Rating 6.94 (64th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (22% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 0.9 ppg with (20) · 0.79 without (14)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– FC KölnSVW –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| FC Köln | at home | Stat | league | away | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.3 #14 | – | Ball possession | 49.7 | – | 43.0 #15 |
| 16.7 #7 | – | Shots total | 15.6 | – | 11.7 #14 |
| 5.0 #13 | – | Shots on target | 5.5 | – | 5.0 #13 |
| 7.3 #3 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 9.3 #16 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 13.7 #4 |
| 0.3 #17 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #4 |
| 12.7 #15 | – | Tackles | 15.8 | – | 28.3 #1 |
| 86.0 #12 | – | Attacks | 99.8 | – | 74.0 #17 |
| 49.3 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 50.6 | – | 36.3 #14 |
| 395.0 #13 | – | Passes | 450.5 | – | 416.0 #11 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.0 #14 |
| 1.0 #11 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #11 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 57.4 | – | – #1 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 25.0 | – | – #10 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 17.6 | – | – #1 |
| 2.0 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 0.9 #16 |
| -0.3 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.8 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 24.5 | – | – #8 |
| 1.7 #12 | 2.0 | Goals | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 #12 |
| 2.3 #6 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 #9 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| 8.7 #14 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 10.0 #8 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 41.2 | – | – #7 |
| 0.0 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 6.7 #14 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.9 #9 |
| 5.0 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 4.4 | – | 3.3 #15 |
| 11.7 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.3 | – | 7.3 #14 |
| 6.7 #5 | – | Shots off target | 5.6 | – | 3.3 #16 |
| 5.0 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 41.2 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Köln · Last 365 days
Rating 6.78 (38th pct) · G+A 13 + 4 (37% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 0.95 ppg with (21) · 0.69 without (13)
Rating 6.82 (45th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (4% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 0.62 ppg with (21) · 1.23 without (13)
Werder Bremen · Last 365 days
Rating 7.1 (82th pct) · G+A 9 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 0.89 ppg with (28) · 1.17 without (6)
Rating 6.88 (55th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.0 ppg with (23) · 0.82 without (11)
Rating 7.01 (90th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 50% of minutes
Team 1.06 ppg with (17) · 0.82 without (17)
Absences
FC Köln
- injury Luca Waldschmidt #7 key player attacker · Muscular problems · 3 missed
- injury Malek El Mala attacker · Muscle Injury · 31 missed
- suspension Gil Neves midfielder · Indirect Card Suspension · until 2026-09-14
Werder Bremen
- injury Keke Topp #10 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 17 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
- Capacity
- 50,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 45,965
Teams
- Coaches
- René Wagner · Daniel Thioune
- Position
- 13 · 12
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Florian Exner
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 18.7° (feels 18.5°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 70%
Where to watch · 78
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | DLLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 6 | WDWW |
| 2 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 3 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 5 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 6 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDWW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 16 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 | DLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Köln
LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 4.48–8.57 · xPts 2.3
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–4
xG 2.08–3.83
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
3–2
xG 1.74–1.75
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 0.65–2.98
GER BI
LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 4.48–8.57 · xPts 2.3
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
1–4
xG 2.08–3.83
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
3–2
xG 1.74–1.75
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–5
xG 0.65–2.98
GER BI
Werder Bremen
LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 2.06–6.17 · xPts 1.66
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 0.7–1.61
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–4
xG 0.66–1.91
GER BI
- L
H
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 0.7–2.66
GER BI
LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 2.06–6.17 · xPts 1.66
- W
H
RB Leipzig
3–1
xG 0.7–1.61
GER BI
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–4
xG 0.66–1.91
GER BI
- L
H
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 0.7–2.66
GER BI
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
44.9%FC Köln P 46%23.6%Draw P 26%31.5%Werder Bremen P 28%
Over / under 2.5
61.9%Over 2.5 P 60%38.1%Under 2.5 P 40%
Both teams to score
63.3%Yes36.7%No
Expected
- FC Köln goals
- 1.75 (0–4)
- Werder Bremen goals
- 1.44 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.1 (7–16)
- Cards
- 4.55 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 44.8% / 23.6% / 31.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
43.3%FC Köln23.6%Draw33.1%Werder Bremen
Over / under 2.5
60.4%Over 2.539.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
61.8%Yes38.2%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.445 | 0.885 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.965 | 0.767 |
| btts | yes | 0.457 | 0.269 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 29 matches since 2005
Goals 38–47 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 41%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 17–16 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- D Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Köln 0–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 2–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
- D Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Köln 7–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
- D Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L Werder Bremen 6–1 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Köln all · 3 | FC Köln at home · 2 | Werder Bremen all · 3 | Werder Bremen away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Köln · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593
Situations
At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.182
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.502
Conceded late (76+)-0.423
Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54
Werder Bremen · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063
Game state
When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302
Situations
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202
Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60
FC Köln
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.91 | 2.79 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.97 | 1.17 |
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 67% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.93 | 1.79 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.66 | 1.91 |
| Metric | FC Köln all · 10 | FC Köln at home · 10 | Werder Bremen all · 10 | Werder Bremen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 2.30 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 90% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | 0.07 | 0.20 | -0.90 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.40 | -0.10 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.47 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.44 | -0.27 | -0.11 | -0.32 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 43% | 14% | 25% |
| Leads held | 50% | 50% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 28% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 39% | 33% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 33% | 49% | 48% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 34 | 54 | 57 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 35 | 36 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 69% | 59% | 75% | 70% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 50% | 53% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 47% | 46% | 49% |
| Shots | 16.2 | 16.3 | 11.6 | 11.9 |
| On target | 6.0 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 59% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 31% | 24% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 6% | 25% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 12.8 | 14.2 | 9.9 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | 51.9 | 44.7 | 43.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 80% | 80% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.6 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Köln
0–15'33
16–30'13
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'410
76–90'63
Werder Bremen
0–15'13
16–30'13
31–45'13
46–60'14
61–75'43
76–90'43
FC Köln
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.42 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.68 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.91 | 2.79 |
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.12 | 2.07 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.04 | 2.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.66 | 1.91 |
| Metric | FC Köln all · 34 | FC Köln at home · 18 | Werder Bremen all · 34 | Werder Bremen away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 18 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.85 | 1.11 | 0.94 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 17 | 5 / 5 / 8 | 8 / 8 / 18 | 2 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.94 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.76 |
| Clean sheets | 6% | 6% | 15% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 6% | 38% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 82% | 89% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 72% | 50% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| xG against / match | 1.71 | 1.46 | 1.58 | 1.83 |
| xG difference | -0.20 | 0.13 | -0.42 | -0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | 0.08 | -0.16 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.27 | 1.43 | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.41 | -0.32 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 35% | 50% | 29% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 1.33 | 2.10 | 1.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.59 | 0.89 | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| Came back from behind | 37% | 38% | 25% | 23% |
| Leads held | 40% | 42% | 62% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 26% | 17% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 48% | 42% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 26% | 42% | 44% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 35 | 54 | 58 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 44 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 63% | 74% | 73% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 56% | 58% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.61 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 15.2 | 13.1 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 69% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 21% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 13% | 26% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 11.7 | 13.7 | 13.1 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.9 | 50.1 | 48.7 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 8.6 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.94 | 1.94 | 2.29 | 2.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Köln
0–15'98
16–30'610
31–45'311
46–60'69
61–75'517
76–90'1711
Werder Bremen
0–15'27
16–30'38
31–45'410
46–60'39
61–75'913
76–90'1312
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Köln · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.30
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0334
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0234
Late push (76+, level)-0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0720
Game state
When ahead-0.1315
When level-0.0634
When behind+0.0926
10 min after conceding-0.0831
10 min after scoring+0.3030
Situations
With ten men-0.033
Against ten men-0.022
At home-0.0218
Away-0.0416
4+ days rest-0.0433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0212
v mid-tier opponents-0.1611
v bottom-tier opponents-0.066
As favourite+0.196
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1734
Conceded when ahead+0.1415
Conceded late (76+)-0.0233
Congested vs rested +0.39 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.15
Werder Bremen · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1034
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1318
Game state
When ahead+0.0113
When level+0.0534
When behind+0.1024
10 min after conceding-0.2029
10 min after scoring+0.4020
Situations
With ten men-0.163
Against ten men+0.085
At home+0.1517
Away-0.0317
3 days rest or fewer+0.582
4+ days rest+0.0332
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0813
v mid-tier opponents+0.3110
v bottom-tier opponents+0.105
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched+0.1616
As underdog-0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0534
Conceded when ahead+0.1013
Conceded late (76+)-0.0930
Congested vs rested +0.55 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05
FC Köln
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 24% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.88 | 1.53 | 1.26 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.38 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 15% | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.71 | 1.58 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 12% | 0.25 | 1.25 | 3.0 | 1.59 | 2.52 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 2.0 | 3.25 | 1.71 | 2.77 |
Werder Bremen
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 41% | 1.07 | 1.0 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.74 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.22 | 1.4 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.4 | 1.81 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| 3-5-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.19 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.1 pts at 2.8d
2.09Home 46% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.083.75Draw 26% · +1.0 ptsopened 3.883.51Away 28% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 3.37
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.09 · +0.0 | 3.75 · +1.0 | 3.51 ▼ -1.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.05 · +0.8 | 3.8 · -0.9 | 3.25 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.0 ▲ +1.9 | 3.6 ▲ +1.2 | 3.3 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.05 · +0.4 | 3.8 · -0.5 | 3.2 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.05 · +0.9 | 3.7 · +0.2 | 3.3 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 · +0.1 | 3.6 · +0.7 | 3.3 · -0.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.08 · +0.2 | 3.65 · -0.1 | 3.1 · -0.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 · +0.8 | 3.6 · -0.2 | 3.25 · -0.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
1.5Yes 62% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.52.5No 38% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.5
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.5 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +3.1 | 2.63 ▼ -3.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.44 · +0.6 | 2.55 · -0.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.49 ▲ +1.2 | 2.48 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +4.5 | 2.7 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -2.7 pts at 10m · late move: over -1.7 pts inside the final hour
1.61Over 60% · -0.6 ptsopened 1.582.45Under 40% · +0.6 ptsopened 2.47
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61 · -0.6 | 2.45 · +0.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +1.9 | 2.5 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +2.6 | 2.4 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +1.6 | 2.36 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.57 ▲ +1.2 | 2.35 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.05Home 46% P 46%3.8Draw 25% P 26%3.25Away 29% P 28%
Double Chance
1.3Cologne or Draw 36%1.25Cologne or Werder Bremen 38%1.8Draw or Werder Bremen 26%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 60%2.5Under 38% P 40%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
4.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 50% | +4.6 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | -2.4 |
| Away | 28% | 28% | 26% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 61% | 63% | +1.6 |
Florian Exner
- Career
- 26 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.85 (4.58 yellow · 0.15 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 4.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 52%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 26 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.04 | 4.15 | +1.81 | 96 |
| Fouls / match | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.75 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.3 | 5.4 | -1.81 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.39 | 0.33 | +0.61 | 78 |
| Time added | 9.9 | 6.8 | +3.15 | 100 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7' | 14 |
| 2026-04-18 · Werder Bremen | 7 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 45' | 15 |
| 2026-04-05 · FC Köln | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2026-03-07 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 3 | 20' | 14 |
| 2026-02-14 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2026-01-27 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 49' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 73' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 13' | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15' | 14 |
| 2025-10-18 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 30' | 15 |