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La Liga · Matchweek 5

Momentum

RACALA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
Capacity
22,308
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,342

Teams

Coaches
José López Menéndez · Enrique Sánchez Flores
Position
13 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.7° (feels 21.9°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 312

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Racing Santander

DLWL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 5.4–4.52 · xPts 5.97

  • L A Rayo Vallecano 2–3 xG 0.56–1.35 ESP PL
  • W H Elche 3–2 xG 1.67–1.24 ESP PL
  • L A Getafe 0–1 xG 1.14–1.02 ESP PL
  • D H Villarreal 2–2 xG 2.03–0.9 ESP PL

Deportivo Alavés

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 7.31–5.75 · xPts 8.02

  • W H Osasuna 5–2 xG 1.17–1.76 ESP PL
  • W H Villarreal 1–0 xG 0.74–1.73 ESP PL
  • D A Rayo Vallecano 1–1 xG 1.63–0.57 ESP PL
  • W H Getafe 3–0 xG 1.73–0.34 ESP PL
  • L H Rayo Vallecano 1–2 xG 2.03–1.35 ESP PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

33.2%Racing Santander P 36%25.9%Draw P 28%40.9%Deportivo Alavés P 36%

Over / under 2.5

52.2%Over 2.5 P 55%47.8%Under 2.5 P 45%

Both teams to score

56.1%Yes43.9%No

Expected

Racing Santander goals
1.3 (0–3)
Deportivo Alavés goals
1.47 (0–3)
Corners
16.02 (10–22)
Cards
4.77 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 33.2% / 25.9% / 40.9%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

42.3%Racing Santander27.7%Draw30.0%Deportivo Alavés

Over / under 2.5

51.9%Over 2.548.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.0%Yes45.0%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home1.1020.68
ou_2_5over0.6510.458
bttsyes0.5780.385

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 3 matches since 2005

Racing Santander 11 draws1 Deportivo Alavés

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Racing Santander 11 draws1 Deportivo Alavés

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Racing Santander 11 draws1 Deportivo Alavés

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Racing Santander 2–1 Deportivo Alavés ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Racing Santander ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Racing Santander 1–2 Deportivo Alavés neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricRacing Santander all · 6Racing Santander at home · 3Deportivo Alavés all · 6Deportivo Alavés away · 2
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.171.67
W / D / L2 / 1 / 33 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.831.83
Goals against / match2.671.00
Clean sheets0%33%
Failed to score17%17%
Both teams scored83%50%
Over 2.583%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.411.36
xG against / match2.171.07
xG difference-0.760.29
Finishing vs xG0.420.47
xPts / match1.181.59
Points vs xPts-0.020.07
Game state
Scored first50%67%
PPG when scoring first1.332.25
PPG when conceding first1.000.50
Came back from behind25%33%
Leads held50%75%
Minutes leading30%29%
Minutes level41%55%
Minutes trailing28%16%
First goal (min)2247
First goal conceded (min)4152
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half18%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%83%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.67
Late goals against0.830.17
Style
Possession46%44%
Shots10.214.2
On target3.85.2
Shot conversion18%13%
Shots inside box66%62%
Big chances created2.52.8
Corners4.54.8
xG from set plays29%21%
Goals from headers0%27%
Pressure index8.612.1
Dominant minutes40.751.8
Pass accuracy80%79%
Fouls14.313.7
Cards2.332.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Racing Santander

0–15'21
16–30'43
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'05

Deportivo Alavés

0–15'00
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'41

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Racing Santander · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.136
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.382

Game state

When ahead-0.074
When level-0.036
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.526
10 min after scoring+0.185

Situations

At home-0.023
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.136

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.042
As underdog-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.38

Deportivo Alavés · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.086
Early press (0-15, level)-0.216
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.033

Game state

When ahead-0.194
When level-0.066
When behind+0.053
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.025

Situations

Against ten men-0.632
At home-0.184
Away+0.112
4+ days rest-0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.042
v bottom-tier opponents-0.043
Evenly matched-0.135

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded when ahead+0.274
Conceded late (76+)-0.156

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level +0.11

Racing Santander

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%1.41.81.81.351.29
4-1-3-21 17%0.02.07.01.756.6

Deportivo Alavés

Current: winless 2 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-24 67%1.52.251.251.451.03
5-3-22 33%2.01.00.51.191.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.2 pts at 5.0h

2.74Home 36% ▼ -4.4 ptsopened 2.423.44Draw 28% ▲ +1.8 ptsopened 3.652.69Away 36% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 2.88
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.74 ▼ -4.43.44 ▲ +1.82.69 ▲ +2.610m
bet3652.6 ▼ -2.13.5 · -0.12.6 ▲ +2.210m
Betfair2.63 ▼ -2.73.4 · +0.52.63 ▲ +2.210m
BetVictor2.63 ▼ -3.93.6 · -0.72.5 ▲ +4.510m
Coral2.5 ▼ -3.23.5 · +0.02.62 ▲ +3.210m
Ladbrokes2.5 ▼ -3.23.5 · +0.02.62 ▲ +3.210m
Unibet2.33 ▲ +1.93.55 · -1.02.9 · -0.910m
WilliamHill2.5 ▼ -2.53.3 · +0.12.5 ▲ +2.410m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 36%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.6Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5Racing Santander or Draw 31%1.28Racing Santander or CD Alaves 36%1.44Draw or CD Alaves 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

19.0Under 6 5%5.06 - 8 17%2.879 - 11 30%3.112 - 14 28%4.33Over 14 20%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Javier Alberola Rojas

Career
55 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.78 (3.55 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
25.8 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
47%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.925.07-1.804
Fouls / match26.225.7+0.20
Fouls per card6.85.1+2.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.33+0.6186
Time added7.17.7-0.5618
First card
38' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-29 40 360 45'12
2026-08-24 50 241 25'5
2026-08-20 30 250 32'5
2026-05-17 32 261 30'10
2026-05-09 100 310 26'9
2026-04-25 · Deportivo Alavés 30 290 26'10
2026-04-10 30 220 35'7
2026-03-21 50 231 29'9
2026-03-09 50 320 12'11
2026-02-22 30 220 20'15