | 6 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 20' | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 59' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 · Real Betis | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 34' | 11 |
| 2026-02-27 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 20' | 9 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 20' | 6 |