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La Liga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

EspanyolSevilla
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
Capacity
40,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,475

Teams

Coaches
José González Álvarez · Luis García Plaza
Position
14 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
28.0° (feels 30.7°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
70%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Espanyol

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 6.24–8.37 · xPts 5.91

  • L A Real Sociedad 1–2 xG 0.86–2.11 ESP PL
  • L H Real Madrid 1–2 xG 0.93–2.37 ESP PL
  • W H Levante 3–0 xG 1.9–0.34 ESP PL
  • D H Real Sociedad 1–1 xG 1.79–1.14 ESP PL
  • W A Osasuna 2–1 xG 0.76–2.41 ESP PL

Sevilla

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.37–6.96 · xPts 6.25

  • L H Atlético de Madrid 1–3 xG 1.46–1.2 ESP PL
  • W A Athletic Club 3–1 xG 0.54–1.58 ESP PL
  • W H Rayo Vallecano 2–1 xG 2.56–1.65 ESP PL
  • L A Celta de Vigo 0–1 xG 0.75–1.15 ESP PL
  • L H Real Madrid 0–1 xG 1.06–1.37 ESP PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Espanyol 811 draws21 Sevilla

Goals 52–75 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Espanyol 14 draws5 Sevilla

Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Espanyol 12 draws2 Sevilla

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Espanyol 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Espanyol 2–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 1–1 Espanyol ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Espanyol 0–2 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 3–2 Espanyol ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Espanyol 2–3 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Espanyol 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 2–0 Espanyol ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 2–2 Espanyol ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricEspanyol all · 7Espanyol at home · 4Sevilla all · 6Sevilla away · 3
Results
Matches76
Points per game1.002.17
W / D / L2 / 1 / 44 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.431.50
Goals against / match1.431.00
Clean sheets29%33%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored71%67%
Over 2.571%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.401.15
xG against / match1.191.06
xG difference0.210.09
Finishing vs xG0.030.35
xPts / match1.571.44
Points vs xPts-0.570.72
Game state
Scored first29%67%
PPG when scoring first3.002.50
PPG when conceding first0.201.50
Came back from behind20%50%
Leads held100%80%
Minutes leading27%24%
Minutes level34%52%
Minutes trailing39%25%
First goal (min)4358
First goal conceded (min)2542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%89%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.50
Late goals against0.430.17
Style
Possession49%44%
Shots13.611.7
On target3.94.3
Shot conversion10%13%
Shots inside box58%57%
Big chances created2.01.5
Corners2.13.7
xG from set plays16%46%
Goals from headers11%11%
Pressure index12.913.0
Dominant minutes47.753.0
Pass accuracy82%77%
Fouls17.315.2
Cards3.003.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Espanyol

0–15'23
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'10
61–75'11
76–90'23

Sevilla

0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Espanyol · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: as underdog -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.217
Late push (76+, level)-0.712
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.045

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level-0.217
When behind+0.065
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.277

Situations

Against ten men+0.083
At home-0.104
Away-0.073
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest-0.285

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.085
As favourite+0.162
Evenly matched+0.142
As underdog-0.393

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead-0.042
Conceded late (76+)+0.027

Congested vs rested +0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.27

Sevilla · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213

Game state

When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106

Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48

Espanyol

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 86%1.171.51.331.480.99
4-4-21 14%0.01.02.00.932.37

Sevilla

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.41.61.01.290.97
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.00.441.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.2 pts at 1.2h

2.4Home 41% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.323.21Draw 30% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 3.333.34Away 29% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.3
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.4 ▼ -1.13.21 ▲ +1.33.34 · -0.210m
bet3652.35 ▼ -1.23.2 · +0.43.2 · +0.810m
Betfair2.3 · +0.63.2 ▲ +1.13.4 ▼ -1.610m
BetVictor2.38 · -0.33.1 · +0.53.3 · -0.110m
Coral2.3 ▲ +1.13.2 · -0.13.2 ▼ -1.010m
Ladbrokes2.3 ▲ +1.13.2 · -0.13.2 ▼ -1.010m
Unibet2.3 · -0.23.05 · -0.13.35 · +0.310m
WilliamHill2.3 · +0.03.1 · +0.03.1 · +0.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 41% P 41%3.2Draw 30% P 30%3.2Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Espanyol or Draw 35%1.33Espanyol or Sevilla 35%1.57Draw or Sevilla 30%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 42%1.72Under 55% P 58%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%
5.52.1Over 44% P 36%1.66Under 56% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.4
Away29%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Career
24 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.92 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
40%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 24 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.835.07-1.940
Fouls / match26.825.7+0.64
Fouls per card7.05.1+2.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.33+0.0139
Time added8.57.7+0.8793
First card
33' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 21 231 27'10
2026-08-16 60 281 45'8
2026-05-24 10 151 27'6
2026-05-14 90 320 12'9
2026-05-03 80 291 29'9
2026-04-12 70 261 24'8
2026-03-22 40 290 22'11
2026-03-14 50 230 16'9
2026-02-28 20 280 67'4
2026-02-14 50 381 35'10