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Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

Momentum

FC AugsburgSchalke 04
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Capacity
30,660
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,660

Teams

Coaches
Manuel Baum · Miron Muslić
Position
10 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sascha Stegemann

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
25.3° (feels 25.3°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
53%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 4310 14212 10 WDWW
2 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
3 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
4 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 4013 417-13 1 DLLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Augsburg

WWL 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.04–4.55 · xPts 4.54

  • L A FC Union Berlin 0–4 xG 0.63–2.36 GER BI
  • W H Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 xG 2.05–1.15 GER BI
  • W A Werder Bremen 3–1 xG 2.36–1.04 GER BI

Schalke 04

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 23 matches since 2011

FC Augsburg 49 draws10 Schalke 04

Goals 27–35 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Augsburg 34 draws3 Schalke 04

Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Augsburg 22 draws1 Schalke 04

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Schalke 04 2–3 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Schalke 04 1–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 2–2 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Schalke 04 0–3 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 2–3 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Schalke 04 0–0 FC Augsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Augsburg 1–1 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Augsburg 1–2 Schalke 04 GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Augsburg all · 3FC Augsburg at home · 2Schalke 04 all · 3Schalke 04 away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Augsburg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when level -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.343

Game state

When ahead+0.103
When level-0.493
When behind-0.482
10 min after conceding-0.592
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home-0.172
4+ days rest-0.173

Opposition

As underdog-0.332

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.523
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.323

Ahead vs level +0.59 · Behind vs level +0.00

Schalke 04 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: when level -0.18

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.073

Game state

When level-0.183
10 min after conceding-0.402

Situations

Away+0.102
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.423
Conceded late (76+)+0.943

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.09

FC Augsburg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 67%2.02.51.02.352.17
5-3-21 33%3.04.01.01.542.21

Schalke 04

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-12 67%1.51.52.01.983.01
5-4-11 33%1.00.00.00.391.92

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.2 pts at 8.5h

2.26Home 43% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.193.54Draw 27% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 3.83.3Away 29% · -0.9 ptsopened 3.18
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.26 ▼ -1.13.54 ▲ +2.03.3 · -0.930m
bet3652.25 ▼ -2.13.6 ▲ +1.53.0 · +0.630m
Betfair2.15 · +0.43.4 ▲ +3.23.3 ▼ -3.630m
BetVictor2.2 · -0.63.4 ▲ +1.63.2 · -1.030m
Coral2.2 · -0.93.6 · +0.83.1 · +0.130m
Ladbrokes2.2 ▼ -1.23.5 ▲ +1.33.1 · -0.130m
Unibet2.17 ▼ -1.93.45 ▲ +2.53.1 · -0.530m
WilliamHill2.2 · -0.83.3 ▲ +1.73.1 · -0.930m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 43%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.0Away 32% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Augsburg or Draw 35%1.28Augsburg or Schalke 37%1.66Draw or Schalke 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Sascha Stegemann

Career
194 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.04 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.15-0.5726
Fouls / match21.622.3-0.75
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.33-1.2315
Time added6.76.8-0.2333
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 90 261 27'7
2026-05-16 10 200 77'7
2026-05-02 41 270 49'9
2026-04-11 50 150 33'6
2026-03-19 81 240 22'6
2026-03-15 30 140 38'7
2026-02-22 30 202 72'13
2026-01-31 · FC Augsburg 40 281 29'8
2026-01-22 30 250 55'4
2026-01-17 10 130 29'9