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La Liga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

ElcheRSO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Capacity
31,388
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,562

Teams

Coaches
Martin Anselmi · Pellegrino Matarazzo
Position
19 · 14
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
26.2° (feels 26.2°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
72%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Elche

WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 3.99–6.02 · xPts 5.79

  • L A Racing Santander 2–3 xG 1.24–1.67 ESP PL
  • L H FC Barcelona 0–5 xG 0.69–2.96 ESP PL
  • D A Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 xG 1.25–0.55 ESP PL
  • D A Girona 1–1 xG 0.24–0.68 ESP PL
  • W H Getafe 1–0 xG 0.56–0.16 ESP PL

Real Sociedad

DLLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.79–7.52 · xPts 5.99

  • D H Celta de Vigo 0–0 xG 0.94–0.61 ESP PL
  • W H Espanyol 2–1 xG 2.11–0.86 ESP PL
  • L A Real Madrid 1–4 xG 0.63–2.55 ESP PL
  • L A Real Betis 0–1 xG 0.99–1.71 ESP PL
  • D A Espanyol 1–1 xG 1.14–1.79 ESP PL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 13 matches since 2013

Elche 12 draws10 Real Sociedad

Goals 7–26 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Elche 11 draws8 Real Sociedad

Goals 6–18 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Elche 01 draws4 Real Sociedad

Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Real Sociedad 3–1 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Real Sociedad 2–0 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Elche 0–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Elche 1–2 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Real Sociedad 1–0 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Real Sociedad 2–0 Elche ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Elche 0–3 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Elche 1–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricElche all · 7Elche at home · 3Real Sociedad all · 6Real Sociedad away · 3
Results
Matches76
Points per game0.711.17
W / D / L1 / 2 / 42 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.571.00
Goals against / match2.431.83
Clean sheets0%17%
Failed to score14%50%
Both teams scored86%50%
Over 2.571%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.390.95
xG against / match1.711.69
xG difference-0.32-0.74
Finishing vs xG0.180.05
xPts / match1.240.97
Points vs xPts-0.520.20
Game state
Scored first29%33%
PPG when scoring first2.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.200.00
Came back from behind20%0%
Leads held50%100%
Minutes leading15%25%
Minutes level33%63%
Minutes trailing52%12%
First goal (min)6120
First goal conceded (min)3460
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half82%33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%82%
Late goals for (76'+)0.710.17
Late goals against0.570.67
Style
Possession50%50%
Shots11.312.2
On target5.05.0
Shot conversion14%8%
Shots inside box63%56%
Big chances created2.31.7
Corners4.47.7
xG from set plays24%18%
Goals from headers33%0%
Pressure index11.510.2
Dominant minutes38.447.0
Pass accuracy83%85%
Fouls13.412.3
Cards2.572.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Elche

0–15'03
16–30'23
31–45'04
46–60'10
61–75'33
76–90'54

Real Sociedad

0–15'20
16–30'00
31–45'22
46–60'01
61–75'14
76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Elche · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.007
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When ahead-0.012
When level+0.007
When behind+0.015
10 min after conceding-0.317
10 min after scoring+0.036

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.124
3 days rest or fewer-0.132
4+ days rest+0.065

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents+0.084
As underdog+0.007

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.337
Conceded when ahead+0.292
Conceded late (76+)-0.066

Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.01

Real Sociedad · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.077
Early press (0-15, level)-0.207
Late push (76+, level)-0.523
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.244

Game state

When ahead+0.252
When level-0.107
When behind-0.324
10 min after conceding-0.316
10 min after scoring+0.104

Situations

With ten men+0.032
At home-0.064
Away-0.093
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.243
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As favourite+0.123
As underdog-0.234

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.322
Conceded late (76+)+0.147

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level +0.35 · Behind vs level -0.22

Elche

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-4-13 43%0.331.03.01.061.73
4-5-11 14%0.02.03.01.52.81
3-5-21 14%0.02.03.02.540.69
4-3-31 14%3.03.01.00.711.13
4-4-1-11 14%1.01.01.01.792.17

Real Sociedad

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.250.252.00.731.69
4-4-22 33%3.02.51.51.41.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.1 pts at 21.5h

3.58Home 27% ▼ -6.4 ptsopened 2.883.61Draw 27% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.572.12Away 46% ▲ +6.6 ptsopened 2.46
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.58 ▼ -6.43.61 · -0.12.12 ▲ +6.610m
bet3653.1 ▼ -2.53.4 · +0.72.3 ▲ +1.810m
Betfair3.4 ▼ -4.73.4 · -0.62.05 ▲ +5.310m
BetVictor3.5 ▼ -5.63.5 · -0.72.05 ▲ +6.310m
Coral3.1 ▼ -2.33.4 · -0.12.25 ▲ +2.410m
Ladbrokes3.1 ▼ -2.63.3 · +0.72.25 ▲ +1.910m
Unibet3.55 ▼ -4.93.45 · +0.02.06 ▲ +4.810m
WilliamHill3.3 ▼ -5.23.3 · -0.12.1 ▲ +5.310m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 31% P 27%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 46%

Double Chance

1.66Elche or Draw 28%1.3Elche or Real Sociedad 36%1.33Draw or Real Sociedad 35%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away46%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Career
98 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.36 yellow · 0.26 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
48%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 93 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.675.07-0.5925
Fouls / match23.125.7-1.90
Fouls per card5.05.1-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.33-0.957
Time added8.07.7+0.3657
First card
36' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 43% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-30 31 190 64'6
2026-08-27 30 190 27'7
2026-05-17 30 230 11'7
2026-05-10 50 161 15'9
2026-04-26 40 240 6'10
2026-04-12 30 220 56'7
2026-03-20 · Real Sociedad 20 210 38'10
2026-03-14 61 220 55'11
2026-03-01 40 170 42'9
2026-02-15 51 210 17'9