Rating 7.05 (72th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (22% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– SevillaValencia –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Sevilla | at home | Stat | league | away | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 #18 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 46.7 #13 |
| 11.7 #11 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 8.7 #19 |
| 4.3 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 2.3 #18 |
| 3.7 #16 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 15.2 #2 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 10.8 #14 |
| 1.5 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.3 #5 |
| 19.0 #3 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 16.2 #14 |
| 107.0 #5 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 88.3 #14 |
| 47.5 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 36.0 #17 |
| 346.5 #18 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 432.7 #12 |
| 3.0 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #11 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | – |
| 0.7 #12 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.2 #20 |
| – #6 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #20 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #6 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #9 |
| 1.2 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.7 #20 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.4 #17 |
| – #16 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #1 |
| 1.5 #8 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 #20 |
| 1.0 #14 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 #9 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | – |
| 8.3 #14 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 7.5 #17 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #1 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.8 #8 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #19 |
| 2.7 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 3.3 #7 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 5.0 #18 |
| 4.7 #12 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.0 #20 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Sevilla · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 6.97 (83th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (11% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.05 (73th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Valencia · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 6.72 (31th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 6.72 (29th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Rating 6.64 (12th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Absences
Sevilla
- suspension Arouna Sangante #17 key player defender · Red Card Suspension · until 2026-09-12
Valencia
- injury Diego López attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 11 missed · until 2027-03-01
- injury Sergi Canós attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 19 missed · until 2026-11-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
- Capacity
- 42,714
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 39,939
Teams
- Coaches
- Luis García Plaza · Carlos Corberán Vallet
- Position
- 7 · 20
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
Referee
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 27.7° (feels 27.9°)
- Wind
- 7.6
- Humidity
- 48%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Sevilla
LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 5.75–7.1 · xPts 5.68
- D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 0.44–1.51
ESP PL
- L
H
Atlético de Madrid
1–3
xG 1.46–1.2
ESP PL
- W
A
Athletic Club
3–1
xG 0.54–1.58
ESP PL
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2–1
xG 2.56–1.65
ESP PL
- L
A
Celta de Vigo
0–1
xG 0.75–1.15
ESP PL
LLWWLD 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.81–8.47 · xPts 6.82
- D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 0.44–1.51
ESP PL
- L
H
Atlético de Madrid
1–3
xG 1.46–1.2
ESP PL
- W
A
Athletic Club
3–1
xG 0.54–1.58
ESP PL
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2–1
xG 2.56–1.65
ESP PL
- L
A
Celta de Vigo
0–1
xG 0.75–1.15
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Madrid
0–1
xG 1.06–1.37
ESP PL
Valencia
WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 5.25–7.47 · xPts 6.26
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.51–3.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–3
xG 1.24–1.46
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 1.09–0.82
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.73–0.47
ESP PL
- W
H
FC Barcelona
3–1
xG 1.67–1.02
ESP PL
DWWDLLL 2W 2D 3L · 8 pts (1.14 ppg) · GF 9 GA 14 · xG 7.18–9.37 · xPts 9.0
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–5
xG 0.51–3.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Deportivo A Coruña
1–3
xG 1.24–1.46
ESP PL
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 1.09–0.82
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.73–0.47
ESP PL
- W
H
FC Barcelona
3–1
xG 1.67–1.02
ESP PL
- W
A
Real Sociedad
4–3
xG 1.14–0.67
ESP PL
- D
H
Rayo Vallecano
1–1
xG 0.79–1.23
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
47.7%Sevilla P 54%26.4%Draw P 27%25.9%Valencia P 19%
Over / under 2.5
46.6%Over 2.5 P 44%53.4%Under 2.5 P 56%
Both teams to score
50.4%Yes49.6%No
Expected
- Sevilla goals
- 1.5 (0–3)
- Valencia goals
- 1.04 (0–2)
- Corners
- 7.93 (4–12)
- Cards
- 4.72 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 47.7% / 26.4% / 25.9%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
36.2%Sevilla27.0%Draw36.8%Valencia
Over / under 2.5
49.6%Over 2.550.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
55.0%Yes45.0%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.74 | 0.41 |
| btts | no | 0.701 | 0.508 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.627 | 0.434 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 45 matches since 2005
Goals 50–47 · 2.16 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–9 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 10%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- W Sevilla 1–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Sevilla 0–2 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Valencia 1–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Sevilla 1–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 0–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Sevilla 1–2 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Valencia 0–2 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Sevilla 1–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 1–1 Sevilla neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Sevilla all · 6 | Sevilla at home · 3 | Valencia all · 6 | Valencia away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.17 | – | 0.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 1 | – | 1 / 1 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 67% | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | 17% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.15 | – | 0.73 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.06 | – | 1.40 | – |
| xG difference | 0.09 | – | -0.68 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.35 | – | -0.39 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.72 | – | -0.33 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 2% | – |
| Minutes level | 52% | – | 65% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | – | 33% | – |
| First goal (min) | 58 | – | 52 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | – | 46 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 89% | – | 50% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 8.7 | – |
| On target | 4.3 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 4% | – |
| Shots inside box | 57% | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | – | 0.7 | – |
| Corners | 3.7 | – | 4.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 14% | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 13.0 | – | 7.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 53.0 | – | 31.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 15.2 | – | 10.5 | – |
| Cards | 3.17 | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sevilla
0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31
Valencia
0–15'02
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'02
61–75'00
76–90'14
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sevilla · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Game state
When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616
Situations
With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106
Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48
Valencia · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.236
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.544
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.103
Game state
When level-0.236
When behind-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.604
10 min after scoring+0.462
Situations
At home-0.323
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.265
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.224
Evenly matched-0.223
As underdog-0.253
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.386
Conceded late (76+)+0.055
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.03
Sevilla
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 83% | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.44 | 1.51 |
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Sevilla all · 10 | Sevilla at home · 10 | Valencia all · 10 | Valencia away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.13 | 1.36 | 0.92 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.07 | 0.88 | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.48 | -0.33 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.27 | -0.26 | 0.18 | -0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.42 | 1.69 | 1.20 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.48 | 0.01 | 0.20 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 20% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 40% | 43% | 29% |
| Leads held | 86% | 71% | 100% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 19% | 10% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 49% | 64% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 32% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 59 | 50 | 48 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 33 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 79% | 64% | 64% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 36% | 27% | 60% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 44% | 45% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.9 | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| On target | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 8% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 54% | 58% | 60% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 36% | 26% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 27% | 18% | 36% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 14.6 | 8.1 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.2 | 58.3 | 37.8 | 40.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 76% | 80% | 82% |
| Fouls | 15.2 | 14.6 | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 3.00 | 3.40 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sevilla
0–15'14
16–30'02
31–45'21
46–60'42
61–75'21
76–90'51
Valencia
0–15'13
16–30'23
31–45'10
46–60'03
61–75'32
76–90'44
Sevilla
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.0 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 1.33 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.19 | 1.18 |
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
| Metric | Sevilla all · 40 | Sevilla at home · 20 | Valencia all · 40 | Valencia away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 20 | 40 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 7 / 18 | 9 / 3 / 8 | 13 / 10 / 17 | 6 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.48 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 25% | 28% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 55% | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.09 | 1.35 | 1.31 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 1.34 | 1.14 | 1.26 | 1.40 |
| xG difference | -0.25 | 0.21 | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | -0.10 | -0.21 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.22 | 1.52 | 1.43 | 1.19 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | -0.01 | -0.21 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 45% | 38% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.18 | 2.22 | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.91 | 0.70 | 0.45 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 33% | 37% | 23% |
| Leads held | 71% | 75% | 72% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 26% | 15% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 46% | 60% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 29% | 26% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 49 | 44 | 52 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 39 | 44 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 60% | 73% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 48% | 65% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 48% | 48% |
| Shots | 11.6 | 12.8 | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| On target | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 37% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 12% | 20% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 12.7 | 15.3 | 10.8 | 8.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.9 | 58.3 | 43.8 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 14.8 | 15.3 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 3.13 | 3.25 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sevilla
0–15'67
16–30'38
31–45'813
46–60'1010
61–75'76
76–90'1415
Valencia
0–15'54
16–30'49
31–45'37
46–60'611
61–75'1111
76–90'1515
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sevilla · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: against ten men -0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0740
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0640
Late push (76+, level)-0.0414
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0921
Game state
When ahead-0.2221
When level+0.1540
When behind+0.1325
10 min after conceding-0.1033
10 min after scoring+0.3630
Situations
With ten men+0.015
Against ten men-0.563
At home+0.0820
Away+0.0620
3 days rest or fewer+0.012
4+ days rest+0.0738
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.127
v mid-tier opponents+0.0919
v bottom-tier opponents+0.135
As favourite+0.148
Evenly matched+0.1016
As underdog+0.0016
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0521
Conceded late (76+)-0.1538
Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.02
Valencia · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0440
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0340
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1320
Game state
When ahead-0.0918
When level+0.0140
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3730
10 min after scoring+0.4829
Situations
Against ten men-0.456
At home-0.0720
Away-0.0220
3 days rest or fewer-0.103
4+ days rest-0.0437
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.306
v mid-tier opponents-0.0520
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.188
Evenly matched-0.0615
As underdog-0.1417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1540
Conceded when ahead+0.0718
Conceded late (76+)-0.1038
Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.13
Sevilla
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 35% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.71 | 1.18 | 1.33 |
| 5-3-2 | 6 15% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.06 | 1.36 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 12% | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.86 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.61 | 1.24 |
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 22 55% | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 22% | 1.78 | 1.11 | 0.78 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 10% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.0 pts at 10m · late move: home +3.4 pts inside the final hour
1.81Home 54% ▲ +11.6 ptsopened 2.33.57Draw 27% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 3.215.09Away 19% ▼ -8.7 ptsopened 3.48
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81 ▲ +11.6 | 3.57 ▼ -2.9 | 5.09 ▼ -8.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.85 ▲ +9.2 | 3.4 ▼ -2.5 | 4.33 ▼ -6.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.0 ▲ +5.5 | 3.3 ▼ -2.0 | 4.0 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▲ +11.1 | 3.5 ▼ -2.4 | 4.75 ▼ -8.7 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.8 ▲ +10.9 | 3.5 ▼ -3.2 | 4.6 ▼ -7.8 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.8 ▲ +10.5 | 3.4 ▼ -2.6 | 4.6 ▼ -7.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.05 ▲ +5.3 | 3.2 · -0.7 | 3.9 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +11.9 | 3.3 ▼ -3.2 | 4.6 ▼ -8.7 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.3 pts at 2.0h
2.05Yes 45% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 2.01.7No 55% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.75
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 ▼ -1.3 | 1.7 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.05 ▼ -3.2 | 1.73 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.95 · +0.0 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.98 · +0.3 | 1.75 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 40m · late move: under -2.4 pts inside the final hour
2.22Over 44% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 2.41.73Under 56% ▼ -3.5 ptsopened 1.62
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22 ▲ +3.5 | 1.73 ▼ -3.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.3 ▲ +1.3 | 1.61 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.25 · +0.8 | 1.62 · -0.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.07 ▲ +2.8 | 1.65 ▼ -2.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.3 ▲ +1.3 | 1.58 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.85Home 51% P 54%3.4Draw 28% P 27%4.33Away 22% P 19%
Double Chance
1.22Sevilla or Draw 38%1.3Sevilla or Valencia 36%1.8Draw or Valencia 26%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.3Over 41% P 44%1.61Under 59% P 56%
Total Corners
5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
4.51.61Over 58% P 64%2.2Under 42% P 36%
5.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 54% | 54% | 52% | -1.7 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 27% | +0.4 |
| Away | 19% | 19% | 20% | +1.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
- Career
- 62 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.97 (5.63 yellow · 0.29 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.3 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 61 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.79 | 5.08 | +1.19 | 93 |
| Fouls / match | 25.5 | 25.7 | -0.27 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.4 | 5.1 | -1.15 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.34 | -0.69 | 11 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.04 | 39 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.5
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 48' | 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 10' | 6 |
| 2026-07-14 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 5' | 3 |
| 2026-05-23 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-05-13 · Sevilla | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 81' | 8 |
| 2026-05-09 | 9 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 12' | 10 |
| 2026-04-27 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 70' | 8 |
| 2026-04-22 | 9 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 27' | 11 |
| 2026-04-04 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-02-22 · Sevilla | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 26' | 12 |