Rating 7.06 (77th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (33% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– RSOATM –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Real Sociedad | at home | Stat | league | away | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5 #9 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 56.5 #3 |
| 12.3 #9 | – | Shots total | 12.9 | – | 16.8 #4 |
| 5.0 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.6 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| 7.7 #3 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.3 #7 |
| 12.5 #10 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 11.2 #12 |
| 1.2 #17 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #10 |
| 18.2 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 17.3 #8 |
| 96.5 #11 | – | Attacks | 96.9 | – | 111.8 #3 |
| 42.5 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 53.7 #4 |
| 483.8 #9 | – | Passes | 455.9 | – | 553.7 #4 |
| 2.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.7 #15 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 0.8 #11 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.7 #3 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 55.7 | – | – #16 |
| – #12 | – | Cleansheet | 25.7 | – | – #2 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.8 | – | – #9 |
| 1.0 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.7 #4 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 25.7 | – | – #9 |
| 1.0 #15 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 #3 |
| 1.8 #5 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 #14 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #10 |
| 6.8 #19 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 10.0 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 38.2 | – | – #15 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.8 #10 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| 4.0 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 4.8 #3 |
| 7.0 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 10.2 #5 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 5.3 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 6.7 #2 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 38.0 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Real Sociedad · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.03 (88th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.76 (36th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Atlético de Madrid · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.45 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.35 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Absences
Real Sociedad
- suspension Jon Martín #15 key player defender · Red Card Suspension · 1 missed · until 2026-09-14
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián
- Capacity
- 40,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 31,834
Teams
- Coaches
- Pellegrino Matarazzo · D. Simeone
- Position
- 11 · 9
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Juan Martínez Munuera
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 19.1° (feels 19.2°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 82%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Espanyol |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 9 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 19 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Elche |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 10 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 11 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Real Sociedad
LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.34–8.26 · xPts 5.41
- W
A
Elche
3–2
xG 0.69–2.54
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.94–0.61
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.11–0.86
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 0.63–2.55
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.99–1.71
ESP PL
LDLLWDW 2W 2D 3L · 8 pts (1.14 ppg) · GF 10 GA 13 · xG 7.15–11.2 · xPts 7.34
- W
A
Elche
3–2
xG 0.69–2.54
ESP PL
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
0–0
xG 0.94–0.61
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.11–0.86
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–4
xG 0.63–2.55
ESP PL
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.99–1.71
ESP PL
- D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 1.14–1.79
ESP PL
- L
H
Valencia
3–4
xG 0.67–1.14
ESP PL
Atlético de Madrid
WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 4.88–7.64 · xPts 5.4
- L
A
Liverpool
1–2
xG 0.6–1.46
UEFA CL - L
A
Athletic Club
0–3
xG 0.97–1.21
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
3–1
xG 1.2–1.46
ESP PL
- D
H
Villarreal
2–2
xG 1.14–3.16
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL
WLWDWLL 3W 1D 3L · 10 pts (1.43 ppg) · GF 10 GA 13 · xG 8.37–12.45 · xPts 7.47
- L
A
Liverpool
1–2
xG 0.6–1.46
UEFA CL
- L
A
Athletic Club
0–3
xG 0.97–1.21
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
3–1
xG 1.2–1.46
ESP PL
- D
H
Villarreal
2–2
xG 1.14–3.16
ESP PL
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL
- L
A
Villarreal
1–5
xG 1.01–2.47
ESP PL
- W
H
Girona
1–0
xG 2.49–2.34
ESP PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
35.3%Real Sociedad P 28%25.2%Draw P 27%39.4%Atlético de Madrid P 45%
Over / under 2.5
55.4%Over 2.5 P 56%44.6%Under 2.5 P 44%
Both teams to score
58.7%Yes41.3%No
Expected
- Real Sociedad goals
- 1.4 (0–3)
- Atlético de Madrid goals
- 1.5 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.53 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.51 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 35.4% / 25.2% / 39.4%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
34.8%Real Sociedad27.6%Draw37.5%Atlético de Madrid
Over / under 2.5
50.2%Over 2.549.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
54.1%Yes45.9%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.93 | 0.555 |
| btts | no | 0.885 | 0.69 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.591 | 0.399 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 37 matches since 2005
Goals 33–66 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 49%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–21 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Real Sociedad 0–3 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 3–2 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Sociedad 1–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 4–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Sociedad 1–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Sociedad 0–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Sociedad 1–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Sociedad 1–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Real Sociedad all · 6 | Real Sociedad at home · 3 | Atlético de Madrid all · 6 | Atlético de Madrid away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.17 | – | 2.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 3 | – | 4 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 2.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 50% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.95 | – | 1.67 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | – | 1.17 | – |
| xG difference | -0.74 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | – | 0.66 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | – | 1.66 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | – | 0.51 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 83% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.60 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 80% | – |
| Minutes leading | 25% | – | 34% | – |
| Minutes level | 63% | – | 56% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | – | 9% | – |
| First goal (min) | 20 | – | 48 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 60 | – | 59 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | – | 71% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 82% | – | 100% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.67 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | 57% | – |
| Shots | 12.2 | – | 16.8 | – |
| On target | 5.0 | – | 6.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | 56% | – | 60% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 3.0 | – |
| Corners | 7.7 | – | 5.3 | – |
| xG from set plays | 18% | – | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | – | 18.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | – | 64.2 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | 12.3 | – | 11.3 | – |
| Cards | 2.33 | – | 1.83 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Sociedad
0–15'20
16–30'00
31–45'22
46–60'01
61–75'14
76–90'14
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'10
16–30'20
31–45'10
46–60'22
61–75'22
76–90'62
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Sociedad · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.077
Early press (0-15, level)-0.207
Late push (76+, level)-0.523
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.244
Game state
When ahead+0.242
When level-0.107
When behind-0.324
10 min after conceding-0.316
10 min after scoring+0.104
Situations
With ten men+0.012
At home-0.064
Away-0.093
4+ days rest-0.116
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As favourite+0.123
As underdog-0.234
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.322
Conceded late (76+)+0.147
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level +0.34 · Behind vs level -0.22
Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486
Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 1.69 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 67% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| Metric | Real Sociedad all · 10 | Real Sociedad at home · 10 | Atlético de Madrid all · 10 | Atlético de Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 0 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.91 | 1.59 | 1.56 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 0.94 | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | -0.76 | 0.64 | 0.01 | -0.55 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.29 | 0.01 | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.76 | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | -0.56 | 0.53 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.60 | 2.25 | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 40% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 29% | 39% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 44% | 44% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 28% | 17% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 25 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 37 | 56 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 56% | 58% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 68% | 47% | 64% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 57% | 54% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.2 | 13.6 | 14.1 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 55% | 62% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 39% | 25% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 19% | 11% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 9.9 | 14.5 | 13.9 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.8 | 56.8 | 53.6 | 43.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 86% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 13.6 | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Sociedad
0–15'32
16–30'22
31–45'22
46–60'21
61–75'26
76–90'16
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'24
61–75'32
76–90'63
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.33 | 0.83 | 2.17 | 0.69 | 1.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.73 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.4 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
| Metric | Real Sociedad all · 41 | Real Sociedad at home · 21 | Atlético de Madrid all · 56 | Atlético de Madrid away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 41 | 21 | 56 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.80 | 1.29 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 12 / 16 | 9 / 5 / 7 | 31 / 8 / 17 | 10 / 6 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.51 | 1.76 | 1.88 | 1.39 |
| Goals against / match | 1.66 | 1.57 | 1.30 | 1.57 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 14% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 19% | 14% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 71% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 71% | 62% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | 1.06 | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | -0.15 | 0.46 | 0.21 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.68 | 1.49 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 52% | 71% | 64% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.05 | 2.45 | 2.25 | 1.78 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 36% | 29% | 8% |
| Leads held | 56% | 69% | 72% | 53% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 34% | 34% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 48% | 50% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 19% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 36 | 32 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 47 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 60% | 55% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 58% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.6 | 13.8 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 68% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 35% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 14% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 11.1 | 13.2 | 16.5 | 11.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.7 | 50.3 | 52.5 | 42.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.33 | 2.07 | 2.43 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Sociedad
0–15'68
16–30'119
31–45'1210
46–60'1111
61–75'710
76–90'1520
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'195
16–30'1211
31–45'1615
46–60'1514
61–75'1712
76–90'2616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Sociedad · 41 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0141
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1941
Late push (76+, level)-0.3321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2619
Game state
When ahead+0.0423
When level+0.0041
When behind-0.1123
10 min after conceding-0.2637
10 min after scoring+0.1734
Situations
With ten men-0.206
Against ten men-0.264
At home+0.0121
Away-0.0420
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.0239
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.268
v mid-tier opponents+0.0317
v bottom-tier opponents+0.086
As favourite+0.0514
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.2514
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1541
Conceded when ahead+0.0623
Conceded late (76+)+0.0540
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11
Atlético de Madrid · 56 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.31) · stands out: against ten men -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2856
Late push (76+, level)+0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1717
Game state
When ahead+0.3343
When level+0.3556
When behind+0.1424
10 min after conceding-0.0838
10 min after scoring+0.6048
Situations
With ten men-0.116
Against ten men-0.624
At home+0.4628
Away+0.1728
3 days rest or fewer+0.3423
4+ days rest+0.2933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.4224
v bottom-tier opponents+0.296
As favourite+0.4735
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.108
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0756
Conceded when ahead-0.0743
Conceded late (76+)-0.2350
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.21
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 37% | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.93 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-4-2 | 14 34% | 1.86 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 9 22% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.29 | 1.5 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 0.4 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 38 68% | 1.76 | 2.05 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 1.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 2.16 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.18 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.3 pts at 14.0h
3.53Home 28% ▼ -5.8 ptsopened 2.93.59Draw 27% · +0.7 ptsopened 3.672.14Away 45% ▲ +5.1 ptsopened 2.4
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.53 ▼ -5.8 | 3.59 · +0.7 | 2.14 ▲ +5.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 3.5 ▼ -6.4 | 3.6 · -0.0 | 2.0 ▲ +6.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.25 ▼ -5.6 | 3.4 · -0.4 | 2.05 ▲ +6.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.4 ▼ -5.4 | 3.5 · +0.9 | 2.1 ▲ +4.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.3 ▼ -4.4 | 3.5 · +0.6 | 2.1 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.3 ▼ -4.9 | 3.5 · +0.9 | 2.1 ▲ +4.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.8 · +0.0 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 2.38 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 3.2 ▼ -3.5 | 3.4 · +0.3 | 2.1 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 3.0d
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 1.572.37No 39% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +1.9 | 2.37 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▼ -3.2 | 2.3 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.53 · +0.0 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.54 · +0.0 | 2.35 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.6 ▼ -1.3 | 2.3 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.7 pts at 20m · late move: under +2.4 pts inside the final hour
1.74Over 56% · -0.6 ptsopened 1.712.21Under 44% · +0.7 ptsopened 2.23
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 · -0.6 | 2.21 · +0.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +1.8 | 2.3 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +1.0 | 2.25 ▼ -1.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 · -0.8 | 2.04 · +0.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.68 · +0.0 | 2.17 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.5Home 27% P 28%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.0Away 47% P 45%
Double Chance
1.7Real Sociedad or Draw 28%1.28Real Sociedad or Atletico Madrid 37%1.33Draw or Atletico Madrid 35%
Draw No Bet
2.371 39%1.532 61%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 56%2.3Under 41% P 44%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 28% | 28% | 34% | +6.0 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 22% | -3.6 |
| Away | 45% | 46% | 44% | -2.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Juan Martínez Munuera
- Career
- 254 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.74 (4.55 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.9 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 88 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.09 | 5.08 | +0.07 | 43 |
| Fouls / match | 27.2 | 25.7 | +0.86 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.1 | +0.10 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.10 | 46 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.04 | 39 |
- First card
- 28' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 66' | 7 |
| 2026-08-27 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 32' | 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 12' | 8 |
| 2026-08-06 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 38' | 10 |
| 2026-07-22 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 46' | 4 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 3' | 5 |
| 2026-05-13 | 7 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2026-05-04 · Real Sociedad | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 28' | 8 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 35' | 9 |
| 2026-04-05 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 29' | 6 |