Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| FC Union Berlin | at home | Stat | league | away | Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.7 #9 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 34.0 #18 |
| 15.0 #10 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 11.3 #15 |
| 6.0 #7 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 5.3 #12 |
| 3.3 #16 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 2.7 #18 |
| 11.3 #8 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 7.0 #18 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #8 |
| 15.3 #8 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 22.7 #2 |
| 111.3 #6 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 76.3 #16 |
| 64.3 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 30.3 #17 |
| 397.3 #12 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 305.0 #18 |
| 2.3 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.0 #14 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 1.3 #11 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 0.7 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #11 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.6 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #14 |
| -0.3 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.5 #16 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #3 |
| 1.3 #14 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 #15 |
| 3.3 #3 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 #11 |
| 1.0 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 1.0 #1 |
| 8.7 #13 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 9.0 #11 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #7 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.8 #12 |
| 5.0 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 1.3 #17 |
| 11.7 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 7.0 #15 |
| 4.0 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 4.7 #11 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Union Berlin · Last 365 days
Schalke 04 · Last 365 days
Absences
FC Union Berlin
- injury Andrej Ilic #1 key player attacker · Food Poisoning · 7 missed
Schalke 04
- injury Emil Højlund attacker · Achilles tendon problems · 33 missed
- suspension Ron Schallenberg midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 1 missed · until 2026-09-12
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
- Capacity
- 22,012
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Mauro Lustrinelli · Miron Muslić
- Position
- 15 · 14
- Formation
- 4-3-1-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Timo Gerach
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 14.6° (feels 13.8°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 64%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 | FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 | Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 | Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 | FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 | TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 | Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 | FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Union Berlin
WDL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.95–5.29 · xPts 4.54
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.46–3.47
GER BI - D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
xG 2.13–1.19
GER BI - W
H
FC Augsburg
4–0
xG 2.36–0.63
GER BI
WDL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.95–5.29 · xPts 4.54
- L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–4
xG 0.46–3.47
GER BI - D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
xG 2.13–1.19
GER BI - W
H
FC Augsburg
4–0
xG 2.36–0.63
GER BI
Schalke 04
LD 0W 1D 1L · 1 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 0 GA 3 · xG 1.93–5.74 · xPts 0.82
- D
H
FC Bayern München
0–0
xG 0.39–1.92
GER BI - L
A
FC Augsburg
0–3
xG 1.54–3.81
GER BI
LD 0W 1D 1L · 1 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 0 GA 3 · xG 1.93–5.74 · xPts 0.82
- D
H
FC Bayern München
0–0
xG 0.39–1.92
GER BI - L
A
FC Augsburg
0–3
xG 1.54–3.81
GER BI
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Expected
- FC Union Berlin goals
- 1.73 (0–3)
- Schalke 04 goals
- 1.06 (0–2)
- Corners
- 11.88 (7–17)
- Cards
- 4.42 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 52.9% / 24.2% / 22.9%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.475 | 0.933 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.642 | 0.449 |
| btts | yes | 0.619 | 0.426 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 7 matches since 2019
Goals 10–8 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 43%
Last 10 · 7 matches
Goals 10–8 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 43%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L FC Union Berlin 1–3 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 0–0 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
- W Schalke 04 1–6 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 0–0 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
- D Schalke 04 1–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
- D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
- L Schalke 04 2–1 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Union Berlin all · 3 | FC Union Berlin at home · 2 | Schalke 04 all · 3 | Schalke 04 away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Union Berlin · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53
Schalke 04 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.18
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.09
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 67% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.13 | 1.19 |
Schalke 04
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.98 | 3.01 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.39 | 1.92 |
| Metric | FC Union Berlin all · 10 | FC Union Berlin at home · 10 | Schalke 04 all · 3 | Schalke 04 away · 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | – | – |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.00 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 4 / 4 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.20 | 1.90 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 70% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.59 | 1.64 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | 1.16 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.09 | 0.48 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | -0.14 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.72 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.57 | -0.72 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 1.75 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 50% | – | – |
| Leads held | 67% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 18% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 29% | 33% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 60% | 49% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 56 | 50 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 20 | 28 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 76% | 67% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 53% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.90 | 0.70 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.40 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 48% | – | – |
| Shots | 14.7 | 14.9 | – | – |
| On target | 5.8 | 5.7 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 72% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.5 | – | – |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.0 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 45% | 49% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 35% | 27% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | 13.7 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 52.6 | 51.4 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 72% | – | – |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.7 | – | – |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Union Berlin
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 2.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.96 | 2.22 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.94 | 0.21 |
Schalke 04
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.98 | 3.01 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.39 | 1.92 |
| Metric | FC Union Berlin all · 34 | FC Union Berlin at home · 17 | Schalke 04 all · 3 | Schalke 04 away · 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | – | – |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.18 | – | – |
| W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 | 4 / 8 / 5 | – | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.53 | – | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.59 | – | – |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 24% | – | – |
| Failed to score | 24% | 18% | – | – |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 71% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 71% | – | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.59 | – | – |
| xG against / match | 1.49 | 1.09 | – | – |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.50 | – | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.08 | -0.06 | – | – |
| xPts / match | 1.39 | 1.71 | – | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.30 | -0.53 | – | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 41% | 47% | – | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 1.75 | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.57 | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 50% | – | – |
| Leads held | 64% | 50% | – | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 22% | – | – |
| Minutes level | 48% | 45% | – | – |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 33% | – | – |
| First goal (min) | 54 | 47 | – | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 37 | – | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 68% | 65% | – | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 56% | – | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.59 | 0.71 | – | – |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.41 | – | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 44% | – | – |
| Shots | 12.6 | 13.9 | – | – |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.9 | – | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | – | – |
| Shots inside box | 73% | 73% | – | – |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | – | – |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.9 | – | – |
| xG from set plays | 48% | 49% | – | – |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 31% | – | – |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | 11.5 | – | – |
| Dominant minutes | 37.6 | 42.2 | – | – |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 71% | – | – |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.4 | – | – |
| Cards | 2.21 | 2.59 | – | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Union Berlin
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Union Berlin · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.39
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level +0.29
Schalke 04 · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.18
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.09
FC Union Berlin
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 18% | 0.5 | 1.17 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 2.24 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.55 | 1.07 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.34 | 2.95 |
Schalke 04
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 67% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.98 | 3.01 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.39 | 1.92 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.9 pts at 1.2h · late move: draw +1.6 pts inside the final hour
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.38 ▼ -2.2 | 3.44 ▲ +2.6 | 3.17 · -0.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.35 ▼ -3.2 | 3.4 ▲ +1.9 | 3.0 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.3 ▼ -3.8 | 3.6 ▲ +2.7 | 3.0 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.38 ▼ -2.8 | 3.7 · +0.8 | 2.9 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.3 ▼ -4.0 | 3.5 ▲ +2.1 | 3.0 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.25 ▼ -2.9 | 3.5 ▲ +1.8 | 3.0 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.17 ▼ -3.0 | 3.55 ▲ +1.5 | 3.05 ▲ +1.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.38 ▼ -3.9 | 3.4 · +0.9 | 2.75 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.7 pts at 3.5h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.5 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +2.1 | 2.63 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.47 · -0.8 | 2.45 · +0.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.49 · -0.5 | 2.48 · +0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.57 ▼ -2.2 | 2.38 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.1 pts at 20m · late move: under +4.0 pts inside the final hour
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78 ▼ -4.5 | 2.15 ▲ +4.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▼ -1.3 | 2.3 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▼ -1.3 | 2.38 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.68 ▼ -4.6 | 2.01 ▲ +4.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.6 ▼ -3.0 | 2.3 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Timo Gerach
- Career
- 30 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.43 (4.13 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.5
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 29 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.67 | 74 |
| Fouls / match | 20.9 | 22.3 | -1.39 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 5.4 | -1.05 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.32 | +1.75 | 96 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.8 | +0.30 | 67 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 68' | 8 |
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 31' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 · FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 16' | 9 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-01-10 | 8 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 4' | 13 |
| 2025-11-28 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 7' | 8 |
| 2025-09-20 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 35' | 10 |

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