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Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

Momentum

SC FreiburgSVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Capacity
34,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
34,700

Teams

Coaches
Julian Schuster · Daniel Thioune
Position
13 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Daniel Siebert

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
28.1° (feels 28.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
50%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 4310 14212 10 WDWW
2 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
3 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
4 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 4013 417-13 1 DLLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

SC Freiburg

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 9 · xG 9.0–5.61 · xPts 7.79

  • W H Motherwell 4–1 xG 4.15–0.09 UEFA ECL
  • W A Motherwell 3–1 xG 2.62–0.44 UEFA ECL
  • L H Aston Villa 0–3 xG 0.24–1.92 UEFA EL
  • W H RB Leipzig 4–1 xG 1.52–1.55 GER BI
  • L A Hamburger SV 2–3 xG 0.46–1.61 GER BI

Werder Bremen

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 6 · xG 2.69–6.61 · xPts 1.92

  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.7–2.66 GER BI
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 xG 0.95–1.59 GER BI
  • L H FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 1.04–2.36 GER BI

All meetings · 31 matches since 2009

SC Freiburg 128 draws11 Werder Bremen

Goals 46–47 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

SC Freiburg 81 draws1 Werder Bremen

Goals 20–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

SC Freiburg 50 draws0 Werder Bremen

Goals 14–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–3 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 5–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 3–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W SC Freiburg 2–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 0–0 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricSC Freiburg all · 3SC Freiburg at home · 2Werder Bremen all · 3Werder Bremen away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SC Freiburg · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185

Game state

When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875

Situations

Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +2.14

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

SC Freiburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 100%3.03.330.332.050.6

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 67%2.02.01.00.931.79
4-3-31 33%0.01.04.00.661.91

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.1 pts at 5.5h

1.83Home 53% ▲ +5.3 ptsopened 2.023.78Draw 26% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.684.62Away 21% ▼ -4.8 ptsopened 3.73
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.83 ▲ +5.33.78 · -0.54.62 ▼ -4.830m
bet3651.75 ▲ +9.43.8 ▼ -3.64.5 ▼ -5.830m
Betfair1.75 ▲ +5.33.6 · +0.64.33 ▼ -5.930m
BetVictor1.75 ▲ +6.13.8 ▼ -1.54.2 ▼ -4.630m
Coral1.75 ▲ +7.43.8 ▼ -1.64.4 ▼ -5.830m
Ladbrokes1.75 ▲ +7.63.75 ▼ -1.24.4 ▼ -6.430m
Unibet1.81 ▲ +2.83.65 · -0.44.0 ▼ -2.330m
WilliamHill1.8 ▲ +5.23.5 · -0.84.2 ▼ -4.430m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.8Draw 25% P 26%4.5Away 21% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2SC Freiburg or Draw 39%1.28SC Freiburg or Werder Bremen 37%1.95Draw or Werder Bremen 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 50%2.0Under 46% P 50%
4.52.2Over 42% P 33%1.61Under 58% P 67%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Daniel Siebert

Career
74 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.15+0.0959
Fouls / match22.322.3-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.33-0.5422
Time added7.76.8+0.8385
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 20 200 25'6
2026-08-20 50 160 38'5
2026-08-11 70 240 7'10
2026-05-30 60 281 46'12
2026-05-16 50 151 18'8
2026-05-05 30 230 81'6
2026-05-02 · Werder Bremen 20 150 14'8
2026-04-18 50 252 31'12
2026-04-07 10 210 31'3
2026-04-04 · SC Freiburg 60 220 25'11