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La Liga · Matchweek 3

Momentum

SevillaATM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Capacity
42,714
Surface
grass
Attendance
38,340

Teams

Coaches
Luis García Plaza · D. Simeone
Position
4 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
26.6° (feels 26.6°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
43%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sevilla

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 6.1–6.94 · xPts 6.07

  • W A Athletic Club 3–1 xG 0.54–1.58 ESP PL
  • W H Rayo Vallecano 2–1 xG 2.56–1.65 ESP PL
  • L A Celta de Vigo 0–1 xG 0.75–1.15 ESP PL
  • L H Real Madrid 0–1 xG 1.06–1.37 ESP PL
  • W A Villarreal 3–2 xG 1.19–1.18 ESP PL

Atlético de Madrid

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.08–10.49 · xPts 5.37

  • D H Villarreal 2–2 xG 1.14–3.16 ESP PL
  • W H Málaga 2–0 xG 0.97–0.35 ESP PL
  • L A Villarreal 1–5 xG 1.01–2.47 ESP PL
  • W H Girona 1–0 xG 2.49–2.34 ESP PL
  • W A Osasuna 2–1 xG 1.47–2.18 ESP PL

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Sevilla 1112 draws20 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 45–73 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sevilla 21 draws7 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 10–23 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sevilla 10 draws4 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 7–13 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Sevilla 1–3 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Sevilla 2–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 1–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 4–3 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Sevilla 1–0 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 6–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 0–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Sevilla neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricSevilla all · 6Sevilla at home · 3Atlético de Madrid all · 6Atlético de Madrid away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.172.17
W / D / L4 / 1 / 14 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.502.33
Goals against / match1.001.00
Clean sheets33%50%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored67%33%
Over 2.550%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.67
xG against / match1.061.17
xG difference0.090.50
Finishing vs xG0.350.66
xPts / match1.441.66
Points vs xPts0.720.51
Game state
Scored first67%83%
PPG when scoring first2.502.60
PPG when conceding first1.500.00
Came back from behind50%50%
Leads held80%80%
Minutes leading24%34%
Minutes level52%56%
Minutes trailing25%9%
First goal (min)5848
First goal conceded (min)4259
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half89%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%100%
Late goals for (76'+)0.501.00
Late goals against0.170.33
Style
Possession44%57%
Shots11.716.8
On target4.36.0
Shot conversion13%14%
Shots inside box57%60%
Big chances created1.53.0
Corners3.75.3
xG from set plays46%23%
Goals from headers11%0%
Pressure index13.018.0
Dominant minutes53.064.2
Pass accuracy77%87%
Fouls15.211.3
Cards3.171.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sevilla

0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31

Atlético de Madrid

0–15'10
16–30'20
31–45'10
46–60'22
61–75'22
76–90'62

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sevilla · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213

Game state

When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106

Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48

Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486

Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01

Sevilla

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.41.61.01.290.97
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.00.441.51

Atlético de Madrid

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 67%1.752.251.51.781.56
4-1-4-11 17%3.02.00.00.970.35
3-4-2-11 17%3.03.00.01.90.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.6 pts at 12.5h

4.32Home 22% ▼ -3.9 ptsopened 3.673.48Draw 28% · +0.8 ptsopened 3.561.96Away 50% ▲ +3.1 ptsopened 2.08
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle4.32 ▼ -3.93.48 · +0.81.96 ▲ +3.130m
bet3654.33 ▼ -5.93.5 · +0.81.85 ▲ +5.130m
Betfair4.33 ▼ -4.03.4 · +0.51.95 ▲ +3.530m
BetVictor4.1 ▼ -3.73.4 · +0.21.93 ▲ +3.530m
Coral4.2 ▼ -3.73.4 · +0.11.91 ▲ +3.630m
Ladbrokes4.2 ▼ -4.23.4 · +0.31.91 ▲ +3.930m
Unibet4.0 ▼ -3.13.3 · +0.71.97 ▲ +2.430m
WilliamHill3.9 ▼ -3.63.25 · +0.31.95 ▲ +3.330m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 22%3.5Draw 27% P 28%1.85Away 51% P 50%

Double Chance

1.83Sevilla or Draw 26%1.3Sevilla or Atletico Madrid 36%1.22Draw or Atletico Madrid 38%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%
5.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home22%24%21%-2.5
Draw28%28%29%+0.4
Away50%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Javier Alberola Rojas

Career
55 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.78 (3.55 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
25.8 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
47%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.925.08-1.804
Fouls / match26.225.7+0.20
Fouls per card6.85.1+2.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.34+0.5982
Time added7.17.7-0.5718
First card
38' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-24 50 241 25'5
2026-08-20 30 250 32'5
2026-05-17 32 261 30'10
2026-05-09 · Sevilla 100 310 26'9
2026-04-25 30 290 26'10
2026-04-10 30 220 35'7
2026-03-21 50 231 29'9
2026-03-09 50 320 12'11
2026-02-22 30 220 20'15
2026-02-08 20 230 69'6