Rating 7.1 (84th pct) · G+A 6 + 5 (23% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.32 ppg with (25) · 1.56 without (9)
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– FC AugsburgB04 –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| FC Augsburg | at home | Stat | league | away | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.7 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 64.7 #2 |
| 16.3 #8 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 24.0 #1 |
| 8.3 #1 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 6.3 #4 |
| 5.7 #9 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 9.3 #2 |
| 8.0 #17 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 12.7 #5 |
| 1.0 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #8 |
| 16.7 #4 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 12.0 #16 |
| 82.7 #15 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 116.3 #4 |
| 36.0 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 67.3 #2 |
| 376.0 #16 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 585.7 #2 |
| 1.0 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| 2.3 #3 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #3 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #1 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.7 #1 |
| 0.9 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.0 #10 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #8 |
| 3.0 #2 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.7 #4 |
| 1.0 #13 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 #10 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| 12.0 #5 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 8.0 #16 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #7 |
| 7.1 #3 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 7.0 #7 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 7.3 #1 |
| 10.7 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 16.7 #1 |
| 4.3 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 10.3 #1 |
| 5.7 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 7.3 #3 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Augsburg · Last 365 days
Rating 7.02 (80th pct) · G+A 6 + 5 (23% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (45th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Last 365 days
Rating 7.46 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 9 (16% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 7.11 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 7 (13% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.71 ppg with (31) · 1.62 without (16)
Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 20 + 5 (29% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.66 ppg with (29) · 1.72 without (18)
Absences
FC Augsburg
- injury Anton Kade #5 key player midfielder · Muscle Injury · 1 missed
- injury Sima Suso midfielder · Torn Muscle Fiber · 1 missed
- injury Steve Mounié attacker · Unknown Injury · 6 missed
- injury Tim Breithaupt midfielder · Toe Injury · 4 missed
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- injury Kennet Eichhorn midfielder · Ill · 7 missed
- injury Montrell Culbreath #19 key player attacker · Foot Injury · 5 missed
- suspension Tim Oermann defender · No Eligibility · 1 missed · until 2027-01-29
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- WWK Arena, Augsburg
- Capacity
- 30,660
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,660
Teams
- Coaches
- Manuel Baum · Carles Martínez Novell
- Position
- 1 · 8
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Daniel Siebert
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 21.2° (feels 20.6°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 47%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Augsburg
LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.99–6.11 · xPts 3.87
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
xG 1.54–2.21
GER BI
- W
H
Schalke 04
3–0
xG 3.81–1.54
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
0–4
xG 0.63–2.36
GER BI
LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.99–6.11 · xPts 3.87
- W
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
xG 1.54–2.21
GER BI
- W
H
Schalke 04
3–0
xG 3.81–1.54
GER BI
- L
A
FC Union Berlin
0–4
xG 0.63–2.36
GER BI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DLW 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 8.56–4.37 · xPts 6.27
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.47–0.46
GER BI
- L
A
Elversberg
2–3
xG 1.94–1.27
GER BI
- D
H
Hamburger SV
1–1
xG 3.14–2.63
GER BI
DLW 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 8.56–4.37 · xPts 6.27
- W
H
FC Union Berlin
4–0
xG 3.47–0.46
GER BI
- L
A
Elversberg
2–3
xG 1.94–1.27
GER BI
- D
H
Hamburger SV
1–1
xG 3.14–2.63
GER BI
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
27.7%FC Augsburg P 25%22.6%Draw P 24%49.6%Bayer 04 Leverkusen P 51%
Over / under 2.5
64.1%Over 2.5 P 69%35.9%Under 2.5 P 31%
Both teams to score
64.2%Yes35.8%No
Expected
- FC Augsburg goals
- 1.39 (0–3)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals
- 1.91 (0–4)
- Corners
- 10.73 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.42 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 27.7% / 22.6% / 49.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
36.0%FC Augsburg23.2%Draw40.7%Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Over / under 2.5
62.7%Over 2.537.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
62.3%Yes37.7%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.487 | 0.922 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.444 | 0.257 |
| btts | yes | 0.443 | 0.256 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 31 matches since 2011
Goals 29–63 · 2.97 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Augsburg 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Augsburg 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
- L FC Augsburg 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W FC Augsburg 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Augsburg all · 3 | FC Augsburg at home · 2 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 3 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Augsburg · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343
Game state
When ahead+0.113
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453
Situations
At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173
Opposition
As underdog-0.332
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323
Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872
Game state
When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784
Situations
At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593
Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12
FC Augsburg
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 67% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.35 | 2.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 33% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.54 | 2.21 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 100% | 1.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 2.74 | 0.87 |
| Metric | FC Augsburg all · 10 | FC Augsburg at home · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 1 | 5 / 4 / 1 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.97 | 1.79 | 2.43 | 1.48 |
| xG against / match | 2.14 | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.83 |
| xG difference | -0.17 | 0.20 | 0.90 | -0.35 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.21 | -0.43 | 0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.53 | 1.81 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.50 | 0.37 | -0.11 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.14 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.75 | 1.33 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 67% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 56% | 56% | 62% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 35% | 40% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 52% | 40% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 13% | 20% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 43 | 31 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 42 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 65% | 50% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 62% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 39% | 42% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 15.2 | 14.5 | 19.9 | 14.6 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.5 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.5 | 7.6 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 26% | 27% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 12.3 | 18.3 | 13.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 40.7 | 44.5 | 60.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77% | 88% | 86% |
| Fouls | 7.6 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Augsburg
0–15'33
16–30'41
31–45'33
46–60'42
61–75'32
76–90'43
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'44
16–30'30
31–45'31
46–60'24
61–75'21
76–90'63
FC Augsburg
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.99 | 2.24 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.22 | 1.25 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.54 | 2.21 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 2.45 | 0.79 |
| Metric | FC Augsburg all · 34 | FC Augsburg at home · 18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 47 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 18 | 47 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 1.67 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 | 8 / 6 / 4 | 22 / 13 / 12 | 11 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.41 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | 1.50 | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 33% | 32% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 17% | 15% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 56% | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 56% | 51% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.48 | 1.49 | 1.81 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.83 | 1.53 | 1.37 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | -0.35 | -0.03 | 0.44 | -0.20 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.22 | 1.38 | 1.61 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.07 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 61% | 62% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.88 | 2.27 | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.94 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Leads held | 59% | 62% | 69% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 34% | 36% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 46% | 40% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 20% | 24% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 43 | 38 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 44 | 38 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 61% | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 48% | 46% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 58% | 58% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 13.7 | 14.9 | 12.6 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 66% | 65% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 24% | 24% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 14% | 20% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 10.3 | 12.9 | 16.5 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.8 | 47.4 | 54.9 | 48.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 2.21 | 2.44 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Augsburg
0–15'69
16–30'610
31–45'611
46–60'129
61–75'69
76–90'1210
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–15'1211
16–30'145
31–45'1818
46–60'149
61–75'1210
76–90'1710
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Augsburg · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.34
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0934
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0434
Late push (76+, level)-0.1815
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.309
Game state
When ahead-0.1022
When level-0.0034
When behind-0.2719
10 min after conceding-0.3128
10 min after scoring+0.0123
Situations
Against ten men+0.164
At home-0.0318
Away-0.1716
4+ days rest-0.1033
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3411
v mid-tier opponents-0.0511
v bottom-tier opponents+0.267
As favourite-0.103
Evenly matched+0.1313
As underdog-0.2718
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1834
Conceded when ahead+0.1022
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.27
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2347
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1747
Late push (76+, level)-0.0813
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4414
Game state
When ahead+0.1732
When level+0.1847
When behind+0.4321
10 min after conceding+0.1231
10 min after scoring+0.3939
Situations
Against ten men-0.213
At home+0.2723
Away+0.2024
3 days rest or fewer+0.1913
4+ days rest+0.2534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1216
v mid-tier opponents+0.4711
v bottom-tier opponents+0.497
As favourite+0.4025
Evenly matched+0.2312
As underdog-0.1810
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0947
Conceded when ahead-0.0632
Conceded late (76+)-0.1640
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.25
FC Augsburg
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 29 85% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 0.84 |
| 3-3-3-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.93 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.54 | 2.21 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 85% | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 11% | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.28 | 0.95 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.8 pts at 30m · late move: home -1.0 pts inside the final hour
3.82Home 25% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 4.04.09Draw 24% · +0.7 ptsopened 4.21.91Away 51% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.83
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.82 ▲ +1.3 | 4.09 · +0.7 | 1.91 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 3.5 ▲ +3.5 | 4.1 · +0.1 | 1.9 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.6 ▲ +3.3 | 3.9 ▲ +2.5 | 1.87 ▼ -5.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.5 ▲ +3.0 | 4.2 · -0.3 | 1.85 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.6 ▲ +2.7 | 4.2 · +0.7 | 1.85 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.5 ▲ +3.4 | 4.2 · +0.0 | 1.85 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 4.3 · -0.5 | 4.1 · -0.0 | 1.68 · +0.6 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 3.4 ▲ +3.6 | 3.8 · +0.2 | 1.85 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.7 pts at 47.5h
1.4Yes 66% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.442.75No 34% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 2.62
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +1.7 | 2.75 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.33 ▲ +3.7 | 3.1 ▼ -3.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.33 ▲ +3.0 | 3.0 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.43 · +0.8 | 2.65 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.36 ▲ +4.3 | 3.0 ▼ -4.3 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.5 pts at 2.5h · late move: under +1.0 pts inside the final hour
1.39Over 69% ▲ +1.8 ptsopened 1.423.09Under 31% ▼ -1.8 ptsopened 2.91
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 ▲ +1.8 | 3.09 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +2.5 | 3.0 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.33 ▲ +2.7 | 3.2 ▼ -2.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.36 ▲ +1.9 | 2.82 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.42 ▲ +1.1 | 2.8 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.5Home 27% P 25%4.1Draw 23% P 24%1.9Away 50% P 51%
Double Chance
1.9Augsburg or Draw 25%1.22Augsburg or Bayer Leverkusen 39%1.28Draw or Bayer Leverkusen 37%
Draw No Bet
2.751 34%1.42 66%
Both Teams To Score
1.4Yes 66%2.75No 34%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 68% P 69%3.0Under 32% P 31%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%
4.52.2Over 42% P 34%1.61Under 58% P 66%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25% | 26% | 20% | -5.5 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 24% | +1.0 |
| Away | 51% | 51% | 56% | +4.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Daniel Siebert
- Career
- 74 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 46 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.26 | 4.14 | +0.10 | 59 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 22.3 | -0.14 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.36 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.32 | -0.53 | 26 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 6.8 | +0.82 | 85 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.15
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 48' | 5 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 25' | 6 |
| 2026-08-20 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 38' | 5 |
| 2026-08-11 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 7' | 10 |
| 2026-05-30 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 46' | 12 |
| 2026-05-16 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 18' | 8 |
| 2026-05-05 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 81' | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 · FC Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 14' | 8 |
| 2026-04-18 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 31' | 12 |
| 2026-04-07 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 31' | 3 |