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La Liga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

RAYRAC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
Capacity
12,454
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,529

Teams

Coaches
Beñat San José Gil · José López Menéndez
Position
18 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alejandro Quintero González

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
30.9° (feels 29.5°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
29%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Rayo Vallecano

WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 5.48–10.8 · xPts 3.73

  • L A FC Barcelona 2–5 xG 1.15–2.71 ESP PL
  • D H Deportivo Alavés 1–1 xG 0.57–1.63 ESP PL
  • L A Sevilla 1–2 xG 1.65–2.56 ESP PL
  • L A Crystal Palace 0–1 xG 0.75–1.87 UEFA ECL
  • W A Deportivo Alavés 2–1 xG 1.35–2.03 ESP PL

Racing Santander

DLW 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.83–3.16 · xPts 5.22

  • W H Elche 3–2 xG 1.67–1.24 ESP PL
  • L A Getafe 0–1 xG 1.14–1.02 ESP PL
  • D H Villarreal 2–2 xG 2.03–0.9 ESP PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 3 matches since 2011

Rayo Vallecano 21 draws0 Racing Santander

Goals 8–5 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Rayo Vallecano 21 draws0 Racing Santander

Goals 8–5 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Rayo Vallecano 21 draws0 Racing Santander

Goals 8–5 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • W Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Rayo Vallecano 4–2 Racing Santander ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Racing Santander 1–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricRayo Vallecano all · 6Rayo Vallecano at home · 3Racing Santander all · 6Racing Santander away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.171.17
W / D / L2 / 1 / 32 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.671.83
Goals against / match2.502.67
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored100%83%
Over 2.583%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.261.41
xG against / match2.082.17
xG difference-0.82-0.76
Finishing vs xG0.410.42
xPts / match0.951.18
Points vs xPts0.22-0.02
Game state
Scored first67%50%
PPG when scoring first1.001.33
PPG when conceding first1.501.00
Came back from behind25%25%
Leads held40%50%
Minutes leading41%30%
Minutes level27%41%
Minutes trailing32%28%
First goal (min)2222
First goal conceded (min)3841
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%18%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.00
Late goals against0.670.83
Style
Possession46%46%
Shots12.510.2
On target5.03.8
Shot conversion13%18%
Shots inside box57%66%
Big chances created1.72.5
Corners5.54.5
xG from set plays20%29%
Goals from headers10%0%
Pressure index10.28.6
Dominant minutes44.740.7
Pass accuracy79%80%
Fouls12.814.3
Cards2.832.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'32
16–30'24
31–45'11
46–60'43
61–75'01
76–90'04

Racing Santander

0–15'21
16–30'43
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'05

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

Racing Santander · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.136
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.382

Game state

When ahead-0.074
When level-0.036
When behind-0.404
10 min after conceding-0.526
10 min after scoring+0.185

Situations

At home-0.023
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.136

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.042
As underdog-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead-0.034
Conceded late (76+)-0.045

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.38

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.751.53.01.42.57
4-1-4-11 17%1.01.01.00.571.63
4-3-31 17%3.03.02.01.350.56

Racing Santander

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%1.41.81.81.351.29
4-1-3-21 17%0.02.07.01.756.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +4.4 pts at 10.5h · late move: home +1.0 pts inside the final hour

1.99Home 49% ▲ +7.5 ptsopened 2.343.66Draw 27% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 3.513.96Away 25% ▼ -6.5 ptsopened 3.12
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.99 ▲ +7.53.66 ▼ -1.03.96 ▼ -6.510m
bet3651.9 ▲ +6.83.7 ▼ -2.23.8 ▼ -4.610m
Betfair2.25 ▲ +1.33.4 · -0.43.3 · -0.910m
BetVictor1.95 ▲ +7.13.8 ▼ -1.93.6 ▼ -5.210m
Coral1.95 ▲ +6.33.75 ▼ -1.93.6 ▼ -4.410m
Ladbrokes1.95 ▲ +5.93.7 ▼ -2.03.6 ▼ -3.910m
Unibet2.16 ▲ +2.73.4 · -0.23.35 ▼ -2.510m
WilliamHill2.0 ▲ +5.53.5 ▼ -1.53.6 ▼ -4.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 49%3.7Draw 26% P 27%3.8Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Rayo Vallecano or Draw 38%1.3Rayo Vallecano or Racing Santander 36%1.8Draw or Racing Santander 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 59%2.1Under 45% P 41%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56% P 59%2.1Under 44% P 41%
5.52.1Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.7
Away25%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Alejandro Quintero González

Career
40 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
5.33 (4.85 yellow · 0.38 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
49%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 37 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.415.08+0.5871
Fouls / match26.625.7+0.49
Fouls per card5.35.1+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.34+2.30100
Time added8.67.7+0.9696
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 46% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-23 10 251 33'7
2026-05-23 30 370 57'9
2026-05-14 · Rayo Vallecano 20 291 6'9
2026-05-02 70 210 28'11
2026-04-26 90 292 14'7
2026-04-13 81 362 11'9
2026-03-13 50 300 36'12
2026-02-21 60 231 32'11
2026-02-07 16 6
2026-01-26 80 280 17'5