FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga · Matchweek 3

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

1–3

Eintracht FrankfurtSGE

Momentum

– FSV Mainz 05SGE –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

FSV Mainz 05	at home	Stat	league	away	Eintracht Frankfurt
50.3 #10	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	52.0 #5
18.7 #4	–	Shots total	15.7	–	15.0 #10
5.7 #9	–	Shots on target	5.4	–	5.3 #12
6.7 #7	–	Corners	5.7	–	5.3 #10
12.7 #5	–	Fouls	11.2	–	9.7 #14
1.0 #11	–	Offsides	1.6	–	2.7 #2
16.7 #4	–	Tackles	15.7	–	15.7 #6
109.7 #8	–	Attacks	100.5	–	108.7 #9
62.3 #5	–	Dangerous attacks	51.1	–	59.0 #6
429.3 #10	–	Passes	453.6	–	450.3 #9
1.3 #11	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	2.3 #1
2.0 #6	–	Assists	1.8	–	1.7 #9
– #11	–	Btts	59.3	–	– #1
– #1	–	Cleansheet	24.1	–	– #10
– #1	–	Draw	18.5	–	– #1
2.1 #6	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	1.8 #10
-0.1 #11	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	0.5 #7
– #5	–	Failed to score	24.1	–	– #8
2.0 #9	0.5	Goals	1.9	3.0	2.3 #7
1.0 #13	1.5	Goals conceded	1.9	2.0	2.7 #4
0.7 #3	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.7 #3
13.0 #3	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	14.3 #2
– #7	–	Lost	40.7	–	– #7
0.0 #1	–	Penalties scored	0.0	–	–
7.0 #6	–	Rating	6.9	–	6.9 #8
5.0 #5	–	Shots blocked	4.5	–	4.3 #11
13.0 #4	–	Shots insidebox	10.4	–	11.0 #8
8.0 #3	–	Shots off target	5.8	–	5.3 #9
5.7 #6	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	4.0 #14
– #7	–	Win	40.7	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

FSV Mainz 05 · Last 365 days

Nadiem Amiri 10 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.34 (97th pct) · G+A 13 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 63% of minutes

Team 1.32 ppg with (28) · 1.62 without (16)

Kaishu Sano 6 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.01 (79th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 96% of minutes

Paul Nebel 8 · Attacking Midfield

Injury · Adductor Injury

Rating 6.92 (67th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (15% of team goals) · 70% of minutes

Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 1.46 without (13)

All key players

Eintracht Frankfurt · Last 365 days

Jonathan Burkardt 9 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.12 (89th pct) · G+A 17 + 3 (29% of team goals) · 47% of minutes

Team 1.45 ppg with (20) · 0.77 without (22)

Farès Chaïbi 8 · Attacking Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 6.88 (55th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (16% of team goals) · 57% of minutes

Team 1.29 ppg with (24) · 0.83 without (18)

Can Uzun 42 · Attacking Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.98 (71th pct) · G+A 9 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 37% of minutes

Team 1.0 ppg with (18) · 1.17 without (24)

All key players

Absences

FSV Mainz 05

injury Dominik Kohr #11 key player defender · Ankle Injury · 1 missed
injury Paul Nebel #3 key player midfielder · Adductor Injury · 5 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 3

Venue

Stadium: Mewa Arena, Mainz
Capacity: 34,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 33,305

Teams

Coaches: Urs Fischer · Adolf Hütter
Position: 5 · 14
Formation: 3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 25.7° (feels 25.3°)
Wind: 2.7
Humidity: 40%

Where to watch · 75

Algeria Shahid · STARZPLAY
Anguilla Bluu
Antigua and Barbuda Bluu
Argentina Disney+ Premium
Armenia FAST TV
Aruba Bluu
Australia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Austria DAZN · DAZN Austria · Sky Go
Bahamas Bluu
Bahrain Shahid · STARZPLAY
Barbados Bluu
Belgium DAZN · DAZN 1 · DAZN 1 HD · Proximus
Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 5 · Moja TV
Canada DAZN · fuboTV
Chile Disney+ Premium
Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
Cyprus NovaSports Extra 1
Denmark Viaplay · Viaplay Denmark
Dominican Republic Bluu
Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
Egypt Shahid · STARZPLAY
Estonia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
Finland Viaplay
France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports Max 8
Greece NovaSports Extra 1
Iceland Viaplay · Viaplay Iceland
Iran Shahid
Jamaica Bluu
Japan DAZN
Jordan Shahid
Kuwait Shahid
Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
Lebanon Shahid
Liechtenstein Blue Sport
Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Estonia
Morocco Shahid
Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
Norway Viaplay
Oman Shahid
Palestine Shahid
Paraguay Disney+ Premium
Peru Disney+ Premium
Portugal DAZN Portugal
Qatar Shahid
Russia Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia Shahid
South Korea Coupang Play
Spain DAZN
Sweden Viaplay · Viaplay Sweden
Switzerland Blue Sport
Taiwan ELTA.tv
Trinidad and Tobago Bluu
Tunisia Shahid
United Arab Emirates Shahid
United States ESPN Select · ESPN+
Uruguay Disney+ Premium
Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
Yemen Shahid

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
3	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
4	FC Bayern München	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WDW
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1	DLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
2	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
5	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
6	FC Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	1	4	3	WDW
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	FC Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	DLL
16	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
17	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

FSV Mainz 05

WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 7 GA 0 · xG 7.05–3.39 · xPts 6.18

W A Hamburger SV 5–0 xG 2.71–0.26 GER BI
D H Paderborn 0–0 xG 1.19–0.95 GER BI
W A FC Heidenheim 2–0 xG 3.15–2.18 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

DDL 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 6.23–4.92 · xPts 4.87

L H FC Augsburg 1–4 xG 2.21–1.54 GER BI
D A FC Union Berlin 3–3 xG 1.19–2.13 GER BI
D H VfB Stuttgart 2–2 xG 2.83–1.25 GER BI

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

54.5%FSV Mainz 05 P 55%21.9%Draw P 23%23.6%Eintracht Frankfurt P 22%

Over / under 2.5

63.9%Over 2.5 P 65%36.1%Under 2.5 P 35%

Both teams to score

62.6%Yes37.4%No

Expected

FSV Mainz 05 goals: 2.02 (0–4)
Eintracht Frankfurt goals: 1.27 (0–3)
Corners: 9.65 (6–14)
Cards: 4.35 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 54.5% / 21.9% / 23.6%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

46.6%FSV Mainz 0523.8%Draw29.6%Eintracht Frankfurt

Over / under 2.5

57.1%Over 2.542.9%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

56.5%Yes43.5%No

Scored

Market	Observed	Log loss	Brier
1x2	away	1.442	0.928
ou_2_5	over	0.449	0.261
btts	yes	0.469	0.28

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

FSV Mainz 05 1114 draws12 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 47–50 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FSV Mainz 05 24 draws4 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FSV Mainz 05 21 draws2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

L FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
W FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 neutral GER BI · Regular Season
D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
L Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
D FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	FSV Mainz 05 all · 3	FSV Mainz 05 at home · 2	Eintracht Frankfurt all · 3	Eintracht Frankfurt away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.113

Early press (0-15, level)+0.223

Game state

When level+0.323

10 min after scoring+0.242

Situations

At home+0.032

4+ days rest+0.113

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.302

As favourite+0.032

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.193

Conceded late (76+)-0.422

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183

Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253

When level-0.193

When behind+0.102

10 min after conceding-0.073

10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042

4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223

Conceded when ahead-0.263

Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 67%	0.5	0.5	1.5	1.82	1.43
3-5-2	1 33%	3.0	5.0	0.0	2.71	0.26

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-4-2	2 67%	0.5	2.0	3.5	1.7	1.84
3-4-2-1	1 33%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.91	2.46

Metric	FSV Mainz 05 all · 10	FSV Mainz 05 at home · 10	Eintracht Frankfurt all · 10	Eintracht Frankfurt away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.10	1.20	1.00	1.00
W / D / L	3 / 2 / 5	3 / 3 / 4	2 / 4 / 4	2 / 4 / 4
Goals for / match	1.50	1.40	1.80	1.70
Goals against / match	1.70	1.50	2.20	1.80
Clean sheets	30%	30%	0%	10%
Failed to score	30%	20%	0%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	100%	90%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	90%	70%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.91	1.83	1.58	1.22
xG against / match	1.55	1.33	2.01	1.97
xG difference	0.36	0.50	-0.43	-0.75
Finishing vs xG	-0.41	-0.43	0.22	0.48
xPts / match	1.63	1.70	1.14	0.93
Points vs xPts	-0.53	-0.50	-0.14	0.07
Game state
Scored first	40%	60%	60%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.25	1.83	1.17	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.20	0.00	0.75	0.40
Came back from behind	17%	20%	43%	33%
Leads held	75%	50%	29%	33%
Minutes leading	34%	29%	37%	31%
Minutes level	34%	54%	35%	51%
Minutes trailing	32%	17%	28%	19%
First goal (min)	39	37	33	33
First goal conceded (min)	38	44	47	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	40%	43%	50%	47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	65%	73%	68%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.40	0.20	0.50
Late goals against	0.50	0.60	0.70	0.80
Style
Possession	48%	44%	55%	56%
Shots	15.9	16.5	14.3	10.1
On target	5.5	5.0	5.5	3.8
Shot conversion	9%	8%	13%	17%
Shots inside box	69%	72%	63%	65%
Big chances created	3.8	3.2	2.7	2.1
Corners	5.7	6.2	5.9	3.6
xG from set plays	31%	29%	30%	27%
Goals from headers	7%	21%	11%	0%
Pressure index	14.4	13.8	12.3	8.5
Dominant minutes	51.0	53.6	51.0	43.7
Pass accuracy	80%	78%	83%	84%
Fouls	10.7	12.0	9.9	9.4
Cards	1.70	1.50	2.10	2.10

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'32

16–30'21

31–45'43

46–60'23

61–75'03

76–90'45

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'52

16–30'11

31–45'34

46–60'24

61–75'54

76–90'27

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	6 60%	1.5	2.17	2.0	2.07	1.88
3-1-4-2	3 30%	0.67	0.67	1.33	1.98	1.21
5-3-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.74	0.61

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	3 30%	1.33	2.0	2.0	1.85	2.61
4-4-2	2 20%	0.5	2.0	3.5	1.7	1.84
4-2-3-1	2 20%	0.5	1.5	2.0	1.21	2.01
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.88	2.59
4-1-4-1	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	2.83	1.25

Metric	FSV Mainz 05 all · 44	FSV Mainz 05 at home · 22	Eintracht Frankfurt all · 42	Eintracht Frankfurt away · 21
Results
Matches	44	22	42	21
Points per game	1.43	1.50	1.10	1.00
W / D / L	17 / 12 / 15	9 / 6 / 7	11 / 13 / 18	4 / 9 / 8
Goals for / match	1.36	1.41	1.67	1.81
Goals against / match	1.36	1.23	2.12	2.29
Clean sheets	27%	32%	19%	10%
Failed to score	27%	23%	14%	14%
Both teams scored	52%	54%	71%	86%
Over 2.5	50%	41%	69%	71%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.60	1.85	1.26	1.19
xG against / match	1.56	1.31	1.69	1.96
xG difference	0.04	0.54	-0.43	-0.78
Finishing vs xG	-0.24	-0.44	0.40	0.62
xPts / match	1.44	1.71	1.17	0.97
Points vs xPts	-0.01	-0.21	-0.07	0.03
Game state
Scored first	52%	50%	45%	38%
PPG when scoring first	2.09	2.18	1.58	1.38
PPG when conceding first	0.67	0.78	0.67	0.73
Came back from behind	32%	36%	38%	47%
Leads held	63%	69%	44%	33%
Minutes leading	30%	29%	24%	29%
Minutes level	45%	44%	45%	44%
Minutes trailing	25%	26%	30%	27%
First goal (min)	37	40	38	30
First goal conceded (min)	42	38	34	33
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	50%	55%	51%	42%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	55%	56%	62%	58%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.41	0.33	0.33
Late goals against	0.43	0.36	0.60	0.86
Style
Possession	44%	46%	52%	52%
Shots	12.4	14.4	11.2	10.1
On target	4.3	4.6	4.4	3.9
Shot conversion	11%	10%	15%	18%
Shots inside box	74%	75%	67%	67%
Big chances created	3.1	3.6	2.3	2.1
Corners	5.1	6.2	4.1	3.2
xG from set plays	38%	40%	27%	24%
Goals from headers	17%	16%	13%	10%
Pressure index	12.1	14.2	11.2	10.4
Dominant minutes	46.3	51.5	43.0	39.6
Pass accuracy	76%	76%	82%	82%
Fouls	11.5	12.4	10.0	10.4
Cards	2.20	1.86	1.86	1.86

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'910

16–30'98

31–45'129

46–60'88

61–75'96

76–90'1319

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'1012

16–30'98

31–45'1514

46–60'1014

61–75'1216

76–90'1425

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0344

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244

Late push (76+, level)-0.2519

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314

Game state

When ahead-0.0126

When level+0.0644

When behind+0.0322

10 min after conceding-0.2131

10 min after scoring+0.2831

Situations

With ten men+0.065

Against ten men-0.172

At home+0.0222

Away+0.0522

3 days rest or fewer-0.0911

4+ days rest+0.0733

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2511

v mid-tier opponents-0.2713

v bottom-tier opponents+0.258

As favourite+0.0817

Evenly matched+0.2412

As underdog-0.1815

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0844

Conceded when ahead+0.0326

Conceded late (76+)-0.0138

Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03

Eintracht Frankfurt · 42 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0242

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1542

Late push (76+, level)+0.1717

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0917

Game state

When ahead-0.0525

When level+0.0342

When behind-0.0929

10 min after conceding-0.2533

10 min after scoring+0.3136

Situations

With ten men+0.233

At home-0.0521

Away+0.0121

3 days rest or fewer-0.229

4+ days rest+0.0333

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2716

v mid-tier opponents-0.0212

v bottom-tier opponents+0.217

As favourite+0.2012

Evenly matched+0.0614

As underdog-0.2816

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2042

Conceded when ahead+0.1125

Conceded late (76+)-0.0135

Congested vs rested -0.25 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.11

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	22 50%	1.86	1.73	1.27	1.77	1.56
3-4-2-1	10 23%	0.8	1.2	2.1	1.22	1.86
3-1-4-2	4 9%	0.5	0.75	1.5	1.69	1.42
3-4-3	3 7%	2.0	0.67	0.33	1.96	0.57
5-3-2	3 7%	0.67	0.33	0.67	1.35	1.23

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	11 26%	0.91	1.64	2.36	1.38	2.03
4-2-3-1	10 24%	1.2	1.6	1.9	1.05	1.65
4-1-4-1	4 10%	2.0	2.5	1.75	1.79	1.21
4-3-3	4 10%	1.0	1.25	1.5	1.38	0.87
4-4-2	3 7%	0.33	2.0	3.33	1.43	2.16

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.5 pts at 7.5h · late move: away -1.1 pts inside the final hour

1.77Home 55% ▲ +7.6 ptsopened 2.054.19Draw 23% · -1.0 ptsopened 4.014.4Away 22% ▼ -6.7 ptsopened 3.37

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	1.77 ▲ +7.6	4.19 · -1.0	4.4 ▼ -6.7	10m
bet365	1.72 ▲ +9.4	4.2 ▼ -2.4	4.1 ▼ -7.0	10m
Betfair	1.73 ▲ +6.5	4.1 ▼ -2.0	4.1 ▼ -4.5	10m
BetVictor	1.73 ▲ +7.9	4.2 ▼ -1.8	4.1 ▼ -6.1	10m
Coral	1.75 ▲ +6.3	4.2 ▼ -1.9	4.0 ▼ -4.4	10m
Ladbrokes	1.75 ▲ +6.7	4.2 ▼ -1.7	4.0 ▼ -5.0	10m
Unibet	1.96 · -0.4	3.8 · +0.5	3.3 · -0.1	10m
WilliamHill	1.75 ▲ +6.1	3.8 · -0.6	4.0 ▼ -5.6	10m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 4.8d

1.44Yes 65% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.52.62No 35% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 2.5

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.44 ▲ +2.0	2.62 ▼ -2.0	10m
Betfair	1.4 · +0.4	2.8 · -0.4	10m
BetVictor	1.4 · +0.0	2.7 · +0.0	10m
Unibet	1.45 · +0.0	2.6 · +0.0	10m
WilliamHill	1.4 ▲ +1.9	2.75 ▼ -1.9	10m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 7.5h · late move: over -2.1 pts inside the final hour

1.48Over 65% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.52.78Under 35% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.67

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.48 ▲ +1.2	2.78 ▼ -1.2	10m
bet365	1.44 ▲ +2.0	2.75 ▼ -2.0	10m
Betfair	1.4 ▲ +2.5	2.75 ▼ -2.5	10m
BetVictor	1.42 ▲ +1.7	2.57 ▼ -1.7	10m
Unibet	1.5 · +0.0	2.55 · +0.0	10m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 55%4.2Draw 22% P 23%4.1Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.25Mainz or Draw 38%1.22Mainz or Eintracht Frankfurt 38%1.95Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 37%1.72Under 54% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	55%	54%	56%	+2.6
Draw	23%	25%	27%	+1.4
Away	22%	21%	17%	-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	65%	66%	69%	+3.2

Felix Zwayer

Career: 349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match: 4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match: 21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.29
Cards to home side: 47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.22	4.14	+0.01	52
Fouls / match	21.8	22.3	-0.57
Fouls per card	5.2	5.4	-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.31	0.32	-0.20	30
Time added	6.9	6.8	-0.01	44

First card: 34' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.11

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-29	3	1	32	0	21'	6
2026-08-19	4	0	25	0	45'	8
2026-05-10	4	0	23	0	20'	8
2026-04-30	5	0	20	0	31'	6
2026-04-25	1	0	13	0	76'	7
2026-04-12 · FSV Mainz 05	4	0	24	0	33'	8
2026-04-08	6	0	26	1	11'	6
2026-03-22	4	0	25	0	63'	11
2026-03-19	6	0	38	0	51'	11
2026-03-08 · Eintracht Frankfurt	3	0	21	0	62'	12

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

FSV Mainz 05 · Last 365 days

Eintracht Frankfurt · Last 365 days

Absences

FSV Mainz 05

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 75

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Scored

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt · 42 matches

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

Felix Zwayer

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

Recent matches