Rating 7.74 (100th pct) · G+A 45 + 6 (32% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 2.53 ppg with (36) · 2.5 without (12)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– FCBFCU –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| FC Bayern München | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.3 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 50.7 #9 |
| 21.3 #2 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 15.0 #10 |
| 6.7 #3 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 9.7 #1 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 3.3 #16 |
| 10.0 #11 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.3 #8 |
| 2.0 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 2.7 #2 |
| 13.7 #13 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 15.3 #8 |
| 148.7 #1 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 111.3 #6 |
| 98.0 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 64.3 #4 |
| 760.3 #1 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 397.3 #12 |
| 1.0 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 2.3 #1 |
| 2.0 #6 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 1.3 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #1 |
| 2.3 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.6 #13 |
| 0.0 #9 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.3 #13 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #5 |
| 2.3 #7 | 5.0 | Goals | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 #14 |
| 0.7 #16 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 4.0 | 3.3 #3 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 1.0 #1 |
| 8.7 #13 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 8.7 #13 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #3 |
| 7.2 #1 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.7 #16 |
| 7.3 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 5.0 #5 |
| 13.3 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 11.7 #5 |
| 7.3 #4 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 4.0 #15 |
| 8.0 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 3.3 #17 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Bayern München · Last 365 days
Rating 7.85 (100th pct) · G+A 20 + 25 (28% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 2.44 ppg with (34) · 2.71 without (14)
Rating 7.35 (98th pct) · G+A 21 + 15 (22% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 2.63 ppg with (38) · 2.1 without (10)
FC Union Berlin · Last 365 days
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 5 + 9 (32% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.24 ppg with (21) · 0.85 without (13)
Rating 6.98 (81th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (11% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Rating 6.7 (18th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Allianz Arena, Munich
- Capacity
- 75,024
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Vincent Kompany · Mauro Lustrinelli
- Position
- 4 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Benjamin Brand
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 19.8° (feels 19.0°)
- Wind
- 3.0
- Humidity
- 47%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Bayern München
WDWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 12 GA 2 · xG 9.23–2.94 · xPts 9.42
- W
A
Elversberg
2–1
xG 2.38–1.03
GER BI
- W
H
Bodø / Glimt
5–0
xG 2.46–0.41
UEFA CL - D
A
Schalke 04
0–0
xG 1.92–0.39
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
5–1
xG 2.47–1.11
GER BI
WDWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 12 GA 2 · xG 9.23–2.94 · xPts 9.42
- W
A
Elversberg
2–1
xG 2.38–1.03
GER BI
- W
H
Bodø / Glimt
5–0
xG 2.46–0.41
UEFA CL
- D
A
Schalke 04
0–0
xG 1.92–0.39
GER BI
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
5–1
xG 2.47–1.11
GER BI
FC Union Berlin
DLL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.8–7.08 · xPts 3.39
- L
H
Schalke 04
1–3
xG 2.21–2.42
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.46–3.47
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
xG 2.13–1.19
GER BI
DLL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.8–7.08 · xPts 3.39
- L
H
Schalke 04
1–3
xG 2.21–2.42
GER BI
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.46–3.47
GER BI
- D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
xG 2.13–1.19
GER BI
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Florian Exner · 2 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 29–7 · FC Bayern München hosting: 5W 0D 0L · FC Union Berlin hosting: 0W 3D 2L
At Allianz Arena: 5 meetings · FC Bayern München 5 · draws 0 · FC Union Berlin 0 · 3.0 goals per match
All-time since 2019: 14 meetings · FC Bayern München 9 · draws 5 · FC Union Berlin 0
- FC Bayern München unbeaten in the last 14 meetings
- FC Union Berlin have never beaten FC Bayern München in 14 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.60 | 3.26 | +0.34 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 62% | -12% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 65% | +5% | 10 |
| Corners | 11.0 | 9.9 | +1.1 | 10 |
| Cards | 3.3 | 4.0 | -0.7 | 9 |
5 with 4+ goals · 2.00 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 10 with event data
| FC Bayern München | FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 8 of 10 | 2 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 7 | 0 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 31 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 4 · penalty scored in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'4
16-30'5
31-45'11
46-60'6
61-75'5
76-90'5
4 equalisers · 2 penalties · 3 headers
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: FC Bayern München 2 · level 3 · FC Union Berlin 0 — actual wins in those games 3 / 0
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 7 (70%), drew 3, upset 0 · market favoured FC Bayern München 10×, FC Union Berlin 0× · avg favourite 75%, avg price of the actual result 58%
Fixture specialists
- 4 Harry Kane FC Bayern München · in 3 games · last Mar 2026
- 4 Kingsley Coman FC Bayern München · in 4 games · last Nov 2024
- 4 Robert Lewandowski FC Bayern München · in 2 games · last Mar 2022
- 3 Thomas Müller FC Bayern München · in 2 games · last Apr 2024
- 2 Serge Gnabry FC Bayern München · last Mar 2026
Last meeting · 2026-03-21 · GER BI
FC Bayern München 4-0 FC Union Berlin · ref Patrick Ittrich
- 43' Michael Olise assist Leon Goretzka 1–0
- 45+1' Serge Gnabry 2–0
- 49' Harry Kane assist Konrad Laimer 3–0
- 67' Serge Gnabry 4–0
xG 3.85 – 0.31 · corners 13 · cards 3
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
88.4%FC Bayern München P 92%7.7%Draw P 6%3.9%FC Union Berlin P 3%
Over / under 2.5
83.0%Over 2.517.0%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.6%Yes46.4%No
Expected
- FC Bayern München goals
- 3.74 (1–6)
- FC Union Berlin goals
- 0.79 (0–2)
- Corners
- 10.82 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.11 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
77.5%FC Bayern München15.2%Draw7.3%FC Union Berlin
Over / under 2.5
64.2%Over 2.535.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
45.3%Yes54.7%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 14 matches since 2019
Goals 35–10 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 29–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 15–4 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W FC Bayern München 4–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 3–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Union Berlin 1–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 1–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 3–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Bayern München 4–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Union Berlin 2–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 3 | FC Bayern München at home · 1 | FC Union Berlin all · 3 | FC Union Berlin away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044
Game state
When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243
Situations
At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774
Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05
FC Union Berlin · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182
Game state
When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073
Opposition
Evenly matched-0.052
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362
Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 100% | 2.33 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 2.26 | 0.84 |
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 67% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.13 | 1.19 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 10 | FC Bayern München at home · 10 | FC Union Berlin all · 10 | FC Union Berlin away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 1 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 3.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 2.30 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 90% | 90% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.30 | 2.82 | 1.59 | 1.05 |
| xG against / match | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1.69 | 2.34 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 1.54 | -0.09 | -1.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.70 | 1.08 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 2.17 | 1.47 | 0.80 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.43 | -0.57 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.67 | 2.00 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 38% | 12% |
| Leads held | 86% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 46% | 11% | 2% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 31% | 29% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 60% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 35 | 56 | 66 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 36 | 20 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 73% | 62% | 76% | 80% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 38% | 46% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 69% | 68% | 50% | 39% |
| Shots | 18.6 | 22.9 | 14.7 | 10.4 |
| On target | 7.5 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 17% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 62% | 74% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 45% | 50% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 8% | 35% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 22.0 | 22.1 | 14.6 | 7.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 68.1 | 71.9 | 52.6 | 32.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 76% | 72% |
| Fouls | 7.7 | 7.4 | 10.1 | 12.4 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'22
16–30'44
31–45'24
46–60'63
61–75'61
76–90'101
FC Union Berlin
0–15'25
16–30'05
31–45'22
46–60'24
61–75'24
76–90'92
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.22 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 2.32 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 2.41 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.94 | 0.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.96 | 2.22 |
| Metric | FC Bayern München all · 48 | FC Bayern München at home · 23 | FC Union Berlin all · 34 | FC Union Berlin away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 23 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.52 | 2.61 | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 38 / 7 / 3 | 19 / 3 / 1 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 5 / 2 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 3.33 | 3.70 | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Goals against / match | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.76 | 1.94 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 26% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 24% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 74% | 62% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 91% | 62% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.64 | 2.91 | 1.37 | 1.16 |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.49 | 1.88 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.86 | -0.11 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.69 | 0.79 | -0.08 | -0.10 |
| xPts / match | 2.10 | 2.31 | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.42 | 0.29 | -0.30 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 65% | 70% | 41% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.74 | 2.69 | 2.07 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.19 | 2.43 | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Came back from behind | 84% | 89% | 32% | 17% |
| Leads held | 90% | 90% | 64% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 46% | 51% | 16% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 33% | 48% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 15% | 36% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 54 | 63 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 58% | 68% | 72% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 52% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 66% | 67% | 42% | 39% |
| Shots | 19.2 | 21.7 | 12.6 | 11.3 |
| On target | 8.3 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 17% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 73% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 4.8 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 25% | 48% | 47% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 12% | 26% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 25.8 | 28.8 | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 70.2 | 76.8 | 37.6 | 32.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 72% | 72% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 8.6 | 12.0 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.69 | 1.30 | 2.21 | 1.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Bayern München
0–15'137
16–30'2111
31–45'2810
46–60'266
61–75'277
76–90'4514
FC Union Berlin
0–15'47
16–30'57
31–45'515
46–60'511
61–75'58
76–90'2012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Bayern München · 48 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.69) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.06
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6948
Early press (0-15, level)+0.6048
Late push (76+, level)+0.9014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5010
Game state
When ahead+0.7542
When level+0.7248
When behind+0.5019
10 min after conceding+0.2930
10 min after scoring+1.0647
Situations
With ten men+0.363
Against ten men+0.455
At home+0.7723
Away+0.6325
3 days rest or fewer+0.8314
4+ days rest+0.6334
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4521
v mid-tier opponents+0.8212
v bottom-tier opponents+0.686
As favourite+0.7744
Evenly matched+0.123
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2548
Conceded when ahead-0.3542
Conceded late (76+)-0.5035
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.22
FC Union Berlin · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0834
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1234
Late push (76+, level)-0.1715
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0918
Game state
When ahead-0.1814
When level-0.1834
When behind+0.1121
10 min after conceding-0.2527
10 min after scoring+0.2126
Situations
With ten men+0.013
Against ten men+0.274
At home-0.1017
Away-0.0617
4+ days rest-0.0833
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3911
v mid-tier opponents-0.0612
v bottom-tier opponents-0.265
As favourite+0.096
Evenly matched-0.1317
As underdog-0.1211
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2234
Conceded when ahead+0.4514
Conceded late (76+)+0.2431
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level +0.29
FC Bayern München
Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 98% | 2.55 | 3.34 | 1.11 | 2.65 | 1.25 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.95 |
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 2.24 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 4.5h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.4 pts at 3.5d
1.05Home 92% ▲ +4.2 ptsopened 1.116.36Draw 6% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 12.0537.85Away 3% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 20.7
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.05 ▲ +4.2 | 16.36 ▼ -2.1 | 37.85 ▼ -2.1 | 4.5h |
| bet365 | 1.04 ▲ +4.9 | 19.0 ▼ -3.6 | 26.0 ▼ -1.3 | 4.5h |
| Betfair | 1.05 ▲ +6.5 | 19.0 ▼ -3.6 | 46.0 ▼ -2.9 | 4.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.03 ▲ +6.4 | 17.0 ▼ -4.0 | 31.0 ▼ -2.3 | 4.5h |
| Coral | 1.07 ▲ +4.4 | 17.0 ▼ -3.0 | 23.0 ▼ -1.4 | 4.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.06 ▲ +4.1 | 17.0 ▼ -3.0 | 21.0 ▼ -1.1 | 4.5h |
| Unibet | 1.02 ▲ +3.1 | 18.0 ▼ -2.0 | 36.0 ▼ -1.1 | 4.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.05 ▲ +4.6 | 15.0 ▼ -3.0 | 34.0 ▼ -1.6 | 4.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 4.5h before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 7.5h
1.95Yes 48% ▼ -5.3 ptsopened 1.751.8No 52% ▲ +5.3 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -5.3 | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 4.5h |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -2.0 | 1.87 ▲ +2.0 | 4.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.83 ▼ -3.8 | 1.85 ▲ +3.8 | 4.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 ▼ -6.1 | 1.85 ▲ +6.1 | 4.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 4.5h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.7 pts at 4.7d
1.08Over 88% ▲ +6.9 ptsopened 1.168.0Under 12% ▼ -6.9 ptsopened 5.0
Over Under consensus of 3 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.08 ▲ +6.9 | 8.0 ▼ -6.9 | 4.5h |
| Betfair | 1.07 ▲ +7.4 | 8.0 ▼ -7.4 | 4.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.08 ▲ +3.0 | 7.5 ▼ -3.0 | 4.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 4.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.04Home 91% P 92%19.0Draw 5% P 6%26.0Away 4% P 3%
Double Chance
1.01Bayern Munich or Draw1.02Bayern Munich or Union Berlin15.0Draw or Union Berlin
Draw No Bet
1.011 96%23.02 4%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.08Over 88%8.0Under 12%
Total Corners
19.0Under 6 5%4.56 - 8 19%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 17%
Number of Cards
2.51.72Over 54% P 55%2.0Under 46% P 45%
3.52.2Over 42% P 36%1.61Under 58% P 64%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 90–95% · away 0–5% · 123 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 92% | 92% | 97% | +5.1 |
| Draw | 6% | 6% | 3% | -2.6 |
| Away | 3% | 3% | 0% | -2.5 |
In those fixtures: 4.3 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 82%
Benjamin Brand
- Career
- 101 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.01 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.3
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.34 | 4.14 | +0.27 | 63 |
| Fouls / match | 22.9 | 22.3 | +0.39 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.4 | -0.28 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.41 | 0.32 | +0.88 | 89 |
| Time added | 7.3 | 6.8 | +0.40 | 78 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 23' | 10 |
| 2026-07-07 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 58' | 6 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 19' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 48' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 39' | 9 |
| 2026-03-07 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 51' | 7 |
| 2026-02-21 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 30' | 12 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 57' | 7 |
| 2026-01-16 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 52' | 9 |
| 2025-12-20 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 30' | 8 |