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La Liga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

MálagaLevante
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
Capacity
30,044
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,264

Teams

Coaches
Juan Funes Arjona · Luís Ferreira de Castro
Position
20 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Lluís Bestard Servera

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
25.9° (feels 26.1°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 138

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Málaga

LDL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7 · xG 2.51–5.71 · xPts 2.14

  • L A Real Madrid 0–4 xG 0.86–2.79 ESP PL
  • D H Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 xG 1.31–1.96 ESP PL
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 0–2 xG 0.35–0.97 ESP PL

Levante

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 8.09–6.0 · xPts 8.09

  • W H Real Betis 5–2 xG 2.63–1.82 ESP PL
  • D A Osasuna 0–0 xG 0.85–0.68 ESP PL
  • L A Espanyol 0–3 xG 0.34–1.9 ESP PL
  • L A Real Betis 1–2 xG 1.89–1.24 ESP PL
  • W H Mallorca 2–0 xG 2.38–0.36 ESP PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 15 matches since 2010

Málaga 73 draws5 Levante

Goals 14–15 · 1.93 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Málaga 43 draws3 Levante

Goals 8–8 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Málaga 22 draws1 Levante

Goals 4–2 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Málaga 0–0 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 1–0 Málaga neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Málaga 0–0 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Málaga 3–1 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Levante 0–1 Málaga ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 4–1 Málaga ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Málaga 0–0 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Málaga 1–0 Levante ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Levante 1–0 Málaga ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Levante 1–2 Málaga ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricMálaga all · 6Málaga at home · 3Levante all · 5Levante away · 3
Results
Matches65
Points per game0.501.00
W / D / L0 / 3 / 31 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match0.501.40
Goals against / match1.831.80
Clean sheets17%40%
Failed to score50%60%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.533%60%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.881.34
xG against / match1.901.64
xG difference-1.02-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.380.06
xPts / match0.821.16
Points vs xPts-0.32-0.16
Game state
Scored first17%20%
PPG when scoring first0.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.500.00
Came back from behind40%0%
Leads held0%100%
Minutes leading5%10%
Minutes level59%52%
Minutes trailing35%38%
First goal (min)4352
First goal conceded (min)3815
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half33%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half36%33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.60
Late goals against0.500.40
Style
Possession50%40%
Shots9.811.6
On target1.74.2
Shot conversion5%12%
Shots inside box54%62%
Big chances created0.72.8
Corners4.83.4
xG from set plays51%25%
Goals from headers33%43%
Pressure index9.08.3
Dominant minutes37.737.2
Pass accuracy87%80%
Fouls12.310.0
Cards2.671.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Málaga

0–15'10
16–30'04
31–45'13
46–60'00
61–75'01
76–90'13

Levante

0–15'02
16–30'11
31–45'13
46–60'11
61–75'10
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Málaga · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.176
Early press (0-15, level)-0.006
Late push (76+, level)+0.183
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603

Game state

When level+0.016
When behind-0.485
10 min after conceding-0.605
10 min after scoring+0.303

Situations

At home-0.093
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.176

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.432
v mid-tier opponents+0.123
Evenly matched+0.232
As underdog-0.414

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.486
Conceded late (76+)+0.095

Ahead vs level -0.72 · Behind vs level -0.49

Levante · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.115
Early press (0-15, level)-0.275
Late push (76+, level)-0.082
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When level-0.055
When behind-0.152
10 min after conceding-0.573
10 min after scoring-0.332

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.115

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
Evenly matched-0.122
As underdog-0.103

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level -0.10

Málaga

Current: winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-14 67%0.50.751.750.711.94
4-3-31 17%1.00.00.01.570.87
4-4-21 17%0.00.04.00.862.79

Levante

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-13 60%1.671.670.671.451.36
4-2-3-11 20%0.00.03.00.341.9
4-4-21 20%0.02.04.01.992.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off

2.47Home 39% · +0.2 ptsopened 2.473.38Draw 29% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.333.06Away 32% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.05
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.47 · +0.23.38 · -0.33.06 · +0.110m
bet3652.5 · -0.13.3 ▼ -1.32.8 ▲ +1.410m
Betfair2.4 · -0.33.3 · +0.23.1 · +0.110m
BetVictor2.4 · +0.63.3 · +0.32.9 · -0.910m
Coral2.4 ▲ +1.63.4 ▼ -1.72.9 · +0.110m
Ladbrokes2.37 ▲ +1.73.3 ▼ -1.12.9 · -0.610m
Unibet2.3 ▲ +2.53.3 · +0.43.15 ▼ -2.910m
WilliamHill2.45 · +0.43.2 · -0.72.9 · +0.310m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 38% P 39%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.8Away 34% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Malaga or Draw 34%1.33Malaga or Levante 35%1.53Draw or Levante 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 53%1.9Under 50% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%
5.52.2Over 42% P 37%1.61Under 58% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw29%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Lluís Bestard Servera

No career statistics.

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.5 cards, 30.0 fouls per match.