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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

Gil VicenteMarítimo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Capacity
12,046
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto · Jordan van der Gaag
Position
9 · 10
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
29.7° (feels 28.7°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
33%

Where to watch · 3

  • Portugal Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Gil Vicente

WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.94–4.57 · xPts 8.64

  • L A Benfica 1–3 xG 0.93–2.89 PRT PL
  • L H Academico Viseu 0–1 xG 2.41–0.33 PRT PL
  • D A Famalicão 0–0 xG 0.31–0.37 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 2–0 xG 1.66–0.8 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 1–0 xG 1.63–0.18 PRT PL

Marítimo

WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 4.75–6.71 · xPts 5.41

  • L A Moreirense 1–3 xG 0.84–1.9 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–3 xG 0.17–1.37 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 1–2 xG 0.98–1.35 PRT PL
  • D H Academico Viseu 2–2 xG 1.52–1.28 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 2–1 xG 1.25–0.81 PRT PL

small sample 4 meetings 2021–2023 · 2 on neutral ground

Last 4

Gil Vicente 31 draws0 Marítimo

Goals 7–3 · Gil Vicente hosting: 1W 1D 0L

At Estádio Cidade de Barcelos: 2 meetings · Gil Vicente 1 · draws 1 · Marítimo 0 · 2.0 goals per match

All-time since 2005: 18 meetings · Gil Vicente 8 · draws 5 · Marítimo 5

  • Gil Vicente unbeaten in the last 5 meetings
  • Gil Vicente haven't beaten Marítimo since Mar 2023
  • Marítimo haven't beaten Gil Vicente since Jan 2021

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match2.502.71-0.214
Both teams score75%49%+26%4
Over 2.5 goals50%55%-5%4
Corners15.39.4+5.94
Cards5.05.2-0.24

1.50 first-half goals per match

How these games go · 4 with event data

Gil VicenteMarítimo
Scored first2 of 42 of 4
Scored first and won20
Won from behind10

first goal on average in minute 29 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 2

When the goals come · all goals, 4 meetings

0-15'0
16-30'3
31-45'3
46-60'1
61-75'1
76-90'2

3 equalisers

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Favourite won 3 (75%), drew 1, upset 0 · market favoured Gil Vicente 4×, Marítimo 0× · avg favourite 45%, avg price of the actual result 37%

Fixture specialists

  • 2 Fran Navarro Gil Vicente · last Sep 2022
  • 1 Pedro Tiba Gil Vicente · last Mar 2023
  • 1 Tomás Araújo Gil Vicente · last Mar 2023
  • 1 Léo Andrade Marítimo · last Sep 2022
  • 1 Joel Tagueu Marítimo · last Mar 2022

Last meeting · 2023-03-05 · PRT PL

Gil Vicente 2-0 Marítimo · ref Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

  • 23' Pedro Tiba assist Fran Navarro 1–0
  • 82' Tomás Araújo assist Carraça 2–0

· corners 20 · cards 6

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

54.7%Gil Vicente P 47%25.9%Draw P 29%19.4%Marítimo P 24%

Over / under 2.5

42.7%Over 2.5 P 40%57.3%Under 2.5 P 60%

Both teams to score

44.5%Yes55.5%No

Expected

Gil Vicente goals
1.56 (0–3)
Marítimo goals
0.82 (0–2)
Corners
8.37 (5–13)
Cards
4.86 (2–8)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

50.4%Gil Vicente25.8%Draw23.7%Marítimo

Over / under 2.5

47.8%Over 2.552.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.0%Yes48.0%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Gil Vicente 85 draws5 Marítimo

Goals 25–19 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Gil Vicente 61 draws3 Marítimo

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Gil Vicente 41 draws0 Marítimo

Goals 8–3 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Gil Vicente 2–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Marítimo 1–2 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Marítimo 1–2 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Marítimo 0–1 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 0–1 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Marítimo 2–1 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 2–0 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Marítimo 1–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 1–2 Marítimo PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricGil Vicente all · 5Gil Vicente at home · 3Marítimo all · 6Marítimo away · 3
Results
Matches56
Points per game1.401.17
W / D / L2 / 1 / 22 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match0.801.17
Goals against / match0.801.83
Clean sheets60%17%
Failed to score40%17%
Both teams scored20%67%
Over 2.520%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.390.99
xG against / match0.911.20
xG difference0.47-0.21
Finishing vs xG-0.590.17
xPts / match1.731.22
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.05
Game state
Scored first60%33%
PPG when scoring first2.001.50
PPG when conceding first0.001.00
Came back from behind0%40%
Leads held67%67%
Minutes leading21%8%
Minutes level59%42%
Minutes trailing20%49%
First goal (min)3852
First goal conceded (min)1620
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half25%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%36%
Late goals for (76'+)0.200.50
Late goals against0.400.33
Style
Possession52%46%
Shots13.010.5
On target3.83.2
Shot conversion6%11%
Shots inside box68%70%
Big chances created2.21.7
Corners3.63.0
xG from set plays31%48%
Goals from headers0%29%
Pressure index13.611.1
Dominant minutes44.849.0
Pass accuracy85%79%
Fouls14.615.8
Cards1.802.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Gil Vicente

0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'10
46–60'00
61–75'00
76–90'12

Marítimo

0–15'02
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'01
61–75'21
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Marítimo · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.63

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.066
Early press (0-15, level)+0.366
Late push (76+, level)-0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.144

Game state

When ahead+0.033
When level+0.066
When behind+0.075
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.635

Situations

At home+0.123
Away+0.013
4+ days rest+0.066

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.182
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.086
Conceded when ahead+0.193
Conceded late (76+)-0.216

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.02

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 80%1.750.750.251.50.42
5-4-11 20%0.01.03.00.932.89

Marítimo

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.751.51.251.240.99
4-3-32 33%0.00.53.00.51.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.7d before kick-off · 112 snapshots · last 2.5h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.6 pts at 3.1d

2.04Home 47% · -0.8 ptsopened 1.973.35Draw 29% · +0.9 ptsopened 3.44.09Away 24% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.99
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.04 · -0.83.35 · +0.94.09 · -0.22.5h
bet3652.0 ▲ +3.93.3 ▼ -1.43.8 ▼ -2.52.5h
Betfair2.0 ▲ +4.73.3 · -0.63.9 ▼ -4.12.5h
BetVictor1.95 ▲ +4.43.2 ▼ -1.93.75 ▼ -2.52.5h
Coral2.05 ▲ +3.53.25 · -0.23.9 ▼ -3.32.5h
Ladbrokes2.0 ▲ +3.93.25 · -0.73.8 ▼ -3.12.5h
Unibet1.89 ▲ +1.53.15 · -0.53.75 ▼ -1.02.5h
WilliamHill1.95 ▲ +4.13.2 ▼ -1.13.8 ▼ -3.02.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 2.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 47%3.3Draw 28% P 29%3.8Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Gil Vicente or Draw 39%1.3Gil Vicente or Maritimo 36%1.9Draw or Maritimo 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.6Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw29%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Career
45 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.73 (4.53 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
27.4 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
41%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.435.66-1.539
Fouls / match27.527.8-0.17
Fouls per card6.24.9+1.41 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2352
Time added8.47.7+0.9491
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-28 20 210 51'3
2026-08-16 61 260 11'11
2026-04-27 · Gil Vicente 80 332 26'9
2026-04-04 30 230 33'6
2026-03-07 40 210 18'4
2026-02-21 20 260 38'6
2026-02-08 50 290 8'10
2025-12-29 20 151 50'7
2025-12-15 40 250 36'7
2025-11-28 10 250 90'4