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Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

Momentum

Schalke 04FCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen
Capacity
62,271
Surface
grass
Attendance
62,094

Teams

Coaches
Miron Muslić · Vincent Kompany
Position
17 · 4
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robert Schröder

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
17.5° (feels 17.1°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 131

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
3 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
4 FC Bayern München 3210 725 7 WDW
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 3012 410-6 1 DLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Schalke 04

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 3 · xG 1.54–3.81 · xPts 0.43

  • L A FC Augsburg 0–3 xG 1.54–3.81 GER BI

FC Bayern München

WWW 3W 0D 0L · 9 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 7.7–4.51 · xPts 5.97

  • W H VfB Stuttgart 5–1 xG 2.47–1.11 GER BI
  • W H FC Köln 5–1 xG 2.98–0.65 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 2.25–2.75 GER BI

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 35 matches since 2005

Schalke 04 28 draws25 FC Bayern München

Goals 18–87 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Schalke 04 01 draws9 FC Bayern München

Goals 2–35 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Schalke 04 01 draws4 FC Bayern München

Goals 0–20 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Schalke 04 0–0 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 6–0 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Schalke 04 0–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Schalke 04 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 8–0 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 5–0 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Schalke 04 0–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 3–1 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Schalke 04 0–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 2–1 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
MetricSchalke 04 all · 3Schalke 04 at home · 1FC Bayern München all · 3FC Bayern München away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Schalke 04 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.18

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.073

Game state

When level-0.183
10 min after conceding-0.402

Situations

Away+0.092
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.092

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.423
Conceded late (76+)+0.943

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.09

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Schalke 04

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 67%1.51.52.01.983.01
5-4-11 33%1.00.00.00.391.92

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 100%2.332.330.672.260.84

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -4.4 pts at 30m · late move: away -3.1 pts inside the final hour

13.0Home 7% · +0.4 ptsopened 13.528.0Draw 12% · +0.5 ptsopened 8.231.21Away 80% · -0.9 ptsopened 1.18
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle13.0 · +0.48.0 · +0.51.21 · -0.910m
bet36513.0 · -0.37.0 ▲ +1.41.2 ▼ -1.110m
Betfair16.0 · -0.69.5 ▼ -2.31.14 ▲ +2.910m
BetVictor17.0 ▼ -1.59.5 ▼ -2.31.11 ▲ +3.810m
Coral9.5 ▲ +1.27.5 ▲ +1.31.22 ▼ -2.510m
Ladbrokes9.5 ▲ +1.37.5 ▲ +1.51.22 ▼ -2.810m
Unibet12.5 · +0.38.0 · +0.01.16 · -0.410m
WilliamHill13.0 · -0.08.5 ▼ -1.61.15 ▲ +1.610m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

13.0Home 7% P 7%7.0Draw 14% P 12%1.2Away 79% P 80%

Double Chance

5.5Schalke or Draw 9%1.08Schalke or Bayern Munich 45%1.03Draw or Bayern Munich 47%

Draw No Bet

13.01 7%1.042 93%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.22Over 78% P 71%4.33Under 22% P 29%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%
4.52.1Over 44% P 32%1.66Under 56% P 68%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–7.5% · away 80–82.5% · 103 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home7%6%8%+1.4
Draw12%12%10%-2.8
Away80%81%83%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.4

Robert Schröder

Career
94 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.36 (4.19 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.024.14-0.4337
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.61
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.370.32+0.4470
Time added6.46.8-0.5430
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-09 30 211 80'8
2026-04-25 60 291 8'8
2026-04-04 60 220 29'7
2026-03-06 · FC Bayern München 11 191 55'9
2026-02-21 40 180 42'9
2026-01-31 41 210 53'9
2026-01-17 30 340 42'10
2026-01-10 30 160 21'8
2025-12-11 70 291 7'6
2025-12-06 50 231 22'16