Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV

Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

Borussia DortmundBVB

2–0

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Momentum

– BVBHamburger SV –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Borussia Dortmund	at home	Stat	league	away	Hamburger SV
50.3 #9	–	Ball possession	49.7	–	45.0 #13
15.0 #10	–	Shots total	15.6	–	8.7 #18
6.3 #4	–	Shots on target	5.5	–	2.7 #17
4.3 #12	–	Corners	5.7	–	4.0 #13
10.3 #11	–	Fouls	11.2	–	15.3 #2
2.0 #4	–	Offsides	1.5	–	2.0 #4
19.3 #3	–	Tackles	15.8	–	14.0 #12
113.3 #5	–	Attacks	99.8	–	84.0 #14
46.0 #11	–	Dangerous attacks	50.6	–	35.7 #16
476.3 #5	–	Passes	450.5	–	396.7 #12
1.7 #7	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	1.3 #11
0.3 #1	–	Redcards	0.3	–	–
2.3 #4	–	Assists	1.8	–	–
– #11	–	Btts	57.4	–	– #17
– #1	–	Cleansheet	25.0	–	– #10
– #11	–	Draw	17.6	–	– #11
1.7 #11	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	0.7 #18
0.9 #4	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	-0.7 #17
– #8	–	Failed to score	24.5	–	– #1
2.7 #5	2.5	Goals	2.0	0.0	0.0 #17
0.7 #16	0.0	Goals conceded	2.0	3.5	4.0 #2
0.3 #7	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.7 #3
15.7 #1	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	10.0 #8
– #15	–	Lost	41.2	–	– #1
7.0 #5	–	Rating	6.9	–	6.4 #18
4.0 #11	–	Shots blocked	4.4	–	2.3 #16
10.7 #9	–	Shots insidebox	10.3	–	4.7 #18
4.7 #11	–	Shots off target	5.6	–	3.7 #15
4.3 #11	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	4.0 #14
– #1	–	Win	41.2	–	– #15

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Borussia Dortmund · Last 365 days

Serhou Guirassy 9 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.05 (84th pct) · G+A 21 + 6 (30% of team goals) · 77% of minutes

Team 2.08 ppg with (36) · 2.0 without (8)

Nico Schlotterbeck 4 · Centre Back

Not in the squad

Rating 7.25 (99th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

Team 1.97 ppg with (35) · 2.44 without (9)

Julian Ryerson 26 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.96 (72th pct) · G+A 0 + 17 (19% of team goals) · 77% of minutes

Team 2.09 ppg with (34) · 2.0 without (10)

All key players

Hamburger SV · Last 365 days

Fábio Vieira 20 · Attacking Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 7.15 (87th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 72% of minutes

Team 1.08 ppg with (24) · 1.1 without (10)

Miro Muheim 28 · Left Back

Injury · Adductor Pain

Rating 6.99 (87th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 71% of minutes

Team 1.12 ppg with (24) · 1.0 without (10)

Nicolai Remberg 21 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.87 (54th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

All key players

Absences

Borussia Dortmund

injury Emre Can #13 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 17 missed
injury Enzo dos Santos midfielder · Patellar Tendon Problems · 4 missed
injury Justin Lerma midfielder · Muscular problems
injury Mussa Kaba midfielder · Knock · 17 missed

Hamburger SV

injury Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit #14 key player attacker · Ankle Injury · 9 missed
injury Fernando Dickes goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury · 16 missed
injury Miro Muheim #2 key player defender · Adductor Pain · 2 missed
injury Warmed Omari #8 key player defender · Shoulder Injury · 2 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 1

Venue

Stadium: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Capacity: 81,365
Surface: grass
Attendance: 81,365

Teams

Coaches: Niko Kovač · Merlin Polzin
Position: 9 · 7
Formation: 3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions: moderate rain
Temperature: 19.0° (feels 18.9°)
Wind: 4.1
Humidity: 78%

Where to watch · 85

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	12	10	WDWW
2	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
3	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1	DLLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Bayern München	2	2	0	0	12	1	11	6	WDWW
2	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
4	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
5	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
6	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDWW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
16	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL
18	FC Union Berlin	2	0	0	2	0	11	-11	0	DLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Borussia Dortmund

LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 5.17–4.43 · xPts 4.69

W A Werder Bremen 2–0 xG 2.66–0.7 GER BI
W H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 xG 1.79–1.18 GER BI
L A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 xG 0.72–2.55 GER BI

Hamburger SV

WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 4.94–4.31 · xPts 4.67

D A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 xG 2.63–3.14 GER BI
W H SC Freiburg 3–2 xG 1.61–0.46 GER BI
W A Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 xG 0.69–0.71 GER BI

All meetings · 29 matches since 2005

Borussia Dortmund 154 draws10 Hamburger SV

Goals 54–40 · 3.24 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund 72 draws1 Hamburger SV

Goals 23–8 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Dortmund 41 draws0 Hamburger SV

Goals 11–3 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

W Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
W Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
D Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
W Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
W Hamburger SV 0–3 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
W Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
W Hamburger SV 2–5 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
W Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
L Hamburger SV 3–1 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season
D Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Dortmund neutral GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund all · 3	Borussia Dortmund at home · 2	Hamburger SV all · 3	Hamburger SV away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014

Early press (0-15, level)-0.394

Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154

When level-0.144

10 min after conceding-0.432

10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093

4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062

As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054

Conceded when ahead-0.184

Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Hamburger SV · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223

Early press (0-15, level)-0.203

Game state

When level-0.253

When behind-0.213

10 min after conceding-0.443

Situations

Away-0.172

4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172

As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.153

Behind vs level +0.04

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	2 67%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.75	0.89
3-4-3	1 33%	3.0	2.0	0.0	1.47	0.78

Hamburger SV

Current: winless 4 · conceding 17

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	3 100%	0.0	0.0	4.0	0.63	2.04

Metric	Borussia Dortmund all · 10	Borussia Dortmund at home · 10	Hamburger SV all · 10	Hamburger SV away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	2.10	2.40	0.80	1.10
W / D / L	7 / 0 / 3	8 / 0 / 2	2 / 2 / 6	3 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match	2.10	2.40	0.90	1.10
Goals against / match	1.00	1.00	2.60	2.10
Clean sheets	40%	50%	0%	10%
Failed to score	20%	10%	40%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	60%	60%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	70%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.78	2.34	1.23	1.19
xG against / match	1.19	0.94	2.02	2.37
xG difference	0.59	1.40	-0.79	-1.18
Finishing vs xG	0.32	0.06	-0.33	-0.09
xPts / match	1.76	2.12	0.97	0.83
Points vs xPts	0.34	0.28	-0.17	0.27
Game state
Scored first	50%	70%	20%	30%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.57	2.00	1.33
PPG when conceding first	1.20	2.00	0.50	1.00
Came back from behind	40%	50%	25%	38%
Leads held	100%	89%	67%	60%
Minutes leading	39%	57%	8%	20%
Minutes level	44%	25%	43%	46%
Minutes trailing	17%	18%	48%	34%
First goal (min)	40	26	44	45
First goal conceded (min)	48	37	28	39
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	62%	50%	67%	54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	60%	60%	50%	57%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.80	0.80	0.00	0.10
Late goals against	0.40	0.30	0.70	0.60
Style
Possession	52%	54%	43%	42%
Shots	13.7	15.4	11.8	10.8
On target	5.1	5.1	3.9	4.6
Shot conversion	15%	16%	8%	10%
Shots inside box	72%	73%	60%	56%
Big chances created	3.6	4.7	1.5	1.5
Corners	4.7	6.6	3.9	3.6
xG from set plays	24%	29%	22%	28%
Goals from headers	10%	18%	0%	0%
Pressure index	13.8	17.3	6.9	6.3
Dominant minutes	52.5	60.0	37.1	35.2
Pass accuracy	85%	85%	80%	78%
Fouls	11.5	11.9	12.7	11.4
Cards	1.80	1.70	1.90	2.10

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'41

16–30'00

31–45'43

46–60'21

61–75'31

76–90'84

Hamburger SV

0–15'11

16–30'07

31–45'25

46–60'34

61–75'32

76–90'07

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	8 80%	2.25	2.38	1.13	1.89	1.31
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	0.0	1.47	0.78
3-5-1-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.21	0.67

Hamburger SV

Current: winless 4 · conceding 17

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	6 60%	0.83	0.83	2.67	1.44	2.09
3-4-1-2	3 30%	0.0	0.67	3.0	0.97	2.31
3-4-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.69	0.71

Metric	Borussia Dortmund all · 44	Borussia Dortmund at home · 24	Hamburger SV all · 34	Hamburger SV away · 17
Results
Matches	44	24	34	17
Points per game	2.07	2.38	1.09	0.76
W / D / L	28 / 7 / 9	18 / 3 / 3	9 / 10 / 15	3 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match	2.07	2.38	1.18	0.88
Goals against / match	1.18	0.96	1.74	2.00
Clean sheets	39%	50%	15%	18%
Failed to score	9%	8%	29%	35%
Both teams scored	52%	42%	65%	59%
Over 2.5	59%	58%	59%	59%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.79	2.19	1.32	1.14
xG against / match	1.26	1.03	1.84	2.05
xG difference	0.52	1.15	-0.51	-0.90
Finishing vs xG	0.28	0.19	-0.15	-0.26
xPts / match	1.66	2.00	1.14	0.94
Points vs xPts	0.41	0.37	-0.05	-0.18
Game state
Scored first	70%	79%	35%	24%
PPG when scoring first	2.58	2.63	1.58	1.00
PPG when conceding first	0.85	1.40	0.79	0.64
Came back from behind	44%	57%	35%	23%
Leads held	82%	86%	56%	50%
Minutes leading	41%	52%	16%	12%
Minutes level	43%	39%	56%	54%
Minutes trailing	16%	10%	28%	34%
First goal (min)	38	30	43	50
First goal conceded (min)	46	44	40	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	59%	53%	58%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	62%	70%	56%	62%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.66	0.71	0.18	0.12
Late goals against	0.36	0.25	0.47	0.59
Style
Possession	52%	55%	46%	46%
Shots	13.0	14.9	12.4	11.4
On target	4.7	5.6	4.6	4.6
Shot conversion	16%	16%	10%	8%
Shots inside box	72%	70%	65%	59%
Big chances created	3.2	3.9	2.0	1.5
Corners	5.3	6.8	3.7	3.5
xG from set plays	35%	36%	29%	31%
Goals from headers	19%	20%	8%	7%
Pressure index	15.8	20.7	9.4	8.5
Dominant minutes	52.9	61.6	39.6	38.6
Pass accuracy	83%	85%	80%	80%
Fouls	11.5	11.6	12.1	12.1
Cards	1.89	1.58	2.56	2.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'124

16–30'86

31–45'1710

46–60'127

61–75'139

76–90'2916

Hamburger SV

0–15'33

16–30'411

31–45'1012

46–60'910

61–75'87

76–90'616

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 44 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1844

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0144

Late push (76+, level)+0.3416

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2712

Game state

When ahead+0.2633

When level+0.1844

When behind-0.0416

10 min after conceding-0.1026

10 min after scoring+0.6039

Situations

With ten men-0.024

Against ten men-0.353

At home+0.3124

Away+0.0220

3 days rest or fewer+0.258

4+ days rest+0.1636

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.0114

v mid-tier opponents+0.1415

v bottom-tier opponents+0.307

As favourite+0.3331

Evenly matched-0.079

As underdog-0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0744

Conceded when ahead-0.1933

Conceded late (76+)-0.2041

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.22

Hamburger SV · 34 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0634

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334

Late push (76+, level)+0.0114

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112

Game state

When ahead-0.3416

When level+0.0634

When behind-0.1323

10 min after conceding-0.3029

10 min after scoring-0.1322

Situations

With ten men+0.016

Against ten men-0.223

At home-0.0717

Away-0.0417

3 days rest or fewer-0.322

4+ days rest-0.0432

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2713

v mid-tier opponents-0.1213

v bottom-tier opponents+0.773

Evenly matched+0.0616

As underdog-0.1517

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2034

Conceded when ahead+0.3816

Conceded late (76+)+0.0129

Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	36 82%	2.0	2.11	1.28	1.72	1.34
3-4-3	4 9%	2.5	2.0	0.75	1.61	1.06
3-5-2	3 7%	3.0	2.33	0.67	2.96	0.8
3-5-1-1	1 2%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.21	0.67

Hamburger SV

Current: winless 4 · conceding 17

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	15 44%	1.4	1.47	1.4	1.45	1.58
3-4-2-1	13 38%	1.0	1.0	2.0	1.27	2.11
3-4-1-2	3 9%	0.0	0.67	3.0	0.97	2.31
3-5-1-1	1 3%	1.0	2.0	2.0	2.56	2.41
4-3-3	1 3%	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.96	1.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.8 pts at 9.5h

1.39Home 70% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 1.345.46Draw 18% · +0.9 ptsopened 5.77.78Away 12% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 8.58

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	1.39 ▼ -2.1	5.46 · +0.9	7.78 ▲ +1.2	30m
bet365	1.36 ▼ -1.0	5.5 · +0.1	7.5 · +0.9	30m
Betfair	1.33 ▼ -1.5	5.0 · +0.0	7.5 ▲ +1.5	30m
BetVictor	1.33 · -0.0	5.25 · -0.3	8.0 · +0.3	30m
Coral	1.36 ▼ -1.2	5.25 · -0.2	7.5 ▲ +1.4	30m
Ladbrokes	1.35 · -0.8	5.5 · -0.7	7.5 ▲ +1.5	30m
Unibet	1.34 ▼ -2.2	5.25 · +0.2	7.5 ▲ +2.1	30m
WilliamHill	1.36 ▼ -2.1	4.8 · +0.6	7.0 ▲ +1.5	30m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 4.2d

1.7Yes 55% ▲ +4.7 ptsopened 1.92.05No 45% ▼ -4.7 ptsopened 1.9

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.7 ▲ +4.7	2.05 ▼ -4.7	30m
Betfair	1.67 ▲ +3.6	2.15 ▼ -3.6	30m
BetVictor	1.67 ▲ +3.1	2.05 ▼ -3.1	30m
Unibet	1.76 ▲ +3.8	1.97 ▼ -3.8	30m
WilliamHill	1.67 ▲ +4.3	2.15 ▼ -4.3	30m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.5 pts at 9.5h

1.54Over 63% · -0.1 ptsopened 1.532.61Under 37% · +0.1 ptsopened 2.6

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.54 · -0.1	2.61 · +0.1	30m
bet365	1.5 ▲ +1.6	2.62 ▼ -1.6	30m
Betfair	1.44 · +0.6	2.6 · -0.6	30m
BetVictor	1.47 ▲ +1.4	2.45 ▼ -1.4	30m
Unibet	1.5 ▲ +2.7	2.55 ▼ -2.7	30m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 70% P 70%5.5Draw 17% P 18%7.5Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Borussia Dortmund or Draw 43%1.14Borussia Dortmund or Hamburg 41%3.0Draw or Hamburg 16%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 63%2.62Under 36% P 37%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.1Under 44% P 43%

4.52.2Over 42% P 39%1.61Under 58% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	70%	69%	72%	+3.5
Draw	18%	20%	18%	-1.5
Away	12%	11%	9%	-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	63%	64%	63%	-0.4

Felix Zwayer

Career: 349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match: 4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match: 21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.29
Cards to home side: 47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.22	4.15	+0.00	52
Fouls / match	21.8	22.3	-0.57
Fouls per card	5.2	5.4	-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.31	0.33	-0.21	30
Time added	6.9	6.8	-0.02	44

First card: 34' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.11

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-19	4	0	25	0	45'	8
2026-05-10 · Hamburger SV	4	0	23	0	20'	8
2026-04-30	5	0	20	0	31'	6
2026-04-25	1	0	13	0	76'	7
2026-04-12	4	0	24	0	33'	8
2026-04-08	6	0	26	1	11'	6
2026-03-22	4	0	25	0	63'	11
2026-03-19	6	0	38	0	51'	11
2026-03-08	3	0	21	0	62'	12
2026-02-26	5	1	24	1	16'	9

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Borussia Dortmund · Last 365 days

Hamburger SV · Last 365 days

Absences

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 85

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

All meetings · 29 matches since 2005

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Hamburger SV · 3 matches

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Dortmund · 44 matches

Hamburger SV · 34 matches

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

Felix Zwayer

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

Recent matches