Rating 7.45 (96th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– ATMVillarreal –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Atlético de Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.5 #3 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 61.8 #2 |
| 16.8 #4 | – | Shots total | 13.0 | – | 15.2 #5 |
| 6.0 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.7 | – | 6.5 #4 |
| 5.3 #7 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 7.3 #4 |
| 11.2 #12 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| 1.7 #10 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 3.0 #3 |
| 17.3 #8 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 15.3 #16 |
| 111.8 #3 | – | Attacks | 97.2 | – | 122.3 #2 |
| 53.7 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.5 | – | 73.0 #1 |
| 553.7 #4 | – | Passes | 455.2 | – | 592.3 #2 |
| 1.7 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #11 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1.7 #3 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #7 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 56.0 | – | – #3 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 25.4 | – | – #16 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 23.5 | – | – #5 |
| 1.7 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.2 #3 |
| 0.7 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | -0.5 #20 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #9 |
| 2.3 #3 | 2.7 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 #6 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #4 |
| 10.0 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.1 | – | 8.5 #13 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 38.0 | – | – #4 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| 7.0 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #6 |
| 4.8 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 4.0 #5 |
| 10.2 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 10.7 #3 |
| 6.0 #8 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 4.7 #12 |
| 6.7 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.5 #12 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Atlético de Madrid · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.35 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Villarreal · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Rating 7.28 (92th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (30% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 7.21 (71th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (70th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Atlético de Madrid
- injury Alexander Sørloth attacker · Muscle Injury · 3 missed · until 2026-09-01
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
- Capacity
- 70,460
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 61,978
Teams
- Coaches
- D. Simeone · Iñigo Pérez
- Position
- 4 · 7
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Referee
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 31.5° (feels 30.1°)
- Wind
- 6.7
- Humidity
- 28%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 |  Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 |  Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  Espanyol |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 |  Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 |  Elche |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 18 |  Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 19 |  Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 20 |  Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 12 | Espanyol |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDWLL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Elche |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 7 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 9 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LDWLL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 12 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 14 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Atlético de Madrid
LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 8.3–7.49 · xPts 7.65
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL
- L
A
Villarreal
1–5
xG 1.01–2.47
ESP PL
- W
H
Girona
1–0
xG 2.49–2.34
ESP PL - W
A
Osasuna
2–1
xG 1.47–2.18
ESP PL
- L
H
Celta de Vigo
0–1
xG 2.37–0.16
ESP PL
WDWLLWWLW 5W 1D 3L · 16 pts (1.78 ppg) · GF 12 GA 11 · xG 14.44–12.97 · xPts 13.6
- W
H
Málaga
2–0
xG 0.97–0.35
ESP PL
- L
A
Villarreal
1–5
xG 1.01–2.47
ESP PL
- W
H
Girona
1–0
xG 2.49–2.34
ESP PL
- W
A
Osasuna
2–1
xG 1.47–2.18
ESP PL
- L
H
Celta de Vigo
0–1
xG 2.37–0.16
ESP PL
- L
A
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.95–1.32
UEFA CL - W
A
Valencia
2–0
xG 1.5–1.67
ESP PL
- D
H
Arsenal
1–1
xG 2.1–1.75
UEFA CL
- W
H
Athletic Club
3–2
xG 1.57–0.73
ESP PL
Villarreal
DLLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 6.96–8.04 · xPts 6.17
- D
A
Racing Santander
2–2
xG 0.9–2.03
ESP PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
5–1
xG 2.47–1.01
ESP PL
- L
A
Rayo Vallecano
0–2
xG 1.13–1.69
ESP PL
- L
H
Sevilla
2–3
xG 1.18–1.19
ESP PL
- D
A
Mallorca
1–1
xG 1.27–2.12
ESP PL
WWDLLWD 3W 2D 2L · 11 pts (1.57 ppg) · GF 17 GA 11 · xG 11.56–10.79 · xPts 10.09
- D
A
Racing Santander
2–2
xG 0.9–2.03
ESP PL
- W
H
Atlético de Madrid
5–1
xG 2.47–1.01
ESP PL
- L
A
Rayo Vallecano
0–2
xG 1.13–1.69
ESP PL
- L
H
Sevilla
2–3
xG 1.18–1.19
ESP PL
- D
A
Mallorca
1–1
xG 1.27–2.12
ESP PL
- W
H
Levante
5–1
xG 2.07–0.84
ESP PL
- W
H
Celta de Vigo
2–1
xG 2.53–1.91
ESP PL
All meetings · 41 matches since 2005
Goals 57–55 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 49%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 17–18 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–10 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Atlético de Madrid 2–2 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Villarreal 5–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 2–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Villarreal 1–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 3–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 2–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 0–2 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 2–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 6 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 3 | Villarreal all · 6 | Villarreal away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.17 | – | 0.83 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 1 | – | 1 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.33 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 33% | – | 83% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | – | 2.10 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.17 | – | 1.40 | – |
| xG difference | 0.50 | – | 0.69 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.66 | – | -0.43 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.66 | – | 1.76 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.51 | – | -0.93 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | – | 0.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 1.25 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 25% | – |
| Minutes leading | 34% | – | 16% | – |
| Minutes level | 56% | – | 53% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | – | 31% | – |
| First goal (min) | 48 | – | 40 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 59 | – | 34 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 71% | – | 40% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 100% | – | 36% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | – | 62% | – |
| Shots | 16.8 | – | 15.2 | – |
| On target | 6.0 | – | 6.5 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | – | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 60% | – | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | – | 3.3 | – |
| Corners | 5.3 | – | 7.3 | – |
| xG from set plays | 23% | – | 34% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | – | 18.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 64.2 | – | 60.2 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | – | 89% | – |
| Fouls | 11.3 | – | 10.0 | – |
| Cards | 1.83 | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'10
16–30'20
31–45'10
46–60'22
61–75'22
76–90'62
Villarreal
0–15'01
16–30'21
31–45'45
46–60'01
61–75'10
76–90'33
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576
Situations
At home+0.583
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486
Congested vs rested +1.47 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Villarreal · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264
Game state
When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776
Situations
At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027
Congested vs rested +0.70 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 67% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 6 100% | 0.83 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 10 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 10 | Villarreal all · 10 | Villarreal away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% | 80% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 1.83 | 1.88 | 1.71 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.37 | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.46 | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.34 | -0.23 | 0.02 | -0.41 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.53 | 0.03 | -0.79 | -0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 40% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.38 | 2.17 | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Leads held | 75% | 71% | 33% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 31% | 20% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 51% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 18% | 30% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 38 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 56 | 40 | 36 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 69% | 37% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 50% | 45% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 51% | 58% | 51% |
| Shots | 14.1 | 15.9 | 13.5 | 11.9 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 10% | 14% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 16% | 34% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 12% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 16.7 | 15.7 | 11.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 57.5 | 55.5 | 45.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 84% | 88% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 11.0 | 9.2 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'24
61–75'32
76–90'63
Villarreal
0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'78
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'45
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.4 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 9 90% | 0.89 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 56 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 28 | Villarreal all · 48 | Villarreal away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 56 | 28 | 48 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.32 | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 31 / 8 / 17 | 21 / 2 / 5 | 21 / 8 / 19 | 8 / 6 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.87 | 2.36 | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.04 | 1.54 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 32% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 7% | 21% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 61% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 68% | 67% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 2.12 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.18 | 1.45 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.93 | 0.22 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.90 | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.31 | 0.42 | -0.05 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 79% | 56% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 2.64 | 2.19 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.17 | 0.57 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 54% | 30% | 31% |
| Leads held | 72% | 88% | 68% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 43% | 29% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 46% | 46% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 11% | 24% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 29 | 38 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 44 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 61% | 51% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 54% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 16.6 | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 70% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 24% | 24% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 17% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 21.5 | 11.2 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.5 | 62.3 | 41.9 | 36.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 2.07 | 1.71 | 2.25 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'195
16–30'1211
31–45'1615
46–60'1514
61–75'1712
76–90'2616
Villarreal
0–15'85
16–30'117
31–45'2118
46–60'1518
61–75'118
76–90'1518
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atlético de Madrid · 56 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.31) · stands out: against ten men -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2856
Late push (76+, level)+0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1717
Game state
When ahead+0.3443
When level+0.3556
When behind+0.1424
10 min after conceding-0.0838
10 min after scoring+0.6048
Situations
With ten men-0.116
Against ten men-0.624
At home+0.4628
Away+0.1728
3 days rest or fewer+0.3423
4+ days rest+0.2933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.4224
v bottom-tier opponents+0.296
As favourite+0.4735
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.108
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0756
Conceded when ahead-0.0743
Conceded late (76+)-0.2350
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.21
Villarreal · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: against ten men +0.87
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0148
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1048
Late push (76+, level)-0.0117
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2319
Game state
When ahead+0.0431
When level+0.0648
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3541
10 min after scoring+0.3538
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.873
At home+0.0723
Away-0.0425
3 days rest or fewer+0.0111
4+ days rest+0.0137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2412
v mid-tier opponents+0.0119
v bottom-tier opponents+0.288
As favourite+0.1926
Evenly matched-0.1511
As underdog-0.2711
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1948
Conceded when ahead+0.1831
Conceded late (76+)+0.0943
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.19
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 38 68% | 1.76 | 2.05 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 1.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 2.16 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.87 | 2.31 |
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 45 94% | 1.49 | 1.67 | 1.51 | 1.66 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: draw +1.3 pts at 5.0h
1.83Home 53% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.883.89Draw 25% · -0.6 ptsopened 3.784.45Away 22% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 4.2
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83 ▲ +1.7 | 3.89 · -0.6 | 4.45 ▼ -1.2 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.75 ▲ +4.0 | 3.9 ▼ -2.1 | 4.33 ▼ -1.9 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▲ +2.6 | 3.75 · -0.4 | 4.33 ▼ -2.2 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.73 ▲ +4.3 | 3.8 ▼ -1.0 | 4.75 ▼ -3.3 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 1.75 ▲ +4.9 | 4.0 ▼ -3.2 | 4.33 ▼ -1.7 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.75 ▲ +4.2 | 3.9 ▼ -2.9 | 4.2 ▼ -1.3 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.77 ▲ +2.0 | 3.75 · -0.5 | 4.35 ▼ -1.5 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 · +0.9 | 3.6 · -0.5 | 4.0 · -0.4 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -4.4 pts at 7.0h
1.61Yes 58% ▲ +5.7 ptsopened 1.82.2No 42% ▼ -5.7 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +5.7 | 2.2 ▼ -5.7 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +4.2 | 2.25 ▼ -4.2 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▲ +4.8 | 2.25 ▼ -4.8 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.66 ▲ +1.6 | 2.14 ▼ -1.6 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +3.0 | 2.15 ▼ -2.9 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.5 pts at 7.0h
1.7Over 57% ▲ +5.5 ptsopened 1.882.27Under 43% ▼ -5.5 ptsopened 2.01
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.7 ▲ +5.5 | 2.27 ▼ -5.5 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +7.0 | 2.2 ▼ -7.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +4.5 | 2.1 ▼ -4.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.63 ▲ +5.7 | 2.12 ▼ -5.7 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.71 ▲ +2.6 | 2.08 ▼ -2.6 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.75Home 54% P 53%3.9Draw 24% P 25%4.33Away 22% P 22%
Double Chance
1.22Atletico Madrid or Draw 38%1.25Atletico Madrid or Villarreal 38%1.95Draw or Villarreal 24%
Draw No Bet
1.331 71%3.252 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 22% | 21% | 17% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
- Career
- 279 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.74 (5.44 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.7 · 4.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 93 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.24 | 5.07 | +1.93 | 100 |
| Fouls / match | 26.0 | 25.7 | +0.09 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.2 | 5.1 | -1.48 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.38 | 0.33 | +0.56 | 82 |
| Time added | 8.2 | 7.7 | +0.56 | 82 |
- First card
- 29' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 40' | 4 |
| 2026-05-23 | 8 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 7' | 10 |
| 2026-05-10 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 40' | 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 15' | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 · Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-04-11 | 9 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2026-04-05 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 13' | 9 |
| 2026-03-11 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 88' | 3 |
| 2026-03-07 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 22' | 11 |
| 2026-03-04 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 35' | 7 |