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Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

Momentum

FCUSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Capacity
22,012
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,012

Teams

Coaches
Mauro Lustrinelli · Adolf Hütter
Position
9 · 6
Formation
4-1-3-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
26.0° (feels 26.0°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
41%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 4310 14212 10 WDWW
2 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
3 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
4 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 4013 417-13 1 DLLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Union Berlin

DWW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 6.29–3.55 · xPts 5.72

  • W H FC Augsburg 4–0 xG 2.36–0.63 GER BI
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 3–1 xG 2.75–1.5 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 2–2 xG 1.18–1.41 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.72–3.74 · xPts 4.56

  • D H VfB Stuttgart 2–2 xG 2.83–1.25 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 2–3 xG 1.18–1.79 GER BI
  • L H Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 0.71–0.69 GER BI

All meetings · 15 matches since 2019

FC Union Berlin 55 draws5 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 24–27 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Union Berlin 44 draws2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Union Berlin 23 draws0 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 11–9 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 3–4 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Union Berlin all · 4FC Union Berlin at home · 2Eintracht Frankfurt all · 3Eintracht Frankfurt away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Union Berlin · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.504
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
Away-0.322
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
Evenly matched-0.052
As underdog-0.322

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.46

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.173

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.44 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-1-22 50%0.00.53.51.342.95
4-1-3-21 25%1.03.03.02.131.19
4-2-3-11 25%0.00.07.00.272.98

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-22 67%0.52.03.51.71.84
3-4-2-11 33%3.03.01.01.912.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.5 pts at 2.2d

2.67Home 36% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 2.523.66Draw 27% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.622.63Away 37% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 2.78
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.67 ▼ -2.03.66 · -0.22.63 ▲ +2.230m
bet3652.7 ▼ -2.43.7 · -0.62.5 ▲ +3.030m
Betfair2.6 ▼ -3.83.5 ▲ +1.32.55 ▲ +2.630m
BetVictor2.55 ▼ -1.33.6 · -0.62.55 ▲ +1.930m
Coral2.62 ▼ -2.33.5 · +0.12.6 ▲ +2.230m
Ladbrokes2.6 ▼ -3.23.5 · -0.12.5 ▲ +3.330m
Unibet2.5 ▼ -1.83.45 · +0.42.6 ▲ +1.430m
WilliamHill2.5 ▼ -1.13.4 · -0.32.5 ▲ +1.330m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 36% P 36%3.7Draw 26% P 27%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Union Berlin or Draw 32%1.28Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt 37%1.5Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%
4.52.0Over 46% P 29%1.72Under 54% P 71%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.15-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.46
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.33-1.657
Time added6.26.8-0.7615
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-16 13 6
2026-05-03 20 160 57'8
2026-04-18 · Eintracht Frankfurt 10 140 40'5
2026-04-04 40 230 42'7
2026-03-14 14 9
2026-03-01 50 201 31'10
2026-02-14 40 161 28'9
2026-01-25 30 141 62'7
2026-01-10 · FC Union Berlin 20 170 19'5
2025-11-29 61 220 39'8