Estoril v Casa Pia · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

EstorilEstoril

–

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Momentum

– EstorilCasa Pia –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Waiting for statistics…

Season context

Estoril	at home	Stat	league	away	Casa Pia
44.8 #13	–	Ball possession	50.1	–	44.5 #15
12.5 #9	–	Shots total	12.2	–	10.2 #13
4.2 #7	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	2.7 #17
4.5 #6	–	Corners	4.4	–	4.2 #8
12.0 #13	–	Fouls	12.7	–	11.5 #14
0.5 #16	–	Offsides	1.2	–	1.0 #10
17.2 #5	–	Tackles	15.9	–	16.5 #8
87.7 #10	–	Attacks	92.9	–	91.7 #8
33.0 #13	–	Dangerous attacks	40.6	–	44.5 #8
401.8 #10	–	Passes	430.4	–	346.0 #17
2.2 #7	–	Yellowcards	2.1	–	2.0 #11
0.3 #16	–	Assists	1.0	–	–
– #12	–	Btts	48.9	–	– #17
– #9	–	Cleansheet	28.7	–	– #9
– #3	–	Draw	26.3	–	– #10
0.8 #15	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.7 #17
-0.5 #15	–	Expected goals difference	0.1	–	-0.6 #17
– #2	–	Failed to score	28.1	–	– #1
0.3 #17	0.3	Goals	1.4	0.0	0.2 #18
1.3 #9	1.0	Goals conceded	1.4	1.0	2.5 #1
–	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #7
11.2 #2	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	9.7 #5
– #2	–	Lost	36.7	–	– #1
–	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #5
6.8 #11	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.6 #16
3.3 #7	–	Shots blocked	2.9	–	1.7 #15
7.7 #9	–	Shots insidebox	7.7	–	6.0 #13
5.0 #7	–	Shots off target	5.2	–	5.8 #3
4.8 #4	–	Shots outsidebox	4.4	–	4.2 #11
– #16	–	Win	37.0	–	– #16

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 50 of 306
Goals / match: 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
Home / draw / away: 40% · 26% · 34%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 55%
Cards / match: 4.26 (reds 0.1)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Yanis Begraoui 14 · Centre Forward

Rating 6.93 (50th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (100% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

João Carvalho 12 · Attacking Midfield

Rating 6.91 (55th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Ismael Sierra 15 · Centre Back

Rating 6.97 (81th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

All key players

Casa Pia · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

David Sousa 43 · Centre Back

Rating 6.9 (70th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Selvi Clua 16 · Defensive Midfield

Rating 7.02 (73th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 71% of minutes

Lawrence Ofori 80 · Central Midfield

Rating 6.57 (8th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 7

Venue

Stadium: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity: 8,000
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Vasco Matos · Filipe Emanuel Curto Coelho
Position: 17 · 18
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Weather

Conditions: sky is clear
Temperature: 24.4° (feels 24.3°)
Wind: 6.1
Humidity: 54%

Where to watch · 1

Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	15	2	13	18	WWWWW
2	Benfica	6	5	1	0	21	4	17	16	WWWWW
3	Sporting CP	6	4	2	0	15	6	9	14	WWWWD
4	Santa Clara	6	4	2	0	11	4	7	14	WWDWW
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	8	5	3	10	WLWDL
6	Estrela Amadora	6	2	4	0	14	12	2	10	DWDWD
7	Sporting Braga	5	3	1	1	7	5	2	10	DWWLW
8	Academico Viseu	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8	LDLWW
9	Gil Vicente	5	2	1	2	4	4	0	7	WWDLL
10	Marítimo	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7	WDLLL
11	Moreirense	6	2	1	3	7	13	-6	7	LWLLW
12	Alverca	6	1	2	3	8	11	-3	5	DLDLW
13	Famalicão	6	0	4	2	5	7	-2	4	LLDDD
14	Vitória Guimarães	6	1	1	4	4	7	-3	4	LWLDL
15	Nacional	6	1	1	4	7	11	-4	4	WLLLL
16	Rio Ave	6	1	1	4	5	14	-9	4	LWLLD
17	Estoril	6	0	2	4	2	8	-6	2	LLLDL
18	Casa Pia	6	0	1	5	1	15	-14	1	LLLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Sporting CP	3	3	0	0	8	3	5	9	WWWWD
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	6	1	5	9	WWWWW
3	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WWDWW
4	Benfica	3	2	1	0	7	4	3	7	WWWWW
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	WLWDL
6	Gil Vicente	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	6	WWDLL
7	Sporting Braga	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	6	DWWLW
8	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	6	5	1	5	DWDWD
9	Vitória Guimarães	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	LWLDL
10	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	LWLLW
11	Marítimo	3	1	1	1	3	5	-2	4	WDLLL
12	Nacional	3	1	0	2	5	6	-1	3	WLLLL
13	Academico Viseu	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	LDLWW
14	Alverca	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2	DLDLW
15	Famalicão	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2	LLDDD
16	Estoril	3	0	2	1	1	3	-2	2	LLLDL
17	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	3	9	-6	1	LWLLD
18	Casa Pia	3	0	0	3	1	12	-11	0	LLLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	14	0	14	9	WWWWW
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	9	1	8	9	WWWWW
3	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7	WWDWW
4	Sporting CP	3	1	2	0	7	3	4	5	WWWWD
5	Estrela Amadora	3	1	2	0	8	7	1	5	DWDWD
6	Academico Viseu	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	LDLWW
7	Sporting Braga	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4	DWWLW
8	Arouca	3	1	1	1	1	2	-1	4	WLWDL
9	Alverca	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3	DLDLW
10	Marítimo	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3	WDLLL
11	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	2	5	-3	3	LWLLD
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	2	6	-4	3	LWLLW
13	Famalicão	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	LLDDD
14	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	WWDLL
15	Nacional	3	0	1	2	2	5	-3	1	WLLLL
16	Casa Pia	3	0	1	2	0	3	-3	1	LLLDL
17	Vitória Guimarães	3	0	0	3	3	6	-3	0	LWLDL
18	Estoril	3	0	0	3	1	5	-4	0	LLLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Estoril

LLLDL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7 · xG 4.1–7.83 · xPts 4.55

L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.74–2.09 PRT PL
D H Arouca 0–0 xG 0.72–1.0 PRT PL
L A Benfica 1–2 xG 0.34–1.96 PRT PL
L H Rio Ave 0–2 xG 1.56–0.7 PRT PL
L A Nacional 0–2 xG 0.74–2.08 PRT PL

Casa Pia

LLLDL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 14 · xG 3.85–9.83 · xPts 3.59

L H Porto 1–4 xG 1.66–2.74 PRT PL
D A Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.25–2.45 PRT PL
L H Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.88–0.58 PRT PL
L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.8–1.66 PRT PL
L H Benfica 0–7 xG 0.26–2.4 PRT PL

full sample 8 meetings 2023–2026 · 1 on neutral ground

Last 8

Estoril 34 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 13–7 · Estoril hosting: 2W 1D 1L · Casa Pia hosting: 0W 2D 1L

At Estádio António Coimbra da Mota: 4 meetings · Estoril 2 · draws 1 · Casa Pia 1 · 2.0 goals per match · last away win Dec 2024

All-time since 2023: 8 meetings · Estoril 3 · draws 4 · Casa Pia 1

Estoril unbeaten in the last 3 meetings
Last 2 meetings all drawn

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

Metric	Fixture	League	Δ	n
Goals per match	2.50	2.71	-0.21	8
Both teams score	38%	49%	-12%	8
Over 2.5 goals	50%	55%	-5%	8
Corners	9.0	9.4	-0.4	8
Cards	5.6	5.2	+0.4	8

2 goalless · 4 with 4+ goals · 1.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 2

How these games go · 8 with event data

	Estoril	Casa Pia
Scored first	5 of 8	1 of 8
Scored first and won	3	1
Won from behind	0	0

first goal on average in minute 33 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 3

When the goals come · all goals, 6 meetings

0-15'2

16-30'3

31-45'3

46-60'1

61-75'3

76-90'8

5 equalisers · 4 penalties · 1 header

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Estoril 0.81 xGper match1.45 xG Casa Pia

Deserved on xG: Estoril 0 · level 1 · Casa Pia 3 — actual wins in those games 1 / 1

Against the market · 8 with closing odds

Favourite won 2 (25%), drew 4, upset 2 · market favoured Estoril 4×, Casa Pia 4× · avg favourite 40%, avg price of the actual result 32%

Fixture specialists

2 João Carvalho Estoril · in 2 games · last Oct 2025
2 Alejandro Marqués Estoril · in 2 games · last Apr 2025
2 Cassiano Casa Pia · in 2 games · last Apr 2025
2 Cassiano Estoril · in 2 games · last Nov 2023
1 Kaique Rocha Casa Pia · last Oct 2025

Last meeting · 2026-03-07 · PRT PL

Estoril 0-0 Casa Pia · ref Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

xG 0.48 – 1.40 · corners 9 · cards 4

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

55.9%Estoril P 55%24.3%Draw P 25%19.8%Casa Pia P 20%

Over / under 2.5

49.0%Over 2.5 P 51%51.0%Under 2.5 P 49%

Both teams to score

49.5%Yes50.5%No

Expected

Estoril goals: 1.71 (0–3)
Casa Pia goals: 0.92 (0–2)
Corners: 9.72 (6–14)
Cards: 5.19 (2–9)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

44.0%Estoril27.5%Draw28.4%Casa Pia

Over / under 2.5

44.7%Over 2.555.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.6%Yes50.4%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 8 matches since 2023

Estoril 34 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 13–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Estoril 34 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 13–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 13 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

D Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
D Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Casa Pia 1–3 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 0–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
D Casa Pia 0–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 4–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
D Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Estoril all · 6	Estoril at home · 3	Casa Pia all · 6	Casa Pia away · 3
Results
Matches	6	–	6	–
Points per game	0.33	–	0.17	–
W / D / L	0 / 2 / 4	–	0 / 1 / 5	–
Goals for / match	0.33	–	0.17	–
Goals against / match	1.33	–	2.50	–
Clean sheets	17%	–	17%	–
Failed to score	67%	–	83%	–
Both teams scored	33%	–	17%	–
Over 2.5	17%	–	33%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.83	–	0.73	–
xG against / match	1.52	–	1.84	–
xG difference	-0.69	–	-1.11	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.50	–	-0.56	–
xPts / match	0.93	–	0.73	–
Points vs xPts	-0.60	–	-0.56	–
Game state
Scored first	0%	–	17%	–
PPG when scoring first	–	–	0.00	–
PPG when conceding first	0.20	–	0.00	–
Came back from behind	20%	–	0%	–
Leads held	–	–	0%	–
Minutes leading	0%	–	0%	–
Minutes level	64%	–	47%	–
Minutes trailing	36%	–	52%	–
First goal (min)	77	–	43	–
First goal conceded (min)	48	–	31	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	100%	–	0%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	62%	–	60%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	–	0.00	–
Late goals against	0.33	–	0.17	–
Style
Possession	45%	–	44%	–
Shots	12.5	–	10.2	–
On target	4.2	–	2.7	–
Shot conversion	3%	–	2%	–
Shots inside box	61%	–	59%	–
Big chances created	1.0	–	1.2	–
Corners	4.5	–	4.2	–
xG from set plays	22%	–	40%	–
Goals from headers	0%	–	–	–
Pressure index	9.4	–	13.1	–
Dominant minutes	40.3	–	44.8	–
Pass accuracy	80%	–	76%	–
Fouls	12.3	–	11.5	–
Cards	3.17	–	2.50	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'01

16–30'00

31–45'02

46–60'01

61–75'12

76–90'12

Casa Pia

0–15'02

16–30'02

31–45'12

46–60'05

61–75'03

76–90'01

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)+0.136

Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036

When behind-0.165

10 min after conceding-0.395

10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212

At home+0.153

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242

v bottom-tier opponents-0.302

Evenly matched-0.113

As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016

Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156

Early press (0-15, level)-0.136

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046

When behind+0.335

10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423

Away-0.053

4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122

v mid-tier opponents-0.102

As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146

Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 83%	0.4	0.2	1.2	0.93	1.43
3-4-3	1 17%	0.0	1.0	2.0	0.34	1.96

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 67%	0.25	0.25	3.0	0.76	2.04
4-3-3	2 33%	0.0	0.0	1.5	0.65	1.44

Metric	Estoril all · 10	Estoril at home · 10	Casa Pia all · 10	Casa Pia away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.40	0.70	0.50	0.60
W / D / L	0 / 4 / 6	1 / 4 / 5	1 / 2 / 7	1 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match	0.50	0.90	0.40	0.30
Goals against / match	1.40	1.50	1.90	1.40
Clean sheets	10%	20%	20%	40%
Failed to score	50%	40%	60%	70%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	30%	20%
Over 2.5	20%	50%	30%	30%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.89	1.07	0.93	0.76
xG against / match	1.55	1.72	1.62	1.73
xG difference	-0.65	-0.64	-0.69	-0.97
Finishing vs xG	-0.39	-0.18	-0.53	-0.46
xPts / match	0.97	0.99	0.95	0.81
Points vs xPts	-0.57	-0.29	-0.45	-0.21
Game state
Scored first	0%	10%	30%	20%
PPG when scoring first	–	0.00	1.33	1.50
PPG when conceding first	0.33	0.71	0.00	0.00
Came back from behind	33%	38%	0%	0%
Leads held	–	50%	33%	50%
Minutes leading	0%	6%	3%	6%
Minutes level	55%	55%	60%	62%
Minutes trailing	45%	39%	37%	33%
First goal (min)	74	51	52	44
First goal conceded (min)	37	25	38	34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	100%	56%	25%	33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	43%	33%	63%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.10	0.10
Late goals against	0.20	0.00	0.10	0.30
Style
Possession	48%	54%	43%	40%
Shots	12.1	13.1	10.3	9.5
On target	4.0	4.6	3.1	2.9
Shot conversion	4%	7%	4%	3%
Shots inside box	59%	60%	64%	58%
Big chances created	1.3	1.8	1.5	0.9
Corners	4.6	5.4	4.8	4.6
xG from set plays	16%	18%	47%	32%
Goals from headers	0%	33%	0%	0%
Pressure index	10.2	11.3	11.9	8.1
Dominant minutes	43.3	48.7	46.1	37.5
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	74%	71%
Fouls	12.7	12.5	14.2	13.5
Cards	2.70	1.80	3.10	1.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'04

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'12

61–75'12

76–90'32

Casa Pia

0–15'02

16–30'02

31–45'33

46–60'06

61–75'05

76–90'11

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	0.2	1.2	0.93	1.43
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.56	1.19
3-4-3	2 20%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.63	1.24
4-3-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	1.9	3.44

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	0.25	0.25	3.0	0.76	2.04
3-4-3	4 40%	1.0	0.75	1.0	1.23	1.28
4-3-3	2 20%	0.0	0.0	1.5	0.65	1.44

Metric	Estoril all · 35	Estoril at home · 17	Casa Pia all · 35	Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches	35	17	35	17
Points per game	1.03	1.24	0.71	0.59
W / D / L	9 / 9 / 17	5 / 6 / 6	4 / 13 / 18	2 / 4 / 11
Goals for / match	1.37	1.53	0.80	0.53
Goals against / match	1.63	1.53	1.83	1.76
Clean sheets	17%	18%	17%	24%
Failed to score	37%	29%	49%	59%
Both teams scored	51%	65%	49%	35%
Over 2.5	54%	53%	46%	53%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.11	1.17	0.93	0.84
xG against / match	1.57	1.62	1.61	1.71
xG difference	-0.46	-0.45	-0.68	-0.87
Finishing vs xG	0.26	0.36	-0.13	-0.31
xPts / match	1.08	1.10	0.97	0.84
Points vs xPts	-0.05	0.14	-0.25	-0.26
Game state
Scored first	26%	18%	26%	18%
PPG when scoring first	2.11	2.00	1.00	1.00
PPG when conceding first	0.63	1.08	0.52	0.36
Came back from behind	37%	54%	28%	15%
Leads held	69%	71%	33%	50%
Minutes leading	17%	16%	12%	5%
Minutes level	43%	51%	55%	53%
Minutes trailing	40%	34%	33%	42%
First goal (min)	39	42	44	50
First goal conceded (min)	28	25	38	31
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	58%	46%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	42%	35%	61%	53%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.17	0.18
Late goals against	0.23	0.06	0.34	0.29
Style
Possession	51%	52%	42%	42%
Shots	11.5	12.8	9.1	9.6
On target	4.0	4.8	2.8	3.0
Shot conversion	12%	12%	9%	6%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	62%	61%
Big chances created	2.0	2.1	1.5	1.2
Corners	4.6	5.3	4.2	4.6
xG from set plays	32%	29%	40%	35%
Goals from headers	15%	19%	18%	11%
Pressure index	11.0	12.1	8.2	6.4
Dominant minutes	44.8	47.3	38.0	32.2
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	72%	74%
Fouls	12.8	12.3	15.3	13.9
Cards	2.46	2.29	2.80	2.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'516

16–30'67

31–45'1010

46–60'107

61–75'89

76–90'98

Casa Pia

0–15'49

16–30'33

31–45'813

46–60'314

61–75'413

76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635

Late push (76+, level)-0.0611

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918

Game state

When ahead-0.0713

When level-0.0135

When behind-0.0927

10 min after conceding-0.2528

10 min after scoring+0.3122

Situations

With ten men+0.083

Against ten men-0.473

At home+0.0117

Away-0.1118

4+ days rest-0.0535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1610

v mid-tier opponents+0.067

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713

As favourite+0.088

Evenly matched+0.0113

As underdog-0.1814

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0935

Conceded when ahead+0.0813

Conceded late (76+)-0.0831

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09

Casa Pia · 35 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1635

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1535

Late push (76+, level)-0.2415

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0618

Game state

When ahead-0.3112

When level-0.1635

When behind-0.1125

10 min after conceding-0.2929

10 min after scoring-0.1718

Situations

With ten men-0.232

Against ten men-0.652

At home-0.1318

Away-0.2017

4+ days rest-0.1635

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.388

v mid-tier opponents-0.2310

v bottom-tier opponents-0.059

As favourite+0.013

Evenly matched-0.0510

As underdog-0.2422

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2935

Conceded when ahead+0.3012

Conceded late (76+)+0.0332

Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.05

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	6 17%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
4-2-3-1	6 17%	0.83	0.83	1.17	0.97	1.32
4-3-1-2	5 14%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
3-4-3	5 14%	1.2	2.2	2.2	0.94	1.31
4-4-2	4 11%	1.75	2.75	1.5	1.67	1.61

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	20 57%	0.9	1.05	1.75	1.02	1.56
4-2-3-1	5 14%	0.4	0.2	2.4	0.7	1.9
3-4-2-1	3 9%	0.33	0.33	1.33	0.83	1.43
3-5-2	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	0.85	1.51
4-3-3	2 6%	0.0	0.0	1.5	0.65	1.44

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 97 snapshots · last 24.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.3 pts at 2.2d

1.72Home 55% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.793.8Draw 25% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.734.75Away 20% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 4.41

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	1.72 ▲ +2.1	3.8 · -0.5	4.75 ▼ -1.6	24.0h
bet365	1.72 · +0.0	3.6 · +0.0	4.75 · +0.0	24.0h
Betfair	1.75 · +0.0	3.75 · +0.0	4.4 · +0.0	24.0h
BetVictor	1.7 · +0.6	3.5 · -0.2	4.4 · -0.5	24.0h
Coral	1.75 ▲ +1.5	3.75 ▼ -1.1	4.6 · -0.5	24.0h
Ladbrokes	1.75 ▲ +1.3	3.7 · -0.8	4.5 · -0.5	24.0h
WilliamHill	1.75 ▲ +1.2	3.5 · -0.1	4.4 ▼ -1.1	24.0h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 97 snapshots · last 24.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 42.0h

1.8Yes 52% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.81.95No 48% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.95

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.8 · +0.0	1.95 · +0.0	24.0h
Betfair	1.87 · +0.0	1.9 · +0.0	24.0h
BetVictor	1.8 · +0.0	1.9 · +0.0	24.0h
WilliamHill	1.8 · +0.0	1.91 · +0.0	24.0h

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 97 snapshots · last 24.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 47.0h

1.9Over 51% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.961.95Under 49% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 1.88

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.9 ▲ +1.7	1.95 ▼ -1.7	24.0h
bet365	1.9 ▲ +1.3	1.9 ▼ -1.3	24.0h
Betfair	1.9 · -0.4	1.87 · +0.4	24.0h
BetVictor	1.84 · +0.8	1.83 · -0.8	24.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 24.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 54% P 55%3.6Draw 26% P 25%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Estoril or Draw 40%1.28Estoril or Casa Pia 37%2.05Draw or Casa Pia 23%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	55%	56%	53%	-2.8
Draw	25%	25%	26%	+1.0
Away	20%	19%	21%	+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	51%	51%	51%	-0.1

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Career: 19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match: 6.63 (6.21 yellow · 0.32 red)
Fouls / match: 28.1 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.47
Cards to home side: 54%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	6.41	5.66	+0.98	88
Fouls / match	28.3	27.8	+0.22
Fouls per card	4.4	4.9	-0.82 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.53	0.37	+1.20	88
Time added	9.4	7.7	+2.11	100

First card: 29' on average
Card timing: 17% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 54% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.25

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-09-06	2	0	24	0	55'	7
2026-08-23	3	0	26	1	28'	11
2026-04-26	4	0	23	1	12'	11
2026-03-21	6	0	31	0	16'	7
2026-02-13	10	1	23	0	39'	13
2026-02-02 · Casa Pia	5	1	28	0	40'	12
2026-01-19 · Estoril	4	1	28	1	45'	7
2025-12-13	8	1	30	0	18'	6
2025-11-09	6	0	31	2	33'	11
2025-11-02	5	0	22	0	32'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Casa Pia · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Estoril

Casa Pia

Last 8

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

How these games go · 8 with event data

When the goals come · all goals, 6 meetings

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Against the market · 8 with closing odds

Fixture specialists

Last meeting · 2026-03-07 · PRT PL

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 8 matches since 2023

Last 10 · 8 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Casa Pia

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Estoril

Casa Pia

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Casa Pia

Estoril

Casa Pia

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Casa Pia

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Casa Pia · 35 matches

Estoril

Casa Pia

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)

Recent matches