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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

CFEAAVFC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Pedro Marques da Costa Filipe · Bruno Nogueira Pinheiro
Position
6 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
30.8° (feels 29.7°)
Wind
3.8
Humidity
32%

Where to watch · 1

  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

DWDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 10 · xG 7.84–5.59 · xPts 8.14

  • D A Rio Ave 3–3 xG 2.73–1.28 PRT PL
  • W H Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 0.68–0.72 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 1.14–1.54 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 3–2 xG 2.0–0.65 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 2–2 xG 1.29–1.4 PRT PL

Academico Viseu

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.79–8.63 · xPts 5.2

  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–1 xG 2.15–2.15 PRT PL
  • W A Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.33–2.41 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 1.32–1.14 PRT PL
  • D A Marítimo 2–2 xG 1.28–1.52 PRT PL
  • L H Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.72–1.41 PRT PL

first meeting No meetings in the last five years

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before · · thin data — probabilities rounded to 5%

Match result

40%Estrela Amadora P 43%25%Draw P 29%35%Academico Viseu P 28%

Over / under 2.5

60%Over 2.5 P 46%40%Under 2.5 P 54%

Both teams to score

60%Yes40%No

Expected

Estrela Amadora goals
1.62 (0–3)
Academico Viseu goals
1.44 (0–3)
Corners
7.62 (4–12)
Cards
5.67 (2–9)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

37.7%Estrela Amadora29.1%Draw33.2%Academico Viseu

Over / under 2.5

44.2%Over 2.555.8%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.1%Yes50.8%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

No previous meetings on record.

MetricEstrela Amadora all · 6Estrela Amadora at home · 3Academico Viseu all · 6Academico Viseu away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.671.33
W / D / L2 / 4 / 02 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match2.331.17
Goals against / match2.001.50
Clean sheets0%17%
Failed to score0%33%
Both teams scored100%50%
Over 2.5100%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.471.13
xG against / match1.351.98
xG difference0.12-0.86
Finishing vs xG0.860.04
xPts / match1.450.92
Points vs xPts0.220.41
Game state
Scored first33%50%
PPG when scoring first1.002.33
PPG when conceding first2.000.33
Came back from behind100%33%
Leads held40%67%
Minutes leading20%30%
Minutes level46%30%
Minutes trailing34%40%
First goal (min)4834
First goal conceded (min)2633
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half79%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.17
Late goals against0.330.17
Style
Possession48%48%
Shots12.79.5
On target5.03.0
Shot conversion18%12%
Shots inside box71%67%
Big chances created2.01.7
Corners3.82.8
xG from set plays23%33%
Goals from headers21%29%
Pressure index12.37.7
Dominant minutes47.739.5
Pass accuracy82%82%
Fouls11.313.3
Cards2.502.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'03
16–30'10
31–45'21
46–60'44
61–75'52
76–90'22

Academico Viseu

0–15'13
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'12
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Academico Viseu · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.186
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.523

Game state

When ahead-0.313
When level-0.286
When behind+0.053
10 min after conceding-0.215
10 min after scoring+0.244

Situations

At home-0.013
Away-0.323
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.233
Evenly matched-0.262
As underdog-0.144

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.396
Conceded when ahead+0.873
Conceded late (76+)+0.345

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.33

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.52.252.01.391.51
4-3-32 33%2.02.52.01.641.03

Academico Viseu

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 50%0.671.332.331.191.97
4-1-4-12 33%3.01.50.51.242.28
4-2-3-11 17%0.00.01.00.721.41

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 26.5h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.4 pts at 44.5h

2.23Home 43% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 2.153.23Draw 29% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.273.43Away 28% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 3.59
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.23 ▼ -1.63.23 · +0.43.43 ▲ +1.226.5h
bet3652.15 ▼ -1.23.3 · +0.63.4 · +0.626.5h
Betfair2.1 · +0.43.4 · -0.63.3 · +0.226.5h
BetVictor2.1 · -1.03.2 · +0.53.25 · +0.526.5h
Coral2.2 ▼ -2.23.3 · +0.73.3 ▲ +1.526.5h
Ladbrokes2.2 ▼ -1.53.3 · +0.33.3 ▲ +1.226.5h
WilliamHill2.15 · -0.93.1 · +0.13.3 · +0.926.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 26.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.3Estrela Amadora or Draw 36%1.33Estrela Amadora or Academico Viseu 35%1.66Draw or Academico Viseu 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 46%1.75Under 54% P 54%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Career
107 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.62 (5.36 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
31.4 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.345.66-0.3830
Fouls / match29.527.8+0.86
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.37+0.4567
Time added7.27.7-0.4627
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-31 50 290 4'9
2026-08-16 70 190 13'8
2026-05-03 112 411 49'11
2026-04-03 80 341 24'9
2026-03-22 60 271 41'10
2026-02-23 50 330 13'5
2026-01-02 40 380 25'7
2025-12-22 10 321 34'9
2025-11-30 40 250 12'7
2025-11-08 30 251 56'6