Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Season context
| Real Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.7 #4 | – | Ball possession | 49.9 | – | 49.5 #9 |
| 20.7 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.0 | – | 12.3 #10 |
| 8.3 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.7 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| 7.8 #2 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 7.7 #3 |
| 8.8 #20 | – | Fouls | 12.3 | – | 12.5 #10 |
| 1.8 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| 14.0 #18 | – | Tackles | 16.8 | – | 18.2 #7 |
| 107.0 #5 | – | Attacks | 97.2 | – | 96.5 #10 |
| 63.7 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.5 | – | 42.5 #13 |
| 548.5 #5 | – | Passes | 455.2 | – | 483.8 #8 |
| 1.7 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 2.2 #10 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 2.0 #2 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.8 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 56.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #12 | – | Cleansheet | 25.4 | – | – #12 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 23.5 | – | – #9 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #16 |
| 0.1 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #11 |
| – #9 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #3 |
| 2.8 #2 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 #15 |
| 1.0 #14 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.5 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #10 |
| 7.7 #16 | – | Interceptions | 9.1 | – | 6.8 #20 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 38.0 | – | – #4 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 7.1 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #10 |
| 5.3 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 3.1 | – | 4.0 #5 |
| 14.8 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 7.0 #12 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 3.3 #17 |
| 5.8 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| – #2 | – | Win | 38.5 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.98 (home 1.66 · away 1.32)
- Home / draw / away
- 46% · 28% · 26%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 4.42 (reds 0.2)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Real Madrid · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Real Sociedad · 2026/2027 · La Liga
Absences
Real Madrid
- injury Aurélien Tchouaméni #16 key player midfielder · Muscle Injury · 4 missed
- injury Endrick attacker · Muscle Injury · 3 missed
Real Sociedad
- injury Mikel Goti midfielder · Calf Injury · 131 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
- Capacity
- 84,744
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 72,226
Teams
- Coaches
- José Mourinho · Pellegrino Matarazzo
- Position
- 7 · 19
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 22.3° (feels 21.7°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 46%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 15 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Real Betis |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Sevilla |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWWLL |
| 7 | Deportivo A Coruña |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | DWWDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Espanyol |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 10 | Racing Santander |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Villarreal |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 15 | Levante |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Getafe |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 17 | Elche |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Valencia |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Málaga |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | DWWLL |
| 4 | Real Betis |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Getafe |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DWWDL |
| 12 | Espanyol |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDWLL |
| 13 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WWLLL |
| 14 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Levante |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDDL |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Valencia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sevilla |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Atlético de Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Elche |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 7 | Villarreal |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWWDL |
| 9 | Espanyol |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LDWLL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Celta de Vigo |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LLDDD |
| 12 | Valencia |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Real Sociedad |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LWDWL |
| 14 | Osasuna |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Levante |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | LDWDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Alavés |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWWLL |
| 17 | Málaga |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | DLDDL |
| 18 | Getafe |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Racing Santander |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Rayo Vallecano |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | DLWLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Real Madrid
LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.62–5.25 · xPts 8.33
- W
A
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.37–0.93
ESP PL - W
H
Athletic Club
4–2
xG 1.5–1.0
ESP PL - W
A
Sevilla
1–0
xG 1.37–1.06
ESP PL - W
H
Real Oviedo
2–0
xG 1.7–0.99
ESP PL - L
A
FC Barcelona
0–2
xG 0.67–1.28
ESP PL
WLWWWW 5W 0D 1L · 15 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 9.43–6.56 · xPts 10.04
- W
A
Espanyol
2–1
xG 2.37–0.93
ESP PL - W
H
Athletic Club
4–2
xG 1.5–1.0
ESP PL - W
A
Sevilla
1–0
xG 1.37–1.06
ESP PL - W
H
Real Oviedo
2–0
xG 1.7–0.99
ESP PL - L
A
FC Barcelona
0–2
xG 0.67–1.28
ESP PL - W
A
Espanyol
2–0
xG 1.81–1.31
ESP PL
Real Sociedad
DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.66–8.73 · xPts 5.06
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.99–1.71
ESP PL - D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 1.14–1.79
ESP PL - L
H
Valencia
3–4
xG 0.67–1.14
ESP PL - D
A
Girona
1–1
xG 0.52–2.76
ESP PL - D
H
Real Betis
2–2
xG 2.34–1.33
ESP PL
LDDLDL 0W 3D 3L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.86–10.72 · xPts 5.31
- L
A
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.99–1.71
ESP PL - D
A
Espanyol
1–1
xG 1.14–1.79
ESP PL - L
H
Valencia
3–4
xG 0.67–1.14
ESP PL - D
A
Girona
1–1
xG 0.52–2.76
ESP PL - D
H
Real Betis
2–2
xG 2.34–1.33
ESP PL - L
A
Sevilla
0–1
xG 0.2–1.99
ESP PL
All meetings · 37 matches since 2005
Goals 89–38 · 3.43 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 65%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 21–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 14–3 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Sociedad 1–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 2–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Sociedad 0–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Sociedad 0–1 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 2–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Sociedad 2–0 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Madrid 0–0 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 6 | Real Madrid at home · 3 | Real Sociedad all · 6 | Real Sociedad away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.50 | – | 1.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 1 | – | 2 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.83 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 50% | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 67% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.72 | – | 0.95 | – |
| xG against / match | 0.99 | – | 1.69 | – |
| xG difference | 1.73 | – | -0.74 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | – | 0.05 | – |
| xPts / match | 2.36 | – | 0.97 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.14 | – | 0.20 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 48% | – | 25% | – |
| Minutes level | 50% | – | 63% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 2% | – | 12% | – |
| First goal (min) | 21 | – | 20 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 55 | – | 60 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | – | 33% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | – | 82% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.83 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | 20.7 | – | 12.2 | – |
| On target | 8.3 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 73% | – | 56% | – |
| Big chances created | 4.7 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 7.8 | – | 7.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 26% | – | 18% | – |
| Goals from headers | 7% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 21.3 | – | 10.2 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 67.7 | – | 47.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 8.8 | – | 12.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.67 | – | 2.33 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Real Sociedad · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level +0.35 · Behind vs level -0.22
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 1.69 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 33% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid at home · 10 | Real Sociedad all · 10 | Real Sociedad away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 0 / 1 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.60 | 2.70 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.47 | 2.40 | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| xG against / match | 1.10 | 1.29 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.12 | -0.76 | -1.34 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 2.16 | 2.03 | 0.95 | 0.66 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.47 | -0.05 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.75 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 89% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 59% | 53% | 27% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 53% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 1% | 8% | 20% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 21 | 35 | 25 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 57 | 55 | 50 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 52% | 42% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 64% | 68% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 18.4 | 19.4 | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| On target | 7.4 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 66% | 58% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 21% | 21% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 18.0 | 9.9 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.8 | 58.9 | 44.8 | 38.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.5 | 13.7 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.20 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.33 | 0.83 | 2.17 | 0.69 | 1.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.73 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid at home · 27 | Real Sociedad all · 41 | Real Sociedad away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 27 | 41 | 20 |
| Points per game | 2.15 | 2.48 | 1.24 | 0.95 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 5 / 12 | 22 / 1 / 4 | 13 / 12 / 16 | 4 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.20 | 2.59 | 1.51 | 1.25 |
| Goals against / match | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.66 | 1.75 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 30% | 10% | 5% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 7% | 17% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 63% | 76% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 70% | 61% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.08 | 2.34 | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.46 | 1.87 |
| xG difference | 0.78 | 1.09 | -0.15 | -0.80 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.48 | -0.09 | -0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 72% | 82% | 49% | 45% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.77 | 2.05 | 1.56 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.20 | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 33% | 30% | 25% |
| Leads held | 86% | 92% | 56% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 52% | 28% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 40% | 48% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 8% | 24% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 30 | 37 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 46 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 51% | 53% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 60% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 57% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 17.5 | 19.3 | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 60% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 32% | 33% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 7% | 14% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 20.2 | 20.7 | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.9 | 61.6 | 45.7 | 40.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 13.8 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 2.00 | 2.49 | 2.65 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Real Sociedad · 41 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.33
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.28 | 1.44 |
Real Sociedad
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 37% | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.93 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-4-2 | 14 34% | 1.86 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 9 22% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.29 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.51 | 0.4 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.48 | 0.55 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.9 pts at 3.0h
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21 ▲ +11.1 | 7.21 ▼ -5.1 | 13.4 ▼ -6.0 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.18 ▲ +12.9 | 7.5 ▼ -5.9 | 13.0 ▼ -7.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.17 ▲ +10.7 | 7.0 ▼ -5.1 | 14.0 ▼ -5.6 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.18 ▲ +13.0 | 7.5 ▼ -7.2 | 13.0 ▼ -5.8 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 1.22 ▲ +10.2 | 7.0 ▼ -5.4 | 11.0 ▼ -4.9 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.2 ▲ +11.2 | 7.0 ▼ -5.3 | 11.0 ▼ -5.9 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.19 ▲ +10.8 | 7.0 ▼ -5.4 | 13.0 ▼ -5.3 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.22 ▲ +9.6 | 6.0 ▼ -4.8 | 11.0 ▼ -4.9 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes -2.7 pts at 8.0h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 1.95 ▲ +1.3 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -1.6 | 1.95 ▲ +1.6 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▼ -2.7 | 1.9 ▲ +2.7 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.78 ▼ -1.2 | 1.95 ▲ +1.2 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 ▼ -4.2 | 1.91 ▲ +4.2 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.7 pts at 13.0h
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.35 ▲ +7.6 | 3.14 ▼ -7.6 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.36 ▲ +8.1 | 3.2 ▼ -8.1 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.3 ▲ +7.4 | 3.2 ▼ -7.4 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.35 ▲ +6.9 | 2.86 ▼ -6.9 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.3 ▲ +9.9 | 3.35 ▼ -9.9 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 79% | 79% | 82% | +3.0 |
| Draw | 13% | 14% | 13% | -1.5 |
| Away | 7% | 7% | 5% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
- Career
- 62 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.97 (5.63 yellow · 0.29 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.3 · 4.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 61 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.79 | 5.07 | +1.21 | 93 |
| Fouls / match | 25.5 | 25.7 | -0.26 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.4 | 5.1 | -1.16 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.33 | -0.68 | 11 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.05 | 39 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.5
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 5' | 3 |
| 2026-05-23 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-05-13 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 81' | 8 |
| 2026-05-09 | 9 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 12' | 10 |
| 2026-04-27 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 70' | 8 |
| 2026-04-22 · Real Sociedad | 9 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 27' | 11 |
| 2026-04-04 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 22' | 9 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 26' | 12 |
| 2026-02-15 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 26' | 7 |
| 2026-02-08 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 25' | 6 |

Atlético de Madrid
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Deportivo A Coruña
Racing Santander
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Osasuna
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Getafe
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Celta de Vigo
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