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Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

Momentum

VFBFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Capacity
60,449
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,058

Teams

Coaches
Sebastian Hoeneß · René Wagner
Position
18 · 6
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Christian Dingert

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
26.0° (feels 26.0°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
54%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
3 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
4 FC Bayern München 3210 725 7 WDW
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 3012 410-6 1 DLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfB Stuttgart

WDL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.43–5.87 · xPts 3.91

  • L A FC Bayern München 1–5 xG 1.11–2.47 GER BI
  • D A Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 xG 1.25–2.83 GER BI
  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 xG 3.07–0.58 GER BI

FC Köln

LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 3.54–6.4 · xPts 2.69

  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 xG 1.74–1.75 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–5 xG 0.65–2.98 GER BI
  • L H FC Heidenheim 1–3 xG 1.15–1.66 GER BI

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 27 matches since 2005

VfB Stuttgart 137 draws7 FC Köln

Goals 45–30 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfB Stuttgart 72 draws1 FC Köln

Goals 18–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfB Stuttgart 41 draws0 FC Köln

Goals 12–4 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W VfB Stuttgart 4–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfB Stuttgart 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 0–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 2–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Köln 1–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfB Stuttgart all · 3VfB Stuttgart at home · 1FC Köln all · 3FC Köln away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 100%1.02.02.672.222.27

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 67%1.52.03.01.912.79
4-2-3-11 33%1.01.01.01.971.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off

1.45Home 66% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 1.495.22Draw 18% · -0.6 ptsopened 4.966.41Away 15% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 5.5
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.45 ▲ +2.85.22 · -0.66.41 ▼ -2.210m
bet3651.44 ▲ +3.45.25 ▼ -2.56.25 · -0.910m
Betfair1.47 · +0.55.0 · +0.56.0 · -1.010m
BetVictor1.4 ▲ +4.35.25 ▼ -2.26.5 ▼ -2.010m
Coral1.44 ▲ +2.25.25 ▼ -1.65.75 · -0.610m
Ladbrokes1.44 ▲ +1.75.25 ▼ -1.75.5 · -0.010m
Unibet1.43 · +0.14.8 · +0.46.0 · -0.510m
WilliamHill1.44 ▲ +3.14.8 · -0.75.8 ▼ -2.410m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 66% P 66%5.25Draw 18% P 18%6.25Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.14VfB Stuttgart or Draw 42%1.16VfB Stuttgart or Cologne 41%2.75Draw or Cologne 17%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 72%3.4Under 28% P 28%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 49%1.72Under 54% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–70% · away 10–20% · 3,666 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%65%66%+1.3
Draw18%21%21%-0.5
Away15%14%13%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4

Christian Dingert

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.29 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.434.14+0.4767
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.60
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32+0.0448
Time added7.16.8+0.1963
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 · VfB Stuttgart 10 180 78'6
2026-04-11 20 200 31'7
2026-03-14 72 250 32'14
2026-03-01 30 200 66'14
2026-02-07 50 180 27'8
2026-01-14 20 261 5'9
2025-12-20 · FC Köln 71 270 13'7
2025-11-29 10 260 74'6
2025-11-01 20 180 29'14
2025-10-04 40 240 45'7