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Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

Momentum

FCBVFB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,024

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Sebastian Hoeneß
Position
7 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sören Storks

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
16.5° (feels 16.7°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
94%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
3 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
4 FC Bayern München 3210 725 7 WDW
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 3012 410-6 1 DLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Bayern München

DDWW 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 9.24–6.72 · xPts 6.98

  • W H FC Köln 5–1 xG 2.98–0.65 GER BI
  • W A VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 2.25–2.75 GER BI
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 1.8–1.37 UEFA CL
  • D H FC Heidenheim 3–3 xG 2.2–1.95 GER BI

VfB Stuttgart

DWD 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 5.99–5.59 · xPts 4.37

  • D A Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 xG 1.25–2.83 GER BI
  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 xG 3.07–0.58 GER BI
  • D A TSG Hoffenheim 3–3 xG 1.67–2.18 GER BI

All meetings · 39 matches since 2005

FC Bayern München 295 draws5 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 100–39 · 3.56 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 77%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Bayern München 72 draws1 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 31–12 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Bayern München 50 draws0 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 21–4 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 0–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 1–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 1–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Bayern München all · 3FC Bayern München at home · 1VfB Stuttgart all · 3VfB Stuttgart away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 100%2.332.330.672.260.84

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 100%1.02.02.672.222.27

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off

1.23Home 78% ▲ +3.7 ptsopened 1.297.15Draw 13% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 6.5111.2Away 9% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 8.71
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.23 ▲ +3.77.15 ▼ -1.311.2 ▼ -2.430m
bet3651.22 ▲ +2.87.0 ▼ -1.110.0 ▼ -1.730m
Betfair1.2 ▲ +5.07.5 ▼ -2.811.0 ▼ -2.330m
BetVictor1.2 ▲ +5.37.5 ▼ -3.310.0 ▼ -2.030m
Coral1.25 ▲ +3.17.0 ▼ -1.38.5 ▼ -1.730m
Ladbrokes1.25 ▲ +3.37.0 · -1.08.5 ▼ -2.330m
Unibet1.18 ▲ +5.78.0 ▼ -3.610.5 ▼ -2.130m
WilliamHill1.22 ▲ +3.96.5 ▼ -1.99.5 ▼ -2.030m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 77% P 78%7.0Draw 13% P 13%10.0Away 9% P 9%

Double Chance

1.06Bayern Munich or Draw 45%1.1Bayern Munich or VfB Stuttgart 43%4.0Draw or VfB Stuttgart 12%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.16Over 81%5.0Under 19%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home78%78%79%+0.7
Draw13%13%14%+0.2
Away9%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 73%

Sören Storks

Career
70 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.16 (3.97 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.0 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 30 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.234.14+2.24100
Fouls / match20.822.3-1.48
Fouls per card4.15.4-2.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.32-1.850
Time added7.86.8+0.9389
First card
38' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-09 31 70 5'9
2026-04-19 · FC Bayern München · VfB Stuttgart 9 6
2026-03-21 101 220 38'9
2026-03-04 20 230 40'10
2026-02-22 70 160 7'7
2026-02-06 71 201 25'12
2026-01-25 · VfB Stuttgart 20 181 43'8
2025-12-13 51 210 25'9
2025-11-30 · VfB Stuttgart 61 280 23'7
2025-11-01 70 330 1'10