Rating 7.46 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 9 (16% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– B04RB Leipzig –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | at home | Stat | league | away | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.7 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.7 #3 |
| 24.0 #1 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 21.0 #3 |
| 6.3 #4 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 7.3 #2 |
| 9.3 #2 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 7.0 #5 |
| 12.7 #5 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.7 #14 |
| 1.7 #8 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 0.3 #17 |
| 12.0 #16 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 10.7 #18 |
| 116.3 #4 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 130.7 #2 |
| 67.3 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 58.7 #7 |
| 585.7 #2 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 581.0 #3 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 0.7 #18 |
| 2.3 #3 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 2.7 #2 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #11 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #11 |
| 2.7 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.4 #2 |
| -0.0 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.6 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #8 |
| 2.7 #4 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.9 | 1.0 | 3.0 #2 |
| 1.7 #10 | 0.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 #13 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| 8.0 #16 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 6.7 #18 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #7 |
| 7.0 #7 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 7.1 #4 |
| 7.3 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 5.0 #5 |
| 16.7 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 15.0 #2 |
| 10.3 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 8.7 #2 |
| 7.3 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Last 365 days
Rating 7.11 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 7 (13% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (31) · 1.62 without (16)
Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 20 + 5 (29% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.66 ppg with (29) · 1.72 without (18)
RB Leipzig · Last 365 days
Rating 7.4 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (30) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.15 (87th pct) · G+A 12 + 9 (29% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.97 ppg with (30) · 1.2 without (5)
Rating 7.18 (98th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Capacity
- 30,210
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Carles Martínez Novell · Martín Demichelis
- Position
- 7 · 5
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Robert Schröder
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 17.6° (feels 17.8°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 90%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LWDW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 9.78–3.17 · xPts 9.19
- W
H
Celje
2–0
xG 1.57–0.56
UEFA EL - D
A
FC Augsburg
2–2
xG 2.8–0.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.47–0.46
GER BI
- L
A
Elversberg
2–3
xG 1.94–1.27
GER BI
LWDW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 9.78–3.17 · xPts 9.19
- W
H
Celje
2–0
xG 1.57–0.56
UEFA EL
- D
A
FC Augsburg
2–2
xG 2.8–0.88
GER BI
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.47–0.46
GER BI
- L
A
Elversberg
2–3
xG 1.94–1.27
GER BI
RB Leipzig
WLLW 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 8.6–4.55 · xPts 7.7
- W
H
Hamburger SV
5–0
xG 1.94–0.85
GER BI
- L
A
Como
1–4
xG 1.19–1.94
UEFA CL - L
A
Werder Bremen
1–3
xG 1.61–0.7
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
xG 3.87–1.06
GER BI
WLLW 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 8.6–4.55 · xPts 7.7
- W
H
Hamburger SV
5–0
xG 1.94–0.85
GER BI
- L
A
Como
1–4
xG 1.19–1.94
UEFA CL
- L
A
Werder Bremen
1–3
xG 1.61–0.7
GER BI
- W
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
xG 3.87–1.06
GER BI
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026 · 1 on neutral ground
Recurring referee: Matthias Jöllenbeck · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 22–15 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen hosting: 3W 0D 2L · RB Leipzig hosting: 1W 1D 2L
At BayArena: 5 meetings · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 · draws 0 · RB Leipzig 2 · 3.6 goals per match · last away win Aug 2024
All-time since 2016: 20 meetings · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 · draws 5 · RB Leipzig 8
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen unbeaten in the last 3 meetings
- RB Leipzig haven't beaten Bayer 04 Leverkusen since Aug 2024
- Both teams have scored in the last 6 meetings
- Over 2.5 goals in the last 6 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.70 | 3.26 | +0.44 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 70% | 62% | +8% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 65% | +5% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.1 | 9.9 | +0.2 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 10 |
7 with 4+ goals · 1.90 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 6 of 10 | 4 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 4 | 2 |
| Won from behind | 2 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 31 · a side came back in 4 · goal after the 75th minute in 7 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'1
16-30'4
31-45'14
46-60'3
61-75'6
76-90'9
5 equalisers · 1 penalty · 1 own goal · 5 headers
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 · level 1 · RB Leipzig 0 — actual wins in those games 2 / 1
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 3 (30%), drew 1, upset 6 · market favoured Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5×, RB Leipzig 5× · avg favourite 46%, avg price of the actual result 35%
Fixture specialists
- 5 Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · in 3 games · last May 2026
- 4 Loïs Openda RB Leipzig · in 3 games · last Aug 2024
- 2 Nathan Tella Bayer 04 Leverkusen · in 2 games · last May 2026
- 2 Jeremie Frimpong Bayer 04 Leverkusen · in 2 games · last Aug 2024
- 2 Jonathan Tah Bayer 04 Leverkusen · in 2 games · last Jan 2024
Last meeting · 2026-05-02 · GER BI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig · ref Tobias Welz
- 25' Patrik Schick assist Nathan Tella 1–0
- 45' Nathan Tella assist Aleix García 2–0
- 76' Patrik Schick assist Ibrahim Maza 3–0
- 80' Christoph Baumgartner assist Brajan Gruda 3–1
- 89' Patrik Schick assist Alejandro Grimaldo 4–1
xG 3.12 – 1.03 · corners 10 · cards 4
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
51.1%Bayer 04 Leverkusen P 49%21.4%Draw P 23%27.5%RB Leipzig P 28%
Over / under 2.5
69.8%Over 2.5 P 71%30.2%Under 2.5 P 29%
Both teams to score
68.5%Yes31.5%No
Expected
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals
- 2.1 (0–4)
- RB Leipzig goals
- 1.51 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.03 (7–16)
- Cards
- 3.75 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
62.0%Bayer 04 Leverkusen19.6%Draw18.4%RB Leipzig
Over / under 2.5
62.8%Over 2.537.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.7%Yes42.3%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 20 matches since 2016
Goals 35–33 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 22–15 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 14–9 · 4.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 3 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 1 | RB Leipzig all · 3 | RB Leipzig away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872
Game state
When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784
Situations
At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404
Situations
At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 100% | 1.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 2.74 | 0.87 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 100% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.47 | 0.87 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 10 | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.43 | 2.71 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.20 | 1.32 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.90 | 1.51 | 0.85 | 0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.43 | -0.61 | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.11 | -0.40 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.83 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 75% | 0% | 17% |
| Leads held | 62% | 57% | 100% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 40% | 40% | 32% | 25% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 52% | 36% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 8% | 32% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 33 | 48 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 57 | 38 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 57% | 62% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 56% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 58% | 57% | 53% |
| Shots | 19.9 | 19.8 | 18.1 | 14.0 |
| On target | 6.6 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 70% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.9 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 7.6 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 24% | 20% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 20% | 14% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 16.2 | 18.0 | 14.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 60.5 | 60.2 | 51.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 88% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'44
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'24
61–75'21
76–90'63
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 2.45 | 0.79 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 47 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 23 | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 23 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 13 / 12 | 11 / 8 / 4 | 20 / 5 / 10 | 7 / 3 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 2.13 | 2.09 | 1.59 |
| Goals against / match | 1.34 | 1.17 | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 44% | 31% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 4% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% | 66% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 48% | 77% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.81 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.12 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 1.12 | 0.73 | 0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.11 | -0.03 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.61 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 70% | 71% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.19 | 2.28 | 2.22 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.65 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.43 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 50% | 23% | 12% |
| Leads held | 69% | 65% | 74% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 42% | 37% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 14% | 19% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 37 | 39 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 51 | 45 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 53% | 53% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 52% | 65% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 17.3 | 16.1 | 14.4 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 68% | 72% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 23% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 21% | 14% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 20.4 | 16.7 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.9 | 61.1 | 56.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 89% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.83 | 1.65 | 1.54 | 1.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'1211
16–30'145
31–45'1818
46–60'149
61–75'1210
76–90'1710
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2347
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1747
Late push (76+, level)-0.0813
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4414
Game state
When ahead+0.1732
When level+0.1847
When behind+0.4321
10 min after conceding+0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.3939
Situations
Against ten men-0.213
At home+0.2723
Away+0.2024
3 days rest or fewer+0.1913
4+ days rest+0.2534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1216
v mid-tier opponents+0.4711
v bottom-tier opponents+0.497
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.2312
As underdog-0.1810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0947
Conceded when ahead-0.0632
Conceded late (76+)-0.1640
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.25
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1827
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.1024
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.273
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 85% | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 11% | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.28 | 0.95 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 2.06 |
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 39.5h before kick-off
1.98Home 49% · +0.4 ptsopened 2.04.23Draw 23% · -0.2 ptsopened 4.193.4Away 28% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.38
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 · +0.4 | 4.23 · -0.2 | 3.4 · -0.2 | 39.5h |
| bet365 | 1.95 · +0.1 | 4.2 · -0.5 | 3.25 · +0.5 | 39.5h |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▲ +1.6 | 4.2 · -0.9 | 3.5 · -0.7 | 39.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.9 · +0.7 | 4.0 · -0.6 | 3.1 · -0.0 | 39.5h |
| Coral | 2.0 · -0.4 | 4.0 · -0.2 | 3.2 · +0.6 | 39.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.0 · +0.1 | 4.0 · -0.6 | 3.2 · +0.5 | 39.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 · +0.4 | 3.9 · +0.2 | 3.2 · -0.7 | 39.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 39.5h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.2 pts at 2.1d
1.33Yes 71% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 1.363.25No 29% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 3.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.33 ▲ +2.2 | 3.25 ▼ -2.2 | 39.5h |
| Betfair | 1.3 · -0.2 | 3.3 · +0.2 | 39.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.3 · +0.0 | 3.2 · +0.0 | 39.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.35 ▲ +1.6 | 3.1 ▼ -1.6 | 39.5h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 39.5h before kick-off
1.35Over 71% · +0.5 ptsopened 1.363.26Under 29% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.21
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.35 · +0.5 | 3.26 · -0.5 | 39.5h |
| bet365 | 1.36 · +0.0 | 3.2 · +0.0 | 39.5h |
| Betfair | 1.33 · -0.9 | 3.25 · +0.9 | 39.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.34 · +0.5 | 2.92 · -0.5 | 39.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 39.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 48% P 49%4.2Draw 22% P 23%3.25Away 29% P 28%
Double Chance
1.33Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 35%1.22Bayer Leverkusen or RB Leipzig 39%1.8Draw or RB Leipzig 26%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.33Yes 71%3.25No 29%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 71%3.2Under 30% P 29%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 49%1.8Under 51% P 51%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–50% · away 25–30% · 1,582 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 49% | 47% | 46% | -0.5 |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | 28% | +1.1 |
| Away | 28% | 27% | 26% | -0.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Robert Schröder
- Career
- 94 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.36 (4.19 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.3
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 57 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.02 | 4.14 | -0.43 | 37 |
| Fouls / match | 23.1 | 22.3 | +0.61 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.8 | 5.4 | +0.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.37 | 0.32 | +0.44 | 70 |
| Time added | 6.4 | 6.8 | -0.54 | 30 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.38
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 31' | 5 |
| 2026-05-09 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 80' | 8 |
| 2026-04-25 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 8' | 8 |
| 2026-04-04 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 29' | 7 |
| 2026-03-06 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 55' | 9 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 42' | 9 |
| 2026-01-31 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 53' | 9 |
| 2026-01-17 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 42' | 10 |
| 2026-01-10 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 21' | 8 |
| 2025-12-11 | 7 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7' | 6 |