Rating 7.31 (96th pct) · G+A 22 + 15 (38% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.83 ppg with (35) · 1.58 without (12)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– VFBBVB –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| VfB Stuttgart | at home | Stat | league | away | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.0 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 50.3 #10 |
| 16.3 #8 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 15.0 #10 |
| 5.7 #9 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 6.3 #4 |
| 6.7 #7 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 4.3 #12 |
| 10.0 #11 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.3 #10 |
| 1.0 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 2.0 #4 |
| 14.7 #11 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 19.3 #3 |
| 111.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 113.3 #5 |
| 48.3 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 46.0 #11 |
| 469.3 #6 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 476.3 #5 |
| 1.3 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #3 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #11 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #11 |
| 2.2 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| -0.2 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.9 #3 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #8 |
| 2.0 #9 | 4.0 | Goals | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.7 #4 |
| 2.7 #4 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 #16 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| 9.3 #10 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 15.7 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #15 |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 7.0 #5 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 4.0 #12 |
| 11.7 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 10.7 #10 |
| 6.0 #8 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 4.7 #11 |
| 4.7 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
VfB Stuttgart · Last 365 days
Rating 7.28 (96th pct) · G+A 8 + 6 (14% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.66 ppg with (35) · 2.08 without (12)
Rating 7.16 (90th pct) · G+A 2 + 10 (12% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Team 1.8 ppg with (41) · 1.5 without (6)
Borussia Dortmund · Last 365 days
Rating 7.05 (82th pct) · G+A 21 + 6 (30% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.08 ppg with (36) · 2.0 without (8)
Rating 7.25 (99th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.97 ppg with (35) · 2.44 without (9)
Rating 6.96 (73th pct) · G+A 0 + 17 (19% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.09 ppg with (34) · 2.0 without (10)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- MHPArena, Stuttgart
- Capacity
- 60,449
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Sebastian Hoeneß · Niko Kovač
- Position
- 14 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Tobias Stieler
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 21.5° (feels 20.9°)
- Wind
- 2.5
- Humidity
- 44%
Where to watch · 72
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
VfB Stuttgart
LWWL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.82–7.59 · xPts 6.21
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–2
xG 1.73–2.27
GER BI
- W
H
Viking
3–1
xG 2.16–0.77
UEFA CL - W
H
FC Köln
4–1
xG 3.83–2.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 1.11–2.47
GER BI
LWWL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.82–7.59 · xPts 6.21
- L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1–2
xG 1.73–2.27
GER BI
- W
H
Viking
3–1
xG 2.16–0.77
UEFA CL
- W
H
FC Köln
4–1
xG 3.83–2.08
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 1.11–2.47
GER BI
Borussia Dortmund
WWWW 4W 0D 0L · 12 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 7.73–3.97 · xPts 7.97
- W
H
Paderborn
3–0
xG 1.64–0.45
GER BI
- W
H
Villarreal
3–2
xG 2.75–1.42
UEFA CL - W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
3–2
xG 1.86–1.33
GER BI
- W
H
Hamburger SV
2–0
xG 1.47–0.78
GER BI
WWWW 4W 0D 0L · 12 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 7.73–3.97 · xPts 7.97
- W
H
Paderborn
3–0
xG 1.64–0.45
GER BI
- W
H
Villarreal
3–2
xG 2.75–1.42
UEFA CL
- W
A
TSG Hoffenheim
3–2
xG 1.86–1.33
GER BI
- W
H
Hamburger SV
2–0
xG 1.47–0.78
GER BI
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Harm Osmers · 3 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 17–20 · VfB Stuttgart hosting: 2W 1D 2L · Borussia Dortmund hosting: 2W 1D 2L
At MHPArena: 5 meetings · VfB Stuttgart 2 · draws 1 · Borussia Dortmund 2 · 3.8 goals per match · last away win Apr 2026
All-time since 2005: 38 meetings · VfB Stuttgart 9 · draws 10 · Borussia Dortmund 19
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.70 | 3.26 | +0.44 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 62% | -2% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 65% | +5% | 10 |
| Corners | 9.1 | 9.9 | -0.8 | 10 |
| Cards | 4.7 | 4.0 | +0.7 | 10 |
4 with 4+ goals · 1.20 first-half goals per match · red card in 2
How these games go · 10 with event data
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 10 | 7 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 3 | 4 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 37 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 7 · penalty scored in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'4
16-30'2
31-45'6
46-60'4
61-75'8
76-90'13
6 equalisers · 2 penalties · 1 own goal · 1 header
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: VfB Stuttgart 1 · level 1 · Borussia Dortmund 2 — actual wins in those games 2 / 1
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 5 (50%), drew 2, upset 3 · market favoured VfB Stuttgart 3×, Borussia Dortmund 7× · avg favourite 50%, avg price of the actual result 41%
Fixture specialists
- 6 Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · in 3 games · last Nov 2025
- 4 Julian Brandt Borussia Dortmund · in 3 games · last Apr 2026
- 2 Karim Adeyemi Borussia Dortmund · in 2 games · last Apr 2026
- 2 Serhou Guirassy VfB Stuttgart · in 2 games · last Apr 2024
- 2 D. Malen Borussia Dortmund · in 2 games · last Apr 2023
Last meeting · 2026-04-04 · GER BI
VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund · ref Robert Schröder
- 90+4' Karim Adeyemi 0–1
- 90+6' Julian Brandt assist Fábio Silva 0–2
xG 0.74 – 0.61 · corners 7 · cards 6
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
38.3%VfB Stuttgart P 39%22.4%Draw P 26%39.3%Borussia Dortmund P 35%
Over / under 2.5
69.0%Over 2.5 P 69%31.0%Under 2.5 P 31%
Both teams to score
69.3%Yes30.7%No
Expected
- VfB Stuttgart goals
- 1.77 (0–4)
- Borussia Dortmund goals
- 1.79 (0–4)
- Corners
- 10.51 (6–15)
- Cards
- 3.98 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
44.0%VfB Stuttgart22.5%Draw33.6%Borussia Dortmund
Over / under 2.5
69.2%Over 2.530.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
67.6%Yes32.4%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 38 matches since 2005
Goals 55–81 · 3.58 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 74%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 17–20 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- D Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
- W Borussia Dortmund 1–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
- W VfB Stuttgart 5–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- W Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
- W VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- D VfB Stuttgart 3–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- L Borussia Dortmund 5–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
- L VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
- L Borussia Dortmund 2–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart all · 3 | VfB Stuttgart at home · 1 | Borussia Dortmund all · 3 | Borussia Dortmund away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012
Game state
When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294
Situations
At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124
Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24
Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062
Game state
When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384
Situations
At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34
VfB Stuttgart
Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 100% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.67 | 2.22 | 2.27 |
Borussia Dortmund
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 67% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 0.89 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.78 |
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart all · 10 | VfB Stuttgart at home · 10 | Borussia Dortmund all · 10 | Borussia Dortmund away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.90 | 2.10 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 7 / 0 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.40 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.14 | 2.32 | 1.78 | 1.45 |
| xG against / match | 1.91 | 0.93 | 1.19 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | 0.23 | 1.39 | 0.59 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.26 | -0.22 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.56 | 2.11 | 1.76 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.06 | -0.21 | 0.34 | 0.64 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 37% | 39% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 30% | 40% | 44% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 23% | 17% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 33 | 40 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 33 | 48 | 49 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 43% | 62% | 83% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 33% | 60% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 62% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 19.0 | 13.7 | 11.4 |
| On target | 6.3 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 11% | 15% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 62% | 72% | 81% |
| Big chances created | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 24% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 5% | 10% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 14.7 | 20.2 | 13.8 | 8.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.0 | 63.1 | 52.5 | 38.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 85% | 85% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 9.2 | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.80 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
VfB Stuttgart
0–15'23
16–30'54
31–45'53
46–60'54
61–75'32
76–90'44
Borussia Dortmund
0–15'41
16–30'00
31–45'43
46–60'21
61–75'31
76–90'84
VfB Stuttgart
Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2.18 | 1.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 3.0 | 2.33 | 2.07 | 2.35 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.16 | 1.7 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.16 | 0.77 |
Borussia Dortmund
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 2.25 | 2.38 | 1.13 | 1.89 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.78 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.21 | 0.67 |
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart all · 47 | VfB Stuttgart at home · 24 | Borussia Dortmund all · 44 | Borussia Dortmund away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 47 | 24 | 44 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.77 | 2.25 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 25 / 8 / 14 | 17 / 3 / 4 | 28 / 7 / 9 | 10 / 4 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 2.06 | 2.00 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.04 | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 33% | 39% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 17% | 9% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 54% | 52% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 58% | 59% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.91 | 2.14 | 1.79 | 1.31 |
| xG against / match | 1.47 | 1.12 | 1.26 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 1.02 | 0.52 | -0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | -0.14 | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| xPts / match | 1.68 | 1.99 | 1.66 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 58% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.62 | 2.86 | 2.58 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.86 | 1.44 | 0.85 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 42% | 56% | 44% | 33% |
| Leads held | 83% | 94% | 82% | 77% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 34% | 41% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 51% | 43% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 15% | 16% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 40 | 38 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 40 | 46 | 47 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 52% | 59% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 62% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 16.3 | 17.6 | 13.0 | 10.7 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 16% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 20% | 35% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 19% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 20.1 | 19.7 | 15.8 | 10.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.2 | 63.6 | 52.9 | 42.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 83% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.8 | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 2.25 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
VfB Stuttgart
0–15'99
16–30'1611
31–45'2013
46–60'169
61–75'96
76–90'2720
Borussia Dortmund
0–15'124
16–30'86
31–45'1710
46–60'127
61–75'139
76–90'2916
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
VfB Stuttgart · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.04
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4447
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3347
Late push (76+, level)+0.2318
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4518
Game state
When ahead+0.6630
When level+0.3347
When behind+0.3824
10 min after conceding+0.0434
10 min after scoring+0.8939
Situations
With ten men+0.332
Against ten men+1.012
At home+0.3224
Away+0.5623
3 days rest or fewer+0.6614
4+ days rest+0.3433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2715
v mid-tier opponents+0.3717
v bottom-tier opponents+1.044
As favourite+0.3829
Evenly matched+0.7013
As underdog+0.045
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2047
Conceded when ahead-0.2030
Conceded late (76+)-0.3342
Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level +0.04
Borussia Dortmund · 44 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1844
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0144
Late push (76+, level)+0.3416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2712
Game state
When ahead+0.2633
When level+0.1844
When behind-0.0416
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.6039
Situations
With ten men-0.024
Against ten men-0.353
At home+0.3224
Away+0.0220
3 days rest or fewer+0.258
4+ days rest+0.1636
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0114
v mid-tier opponents+0.1415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.307
As favourite+0.3331
Evenly matched-0.079
As underdog-0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0744
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.2041
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.22
VfB Stuttgart
Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 51% | 1.96 | 2.33 | 1.58 | 1.92 | 1.65 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 28% | 1.46 | 1.77 | 1.31 | 1.72 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 6 13% | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.33 | 2.01 | 1.48 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.72 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.82 | 0.88 |
Borussia Dortmund
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 36 82% | 2.0 | 2.11 | 1.28 | 1.72 | 1.34 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 9% | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 1.61 | 1.06 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 7% | 3.0 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 2.96 | 0.8 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.21 | 0.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 102 snapshots · last 18.5h before kick-off
2.46Home 39% · -0.7 ptsopened 2.423.77Draw 26% · -0.6 ptsopened 3.682.76Away 35% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 2.87
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46 · -0.7 | 3.77 · -0.6 | 2.76 ▲ +1.3 | 18.5h |
| bet365 | 2.4 ▼ -2.8 | 3.75 ▲ +2.1 | 2.75 · +0.7 | 18.5h |
| Betfair | 2.4 ▼ -1.8 | 3.9 · +0.6 | 2.7 ▲ +1.2 | 18.5h |
| BetVictor | 2.3 ▼ -1.8 | 3.8 · -0.0 | 2.5 ▲ +1.8 | 18.5h |
| Coral | 2.3 ▼ -1.0 | 3.8 · -0.1 | 2.7 ▲ +1.1 | 18.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.3 ▼ -1.0 | 3.8 · -0.1 | 2.7 ▲ +1.1 | 18.5h |
| Unibet | 2.28 · +0.3 | 3.75 · +0.3 | 2.7 · -0.7 | 18.5h |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▼ -1.4 | 3.5 · -0.4 | 2.62 ▲ +1.8 | 18.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 102 snapshots · last 18.5h before kick-off
1.36Yes 69% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.363.0No 31% · +0.0 ptsopened 3.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.36 · +0.0 | 3.0 · +0.0 | 18.5h |
| Betfair | 1.3 · +0.0 | 3.3 · +0.0 | 18.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.3 ▲ +1.8 | 3.2 ▼ -1.8 | 18.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.36 · +0.0 | 3.0 · +0.0 | 18.5h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 102 snapshots · last 18.5h before kick-off
1.39Over 69% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.433.04Under 31% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 2.89
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 ▲ +1.7 | 3.04 ▼ -1.7 | 18.5h |
| bet365 | 1.4 · +0.0 | 3.0 · +0.0 | 18.5h |
| Betfair | 1.36 · -0.3 | 3.1 · +0.3 | 18.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.36 ▲ +1.4 | 2.82 ▼ -1.4 | 18.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 18.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.4Home 40% P 39%3.75Draw 25% P 26%2.75Away 35% P 35%
Double Chance
1.44VfB Stuttgart or Draw 32%1.25VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund 37%1.53Draw or Borussia Dortmund 30%
Draw No Bet
1.81 51%1.92 49%
Both Teams To Score
1.36Yes 69%3.0No 31%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 69%3.0Under 32% P 31%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 39% | 38% | 42% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 20% | -5.4 |
| Away | 35% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Tobias Stieler
- Career
- 284 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.05 (3.83 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.6 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.59 | 4.14 | -1.38 | 4 |
| Fouls / match | 21.2 | 22.3 | -1.05 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.0 | 5.4 | +0.86 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.32 | +0.37 | 63 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 6.8 | +0.09 | 56 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 24% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.19
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 38' | 6 |
| 2026-08-20 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 67' | 6 |
| 2026-05-16 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 24' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 61' | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 19' | 5 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1' | 11 |
| 2026-03-19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 19' | 9 |
| 2026-02-28 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 66' | 11 |
| 2026-02-19 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 4' | 7 |
| 2026-02-08 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 6' | 7 |