Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

PaderbornPaderborn

–

TSG HoffenheimTSG

Momentum

– PaderbornTSG –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Waiting for statistics…

Season context

Paderborn	at home	Stat	league	away	TSG Hoffenheim
51.0 #8	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	54.0 #4
11.3 #15	–	Shots total	15.7	–	17.7 #6
1.0 #18	–	Shots on target	5.4	–	6.0 #7
3.3 #16	–	Corners	5.7	–	7.3 #3
11.0 #9	–	Fouls	11.2	–	14.0 #3
1.3 #10	–	Offsides	1.6	–	1.0 #11
15.0 #10	–	Tackles	15.7	–	15.3 #8
95.7 #10	–	Attacks	100.5	–	117.3 #3
42.7 #13	–	Dangerous attacks	51.1	–	66.3 #3
486.7 #4	–	Passes	453.6	–	456.3 #8
2.0 #4	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	2.3 #1
–	–	Assists	1.8	–	2.0 #6
– #17	–	Btts	59.3	–	– #1
– #5	–	Cleansheet	24.1	–	– #10
– #1	–	Draw	18.5	–	– #11
0.7 #17	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	1.9 #9
-0.7 #18	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	0.1 #8
– #1	–	Failed to score	24.1	–	– #8
0.0 #17	0.0	Goals	1.9	2.0	2.0 #9
1.3 #11	1.0	Goals conceded	1.9	3.0	2.3 #6
12.3 #4	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	11.3 #7
– #3	–	Lost	40.7	–	– #3
–	–	Penalties scored	0.0	–	0.0 #1
6.8 #13	–	Rating	6.9	–	6.8 #10
3.7 #13	–	Shots blocked	4.5	–	4.7 #9
5.7 #17	–	Shots insidebox	10.4	–	10.3 #12
6.7 #6	–	Shots off target	5.8	–	7.0 #5
5.7 #6	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	7.3 #3
– #15	–	Win	40.7	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Paderborn · Last 365 days

Laurin Curda 17 · Right Midfield

Rating 7.03 · G+A 0 + 0 · 91% of minutes

Raphael Obermair 23 · Left Midfield

Rating 6.95 (69th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 · 100% of minutes

Santiago Castañeda 5 · Defensive Midfield

Rating 7.02 (81th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 · 100% of minutes

All key players

TSG Hoffenheim · Last 365 days

Vladimír Coufal 34 · Right Back

Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 10 (17% of team goals) · 98% of minutes

Wouter Burger 18 · Defensive Midfield

Rating 7.16 (89th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 84% of minutes

Andrej Kramaric 27 · Secondary Striker

Rating 7.13 (91th pct) · G+A 13 + 6 (30% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 2.09 ppg with (23) · 0.83 without (12)

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 4

Venue

Stadium: Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Capacity: 15,306
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Ralf Kettemann · Christian Ilzer
Position: 15 · 13
Formation: 3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Daniel Schlager

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 18.7° (feels 18.6°)
Wind: 7.8
Humidity: 73%

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
3	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
4	FC Bayern München	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WDW
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1	DLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
2	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
5	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
6	FC Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	1	4	3	WDW
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	FC Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	DLL
16	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
17	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Paderborn

DLL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 0 GA 4 · xG 2.21–4.11 · xPts 2.68

L A Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 0.45–1.64 GER BI
L H SC Freiburg 0–1 xG 0.81–1.28 GER BI
D A FSV Mainz 05 0–0 xG 0.95–1.19 GER BI

TSG Hoffenheim

LLWL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 7.53–6.33 · xPts 6.27

L A OFI 0–2 xG 2.18–1.0 UEFA EL
W H VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 2.27–1.73 GER BI
L H Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 1.33–1.86 GER BI
L A FC Köln 2–3 xG 1.75–1.74 GER BI

first meeting No meetings in the last five years

All-time since 2014: 4 meetings · Paderborn 0 · draws 2 · TSG Hoffenheim 2

Paderborn have never beaten TSG Hoffenheim in 4 meetings
TSG Hoffenheim unbeaten in the last 4 meetings

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

23.8%Paderborn P 22%23.7%Draw P 21%52.5%TSG Hoffenheim P 57%

Over / under 2.5

55.8%Over 2.5 P 66%44.2%Under 2.5 P 34%

Both teams to score

56.6%Yes43.4%No

Expected

Paderborn goals: 1.13 (0–3)
TSG Hoffenheim goals: 1.78 (0–4)
Corners: 12.11 (7–17)
Cards: 5.06 (2–9)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

37.9%Paderborn22.3%Draw39.8%TSG Hoffenheim

Over / under 2.5

68.7%Over 2.531.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

68.1%Yes31.9%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 4 matches since 2014

Paderborn 02 draws2 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 1–5 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Paderborn 02 draws2 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 1–5 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Paderborn 02 draws2 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 1–5 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

D Paderborn 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
L TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 Paderborn GER BI · Regular Season
D Paderborn 0–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
L TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 Paderborn GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	Paderborn all · 3	Paderborn at home · 1	TSG Hoffenheim all · 3	TSG Hoffenheim away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paderborn · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133

Early press (0-15, level)-0.233

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.482

Game state

When level-0.363

When behind+0.062

10 min after conceding+0.082

Situations

Away-0.142

4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.032

As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.063

Conceded late (76+)+0.023

Behind vs level +0.42

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374

Early press (0-15, level)+0.574

Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103

When level+0.374

When behind+0.943

10 min after conceding-0.124

10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012

Away+0.762

4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012

Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184

Conceded when ahead-0.033

Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

Paderborn

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 67%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.63	1.46
3-4-3	1 33%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.95	1.19

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-4-2	2 67%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.54	1.8
4-2-3-1	1 33%	3.0	2.0	1.0	2.27	1.73

Metric	Paderborn all · 3	Paderborn at home · 1	TSG Hoffenheim all · 10	TSG Hoffenheim away · 10
Results
Matches	–	–	10	10
Points per game	–	–	1.40	1.10
W / D / L	–	–	4 / 2 / 4	3 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match	–	–	1.60	1.50
Goals against / match	–	–	2.00	2.60
Clean sheets	–	–	10%	10%
Failed to score	–	–	20%	30%
Both teams scored	–	–	70%	60%
Over 2.5	–	–	80%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	–	–	1.84	1.67
xG against / match	–	–	1.44	1.93
xG difference	–	–	0.40	-0.26
Finishing vs xG	–	–	-0.24	-0.17
xPts / match	–	–	1.64	1.37
Points vs xPts	–	–	-0.24	-0.27
Game state
Scored first	–	–	70%	40%
PPG when scoring first	–	–	1.86	2.25
PPG when conceding first	–	–	0.33	0.33
Came back from behind	–	–	20%	29%
Leads held	–	–	57%	60%
Minutes leading	–	–	40%	23%
Minutes level	–	–	40%	40%
Minutes trailing	–	–	20%	38%
First goal (min)	–	–	27	33
First goal conceded (min)	–	–	40	28
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	–	–	31%	33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	–	–	65%	46%
Late goals for (76'+)	–	–	0.10	0.10
Late goals against	–	–	0.70	0.70
Style
Possession	–	–	57%	56%
Shots	–	–	16.3	13.8
On target	–	–	5.3	4.4
Shot conversion	–	–	10%	11%
Shots inside box	–	–	60%	68%
Big chances created	–	–	3.1	2.5
Corners	–	–	6.6	6.1
xG from set plays	–	–	35%	30%
Goals from headers	–	–	12%	20%
Pressure index	–	–	15.2	13.0
Dominant minutes	–	–	58.9	48.8
Pass accuracy	–	–	82%	81%
Fouls	–	–	15.1	15.0
Cards	–	–	3.10	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'23

16–30'43

31–45'51

46–60'22

61–75'24

76–90'17

Paderborn

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 67%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.63	1.46
3-4-3	1 33%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.95	1.19

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 60%	1.67	1.33	1.83	2.04	1.2
4-4-2	2 20%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.54	1.8
3-4-1-2	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.22	1.99
3-4-2-1	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.9	1.64

Metric	Paderborn all · 3	Paderborn at home · 1	TSG Hoffenheim all · 35	TSG Hoffenheim away · 17
Results
Matches	–	–	35	17
Points per game	–	–	1.66	1.35
W / D / L	–	–	17 / 7 / 11	6 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match	–	–	1.83	1.53
Goals against / match	–	–	1.57	1.94
Clean sheets	–	–	20%	18%
Failed to score	–	–	20%	29%
Both teams scored	–	–	63%	59%
Over 2.5	–	–	69%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	–	–	1.74	1.59
xG against / match	–	–	1.45	1.61
xG difference	–	–	0.29	-0.03
Finishing vs xG	–	–	0.09	-0.06
xPts / match	–	–	1.60	1.45
Points vs xPts	–	–	0.05	-0.10
Game state
Scored first	–	–	51%	35%
PPG when scoring first	–	–	2.44	2.17
PPG when conceding first	–	–	0.81	0.90
Came back from behind	–	–	39%	46%
Leads held	–	–	77%	67%
Minutes leading	–	–	37%	24%
Minutes level	–	–	42%	47%
Minutes trailing	–	–	21%	29%
First goal (min)	–	–	32	32
First goal conceded (min)	–	–	40	29
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	–	–	44%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	–	–	56%	46%
Late goals for (76'+)	–	–	0.23	0.12
Late goals against	–	–	0.43	0.47
Style
Possession	–	–	56%	55%
Shots	–	–	14.8	13.0
On target	–	–	5.2	4.2
Shot conversion	–	–	12%	12%
Shots inside box	–	–	67%	67%
Big chances created	–	–	2.9	2.5
Corners	–	–	6.1	5.6
xG from set plays	–	–	33%	31%
Goals from headers	–	–	22%	27%
Pressure index	–	–	15.1	13.9
Dominant minutes	–	–	57.6	52.3
Pass accuracy	–	–	80%	80%
Fouls	–	–	14.1	14.9
Cards	–	–	2.29	2.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'68

16–30'129

31–45'187

46–60'135

61–75'711

76–90'815

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paderborn · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133

Early press (0-15, level)-0.233

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.482

Game state

When level-0.363

When behind+0.062

10 min after conceding+0.082

Situations

Away-0.142

4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.032

As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.063

Conceded late (76+)+0.023

Behind vs level +0.42

TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.2135

Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935

Late push (76+, level)-0.1611

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110

Game state

When ahead+0.1322

When level+0.2135

When behind+0.3318

10 min after conceding-0.1026

10 min after scoring+0.5528

Situations

With ten men+0.203

Against ten men-0.013

At home+0.0418

Away+0.3917

3 days rest or fewer+0.182

4+ days rest+0.2133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.0713

v mid-tier opponents+0.4310

v bottom-tier opponents+0.325

As favourite+0.3318

Evenly matched+0.1112

As underdog-0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.2035

Conceded when ahead-0.1422

Conceded late (76+)-0.1530

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.11

Paderborn

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 67%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.63	1.46
3-4-3	1 33%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.95	1.19

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 29%	1.7	1.4	1.5	2.0	1.14
4-4-2	7 20%	1.29	2.14	2.43	1.48	1.72
4-3-1-2	4 11%	1.75	2.25	1.0	2.01	1.21
4-3-3	2 6%	3.0	3.0	0.5	1.97	1.24
3-4-2-1	2 6%	3.0	2.5	1.0	1.61	1.21

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 78 snapshots · last 42.5h before kick-off

4.47Home 22% · -0.0 ptsopened 4.474.48Draw 21% · +0.0 ptsopened 4.491.69Away 57% · -0.0 ptsopened 1.69

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	4.47 · -0.0	4.48 · +0.0	1.69 · -0.0	42.5h
bet365	4.33 ▲ +1.0	4.5 ▼ -1.3	1.66 · +0.2	42.5h
Betfair	4.6 · -0.1	4.6 · -0.1	1.62 · +0.2	42.5h
BetVictor	4.2 · +0.0	4.1 · +0.0	1.62 · +0.0	42.5h
Coral	4.33 · +0.3	4.4 · -0.3	1.67 · +0.0	42.5h
Ladbrokes	4.33 · +0.1	4.4 · -0.3	1.67 · +0.2	42.5h
WilliamHill	4.2 · +0.0	4.0 · +0.0	1.67 · +0.0	42.5h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 78 snapshots · last 42.5h before kick-off

1.44Yes 65% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.442.62No 35% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.62

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.44 · +0.0	2.62 · +0.0	42.5h
Betfair	1.44 · +0.3	2.63 · -0.3	42.5h
BetVictor	1.4 · +0.0	2.7 · +0.0	42.5h
WilliamHill	1.44 · +0.0	2.62 · +0.0	42.5h

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 78 snapshots · last 42.5h before kick-off

1.44Over 66% · -0.3 ptsopened 1.432.84Under 34% · +0.3 ptsopened 2.86

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.44 · -0.3	2.84 · +0.3	42.5h
bet365	1.44 ▼ -2.5	2.75 ▲ +2.5	42.5h
Betfair	1.4 · -0.6	2.88 · +0.6	42.5h
BetVictor	1.4 · +0.1	2.66 · -0.1	42.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 42.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 22%4.5Draw 21% P 21%1.66Away 57% P 57%

Double Chance

2.15Paderborn or Draw 22%1.18Paderborn or TSG Hoffenheim 39%1.2Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 39%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 66%2.75Under 34% P 34%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	22%	21%	18%	-2.6
Draw	21%	23%	25%	+2.1
Away	57%	56%	57%	+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	66%	66%	69%	+3.2

Daniel Schlager

Career: 120 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match: 4.56 (4.36 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match: 23.0 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.31
Cards to home side: 47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.62	4.14	+0.89	85
Fouls / match	22.0	22.3	-0.38
Fouls per card	4.9	5.4	-0.87 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.38	0.32	+0.58	74
Time added	7.2	6.8	+0.30	67

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.18

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-09-06	2	13	0	36'	4
2026-08-27	5	25	0	19'	5
2026-08-13	6	34	0	26'	8
2026-05-02	5	17	0	31'	14
2026-04-10 · TSG Hoffenheim	8	24	1	16'	7
2026-03-13	3	16	0	6'	7
2026-02-21	7	26	1	17'	10
2026-01-31	4	17	1	38'	10
2026-01-17 · TSG Hoffenheim	3	24	0	48'	11
2026-01-09	6	20	1	29'	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Paderborn · Last 365 days

TSG Hoffenheim · Last 365 days

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 70

Paderborn

TSG Hoffenheim

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 4 matches since 2014

Last 10 · 4 matches

Last 5 · 4 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paderborn · 3 matches

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Paderborn

TSG Hoffenheim

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

Paderborn

TSG Hoffenheim

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paderborn · 3 matches

TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches

Paderborn

TSG Hoffenheim

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

Daniel Schlager

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 71 matches)

Recent matches