Sporting CP v Arouca · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Sporting CPSporting CP

–

AroucaArouca

Momentum

– Sporting CPArouca –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Waiting for statistics…

Season context

Sporting CP	at home	Stat	league	away	Arouca
61.3 #3	–	Ball possession	50.1	–	51.5 #8
14.0 #4	–	Shots total	12.2	–	10.3 #12
6.3 #2	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.7 #10
5.2 #5	–	Corners	4.4	–	3.0 #15
12.3 #11	–	Fouls	12.7	–	9.3 #17
1.3 #5	–	Offsides	1.2	–	1.5 #4
17.0 #6	–	Tackles	15.9	–	14.7 #12
109.8 #4	–	Attacks	92.9	–	88.0 #9
50.2 #4	–	Dangerous attacks	40.6	–	28.8 #15
579.8 #3	–	Passes	430.4	–	466.2 #5
2.3 #6	–	Yellowcards	2.1	–	2.2 #7
1.7 #4	–	Assists	1.0	–	1.2 #6
– #3	–	Btts	48.9	–	– #12
– #7	–	Cleansheet	28.7	–	– #3
– #3	–	Draw	26.3	–	– #10
2.0 #3	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.0 #13
0.5 #3	–	Expected goals difference	0.1	–	0.3 #5
– #13	–	Failed to score	28.1	–	– #6
2.5 #2	2.7	Goals	1.4	0.3	1.3 #7
1.0 #12	1.0	Goals conceded	1.4	0.7	0.8 #14
–	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.3 #2
8.2 #10	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	10.7 #3
– #14	–	Lost	36.7	–	– #10
0.3 #3	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	–
6.9 #3	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.8 #6
2.5 #10	–	Shots blocked	2.9	–	1.8 #13
8.8 #6	–	Shots insidebox	7.7	–	6.2 #12
5.2 #6	–	Shots off target	5.2	–	4.8 #10
5.2 #3	–	Shots outsidebox	4.4	–	4.2 #11
– #3	–	Win	37.0	–	– #6

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 50 of 306
Goals / match: 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
Home / draw / away: 40% · 26% · 34%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 55%
Cards / match: 4.26 (reds 0.1)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Sporting CP · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Sergi Altimira 5 · Defensive Midfield

Rating 7.36 (95th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 99% of minutes

Flávio Gonçalves 58 · Left Wing

Rating 7.25 (89th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (27% of team goals) · 77% of minutes

Luis Suárez 97 · Centre Forward

Rating 7.17 (82th pct) · G+A 5 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 69% of minutes

All key players

Arouca · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

José Fontán 3 · Centre Back

Rating 7.32 (97th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Naïs Djouahra 7 · Left Wing

Rating 7.09 (81th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (50% of team goals) · 95% of minutes

Ignacio de Arruabarrena 12 · Goalkeeper

Rating 7.39 (100th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 7

Venue

Stadium: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity: 52,095
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Rui Borges · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position: 3 · 5
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions: few clouds
Temperature: 29.9° (feels 28.4°)
Wind: 4.3
Humidity: 25%

Where to watch · 5

Cyprus Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 7
Greece MagentaSport 2
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	15	2	13	18	WWWWW
2	Benfica	6	5	1	0	21	4	17	16	WWWWW
3	Sporting CP	6	4	2	0	15	6	9	14	WWWWD
4	Santa Clara	6	4	2	0	11	4	7	14	WWDWW
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	8	5	3	10	WLWDL
6	Estrela Amadora	6	2	4	0	14	12	2	10	DWDWD
7	Sporting Braga	5	3	1	1	7	5	2	10	DWWLW
8	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8	LDLWW
9	Gil Vicente	5	2	1	2	4	4	0	7	WWDLL
10	Marítimo	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7	WDLLL
11	Moreirense	6	2	1	3	7	13	-6	7	LWLLW
12	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8	11	-3	5	DLDLW
13	Famalicão	6	0	4	2	5	7	-2	4	LLDDD
14	Vitória Guimarães	6	1	1	4	4	7	-3	4	LWLDL
15	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7	11	-4	4	WLLLL
16	Rio Ave	6	1	1	4	5	14	-9	4	LWLLD
17	Estoril	6	0	2	4	2	8	-6	2	LLLDL
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1	15	-14	1	LLLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Sporting CP	3	3	0	0	8	3	5	9	WWWWD
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	6	1	5	9	WWWWW
3	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WWDWW
4	Benfica	3	2	1	0	7	4	3	7	WWWWW
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	WLWDL
6	Gil Vicente	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	6	WWDLL
7	Sporting Braga	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6	DWWLW
8	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	6	5	1	5	DWDWD
9	Vitória Guimarães	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	LWLDL
10	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	LWLLW
11	Marítimo	3	1	1	1	3	5	-2	4	WDLLL
12	Nacional	3	1	0	2	5	6	-1	3	WLLLL
13	Academico Viseu	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	LDLWW
14	Alverca	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2	DLDLW
15	Famalicão	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2	LLDDD
16	Estoril	3	0	2	1	1	3	-2	2	LLLDL
17	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	3	9	-6	1	LWLLD
18	Casa Pia	3	0	0	3	1	12	-11	0	LLLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	14	0	14	9	WWWWW
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	9	1	8	9	WWWWW
3	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7	WWDWW
4	Sporting CP	3	1	2	0	7	3	4	5	WWWWD
5	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	8	7	1	5	DWDWD
6	Academico Viseu	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	LDLWW
7	Sporting Braga	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4	DWWLW
8	Arouca	3	1	1	1	1	2	-1	4	WLWDL
9	Alverca	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3	DLDLW
10	Marítimo	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3	WDLLL
11	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	LWLLD
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	LWLLW
13	Famalicão	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	LLDDD
14	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	WWDLL
15	Nacional	3	0	1	2	2	5	-3	1	WLLLL
16	Casa Pia	3	0	1	2	0	3	-3	1	LLLDL
17	Vitória Guimarães	3	0	0	3	3	6	-3	0	LWLDL
18	Estoril	3	0	0	3	1	5	-4	0	LLLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Sporting CP

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 3 · xG 9.45–2.67 · xPts 11.17

D A Famalicão 1–1 xG 2.28–0.29 PRT PL
W H Galatasaray 3–1 xG 1.38–1.33 UEFA CL
W H Nacional 2–0 xG 2.69–0.07 PRT PL
W A Rio Ave 4–0 xG 1.36–0.53 PRT PL
W H Alverca 3–1 xG 1.73–0.45 PRT PL

Arouca

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.53–6.53 · xPts 6.6

L H Santa Clara 1–2 xG 1.02–1.37 PRT PL
D A Estoril 0–0 xG 1.0–0.72 PRT PL
W H Marítimo 2–1 xG 1.35–0.98 PRT PL
L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.45–2.72 PRT PL
W H Moreirense 4–0 xG 1.72–0.74 PRT PL

full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026

Recurring referee: António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre · 2 of these meetings

Last 10

Sporting CP 72 draws1 Arouca

Goals 23–7 · Sporting CP hosting: 3W 2D 0L · Arouca hosting: 1W 0D 4L

At Estádio José Alvalade: 3 meetings · Sporting CP 1 · draws 2 · Arouca 0 · 4.0 goals per match

All-time since 2013: 18 meetings · Sporting CP 15 · draws 2 · Arouca 1

Sporting CP unbeaten in the last 7 meetings
Arouca haven't beaten Sporting CP since Oct 2022
Over 2.5 goals in the last 6 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

Metric	Fixture	League	Δ	n
Goals per match	3.00	2.71	+0.29	10
Both teams score	50%	49%	+1%	10
Over 2.5 goals	70%	55%	+15%	10
Corners	9.2	9.4	-0.2	10
Cards	6.4	5.2	+1.2	9

2 with 4+ goals · 1.20 first-half goals per match · red card in 4

How these games go · 10 with event data

	Sporting CP	Arouca
Scored first	7 of 10	3 of 10
Scored first and won	7	1
Won from behind	0	0

first goal on average in minute 28 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 4

When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings

0-15'2

16-30'4

31-45'6

46-60'8

61-75'4

76-90'6

6 equalisers · 4 penalties · 1 own goal · 1 header

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Sporting CP 2.33 xGper match0.92 xG Arouca

Deserved on xG: Sporting CP 2 · level 2 · Arouca 0 — actual wins in those games 4 / 0

Against the market · 10 with closing odds

Favourite won 7 (70%), drew 2, upset 1 · market favoured Sporting CP 10×, Arouca 0× · avg favourite 74%, avg price of the actual result 57%

Fixture specialists

4 Luis Suárez Sporting CP · in 2 games · last Jan 2026
4 Francisco Trincão Sporting CP · in 3 games · last Aug 2025
3 Viktor Gyökeres Sporting CP · in 3 games · last Sep 2024
2 Ricardo Mangas Sporting CP · last Aug 2025
2 Pedro Gonçalves Sporting CP · in 2 games · last Sep 2024

Last meeting · 2026-01-24 · PRT PL

Arouca 1-2 Sporting CP · ref Hélder Carvalho

35' Luis Suárez assist Maxi Araújo 0–1
48' Iván Barbero assist José Fontán 1–1
90+6' Luis Suárez assist Geny Catamo 1–2

xG 1.23 – 1.65 · corners 11 · cards 8 · reds 2

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

76.7%Sporting CP P 71%15.0%Draw P 21%8.3%Arouca P 8%

Over / under 2.5

64.2%Over 2.5 P 67%35.8%Under 2.5 P 33%

Both teams to score

48.4%Yes51.6%No

Expected

Sporting CP goals: 2.57 (1–5)
Arouca goals: 0.74 (0–2)
Corners: 8.64 (5–13)
Cards: 4.97 (2–8)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

73.2%Sporting CP17.9%Draw9.0%Arouca

Over / under 2.5

58.8%Over 2.541.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

44.7%Yes55.3%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 18 matches since 2013

Sporting CP 152 draws1 Arouca

Goals 45–12 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 72%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 72 draws1 Arouca

Goals 23–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 41 draws0 Arouca

Goals 16–3 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

W Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
W Sporting CP 6–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
D Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
W Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
W Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
W Sporting CP 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
D Sporting CP 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 1–0 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
W Sporting CP 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
W Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Sporting CP all · 6	Sporting CP at home · 3	Arouca all · 6	Arouca away · 3
Results
Matches	6	–	6	–
Points per game	2.33	–	1.67	–
W / D / L	4 / 2 / 0	–	3 / 1 / 2	–
Goals for / match	2.50	–	1.33	–
Goals against / match	1.00	–	0.83	–
Clean sheets	33%	–	50%	–
Failed to score	0%	–	33%	–
Both teams scored	67%	–	33%	–
Over 2.5	67%	–	50%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.95	–	0.97	–
xG against / match	0.56	–	1.48	–
xG difference	1.39	–	-0.51	–
Finishing vs xG	0.55	–	0.36	–
xPts / match	2.25	–	1.14	–
Points vs xPts	0.09	–	0.53	–
Game state
Scored first	100%	–	33%	–
PPG when scoring first	2.33	–	3.00	–
PPG when conceding first	–	–	1.00	–
Came back from behind	–	–	33%	–
Leads held	67%	–	100%	–
Minutes leading	66%	–	26%	–
Minutes level	34%	–	54%	–
Minutes trailing	0%	–	20%	–
First goal (min)	29	–	42	–
First goal conceded (min)	79	–	39	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	40%	–	50%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	100%	–	40%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	–	0.17	–
Late goals against	0.50	–	0.17	–
Style
Possession	63%	–	52%	–
Shots	14.0	–	10.2	–
On target	6.3	–	3.7	–
Shot conversion	18%	–	13%	–
Shots inside box	67%	–	59%	–
Big chances created	4.0	–	2.0	–
Corners	5.2	–	3.0	–
xG from set plays	21%	–	10%	–
Goals from headers	0%	–	38%	–
Pressure index	16.4	–	9.7	–
Dominant minutes	62.5	–	42.5	–
Pass accuracy	90%	–	85%	–
Fouls	11.5	–	9.5	–
Cards	1.83	–	2.67	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'30

16–30'30

31–45'30

46–60'50

61–75'03

76–90'13

Arouca

0–15'00

16–30'22

31–45'21

46–60'30

61–75'01

76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167

Early press (0-15, level)-0.037

Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107

When level+0.317

10 min after conceding-0.495

10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054

Away+0.323

4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013

v bottom-tier opponents+0.363

As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157

Conceded when ahead-0.237

Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.146

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193

When level-0.036

When behind+0.093

10 min after conceding-0.073

10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222

As favourite+0.292

Evenly matched+0.162

As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196

Conceded when ahead+0.433

Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 100%	2.33	2.5	1.0	1.95	0.56

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 100%	1.67	1.33	0.83	0.97	1.48

Metric	Sporting CP all · 10	Sporting CP at home · 10	Arouca all · 10	Arouca away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	2.60	2.20	1.70	1.00
W / D / L	8 / 2 / 0	7 / 1 / 2	5 / 2 / 3	3 / 1 / 6
Goals for / match	3.00	2.60	1.70	0.90
Goals against / match	0.90	1.20	1.10	1.30
Clean sheets	30%	20%	30%	30%
Failed to score	0%	10%	20%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	60%	40%
Over 2.5	80%	80%	70%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.89	1.91	1.11	0.83
xG against / match	0.77	1.00	1.35	1.50
xG difference	1.13	0.92	-0.24	-0.67
Finishing vs xG	1.11	0.69	0.59	0.07
xPts / match	2.09	1.93	1.27	1.04
Points vs xPts	0.51	0.27	0.42	-0.04
Game state
Scored first	80%	60%	50%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.50	2.67	2.60	2.25
PPG when conceding first	3.00	1.50	0.75	0.00
Came back from behind	100%	50%	25%	0%
Leads held	80%	88%	83%	75%
Minutes leading	66%	55%	26%	11%
Minutes level	29%	35%	56%	63%
Minutes trailing	5%	10%	19%	27%
First goal (min)	26	28	38	52
First goal conceded (min)	60	57	38	44
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	43%	46%	65%	78%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	78%	75%	54%	62%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.50	0.10
Late goals against	0.40	0.70	0.20	0.40
Style
Possession	59%	58%	53%	51%
Shots	13.7	14.4	11.3	9.5
On target	6.3	6.2	4.0	2.6
Shot conversion	22%	18%	15%	10%
Shots inside box	67%	69%	56%	54%
Big chances created	3.8	3.3	2.1	1.7
Corners	4.5	4.8	3.3	2.8
xG from set plays	28%	26%	16%	30%
Goals from headers	8%	13%	35%	44%
Pressure index	15.8	15.1	10.4	8.8
Dominant minutes	59.1	56.1	46.5	43.9
Pass accuracy	89%	88%	85%	84%
Fouls	10.9	11.5	11.3	11.6
Cards	1.50	1.50	3.10	2.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'52

16–30'50

31–45'70

46–60'60

61–75'43

76–90'34

Arouca

0–15'12

16–30'32

31–45'21

46–60'40

61–75'24

76–90'52

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 100%	2.6	3.0	0.9	1.89	0.77

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 100%	1.7	1.7	1.1	1.11	1.35

Metric	Sporting CP all · 48	Sporting CP at home · 25	Arouca all · 35	Arouca away · 18
Results
Matches	48	25	35	18
Points per game	2.23	2.60	1.34	1.11
W / D / L	32 / 11 / 5	21 / 2 / 2	14 / 5 / 16	6 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match	2.37	2.84	1.37	1.11
Goals against / match	0.88	0.68	1.60	1.61
Clean sheets	38%	48%	29%	33%
Failed to score	6%	4%	26%	33%
Both teams scored	58%	48%	51%	44%
Over 2.5	71%	80%	66%	56%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.87	2.17	1.07	0.88
xG against / match	0.91	0.77	1.54	1.61
xG difference	0.97	1.41	-0.47	-0.72
Finishing vs xG	0.50	0.67	0.30	0.23
xPts / match	1.93	2.16	1.16	1.05
Points vs xPts	0.30	0.44	0.18	0.06
Game state
Scored first	75%	80%	49%	44%
PPG when scoring first	2.42	2.80	1.94	1.88
PPG when conceding first	1.73	1.80	0.75	0.38
Came back from behind	58%	60%	20%	9%
Leads held	76%	91%	67%	67%
Minutes leading	43%	51%	21%	13%
Minutes level	49%	43%	52%	58%
Minutes trailing	8%	6%	27%	29%
First goal (min)	38	39	39	45
First goal conceded (min)	54	62	34	36
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	56%	60%	65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	67%	76%	46%	52%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.52	0.64	0.17	0.11
Late goals against	0.40	0.44	0.34	0.39
Style
Possession	58%	58%	50%	51%
Shots	15.5	17.8	10.8	10.2
On target	6.2	7.4	3.6	2.8
Shot conversion	15%	16%	13%	11%
Shots inside box	68%	69%	58%	54%
Big chances created	3.2	3.9	2.2	1.6
Corners	5.9	6.0	3.6	3.3
xG from set plays	24%	24%	22%	28%
Goals from headers	16%	15%	35%	35%
Pressure index	20.2	22.3	10.7	11.3
Dominant minutes	60.8	63.6	42.9	44.2
Pass accuracy	88%	87%	82%	83%
Fouls	12.0	12.2	13.1	12.6
Cards	2.10	1.64	3.34	2.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'126

16–30'133

31–45'245

46–60'182

61–75'227

76–90'2319

Arouca

0–15'89

16–30'39

31–45'812

46–60'137

61–75'107

76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 48 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.41) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4148

Early press (0-15, level)+0.4048

Late push (76+, level)+0.4322

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.325

Game state

When ahead+0.4142

When level+0.4748

When behind-0.0112

10 min after conceding-0.2228

10 min after scoring+0.6944

Situations

With ten men+0.663

Against ten men-0.135

At home+0.3725

Away+0.4423

4+ days rest+0.4147

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.0614

v mid-tier opponents+0.6911

v bottom-tier opponents+0.5912

As favourite+0.5438

Evenly matched+0.434

As underdog-0.356

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1148

Conceded when ahead-0.1742

Conceded late (76+)-0.1639

Congested vs rested +0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level -0.48

Arouca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0334

Late push (76+, level)-0.4712

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0213

Game state

When ahead-0.2021

When level-0.0134

When behind+0.1020

10 min after conceding-0.1025

10 min after scoring+0.1526

Situations

With ten men-0.205

Against ten men+0.208

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0418

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.348

v mid-tier opponents-0.199

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0710

As favourite-0.074

Evenly matched+0.2214

As underdog-0.2317

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1535

Conceded when ahead+0.2521

Conceded late (76+)+0.1029

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.11

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	44 92%	2.23	2.34	0.84	1.87	0.87
4-4-2	2 4%	3.0	4.0	0.5	3.23	0.69
5-4-1	1 2%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.33	2.21
3-4-2-1	1 2%	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.8	1.75

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	33 94%	1.42	1.42	1.58	1.08	1.54
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 16.5h before kick-off

1.32Home 71% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.324.46Draw 21% · +0.0 ptsopened 4.4610.98Away 8% · +0.0 ptsopened 10.98

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	1.32 · +0.0	4.46 · +0.0	10.98 · +0.0	16.5h
bet365	1.2 · -0.0	7.5 · -0.7	12.0 · +0.7	16.5h
Betfair	1.17 ▲ +1.5	7.5 · -0.7	15.0 · -0.8	16.5h
BetVictor	1.15 · -0.9	6.5 · +1.0	13.0 · -0.0	16.5h
Coral	1.22 · -0.8	7.0 · +0.1	12.0 · +0.7	16.5h
Ladbrokes	1.22 ▼ -1.3	7.0 · -0.0	11.0 ▲ +1.3	16.5h
Unibet	1.13 · +0.5	7.0 · -0.5	13.0 · -0.0	16.5h
WilliamHill	1.2 ▼ -1.6	6.5 · +0.1	12.0 ▲ +1.6	16.5h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 16.5h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.7 pts at 4.1d

2.0Yes 47% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 2.051.75No 53% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.7

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	2.0 ▲ +1.3	1.75 ▼ -1.3	16.5h
Betfair	2.0 ▼ -2.2	1.8 ▲ +2.2	16.5h
BetVictor	1.93 · -0.7	1.78 · +0.7	16.5h
WilliamHill	1.85 ▲ +2.0	1.85 ▼ -2.0	16.5h

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 16.5h before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.4 pts at 2.1d

1.35Over 67% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 1.362.79Under 33% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.68

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.35 ▲ +1.1	2.79 ▼ -1.1	16.5h
bet365	1.4 ▲ +2.0	2.87 ▼ -2.0	16.5h
Betfair	1.4 ▼ -2.2	2.88 ▲ +2.2	16.5h
BetVictor	1.39 ▼ -3.3	2.7 ▲ +3.3	16.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 16.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.2Home 79% P 71%7.5Draw 13% P 21%12.0Away 8% P 8%

Double Chance

1.05Sporting or Draw 46%1.1Sporting or FC Arouca 43%4.33Draw or FC Arouca 11%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 67%2.87Under 33% P 33%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 7.5–10% · 200 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	71%	72%	80%	+8.5
Draw	21%	19%	15%	-4.1
Away	8%	9%	5%	-4.3

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	67%	66%	69%	+3.2

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career: 50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match: 29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.24
Cards to home side: 48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	6.23	5.66	+0.75	82
Fouls / match	29.9	27.9	+1.04
Fouls per card	4.8	4.9	-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.19	0.37	-1.22	9
Time added	8.1	7.7	+0.60	76

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.19

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-09-14	4	1	21	0	34'	7
2026-08-30	6	0	29	0	36'	5
2026-08-14 · Sporting CP	2	0	33	0	24'	8
2026-08-09	6	0	27	0	15'	7
2026-07-23	4	0	21	0	25'	8
2026-05-02	5	0	40	0	38'	9
2026-04-25	8	0	20	0	28'	8
2026-04-19	7	0	21	1	50'	8
2026-04-11 · Sporting CP	4	0	30	0	45'	7
2026-03-08	5	0	41	0	6'	10

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Sporting CP · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Arouca · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 5

Sporting CP

Arouca

Last 10

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

How these games go · 10 with event data

When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Against the market · 10 with closing odds

Fixture specialists

Last meeting · 2026-01-24 · PRT PL

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 18 matches since 2013

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

Arouca

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Arouca · 6 matches

Sporting CP

Arouca

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

Arouca

Sporting CP

Arouca

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

Arouca

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 48 matches

Arouca · 35 matches

Sporting CP

Arouca

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 7.5–10% · 200 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

Recent matches