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La Liga · Matchweek 2

Momentum

ATHSevilla
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
Capacity
53,289
Surface
grass
Attendance
49,416

Teams

Coaches
Edin Terzic · Luis García Plaza
Position
16 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

César Soto Grado

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
26.6° (feels 26.6°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
54%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Espanyol 6213 972 7 LLDWL
9 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
18 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
19 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
20 Elche 6024 816-8 2 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Athletic Club

WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.18–4.33 · xPts 8.19

  • L A Real Madrid 2–4 xG 1.0–1.5 ESP PL
  • D H Celta de Vigo 1–1 xG 3.19–0.17 ESP PL
  • L A Espanyol 0–2 xG 0.96–0.9 ESP PL
  • L H Valencia 0–1 xG 1.19–1.26 ESP PL
  • W A Deportivo Alavés 4–2 xG 0.84–0.5 ESP PL

Sevilla

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.01–5.98 · xPts 7.43

  • W H Rayo Vallecano 2–1 xG 2.56–1.65 ESP PL
  • L A Celta de Vigo 0–1 xG 0.75–1.15 ESP PL
  • L H Real Madrid 0–1 xG 1.06–1.37 ESP PL
  • W A Villarreal 3–2 xG 1.19–1.18 ESP PL
  • W H Espanyol 2–1 xG 1.45–0.62 ESP PL

All meetings · 45 matches since 2005

Athletic Club 185 draws22 Sevilla

Goals 52–64 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Athletic Club 42 draws4 Sevilla

Goals 12–11 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Athletic Club 21 draws2 Sevilla

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Athletic Club 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Sevilla 0–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 0–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 1–1 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 1–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricAthletic Club all · 5Athletic Club at home · 3Sevilla all · 6Sevilla away · 3
Results
Matches56
Points per game1.402.17
W / D / L2 / 1 / 24 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.401.50
Goals against / match1.201.00
Clean sheets40%33%
Failed to score20%0%
Both teams scored40%67%
Over 2.540%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.511.15
xG against / match1.451.06
xG difference0.060.09
Finishing vs xG-0.110.35
xPts / match1.531.44
Points vs xPts-0.130.72
Game state
Scored first40%67%
PPG when scoring first3.002.50
PPG when conceding first0.331.50
Came back from behind33%50%
Leads held100%80%
Minutes leading25%24%
Minutes level40%52%
Minutes trailing35%25%
First goal (min)5458
First goal conceded (min)3442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%89%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.50
Late goals against0.200.17
Style
Possession49%44%
Shots14.011.7
On target4.44.3
Shot conversion10%13%
Shots inside box69%57%
Big chances created2.61.5
Corners6.43.7
xG from set plays24%46%
Goals from headers14%11%
Pressure index16.713.0
Dominant minutes55.853.0
Pass accuracy82%77%
Fouls10.415.2
Cards2.003.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Athletic Club

0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'01
46–60'23
61–75'10
76–90'21

Sevilla

0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Athletic Club · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.27

Sevilla · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213

Game state

When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106

Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48

Athletic Club

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 100%1.41.41.21.511.45

Sevilla

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.41.61.01.290.97
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.00.441.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.1d before kick-off · 50 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off

1.74Home 56% · +0.3 ptsopened 1.743.7Draw 26% · +0.6 ptsopened 3.775.37Away 18% · -1.0 ptsopened 5.07
2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.74 · +0.33.7 · +0.65.37 · -1.01.0h
bet3651.75 · -0.53.6 · -0.55.0 ▲ +1.11.0h
Betfair1.67 · +0.93.6 · -0.55.0 · -0.41.0h
BetVictor1.7 · +0.93.6 · -0.65.25 · -0.31.0h
Coral1.75 ▼ -1.63.6 · -0.04.8 ▲ +1.71.0h
Ladbrokes1.75 ▼ -1.63.5 · -0.04.8 ▲ +1.71.0h
Unibet1.71 ▲ +1.03.55 · +0.05.3 ▼ -1.11.0h
WilliamHill1.7 · +0.03.5 · +0.05.0 · +0.01.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 56%3.6Draw 26% P 26%5.0Away 19% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Athletic Club or Draw 40%1.28Athletic Club or Sevilla 37%2.05Draw or Sevilla 23%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw26%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

César Soto Grado

Career
151 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.48 (5.21 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
50%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.485.08+0.7082
Fouls / match25.325.7-0.36
Fouls per card4.65.1-0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.34-0.5421
Time added8.07.7+0.3557
First card
32' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-10 52 250 14'11
2026-04-24 30 180 38'7
2026-04-21 20 210 41'6
2026-04-05 81 242 16'8
2026-03-16 81 230 19'10
2026-02-28 40 180 42'5
2026-02-16 41 161 41'11
2026-02-02 · Sevilla 20 241 44'10
2026-01-24 40 291 2'6
2026-01-11 10 190 45'8