Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

Werder BremenSVW

3–1

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Momentum

– SVWRB Leipzig –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Werder Bremen	at home	Stat	league	away	RB Leipzig
43.0 #15	–	Ball possession	49.7	–	60.7 #3
11.7 #14	–	Shots total	15.6	–	21.0 #3
5.0 #13	–	Shots on target	5.5	–	7.3 #3
4.0 #13	–	Corners	5.7	–	7.0 #5
13.7 #4	–	Fouls	11.2	–	9.7 #14
2.0 #4	–	Offsides	1.5	–	0.3 #17
28.3 #1	–	Tackles	15.8	–	10.7 #18
74.0 #17	–	Attacks	99.8	–	130.7 #2
36.3 #14	–	Dangerous attacks	50.6	–	58.7 #6
416.0 #11	–	Passes	450.5	–	581.0 #3
1.0 #14	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	0.7 #18
1.0 #11	–	Assists	1.8	–	2.7 #3
– #1	–	Btts	57.4	–	– #11
– #10	–	Cleansheet	25.0	–	– #1
– #1	–	Draw	17.6	–	– #11
0.9 #16	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	2.4 #3
0.8 #6	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	0.6 #7
– #8	–	Failed to score	24.5	–	– #8
1.7 #12	3.0	Goals	2.0	1.0	3.0 #3
2.0 #9	1.0	Goals conceded	2.0	3.0	1.0 #13
0.3 #7	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.3 #7
10.0 #8	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	6.7 #18
– #7	–	Lost	41.2	–	– #7
6.9 #9	–	Rating	6.9	–	7.1 #4
3.3 #15	–	Shots blocked	4.4	–	5.0 #5
7.3 #14	–	Shots insidebox	10.3	–	15.0 #2
3.3 #16	–	Shots off target	5.6	–	8.7 #2
4.3 #11	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	6.0 #5
– #7	–	Win	41.2	–	– #4

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Werder Bremen · Last 365 days

Jens Stage 6 · Central Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 7.1 (82th pct) · G+A 9 + 2 (32% of team goals) · 79% of minutes

Team 0.89 ppg with (28) · 1.17 without (6)

Marco Grüll 17 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.88 (56th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 1.0 ppg with (23) · 0.82 without (11)

Olivier Deman 2 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 7.01 (91th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 50% of minutes

Team 1.06 ppg with (17) · 0.82 without (17)

All key players

RB Leipzig · Last 365 days

David Raum 22 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 7.4 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 84% of minutes

Team 1.93 ppg with (30) · 1.4 without (5)

Christoph Baumgartner 14 · Attacking Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 7.15 (87th pct) · G+A 12 + 9 (29% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

Team 1.97 ppg with (30) · 1.2 without (5)

Willi Orbán 4 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 7.18 (98th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 97% of minutes

All key players

Absences

Werder Bremen

injury Keke Topp #10 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 16 missed
injury Mitchell Weiser defender · Muscular problems · 4 missed

RB Leipzig

injury Assan Ouédraogo #7 key player midfielder · Fitness
injury Rômulo #5 key player attacker · Knee Problems · 3 missed
injury Viggo Gebel midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 31 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 2

Venue

Stadium: Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity: 42,100
Surface: grass
Attendance: 39,700

Teams

Coaches: Daniel Thioune · Martín Demichelis
Position: 16 · 3
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benjamin Brand

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 18.4° (feels 18.0°)
Wind: 1.7
Humidity: 64%

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	12	10	WDWW
2	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
3	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1	DLLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Bayern München	2	2	0	0	12	1	11	6	WDWW
2	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
4	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
5	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
6	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDWW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
16	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL
18	FC Union Berlin	2	0	0	2	0	11	-11	0	DLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Werder Bremen

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7 · xG 2.31–6.16 · xPts 1.85

L A SC Freiburg 1–4 xG 0.66–1.91 GER BI
L H Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.7–2.66 GER BI
L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 xG 0.95–1.59 GER BI

RB Leipzig

WLW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.65–3.23 · xPts 6.44

W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 xG 3.87–1.06 GER BI
L A SC Freiburg 1–4 xG 1.55–1.52 GER BI
W H St. Pauli 2–1 xG 2.23–0.65 GER BI

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 19 matches since 2016

Werder Bremen 34 draws12 RB Leipzig

Goals 20–37 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 13 draws6 RB Leipzig

Goals 11–19 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 11 draws3 RB Leipzig

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

W Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
L Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
L RB Leipzig 2–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
D Werder Bremen 0–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
L RB Leipzig 4–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
D RB Leipzig 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
D Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
L RB Leipzig 2–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
L Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig neutral GER BI · Regular Season
L Werder Bremen 1–4 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	Werder Bremen all · 3	Werder Bremen at home · 1	RB Leipzig all · 3	RB Leipzig away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133

Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183

When behind+0.412

10 min after conceding-0.493

10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142

4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462

As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403

Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254

Early press (0-15, level)-0.504

Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.232

When level-0.504

When behind+0.572

10 min after conceding+0.082

10 min after scoring+0.404

Situations

At home+0.002

Away+0.452

4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.002

As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214

Conceded when ahead-0.132

Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 67%	2.0	2.0	1.0	0.93	1.79
4-3-3	1 33%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.66	1.91

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	3 100%	2.0	3.0	1.0	2.47	0.87

Metric	Werder Bremen all · 10	Werder Bremen at home · 10	RB Leipzig all · 10	RB Leipzig away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.80	1.00	1.80	1.30
W / D / L	2 / 2 / 6	3 / 1 / 6	6 / 0 / 4	4 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match	1.20	1.10	2.10	1.40
Goals against / match	1.90	1.70	1.80	2.10
Clean sheets	0%	10%	30%	0%
Failed to score	20%	40%	0%	10%
Both teams scored	80%	50%	70%	90%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	90%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.05	1.32	2.17	1.75
xG against / match	1.95	1.44	1.32	1.46
xG difference	-0.90	-0.12	0.85	0.29
Finishing vs xG	0.15	-0.22	-0.07	-0.35
xPts / match	0.91	1.35	1.85	1.53
Points vs xPts	-0.11	-0.35	-0.05	-0.24
Game state
Scored first	30%	30%	60%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.33	3.00	3.00	2.50
PPG when conceding first	0.14	0.14	0.00	0.50
Came back from behind	14%	14%	0%	17%
Leads held	67%	100%	100%	80%
Minutes leading	18%	17%	32%	25%
Minutes level	33%	38%	36%	38%
Minutes trailing	49%	44%	32%	38%
First goal (min)	54	57	48	48
First goal conceded (min)	36	40	38	41
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	75%	82%	62%	64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	53%	53%	56%	57%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.50	0.50	0.30
Late goals against	0.30	0.20	0.60	0.60
Style
Possession	46%	54%	57%	53%
Shots	11.6	15.8	18.1	14.0
On target	4.4	5.0	7.1	4.8
Shot conversion	10%	7%	12%	10%
Shots inside box	59%	63%	70%	71%
Big chances created	1.4	1.6	3.8	3.1
Corners	4.2	4.9	6.1	4.4
xG from set plays	24%	12%	20%	18%
Goals from headers	25%	36%	14%	21%
Pressure index	9.9	14.7	18.0	14.3
Dominant minutes	44.7	58.2	60.2	51.1
Pass accuracy	80%	81%	87%	84%
Fouls	10.6	10.6	8.5	10.7
Cards	1.70	1.60	1.70	1.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'13

16–30'13

31–45'13

46–60'14

61–75'43

76–90'43

RB Leipzig

0–15'02

16–30'63

31–45'23

46–60'32

61–75'52

76–90'56

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	1.0	1.5	1.75	1.12	2.07
4-1-4-1	3 30%	1.0	1.0	1.33	1.11	1.63
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	1.0	2.0	1.04	2.2
4-3-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.66	1.91

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	8 80%	1.88	2.13	1.63	2.25	1.25
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.19	1.94
4-1-4-1	1 10%	3.0	3.0	1.0	2.53	1.26

Metric	Werder Bremen all · 34	Werder Bremen at home · 17	RB Leipzig all · 35	RB Leipzig away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	35	17
Points per game	0.94	1.24	1.86	1.41
W / D / L	8 / 8 / 18	6 / 3 / 8	20 / 5 / 10	7 / 3 / 7
Goals for / match	1.00	1.12	2.09	1.59
Goals against / match	1.74	1.71	1.37	1.65
Clean sheets	15%	18%	31%	24%
Failed to score	38%	35%	6%	12%
Both teams scored	50%	47%	66%	71%
Over 2.5	50%	53%	77%	71%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.16	1.36	2.12	1.74
xG against / match	1.58	1.33	1.39	1.37
xG difference	-0.42	0.03	0.73	0.36
Finishing vs xG	-0.16	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15
xPts / match	1.18	1.44	1.80	1.60
Points vs xPts	-0.24	-0.20	0.06	-0.18
Game state
Scored first	29%	35%	71%	53%
PPG when scoring first	2.10	2.67	2.28	2.22
PPG when conceding first	0.43	0.45	0.78	0.43
Came back from behind	25%	27%	23%	12%
Leads held	62%	75%	74%	70%
Minutes leading	17%	22%	37%	29%
Minutes level	42%	38%	44%	44%
Minutes trailing	42%	40%	19%	28%
First goal (min)	54	50	39	39
First goal conceded (min)	37	40	45	39
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	74%	74%	53%	56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	58%	55%	65%	57%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.38	0.53	0.31	0.18
Late goals against	0.35	0.35	0.46	0.47
Style
Possession	51%	53%	55%	54%
Shots	13.1	15.4	16.1	14.4
On target	4.1	4.8	6.3	5.0
Shot conversion	8%	7%	13%	11%
Shots inside box	62%	62%	72%	66%
Big chances created	1.6	1.6	3.7	2.8
Corners	4.7	4.8	5.5	4.8
xG from set plays	21%	19%	23%	20%
Goals from headers	26%	37%	14%	11%
Pressure index	13.1	17.1	16.7	13.9
Dominant minutes	48.7	60.4	56.2	52.4
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	85%	85%
Fouls	10.2	10.4	9.2	10.1
Cards	2.29	2.29	1.54	1.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27

16–30'38

31–45'410

46–60'39

61–75'913

76–90'1312

RB Leipzig

0–15'72

16–30'147

31–45'138

46–60'1410

61–75'145

76–90'1116

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 34 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0634

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1034

Late push (76+, level)-0.0810

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1318

Game state

When ahead+0.0113

When level+0.0534

When behind+0.1024

10 min after conceding-0.2029

10 min after scoring+0.4020

Situations

With ten men-0.163

Against ten men+0.085

At home+0.1517

Away-0.0317

3 days rest or fewer+0.582

4+ days rest+0.0332

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.0813

v mid-tier opponents+0.3110

v bottom-tier opponents+0.105

As favourite+0.113

Evenly matched+0.1616

As underdog-0.0515

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0534

Conceded when ahead+0.1013

Conceded late (76+)-0.0930

Congested vs rested +0.55 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.05

RB Leipzig · 35 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.2535

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735

Late push (76+, level)+0.066

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911

Game state

When ahead+0.1827

When level+0.2835

When behind+0.3013

10 min after conceding-0.1024

10 min after scoring+0.3533

Situations

At home+0.2618

Away+0.2417

3 days rest or fewer+0.273

4+ days rest+0.2532

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.1310

v mid-tier opponents+0.1712

v bottom-tier opponents+0.278

As favourite+0.3424

Evenly matched+0.168

As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1335

Conceded when ahead-0.2327

Conceded late (76+)-0.3628

Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	14 41%	1.07	1.0	1.86	1.03	1.74
3-4-2-1	6 18%	0.5	1.17	2.17	1.22	1.4
4-3-3	4 12%	1.75	2.0	1.75	1.4	1.81
4-1-4-1	3 9%	1.0	1.0	1.33	1.11	1.63
3-5-2	3 9%	0.33	0.0	1.0	1.2	1.19

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	31 89%	1.9	2.1	1.29	2.1	1.35
4-2-3-1	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	3.5	1.49
4-1-4-1	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	2.53	1.26
4-4-1-1	1 3%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.92	2.0
4-4-2	1 3%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.19	1.94

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.4 pts at 5.5h · late move: away -1.1 pts inside the final hour

4.13Home 23% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 3.694.23Draw 23% · -0.1 ptsopened 4.191.81Away 54% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 1.9

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	4.13 ▼ -2.7	4.23 · -0.1	1.81 ▲ +2.8	10m
bet365	3.9 ▼ -1.3	4.2 ▼ -1.7	1.8 ▲ +2.9	10m
Betfair	4.33 ▼ -5.2	4.1 · -0.5	1.75 ▲ +5.7	10m
BetVictor	4.2 ▼ -3.5	4.2 ▼ -2.1	1.7 ▲ +5.7	10m
Coral	3.8 · -0.7	4.2 ▼ -2.4	1.8 ▲ +3.0	10m
Ladbrokes	3.8 · -0.9	4.0 ▼ -1.5	1.8 ▲ +2.5	10m
Unibet	4.1 ▼ -3.8	4.0 · -0.8	1.74 ▲ +4.7	10m
WilliamHill	4.0 ▼ -3.3	4.0 ▼ -1.2	1.75 ▲ +4.5	10m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 5.5h

1.44Yes 65% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.52.62No 35% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 2.5

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.44 ▲ +2.0	2.62 ▼ -2.0	10m
Betfair	1.44 · +0.9	2.63 · -0.9	10m
BetVictor	1.4 ▲ +2.1	2.7 ▼ -2.1	10m
Unibet	1.46 · -0.6	2.55 · +0.6	10m
WilliamHill	1.44 ▲ +1.3	2.75 ▼ -1.3	10m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +3.5 pts at 7.5h

1.46Over 66% ▲ +3.0 ptsopened 1.532.84Under 34% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 2.61

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.46 ▲ +3.0	2.84 ▼ -3.0	10m
bet365	1.44 ▲ +3.6	2.75 ▼ -3.6	10m
Betfair	1.44 ▲ +1.5	2.7 ▼ -1.5	10m
BetVictor	1.42 ▲ +3.4	2.59 ▼ -3.4	10m
Unibet	1.48 · +0.4	2.63 · -0.4	10m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 24% P 23%4.2Draw 23% P 23%1.8Away 53% P 54%

Double Chance

2.0Werder Bremen or Draw 23%1.22Werder Bremen or RB Leipzig 38%1.22Draw or RB Leipzig 38%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 66%2.75Under 34% P 34%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.25Over 41% P 42%1.57Under 59% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	23%	23%	21%	-2.5
Draw	23%	23%	20%	-3.2
Away	54%	54%	59%	+5.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	66%	66%	69%	+3.2

Benjamin Brand

Career: 102 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match: 4.01 (3.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match: 24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.3
Cards to home side: 46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.34	4.14	+0.27	63
Fouls / match	22.9	22.3	+0.39
Fouls per card	5.3	5.4	-0.28 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.41	0.32	+0.88	89
Time added	7.3	6.8	+0.40	78

First card: 35' on average
Card timing: 14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.17

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-07-07	3	1	21	0	58'	6
2026-05-09 · RB Leipzig	2	0	14	0	19'	5
2026-04-18	3	0	13	1	48'	9
2026-03-21 · Werder Bremen	3	1	22	0	39'	9
2026-03-07	6	0	15	0	51'	7
2026-02-21 · RB Leipzig	7	0	24	0	30'	12
2026-02-07	2	0	19	1	57'	7
2026-01-16 · Werder Bremen	5	0	23	0	52'	9
2025-12-20 · RB Leipzig	3	0	22	0	30'	8
2025-12-05	3	0	16	0	25'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Werder Bremen · Last 365 days

RB Leipzig · Last 365 days

Absences

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 91

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

All meetings · 19 matches since 2016

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 34 matches

RB Leipzig · 35 matches

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

Benjamin Brand

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 59 matches)

Recent matches