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La Liga · Matchweek 2

Momentum

ValenciaCEL
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Capacity
49,430
Surface
grass
Attendance
43,684

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Corberán Vallet · Claudio Giráldez
Position
13 · 11
Formation
5-4-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Jesús Gil Manzano

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
27.8° (feels 31.2°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
77%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Valencia

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 6.54–5.61 · xPts 7.47

  • W H FC Barcelona 3–1 xG 1.67–1.02 ESP PL
  • W A Real Sociedad 4–3 xG 1.14–0.67 ESP PL
  • D H Rayo Vallecano 1–1 xG 0.79–1.23 ESP PL
  • W A Athletic Club 1–0 xG 1.26–1.19 ESP PL
  • L H Atlético de Madrid 0–2 xG 1.67–1.5 ESP PL

Celta de Vigo

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 4.03–9.43 · xPts 4.25

  • W H Sevilla 1–0 xG 1.15–0.75 ESP PL
  • D A Athletic Club 1–1 xG 0.17–3.19 ESP PL
  • L H Levante 2–3 xG 1.87–1.43 ESP PL
  • W A Atlético de Madrid 1–0 xG 0.16–2.37 ESP PL
  • W H Elche 3–1 xG 0.69–1.69 ESP PL

All meetings · 33 matches since 2005

Valencia 177 draws9 Celta de Vigo

Goals 50–38 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Valencia 43 draws3 Celta de Vigo

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Valencia 11 draws3 Celta de Vigo

Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Valencia 0–0 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Valencia 2–3 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Celta de Vigo 4–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Valencia 2–1 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Celta de Vigo 3–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Celta de Vigo 2–2 Valencia neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Valencia 0–0 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 1–2 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Valencia 3–0 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Valencia 2–0 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricValencia all · 6Valencia at home · 3Celta de Vigo all · 6Celta de Vigo away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.670.67
W / D / L1 / 1 / 40 / 4 / 2
Goals for / match0.330.50
Goals against / match1.671.00
Clean sheets33%33%
Failed to score67%50%
Both teams scored17%50%
Over 2.533%17%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.730.78
xG against / match1.401.34
xG difference-0.68-0.55
Finishing vs xG-0.39-0.28
xPts / match1.001.06
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.39
Game state
Scored first17%33%
PPG when scoring first3.000.50
PPG when conceding first0.000.50
Came back from behind0%33%
Leads held100%0%
Minutes leading2%15%
Minutes level65%60%
Minutes trailing33%24%
First goal (min)5237
First goal conceded (min)4644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.00
Late goals against0.670.17
Style
Possession46%54%
Shots8.79.8
On target2.32.8
Shot conversion4%5%
Shots inside box58%48%
Big chances created0.71.5
Corners4.03.3
xG from set plays14%16%
Goals from headers0%33%
Pressure index7.013.5
Dominant minutes31.554.2
Pass accuracy82%87%
Fouls10.510.3
Cards2.001.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Valencia

0–15'02
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'02
61–75'00
76–90'14

Celta de Vigo

0–15'10
16–30'03
31–45'10
46–60'11
61–75'01
76–90'01

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Valencia · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.236
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.544
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.103

Game state

When level-0.236
When behind-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.604
10 min after scoring+0.462

Situations

At home-0.323
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.265

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.224
Evenly matched-0.223
As underdog-0.253

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.386
Conceded late (76+)+0.055

Congested vs rested +0.13 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.04

Celta de Vigo · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.207
Early press (0-15, level)+0.127
Late push (76+, level)+0.105
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.183

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.227
When behind+0.174
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.703

Situations

At home+0.073
Away+0.304
3 days rest or fewer+0.202
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.073
v bottom-tier opponents+0.313
As favourite+0.383
Evenly matched+0.113

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.362
Conceded late (76+)-0.367

Congested vs rested -0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.06

Valencia

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-4-14 67%0.250.252.250.891.61
4-4-1-11 17%0.00.01.00.090.98
4-2-3-11 17%3.01.00.00.690.99

Celta de Vigo

Current: winless 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-36 100%0.670.51.00.781.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.2d before kick-off · 53 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.1 pts at 4.5h

2.55Home 38% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 2.383.14Draw 31% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 3.283.17Away 31% · +0.9 ptsopened 3.24
2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.55 ▼ -2.43.14 ▲ +1.53.17 · +0.930m
bet3652.45 ▼ -2.13.1 · +0.63.0 ▲ +1.630m
Betfair2.45 ▼ -2.43.0 · +1.03.0 ▲ +1.430m
BetVictor2.4 · -0.23.2 · +0.13.1 · +0.130m
Coral2.4 · -0.73.1 · +0.83.1 · -0.130m
Ladbrokes2.4 ▼ -1.43.1 ▲ +1.23.1 · +0.230m
Unibet2.45 ▼ -2.93.05 ▲ +1.53.1 ▲ +1.430m
WilliamHill2.45 ▼ -2.33.0 ▲ +1.13.0 ▲ +1.130m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 38% P 38%3.1Draw 30% P 31%3.0Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Valencia or Draw 35%1.36Valencia or Celta Vigo 35%1.53Draw or Celta Vigo 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw31%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Jesús Gil Manzano

Career
182 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
48%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 96 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.425.07+0.6179
Fouls / match25.225.7-0.47
Fouls per card4.75.1-0.70 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.33+0.4275
Time added7.47.7-0.2629
First card
29' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.45

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-23 60 270 54'8
2026-05-03 70 350 22'8
2026-04-25 20 7
2026-04-16 80 281 40'9
2026-04-12 50 240 23'7
2026-03-21 50 351 38'11
2026-03-14 40 320 55'12
2026-03-10 50 290 33'15
2026-02-22 · Valencia 60 232 23'12
2026-02-17 21 151 21'8