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La Liga · Matchweek 1

Momentum

SevillaRAY
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Capacity
42,714
Surface
grass
Attendance
36,777

Teams

Coaches
Luis García Plaza · Beñat San José Gil
Position
12 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
25.5° (feels 26.0°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 170

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 6600 28622 18 WWWWW
2 Real Madrid 6501 17611 15 WWLWW
3 Real Betis 6501 862 15 WLWWW
4 Atlético de Madrid 6411 1468 13 DWLWW
5 Sevilla 6411 963 13 WLDWW
6 Deportivo Alavés 6312 1165 10 DWWLL
7 Deportivo A Coruña 6231 972 9 DWWDL
8 Athletic Club 5212 761 7 LLWWD
9 Espanyol 7214 10100 7 LDWLL
10 Racing Santander 6213 1116-5 7 LWLWL
11 Rayo Vallecano 6213 1015-5 7 DLWLW
12 Real Sociedad 6213 611-5 7 LWDWL
13 Osasuna 6213 512-7 7 WWLLL
14 Villarreal 6123 1011-1 5 DLLLW
15 Levante 5122 79-2 5 LDWDL
16 Getafe 6123 37-4 5 WLDDL
17 Elche 7124 1117-6 5 LLDLW
18 Celta de Vigo 6042 36-3 4 LLDDD
19 Valencia 6114 210-8 4 LLLLW
20 Málaga 6033 311-8 3 DLDDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sevilla

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.44–4.53 · xPts 8.11

  • L A Celta de Vigo 0–1 xG 0.75–1.15 ESP PL
  • L H Real Madrid 0–1 xG 1.06–1.37 ESP PL
  • W A Villarreal 3–2 xG 1.19–1.18 ESP PL
  • W H Espanyol 2–1 xG 1.45–0.62 ESP PL
  • W H Real Sociedad 1–0 xG 1.99–0.2 ESP PL

Rayo Vallecano

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.48–6.96 · xPts 6.67

  • L A Crystal Palace 0–1 xG 0.75–1.87 UEFA ECL
  • W A Deportivo Alavés 2–1 xG 1.35–2.03 ESP PL
  • W H Villarreal 2–0 xG 1.69–1.13 ESP PL
  • D A Valencia 1–1 xG 1.23–0.79 ESP PL
  • D H Girona 1–1 xG 1.46–1.13 ESP PL

All meetings · 23 matches since 2012

Sevilla 147 draws2 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 45–20 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sevilla 45 draws1 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sevilla 32 draws0 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Sevilla 2–2 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Sevilla 0–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricSevilla all · 6Sevilla at home · 3Rayo Vallecano all · 6Rayo Vallecano away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.171.17
W / D / L4 / 1 / 12 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.501.67
Goals against / match1.002.50
Clean sheets33%0%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored67%100%
Over 2.550%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.26
xG against / match1.062.08
xG difference0.09-0.82
Finishing vs xG0.350.41
xPts / match1.440.95
Points vs xPts0.720.22
Game state
Scored first67%67%
PPG when scoring first2.501.00
PPG when conceding first1.501.50
Came back from behind50%25%
Leads held80%40%
Minutes leading24%41%
Minutes level52%27%
Minutes trailing25%32%
First goal (min)5822
First goal conceded (min)4238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half89%40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.00
Late goals against0.170.67
Style
Possession44%46%
Shots11.712.5
On target4.35.0
Shot conversion13%13%
Shots inside box57%57%
Big chances created1.51.7
Corners3.75.5
xG from set plays46%20%
Goals from headers11%10%
Pressure index13.010.2
Dominant minutes53.044.7
Pass accuracy77%79%
Fouls15.212.8
Cards3.172.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sevilla

0–15'12
16–30'01
31–45'01
46–60'40
61–75'11
76–90'31

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'32
16–30'24
31–45'11
46–60'43
61–75'01
76–90'04

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sevilla · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.186
Late push (76+, level)+0.213

Game state

When ahead-0.355
When level+0.296
When behind-0.192
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

With ten men-0.062
Against ten men-0.672
At home+0.233
Away-0.183
4+ days rest+0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.412

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.375
Conceded late (76+)-0.106

Ahead vs level -0.65 · Behind vs level -0.48

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.563

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

Sevilla

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.41.61.01.290.97
4-3-31 17%1.01.01.00.441.51

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.751.53.01.42.57
4-3-31 17%3.03.02.01.350.56
4-1-4-11 17%1.01.01.00.571.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 38%2.87Draw 33% P 32%3.0Away 32% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Sevilla or Draw 35%1.36Sevilla or Rayo Vallecano 34%1.53Draw or Rayo Vallecano 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 36%1.57Under 60% P 64%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.69 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%
5.52.2Over 42% P 34%1.61Under 58% P 66%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 27.5–30% · 309 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%34%-5.1
Draw32%32%38%+6.0
Away29%29%28%-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 37%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.536%36%41%+4.2

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Career
222 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.44 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
49%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 99 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.495.07-0.8818
Fouls / match22.325.7-2.41
Fouls per card5.05.1-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.33+0.2861
Time added7.77.7+0.0539
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-23 21 15'5
2026-05-17 · Rayo Vallecano 30 220 61'8
2026-05-14 21 2
2026-05-03 30 291 28'8
2026-04-23 20 201 37'13
2026-03-15 61 250 31'12
2026-03-01 · Sevilla 60 270 11'9
2026-02-15 · Rayo Vallecano 40 230 29'7
2026-01-31 40 221 19'8
2026-01-29 41 271 35'8