Rating 7.03 · G+A 0 + 0 · 91% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– PaderbornSC Freiburg –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Stats
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Season context
| Paderborn | at home | Stat | league | away | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.7 #7 |
| 11.3 #15 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 18.0 #5 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 6.3 #4 |
| 3.3 #16 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 5.3 #10 |
| 11.0 #9 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.0 #11 |
| 1.3 #10 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 0.7 #16 |
| 15.0 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 11.0 #17 |
| 95.7 #10 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 93.3 #11 |
| 42.7 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 44.3 #12 |
| 486.7 #4 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 465.7 #7 |
| 2.0 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| – | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 3.0 #1 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #11 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #11 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.1 #7 |
| -0.7 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 1.3 #1 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #8 |
| 0.0 #17 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.9 | 1.0 | 3.3 #1 |
| 1.3 #11 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 #18 |
| 12.3 #4 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 9.0 #11 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #15 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 7.1 #2 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 6.7 #4 |
| 5.7 #17 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 9.7 #13 |
| 6.7 #6 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 5.0 #10 |
| 5.7 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 8.3 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Paderborn · Last 365 days
Rating 6.95 (69th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.02 (81th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 · 100% of minutes
SC Freiburg · Last 365 days
Rating 7.12 (97th pct) · G+A 7 + 9 (18% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (79th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (24% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.96 ppg with (27) · 1.46 without (24)
Rating 6.99 (77th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Absences
Paderborn
- injury Felix Götze defender · Head Injury · 1 missed · until 2026-09-07
- injury Lasse Eickel attacker · Back Problems · 2 missed
- injury Sven Michel attacker · Groin Injury · 5 missed
- injury Timur Gayret midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 13 missed
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
- Capacity
- 15,306
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 15,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Ralf Kettemann · Julian Schuster
- Position
- 11 · 2
- Formation
- 3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Max Burda
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 19.6° (feels 19.2°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 61%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Paderborn
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0 · xG 0.95–1.19 · xPts 1.17
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–0
xG 0.95–1.19
GER BI
D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 0 · xG 0.95–1.19 · xPts 1.17
- D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0–0
xG 0.95–1.19
GER BI
SC Freiburg
WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 10.45–4.67 · xPts 9.46
- W
H
Werder Bremen
4–1
xG 1.91–0.66
GER BI
- W
H
Motherwell
4–1
xG 4.15–0.09
UEFA ECL - W
A
Motherwell
3–1
xG 2.62–0.44
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Aston Villa
0–3
xG 0.24–1.92
UEFA EL - W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 1.52–1.55
GER BI
LWLWWW 4W 0D 2L · 12 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 17 GA 10 · xG 10.91–6.27 · xPts 10.01
- W
H
Werder Bremen
4–1
xG 1.91–0.66
GER BI
- W
H
Motherwell
4–1
xG 4.15–0.09
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Motherwell
3–1
xG 2.62–0.44
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Aston Villa
0–3
xG 0.24–1.92
UEFA EL
- W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 1.52–1.55
GER BI
- L
A
Hamburger SV
2–3
xG 0.46–1.61
GER BI
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 5 matches since 2014
Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Last 10 · 5 matches
Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Paderborn 0–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- W SC Freiburg 0–2 Paderborn neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- L Paderborn 1–3 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- W SC Freiburg 1–2 Paderborn neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- D Paderborn 1–1 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | Paderborn all · 3 | Paderborn at home · 1 | SC Freiburg all · 3 | SC Freiburg away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Paderborn · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)-0.233
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.482
Game state
When level-0.363
When behind+0.062
10 min after conceding+0.082
Situations
Away-0.142
4+ days rest-0.133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.032
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.063
Conceded late (76+)+0.023
Behind vs level +0.42
SC Freiburg · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185
Game state
When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875
Situations
Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +2.14
Paderborn
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 67% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.63 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 1.19 |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 100% | 3.0 | 3.33 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.6 |
| Metric | Paderborn all · 3 | Paderborn at home · 1 | SC Freiburg all · 10 | SC Freiburg away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 7 / 1 / 2 | 5 / 0 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 2.70 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 80% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.86 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.85 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 60% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | 29% |
| Leads held | – | – | 100% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 44% | 22% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 14% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 56% | 46% |
| Shots | – | – | 15.9 | 10.5 |
| On target | – | – | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 17% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 64% | 68% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Corners | – | – | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 37% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 41% | 31% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 18.0 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 58.0 | 45.5 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 85% | 82% |
| Fouls | – | – | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| Cards | – | – | 1.00 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Freiburg
0–15'12
16–30'91
31–45'23
46–60'42
61–75'52
76–90'62
Paderborn
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 67% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.63 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 1.19 |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.85 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Paderborn all · 3 | Paderborn at home · 1 | SC Freiburg all · 51 | SC Freiburg away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.73 | 1.16 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 26 / 10 / 15 | 8 / 5 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.73 | 1.16 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.27 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 26% | 24% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 26% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 61% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.61 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.35 | 1.56 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.26 | -0.36 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.12 | -0.04 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.23 | 0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 53% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.44 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 44% | 33% |
| Leads held | – | – | 81% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 32% | 17% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 53% | 60% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 16% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 32 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 45 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 52% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 60% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 49% | 44% |
| Shots | – | – | 13.3 | 10.8 |
| On target | – | – | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 67% | 68% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Corners | – | – | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 38% | 45% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 21% | 18% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 14.9 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 50.5 | 41.0 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 81% | 79% |
| Fouls | – | – | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| Cards | – | – | 1.55 | 1.72 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Freiburg
0–15'98
16–30'178
31–45'1610
46–60'1816
61–75'125
76–90'1618
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Paderborn · 3 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)-0.233
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.482
Game state
When level-0.363
When behind+0.062
10 min after conceding+0.082
Situations
Away-0.142
4+ days rest-0.133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.032
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.063
Conceded late (76+)+0.023
Behind vs level +0.42
SC Freiburg · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: against ten men +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0851
Late push (76+, level)+0.1321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3915
Game state
When ahead+0.1032
When level+0.1851
When behind-0.1727
10 min after conceding-0.2037
10 min after scoring+0.4738
Situations
With ten men-0.313
Against ten men+0.548
At home+0.1626
Away+0.0625
3 days rest or fewer+0.0914
4+ days rest+0.1137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1813
v mid-tier opponents+0.0415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.189
As favourite+0.3522
Evenly matched+0.0116
As underdog-0.1913
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0351
Conceded when ahead-0.0132
Conceded late (76+)+0.0044
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.35
Paderborn
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 67% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.63 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 33% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 1.19 |
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 94% | 1.71 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.39 | 2.28 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.72 | 0.09 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
3.88Home 25% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 3.353.83Draw 25% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.821.96Away 50% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 2.11
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.88 ▼ -3.8 | 3.83 · +0.1 | 1.96 ▲ +3.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 3.6 ▼ -3.8 | 3.8 ▼ -2.5 | 1.9 ▲ +6.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.6 ▼ -3.3 | 3.7 · +0.8 | 2.0 ▲ +2.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.7 ▼ -3.4 | 3.8 ▼ -1.0 | 1.9 ▲ +4.4 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.6 ▼ -4.3 | 3.7 · -0.1 | 1.95 ▲ +4.4 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.6 ▼ -4.3 | 3.6 · -0.1 | 1.95 ▲ +4.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 3.4 ▼ -2.0 | 3.65 · -0.2 | 1.98 ▲ +2.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 3.5 ▼ -2.7 | 3.5 · -0.2 | 1.95 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 4.6d
1.57Yes 59% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.572.25No 41% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 · +0.0 | 2.25 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.53 · +0.0 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.53 · +0.0 | 2.38 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.57 · +0.0 | 2.38 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.1 pts at 4.0d
1.67Over 58% · +0.9 ptsopened 1.692.32Under 42% · -0.9 ptsopened 2.26
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.67 · +0.9 | 2.32 · -0.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +1.8 | 2.3 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.62 · +0.2 | 2.25 · -0.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.6 · +0.7 | 2.14 · -0.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.62 · +0.8 | 2.25 · -0.8 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.6Home 26% P 25%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.9Away 49% P 50%
Double Chance
1.83Paderborn or Draw 25%1.25Paderborn or SC Freiburg 37%1.25Draw or SC Freiburg 37%
Draw No Bet
2.751 34%1.42 66%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
4.52.2Over 42% P 37%1.61Under 58% P 63%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 47.5–50% · 285 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25% | 26% | 24% | -2.2 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 50% | 49% | 49% | +0.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 56%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Max Burda
No career statistics.
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 3 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.0 cards, 22.0 fouls per match.