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La Liga · Matchweek 3

Momentum

FC BarcelonaRAY
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Camp Nou, Barcelona
Capacity
6,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
57,768

Teams

Coaches
Hans-Dieter Flick · Beñat San José Gil
Position
4 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
25.3° (feels 25.6°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
68%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

FC Barcelona

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 8.93–4.75 · xPts 8.87

  • W H Athletic Club 2–0 xG 3.07–0.35 ESP PL
  • W A Elche 5–0 xG 2.96–0.69 ESP PL
  • L A Valencia 1–3 xG 1.02–1.67 ESP PL
  • W H Real Betis 3–1 xG 1.17–1.04 ESP PL
  • L A Deportivo Alavés 0–1 xG 0.71–1.0 ESP PL

Rayo Vallecano

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.01–9.22 · xPts 4.91

  • D H Deportivo Alavés 1–1 xG 0.57–1.63 ESP PL
  • L A Sevilla 1–2 xG 1.65–2.56 ESP PL
  • L A Crystal Palace 0–1 xG 0.75–1.87 UEFA ECL
  • W A Deportivo Alavés 2–1 xG 1.35–2.03 ESP PL
  • W H Villarreal 2–0 xG 1.69–1.13 ESP PL

All meetings · 23 matches since 2011

FC Barcelona 173 draws3 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 68–17 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Barcelona 53 draws2 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 15–8 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Barcelona 41 draws0 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 10–4 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Rayo Vallecano 1–2 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W FC Barcelona 3–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Rayo Vallecano 2–1 FC Barcelona ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D FC Barcelona 0–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L FC Barcelona 0–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricFC Barcelona all · 6FC Barcelona at home · 3Rayo Vallecano all · 6Rayo Vallecano away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game3.001.17
W / D / L6 / 0 / 02 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match4.671.67
Goals against / match1.002.50
Clean sheets50%0%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored50%100%
Over 2.583%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match3.551.26
xG against / match1.072.08
xG difference2.47-0.82
Finishing vs xG1.120.41
xPts / match2.480.95
Points vs xPts0.520.22
Game state
Scored first83%67%
PPG when scoring first3.001.00
PPG when conceding first3.001.50
Came back from behind100%25%
Leads held100%40%
Minutes leading83%41%
Minutes level16%27%
Minutes trailing1%32%
First goal (min)1522
First goal conceded (min)4038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%53%
Late goals for (76'+)1.330.00
Late goals against0.330.67
Style
Possession68%46%
Shots21.012.5
On target8.55.0
Shot conversion22%13%
Shots inside box77%57%
Big chances created6.71.7
Corners8.25.5
xG from set plays34%20%
Goals from headers0%10%
Pressure index25.010.2
Dominant minutes74.844.7
Pass accuracy90%79%
Fouls9.512.8
Cards1.332.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Barcelona

0–15'41
16–30'51
31–45'40
46–60'31
61–75'41
76–90'82

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'32
16–30'24
31–45'11
46–60'43
61–75'01
76–90'04

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Barcelona · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.70) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.707
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437

Game state

When ahead+0.737
When level+0.517
10 min after conceding+0.563
10 min after scoring+1.167

Situations

At home+0.874
Away+0.443
3 days rest or fewer+0.882
4+ days rest+0.655

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.663
v bottom-tier opponents+0.943
As favourite+0.707

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.327
Conceded late (76+)-0.513

Congested vs rested +0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.22 · Behind vs level +1.08

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.563

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

FC Barcelona

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 7 · scoring 9 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 67%3.04.51.03.91.15
4-2-3-12 33%3.05.01.02.830.92

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.751.53.01.42.57
4-3-31 17%3.03.02.01.350.56
4-1-4-11 17%1.01.01.00.571.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.9 pts at 8.5h

1.11Home 87% ▲ +9.2 ptsopened 1.2310.5Draw 9% ▼ -4.7 ptsopened 6.9126.5Away 4% ▼ -4.6 ptsopened 11.65
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.11 ▲ +9.210.5 ▼ -4.726.5 ▼ -4.630m
bet3651.08 ▲ +9.911.0 ▼ -6.923.0 ▼ -3.030m
Betfair1.07 ▲ +8.711.0 ▼ -6.023.0 ▼ -2.730m
BetVictor1.07 ▲ +10.611.5 ▼ -7.022.0 ▼ -3.630m
Coral1.11 ▲ +7.911.0 ▼ -4.917.0 ▼ -3.030m
Ladbrokes1.11 ▲ +8.711.0 ▼ -5.817.0 ▼ -2.930m
Unibet1.08 ▲ +10.111.5 ▼ -6.323.0 ▼ -3.830m
WilliamHill1.1 ▲ +9.910.0 ▼ -6.021.0 ▼ -3.930m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.08Home 87% P 87%11.0Draw 9% P 9%23.0Away 4% P 4%

Double Chance

1.01Barcelona or Draw 48%1.05Barcelona or Rayo Vallecano 46%8.0Draw or Rayo Vallecano 6%

Draw No Bet

1.021 95%19.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.2Over 79% P 71%4.5Under 21% P 29%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 64%2.25Under 41% P 36%
3.52.1Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home87%86%88%+1.6
Draw9%10%9%-0.8
Away4%4%3%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.3

Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Career
61 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.34 (4.23 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
24.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
51%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.285.07-1.2214
Fouls / match24.825.7-0.73
Fouls per card6.15.1+1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.33-0.5025
Time added8.17.7+0.4668
First card
36' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-17 40 290 26'7
2026-05-23 20 310 38'7
2026-05-13 23 6
2026-05-01 60 330 45'6
2026-04-25 · FC Barcelona 40 230 20'5
2026-04-11 20 330 59'6
2026-03-08 50 270 34'11
2026-02-27 71 300 20'9
2026-02-14 20 193 20'6
2026-01-24 30 281 21'9