FC Köln v TSG Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

FC KölnFC Köln

3–2

TSG HoffenheimTSG

Momentum

– FC KölnTSG –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

FC Köln	at home	Stat	league	away	TSG Hoffenheim
43.3 #14	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	54.0 #4
16.7 #7	–	Shots total	15.7	–	17.7 #6
5.0 #14	–	Shots on target	5.4	–	6.0 #7
7.3 #3	–	Corners	5.7	–	7.3 #3
9.3 #16	–	Fouls	11.2	–	14.0 #3
0.3 #17	–	Offsides	1.6	–	1.0 #11
12.7 #15	–	Tackles	15.7	–	15.3 #8
86.0 #12	–	Attacks	100.5	–	117.3 #3
49.3 #8	–	Dangerous attacks	51.1	–	66.3 #3
395.0 #14	–	Passes	453.6	–	456.3 #8
1.7 #7	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	2.3 #1
1.0 #12	–	Assists	1.8	–	2.0 #6
– #1	–	Btts	59.3	–	– #1
– #10	–	Cleansheet	24.1	–	– #10
– #1	–	Draw	18.5	–	– #11
2.0 #8	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	1.9 #9
-0.3 #14	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	0.1 #8
– #8	–	Failed to score	24.1	–	– #8
1.7 #12	2.0	Goals	1.9	2.0	2.0 #9
2.3 #6	1.5	Goals conceded	1.9	3.0	2.3 #6
8.7 #13	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	11.3 #7
– #7	–	Lost	40.7	–	– #3
0.0 #1	–	Penalties scored	0.0	–	0.0 #1
6.7 #14	–	Rating	6.9	–	6.8 #10
5.0 #5	–	Shots blocked	4.5	–	4.7 #9
11.7 #5	–	Shots insidebox	10.4	–	10.3 #12
6.7 #6	–	Shots off target	5.8	–	7.0 #5
5.0 #9	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	7.3 #3
– #7	–	Win	40.7	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

FC Köln · Last 365 days

Ragnar Ache 9 · Attacker

Starts

Rating 6.94 (62th pct) · G+A 7 + 3 (22% of team goals) · 60% of minutes

Team 0.9 ppg with (20) · 0.79 without (14)

Said El Mala 10 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.78 (37th pct) · G+A 13 + 4 (37% of team goals) · 64% of minutes

Team 0.95 ppg with (21) · 0.69 without (13)

Tom Krauß 5 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.82 (47th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (4% of team goals) · 64% of minutes

Team 0.62 ppg with (21) · 1.23 without (13)

All key players

TSG Hoffenheim · Last 365 days

Vladimír Coufal 34 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 7.08 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 10 (17% of team goals) · 98% of minutes

Wouter Burger 18 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.16 (89th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 84% of minutes

Andrej Kramaric 27 · Secondary Striker

On the bench

Rating 7.13 (91th pct) · G+A 13 + 6 (30% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 2.09 ppg with (23) · 0.83 without (12)

All key players

Absences

FC Köln

injury Malek El Mala attacker · Muscle Injury · 29 missed

TSG Hoffenheim

injury Alexander Prass #12 key player midfielder · Adductor Pain · 1 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 1

Venue

Stadium: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Capacity: 50,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 49,700

Teams

Coaches: René Wagner · Christian Ilzer
Position: 15 · 12
Formation: 4-3-3 · 4-4-2

Referee

Florian Badstübner

Weather

Conditions: moderate rain
Temperature: 21.3° (feels 21.3°)
Wind: 4.3
Humidity: 68%

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
3	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
4	FC Bayern München	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WDW
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1	DLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
2	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
5	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
6	FC Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	1	4	3	WDW
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	FC Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	DLL
16	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
17	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

FC Köln

DLL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 3.22–5.82 · xPts 2.84

L A FC Bayern München 1–5 xG 0.65–2.98 GER BI
L H FC Heidenheim 1–3 xG 1.15–1.66 GER BI
D A FC Union Berlin 2–2 xG 1.41–1.18 GER BI

TSG Hoffenheim

DWL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.42–3.64 · xPts 5.34

L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–4 xG 1.65–1.02 GER BI
W H Werder Bremen 1–0 xG 1.59–0.95 GER BI
D H VfB Stuttgart 3–3 xG 2.18–1.67 GER BI

All meetings · 29 matches since 2008

FC Köln 79 draws13 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 33–59 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Köln 33 draws4 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 12–19 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Köln 22 draws1 TSG Hoffenheim

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

W FC Köln 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
D FC Köln 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
W TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
L FC Köln 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
W TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
D FC Köln 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
L FC Köln 0–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
L TSG Hoffenheim 5–0 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
L TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	FC Köln all · 3	FC Köln at home · 2	TSG Hoffenheim all · 3	TSG Hoffenheim away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033

Early press (0-15, level)-0.053

Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222

When level-0.153

When behind+0.382

10 min after conceding+0.073

10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182

4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273

Conceded when ahead+0.492

Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374

Early press (0-15, level)+0.574

Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103

When level+0.374

When behind+0.943

10 min after conceding-0.124

10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012

Away+0.762

4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012

Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184

Conceded when ahead-0.033

Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	2 67%	1.5	2.0	3.0	1.91	2.79
4-2-3-1	1 33%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.97	1.17

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-4-2	2 67%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.54	1.8
4-2-3-1	1 33%	3.0	2.0	1.0	2.27	1.73

Metric	FC Köln all · 10	FC Köln at home · 10	TSG Hoffenheim all · 10	TSG Hoffenheim away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.00	1.20	1.40	1.10
W / D / L	2 / 4 / 4	3 / 3 / 4	4 / 2 / 4	3 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match	1.60	1.70	1.60	1.50
Goals against / match	2.30	1.80	2.00	2.60
Clean sheets	0%	10%	10%	10%
Failed to score	0%	0%	20%	30%
Both teams scored	100%	90%	70%	60%
Over 2.5	80%	80%	80%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	2.00	1.80	1.84	1.67
xG against / match	1.93	1.60	1.44	1.93
xG difference	0.07	0.20	0.40	-0.26
Finishing vs xG	-0.40	-0.10	-0.24	-0.17
xPts / match	1.44	1.47	1.64	1.37
Points vs xPts	-0.44	-0.27	-0.24	-0.27
Game state
Scored first	30%	40%	70%	40%
PPG when scoring first	1.67	2.00	1.86	2.25
PPG when conceding first	0.71	0.67	0.33	0.33
Came back from behind	43%	43%	20%	29%
Leads held	50%	50%	57%	60%
Minutes leading	23%	28%	40%	23%
Minutes level	43%	39%	40%	40%
Minutes trailing	34%	33%	20%	38%
First goal (min)	44	34	27	33
First goal conceded (min)	48	35	40	28
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	69%	59%	31%	33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	65%	50%	65%	46%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.60	0.50	0.10	0.10
Late goals against	0.30	0.00	0.70	0.70
Style
Possession	46%	47%	57%	56%
Shots	16.2	16.3	16.3	13.8
On target	6.0	5.8	5.3	4.4
Shot conversion	10%	10%	10%	11%
Shots inside box	71%	72%	60%	68%
Big chances created	3.4	2.9	3.1	2.5
Corners	5.3	5.4	6.6	6.1
xG from set plays	30%	31%	35%	30%
Goals from headers	0%	6%	12%	20%
Pressure index	12.8	14.2	15.2	13.0
Dominant minutes	47.0	51.9	58.9	48.8
Pass accuracy	82%	80%	82%	81%
Fouls	8.6	9.6	15.1	15.0
Cards	1.80	2.30	3.10	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

0–15'33

16–30'13

31–45'12

46–60'12

61–75'410

76–90'63

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'23

16–30'43

31–45'51

46–60'22

61–75'24

76–90'17

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	0.5	1.25	2.0	1.83	1.42
4-4-2	2 20%	2.0	2.0	1.0	2.67	1.33
5-3-2	2 20%	0.5	1.5	3.5	1.75	2.68
4-3-3	2 20%	1.5	2.0	3.0	1.91	2.79

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 60%	1.67	1.33	1.83	2.04	1.2
4-4-2	2 20%	0.0	2.0	3.0	1.54	1.8
3-4-1-2	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.22	1.99
3-4-2-1	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	1.9	1.64

Metric	FC Köln all · 34	FC Köln at home · 18	TSG Hoffenheim all · 35	TSG Hoffenheim away · 17
Results
Matches	34	18	35	17
Points per game	0.85	1.11	1.66	1.35
W / D / L	6 / 11 / 17	5 / 5 / 8	17 / 7 / 11	6 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match	1.35	1.67	1.83	1.53
Goals against / match	1.94	1.78	1.57	1.94
Clean sheets	6%	6%	20%	18%
Failed to score	12%	6%	20%	29%
Both teams scored	82%	89%	63%	59%
Over 2.5	65%	72%	69%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.52	1.59	1.74	1.59
xG against / match	1.71	1.46	1.45	1.61
xG difference	-0.20	0.13	0.29	-0.03
Finishing vs xG	-0.16	0.08	0.09	-0.06
xPts / match	1.27	1.43	1.60	1.45
Points vs xPts	-0.41	-0.32	0.05	-0.10
Game state
Scored first	35%	50%	51%	35%
PPG when scoring first	1.33	1.33	2.44	2.17
PPG when conceding first	0.59	0.89	0.81	0.90
Came back from behind	37%	38%	39%	46%
Leads held	40%	42%	77%	67%
Minutes leading	18%	26%	37%	24%
Minutes level	50%	48%	42%	47%
Minutes trailing	32%	26%	21%	29%
First goal (min)	42	35	32	32
First goal conceded (min)	43	44	40	29
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	61%	63%	44%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	56%	56%	56%	46%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.50	0.61	0.23	0.12
Late goals against	0.32	0.22	0.43	0.47
Style
Possession	47%	49%	56%	55%
Shots	13.6	15.2	14.8	13.0
On target	4.7	5.6	5.2	4.2
Shot conversion	10%	11%	12%	12%
Shots inside box	70%	69%	67%	67%
Big chances created	2.5	2.8	2.9	2.5
Corners	5.0	5.2	6.1	5.6
xG from set plays	29%	28%	33%	31%
Goals from headers	13%	13%	22%	27%
Pressure index	11.7	13.7	15.1	13.9
Dominant minutes	43.9	50.1	57.6	52.3
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	80%	80%
Fouls	8.1	8.6	14.1	14.9
Cards	1.94	1.94	2.29	2.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

0–15'98

16–30'610

31–45'311

46–60'69

61–75'517

76–90'1711

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'68

16–30'129

31–45'187

46–60'135

61–75'711

76–90'815

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 34 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0334

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0234

Late push (76+, level)-0.1617

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0720

Game state

When ahead-0.1315

When level-0.0634

When behind+0.0926

10 min after conceding-0.0831

10 min after scoring+0.3030

Situations

With ten men-0.033

Against ten men-0.022

At home-0.0218

Away-0.0416

4+ days rest-0.0433

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.0212

v mid-tier opponents-0.1511

v bottom-tier opponents-0.066

As favourite+0.196

Evenly matched-0.1013

As underdog-0.0515

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1734

Conceded when ahead+0.1415

Conceded late (76+)-0.0233

Congested vs rested +0.39 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.15

TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.2135

Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935

Late push (76+, level)-0.1611

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110

Game state

When ahead+0.1322

When level+0.2135

When behind+0.3318

10 min after conceding-0.1026

10 min after scoring+0.5528

Situations

With ten men+0.203

Against ten men-0.013

At home+0.0418

Away+0.3917

3 days rest or fewer+0.182

4+ days rest+0.2133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.0713

v mid-tier opponents+0.4310

v bottom-tier opponents+0.325

As favourite+0.3318

Evenly matched+0.1112

As underdog-0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.2035

Conceded when ahead-0.1422

Conceded late (76+)-0.1530

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.11

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	8 24%	0.5	1.25	1.88	1.53	1.26
3-4-3	6 18%	1.0	1.17	1.67	1.38	1.2
3-4-2-1	5 15%	1.0	0.8	1.2	0.71	1.58
4-3-3	4 12%	0.75	2.0	3.25	1.71	2.77
4-4-2	4 12%	1.75	1.5	1.0	2.08	1.56

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 29%	1.7	1.4	1.5	2.0	1.14
4-4-2	7 20%	1.29	2.14	2.43	1.48	1.72
4-3-1-2	4 11%	1.75	2.25	1.0	2.01	1.21
4-1-4-1	2 6%	2.0	1.5	0.5	1.36	1.13
3-5-1-1	2 6%	3.0	3.0	1.5	1.64	1.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.3 pts at 23.5h

3.08Home 32% · -0.4 ptsopened 3.033.77Draw 26% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.722.28Away 43% · +0.6 ptsopened 2.3

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	3.08 · -0.4	3.77 · -0.2	2.28 · +0.6	30m
bet365	2.87 ▲ +1.7	3.7 ▼ -1.2	2.3 · -0.5	30m
Betfair	2.9 ▼ -2.1	3.6 ▲ +1.3	2.2 · +0.7	30m
BetVictor	2.88 · +0.1	3.8 · -0.5	2.2 · +0.4	30m
Coral	2.87 · -0.5	3.7 · +0.2	2.3 · +0.3	30m
Ladbrokes	2.87 · -0.5	3.6 · +0.2	2.3 · +0.3	30m
Unibet	2.9 · +0.5	3.65 · -0.4	2.2 · -0.1	30m
WilliamHill	2.9 · +0.0	3.5 · +0.0	2.25 · +0.0	30m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 2.4d

1.44Yes 65% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.52.62No 35% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 2.5

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.44 ▲ +2.0	2.62 ▼ -2.0	30m
Betfair	1.4 ▲ +2.0	2.8 ▼ -2.0	30m
BetVictor	1.4 ▲ +1.4	2.63 ▼ -1.4	30m
Unibet	1.44 · +0.2	2.6 · -0.2	30m
WilliamHill	1.5 · +0.0	2.5 · +0.0	30m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.1 pts at 3.0d

1.56Over 62% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 1.592.56Under 38% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 2.46

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.56 ▲ +1.4	2.56 ▼ -1.4	30m
bet365	1.53 ▲ +1.9	2.5 ▼ -1.9	30m
Betfair	1.45 ▲ +2.2	2.55 ▼ -2.2	30m
BetVictor	1.51 ▲ +1.3	2.35 ▼ -1.3	30m
Unibet	1.54 · +0.3	2.45 · -0.3	30m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 32%3.7Draw 26% P 26%2.3Away 41% P 43%

Double Chance

1.66Cologne or Draw 28%1.25Cologne or TSG Hoffenheim 38%1.4Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 34%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

4.51.9Over 49% P 31%1.8Under 51% P 69%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	32%	31%	31%	-0.1
Draw	26%	26%	26%	+0.2
Away	43%	43%	43%	-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	62%	61%	63%	+1.5

Florian Badstübner

Career: 85 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match: 3.53 (3.39 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match: 22.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.31
Cards to home side: 48%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.7	4.14	-1.14	7
Fouls / match	22.0	22.3	-0.34
Fouls per card	6.1	5.4	+1.06 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.31	0.32	-0.19	33
Time added	6.0	6.8	-0.96	11

First card: 39' on average
Card timing: 15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.33

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-13	1	0	21	0	85'	4
2026-07-30	3	1	17	1	21'	6
2026-05-03	4	0	31	0	54'	5
2026-04-18	2	0	28	0	58'	8
2026-03-22	2	0	15	0	14'	8
2026-02-28	1	0	23	0	72'	10
2026-02-14	3	0	19	1	50'	10
2026-02-01	4	0	28	0	52'	5
2026-01-15	1	1	27	0	53'	12
2026-01-11	1	0	13	0	45'	9

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

FC Köln · Last 365 days

TSG Hoffenheim · Last 365 days

Absences

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 79

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

All meetings · 29 matches since 2008

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 3 matches

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Köln · 34 matches

TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches

FC Köln

TSG Hoffenheim

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

Florian Badstübner

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

Recent matches