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La Liga · Matchweek 3

Momentum

CELATH
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Capacity
31,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,902

Teams

Coaches
Claudio Giráldez · Edin Terzic
Position
16 · 20
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
17.5° (feels 17.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
88%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Celta de Vigo

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 3.77–8.68 · xPts 4.57

  • L H Osasuna 1–2 xG 0.12–2.58 ESP PL
  • D A Valencia 0–0 xG 0.47–0.73 ESP PL
  • W H Sevilla 1–0 xG 1.15–0.75 ESP PL
  • D A Athletic Club 1–1 xG 0.17–3.19 ESP PL
  • L H Levante 2–3 xG 1.87–1.43 ESP PL

Athletic Club

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 7.08–6.17 · xPts 7.54

  • L A FC Barcelona 0–2 xG 0.35–3.07 ESP PL
  • L H Sevilla 1–3 xG 1.58–0.54 ESP PL
  • L A Real Madrid 2–4 xG 1.0–1.5 ESP PL
  • D H Celta de Vigo 1–1 xG 3.19–0.17 ESP PL
  • L A Espanyol 0–2 xG 0.96–0.9 ESP PL

All meetings · 33 matches since 2005

Celta de Vigo 89 draws16 Athletic Club

Goals 34–43 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Celta de Vigo 41 draws5 Athletic Club

Goals 14–15 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Celta de Vigo 11 draws3 Athletic Club

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Celta de Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Athletic Club 1–1 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Celta de Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 3–1 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 2–1 Athletic Club neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 4–3 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 2–1 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 1–0 Athletic Club neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Athletic Club 0–2 Celta de Vigo neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricCelta de Vigo all · 6Celta de Vigo at home · 3Athletic Club all · 5Athletic Club away · 2
Results
Matches65
Points per game0.671.40
W / D / L0 / 4 / 22 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.501.40
Goals against / match1.001.20
Clean sheets33%40%
Failed to score50%20%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.517%40%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.781.51
xG against / match1.341.45
xG difference-0.550.06
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.11
xPts / match1.061.53
Points vs xPts-0.39-0.13
Game state
Scored first33%40%
PPG when scoring first0.503.00
PPG when conceding first0.500.33
Came back from behind33%33%
Leads held0%100%
Minutes leading15%25%
Minutes level60%40%
Minutes trailing24%35%
First goal (min)3754
First goal conceded (min)4434
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half33%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.40
Late goals against0.170.20
Style
Possession54%49%
Shots9.814.0
On target2.84.4
Shot conversion5%10%
Shots inside box48%69%
Big chances created1.52.6
Corners3.36.4
xG from set plays16%24%
Goals from headers33%14%
Pressure index13.516.7
Dominant minutes54.255.8
Pass accuracy87%82%
Fouls10.310.4
Cards1.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Celta de Vigo

0–15'10
16–30'03
31–45'10
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'01

Athletic Club

0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'01
46–60'23
61–75'10
76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Celta de Vigo · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.207
Early press (0-15, level)+0.127
Late push (76+, level)+0.105
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.183

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.237
When behind+0.174
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.703

Situations

At home+0.073
Away+0.304
3 days rest or fewer+0.202
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.073
v bottom-tier opponents+0.313
As favourite+0.383
Evenly matched+0.123

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.362
Conceded late (76+)-0.367

Congested vs rested -0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.06

Athletic Club · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.27

Celta de Vigo

Current: winless 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-36 100%0.670.51.00.781.34

Athletic Club

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%1.41.41.21.511.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.9 pts at 12.5h

2.85Home 34% ▼ -5.5 ptsopened 2.443.22Draw 30% · +1.0 ptsopened 3.312.73Away 36% ▲ +4.5 ptsopened 3.11
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.85 ▼ -5.53.22 · +1.02.73 ▲ +4.530m
bet3652.75 ▼ -6.33.0 ▲ +3.12.75 ▲ +3.230m
Betfair2.75 ▼ -6.83.1 ▲ +2.62.63 ▲ +4.330m
BetVictor2.75 ▼ -5.43.2 · +1.02.63 ▲ +4.430m
Coral2.7 ▼ -4.63.1 ▲ +2.12.8 ▲ +2.530m
Ladbrokes2.62 ▼ -4.53.0 ▲ +2.32.75 ▲ +2.230m
Unibet2.75 ▼ -5.53.15 ▲ +1.22.7 ▲ +4.330m
WilliamHill2.7 ▼ -6.13.0 ▲ +1.82.62 ▲ +4.330m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 34%3.0Draw 31% P 30%2.75Away 34% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Celta Vigo or Draw 32%1.36Celta Vigo or Athletic Club 34%1.4Draw or Athletic Club 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 46%1.9Under 49% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%34%+0.6
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Career
62 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
5.97 (5.63 yellow · 0.29 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
48%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.795.08+1.1993
Fouls / match25.525.7-0.27
Fouls per card4.45.1-1.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.34-0.6911
Time added7.77.7+0.0439
First card
30' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.5

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-26 60 180 10'6
2026-07-14 30 140 5'3
2026-05-23 30 180 22'9
2026-05-13 30 200 81'8
2026-05-09 90 281 12'10
2026-04-27 61 270 70'8
2026-04-22 90 351 27'11
2026-04-04 82 260 22'9
2026-02-22 21 230 26'12
2026-02-15 · Athletic Club 50 281 26'7