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La Liga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

VillarrealCOR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Capacity
23,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,302

Teams

Coaches
Iñigo Pérez · Antonio Hidalgo
Position
15 · 9
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Jesús Gil Manzano

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
27.4° (feels 28.9°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
63%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Villarreal

LWDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.39–6.61 · xPts 8.45

  • L A Deportivo Alavés 0–1 xG 1.73–0.74 ESP PL
  • D A Atlético de Madrid 2–2 xG 3.16–1.14 ESP PL
  • D A Racing Santander 2–2 xG 0.9–2.03 ESP PL
  • W H Atlético de Madrid 5–1 xG 2.47–1.01 ESP PL
  • L A Rayo Vallecano 0–2 xG 1.13–1.69 ESP PL

Deportivo A Coruña

DDW 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 3.97–3.8 · xPts 4.11

  • W H Valencia 3–1 xG 1.46–1.24 ESP PL
  • D A Málaga 1–1 xG 1.96–1.31 ESP PL
  • D H Elche 1–1 xG 0.55–1.25 ESP PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Villarreal 95 draws7 Deportivo A Coruña

Goals 25–23 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Villarreal 34 draws3 Deportivo A Coruña

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Villarreal 13 draws1 Deportivo A Coruña

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Deportivo A Coruña 2–4 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Villarreal 1–1 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Villarreal 0–0 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Deportivo A Coruña 0–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Villarreal 0–2 Deportivo A Coruña neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Deportivo A Coruña 1–2 Villarreal neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 Villarreal neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Villarreal 3–0 Deportivo A Coruña ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Deportivo A Coruña 1–0 Villarreal neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricVillarreal all · 6Villarreal at home · 2Deportivo A Coruña all · 6Deportivo A Coruña away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.831.50
W / D / L1 / 2 / 32 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match1.671.50
Goals against / match1.831.17
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score17%17%
Both teams scored83%83%
Over 2.583%33%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.100.99
xG against / match1.401.24
xG difference0.69-0.25
Finishing vs xG-0.430.51
xPts / match1.761.13
Points vs xPts-0.930.37
Game state
Scored first33%50%
PPG when scoring first0.001.67
PPG when conceding first1.251.33
Came back from behind50%67%
Leads held25%50%
Minutes leading16%27%
Minutes level53%58%
Minutes trailing31%14%
First goal (min)4035
First goal conceded (min)3446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half36%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.50
Late goals against0.500.33
Style
Possession62%47%
Shots15.27.8
On target6.53.3
Shot conversion11%19%
Shots inside box70%64%
Big chances created3.31.3
Corners7.33.8
xG from set plays34%23%
Goals from headers11%12%
Pressure index18.39.5
Dominant minutes60.240.8
Pass accuracy89%85%
Fouls10.012.7
Cards2.002.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Villarreal

0–15'01
16–30'21
31–45'45
46–60'01
61–75'10
76–90'33

Deportivo A Coruña

0–15'10
16–30'32
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Villarreal · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.254

Game state

When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776

Situations

At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.71 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11

Deportivo A Coruña · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.236
Late push (76+, level)+0.004
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.084
When level-0.126
When behind-0.083
10 min after conceding-0.226
10 min after scoring+0.435

Situations

With ten men-0.132
At home-0.103
Away-0.013
4+ days rest-0.005

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.064
Evenly matched+0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.176
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)-0.166

Congested vs rested -0.32 · Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.04

Villarreal

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-26 100%0.831.671.832.11.4

Deportivo A Coruña

Current: winless 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-23 50%2.02.01.330.881.25
4-2-3-12 33%1.01.01.01.261.28
4-1-3-21 17%1.01.01.00.781.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.3 pts at 4.0h · late move: home -1.8 pts inside the final hour

1.48Home 65% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 1.514.78Draw 20% · -0.3 ptsopened 4.686.75Away 14% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 6.2
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 6 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.48 ▲ +1.64.78 · -0.36.75 ▼ -1.210m
bet3651.45 ▲ +2.44.75 ▼ -1.96.5 · -0.510m
Betfair1.47 ▲ +1.34.5 · -0.46.5 · -0.910m
BetVictor1.44 ▲ +3.34.75 ▼ -1.77.0 ▼ -1.610m
Unibet1.47 ▲ +3.04.4 ▼ -1.46.5 ▼ -1.610m
WilliamHill1.44 ▲ +2.64.5 ▼ -2.66.0 · +0.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 65% P 65%4.75Draw 20% P 20%6.5Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.1Villarreal or Draw 43%1.18Villarreal or Deportivo A Coruna 40%2.62Draw or Deportivo A Coruna 18%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 48%1.8Under 51% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%69%+3.3
Draw20%20%20%-0.7
Away14%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Jesús Gil Manzano

Career
182 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
48%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 97 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.465.08+0.6679
Fouls / match25.125.7-0.49
Fouls per card4.75.1-0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.34+0.3571
Time added7.47.7-0.2629
First card
29' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.45

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 20 250 28'5
2026-08-22 50 340 38'8
2026-05-23 60 270 54'8
2026-05-03 70 350 22'8
2026-04-25 20 7
2026-04-16 80 281 40'9
2026-04-12 50 240 23'7
2026-03-21 50 351 38'11
2026-03-14 40 320 55'12
2026-03-10 50 290 33'15